dividend stock Archives - Page 2 of 3

Seasonality Effect with Ex-Dividend Months on Singapore Stock Market (2009-2021)

Posted on May 31, 2021 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

Seasonality or Monthly Effect (stock index vs month/year) is strong for months of May and August for Singapore stock market, especially 30 STI component stocks. This is mainly related to Ex-dividend dates for 30 STI in Singapore but may not apply to smaller cap giant stocks which continue to be bullish in month of May. Learn further from Dr Tee on details of this unique Singapore stock myth.

For recent May 2021, STI ends with only 1+% lower but still it is a mini “bear” month, aligning with myth of “Sell in May and Go Away“. As we could see from the Seasonality Chart (2009 June – 2021 May) for Singapore stock market, over the past 12 years, for the month of May, 10 years were down (including this month, May 2021), only 2 years were bullish. For month of August, Singapore STI index is even worse, 11 years were down, only 1 year was up (last year, 2020, mainly due to pandemic recovery).

By right, there is no logic to strong monthly or seasonality effect (occurring 10-11 times over the past 12 years, bearish for months of May and August) but Singapore stock market is unique, especially many 30 STI component stocks are dividend stocks / REITs, certain month of ex-dividend dates, price adjustment after dividend payment could be stronger than usual stock market force of the month.

For example, out of the 6 biggest market cap STI stocks: DBS Bank (SGX: D05), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), JMH – Jardine Matheson Holdings (SGX: J36), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Singtel (SGX: Z74) and Wilmar International (SGX: F34) (6 stocks contributing to about 57% of STI), all 6/6 Ex-dividend in month of August while 3/6 also Ex-dividend in month of May. This may explain why Singapore stock market is nearly always bearish in the months of August and May, mainly to adjust for price after dividend payment (filling the quarterly or half-yearly dividend yield of around 1-3%), also to fulfill the global myth to “Sell in May”. MAS may adjust or lifted the 60% dividend payment cap imposed over the past 1 year for 3 major banks, this could result in strong Ex-dividend effect from Q2/2021 (starting with DBS with quarterly dividend payment), affecting more on volatility of 30 STI in coming month of August.

So, it may not be a good idea to invest in Singapore dividend stocks just before the Ex-dividend date, as the price correction (capital loss) after Ex-dividend date could be more than the dividend received. It is smarter to invest dividend stocks a few months in advance while the share price starts to recover from intermediate low due to market fear or bearish market. Alternatively, focusing on any giant stock (may or may not be dividend stocks, not limited to 30 STI component stocks) with strong price and business performance).

When there are more believers in certain myth, then it could affect the local market. Hong Kong and Japan also has similar myth, for example when movie star Adam Cheng (郑少秋) has new TV drama showing, HK share price would drop. Japan has similar related belief but influence varies.

In fact, there are quite a few small or mid cap giant Singapore stocks, eg. Propnex (SGX: OYY), Union Gas Holdings (SGX: 1F2), iFAST Corporation (SGX: AIY), The Hour Glass (SGX: AGS), Cortina Holdings (SGX: C41), Q&M Dental Group (Singapore) (SGX: QC7), Raffles Medical Group (SGX: BSL), etc, which Dr Tee has mentioned in earlier educational posts or free webinars, continue to surge over 20-30% in bearish month of May, opposite in trend with STI.

So, selection of right stocks (Level 1) in right sectors (Level 2) in right country (Level 3) is crucial. In general, Singapore and US stock markets remain relatively more bullish than other global stock exchanges since early 2021. So, it is a good choice to focus in Singapore stock market, both for short term momentum trading and long term cyclic / dividend investing.

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There are over 1500 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

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Filed Under: Macroeconomy, Market Cycle Investing, Market Outlook Tagged: crisis stock investing, dividend stock, Singapore Market

50% Profits of The Hour Glass Stock in 4 months

Posted on May 25, 2021 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

Congratulations to readers who have taken action on The Hour Glass (luxury watches stock, SGX: AGS) as Dr Tee has shared this giant stock in several educational posts over the past 1 year. The profit is nearly 50% from $0.80 (breakout) to $1.18 today.

In the earlier educational article on 100 Singapore Dividend Stocks (Mar 2021), Dr Tee shared the intrinsic value of The Hour Glass is about $1.20, now the price has surged to $1.18. It could have more upside but requires market greed to drive it to higher optimism. This is value investing, buy the right stock and right price, just wait patiently for the fruit in 2 targets: intrinsic value and also possible higher optimism price target.

As shown in Optimism Chart, The Hour Glass was still low optimism a few months ago, having 2X upside potential. It is a growth, dividend and cyclic stock, 3-in-1 stock. More importantly, this is a giant stock with very strong business fundamental.

For those who missed the 80 cents price breakout (low optimism, despite nearly highest price at that time) in Feb 2021 with rally to 90+ cents, there is a second chance recently. After the special gift from government on fear of Phase2 COVID measures on 14 May 2021 (Hour Glass dropped to 90 cents), Hour Glass has surged 20% last week and 10% this week, partly supported by good earnings results for financial year ending Mar 2021 (8% better results in last 1 year of pandemic compared to before pandemic), declaring 2X higher interim dividend than last year.

Dividend is like honey to attract bees (traders and investors) to work, helping to support the rising prices (capital gains). However, the plant (stock) needs to produce aromatic flower (growing business) first, else the honey supply may end one day. The best integration of strategy could be dividend + growth investing, having the best of 2 worlds, collecting passive income slowly while enjoying the capital gains with compounding of time. Patient investors could make big money but it requires strong determination.

Major shareholder Dr Henry Tay may know the investment marketing strategy, giving extra 2 cents per share dividend but share price has gained extra 28 cents. Timing of action is crucial, especially for stocks with Financial Reports ending in Mar 201, better results in Q2 would help to support the share prices (except for tech stocks at high optimism under sector rotation). So, a giant stock at low optimism is key. Hour Glass still has upside potential but it is no longer a low hanging fruit (low optimism giant stock) as shared over the past 1 year.

We may not need to own a Rolex watch even if we could afford. Instead, saving for the capital, an investor could indirectly own many luxury watches (Rolex, Patek Philippe, Hublot, etc) through investing in The Hour Glass stock as a business partner. Dr Henry Tay of The Hour Glass is even smarter, also invest in stock of main competitor, Cortina Holdings (SGX: C41), having strong control of luxury watches market in Singapore. In a bullish stock market with growing economy, consumer discretionary stock (including luxury watches) would have higher upside in both businesses and share prices. Alignment of individual stock (Level 1) to sector (Level 2), country (Level 3) and global (Level 4) economy and stock markets is crucial.

Readers may learn further, there are still many low optimism giant stocks waiting. Learn further in the next free 4hr Free Webinar by Dr Tee on other giant stocks (as good as The Hour Glass) which could still wait for you.

Filed Under: Market Cycle Investing, Market Optimism, Stock Market Tagged: cyclic investing stock, dividend stock, growth stock

134 Singapore Property Stocks with Discounted NAV Strategy (为善最乐)

Posted on May 9, 2021 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

In recent Ein55 Charity Course on Global Discounted NAV (DNAV) Stocks, we have raised fund of $24,488 to help needy families in Singapore. Under the spirit of charity, Dr Tee decides to share 134 Singapore Property Stocks and 3 global DNAV stocks in 3 countries with readers (detailed strategies including Ein55 Optimism levels, Ein55 intrinsic values and DNAV will be shared):

1) Singapore DNAV Stock – Hongkong Land (SGX: H78)

2) Malaysia DNAV Stock – Paramount (Bursa: 1724)

3) Hong Kong / China DNAV Stock – Yuexiu Property (HKEx: 123)

Dr Tee, Ein55 Mentors & Graduates have together organized 11 charity investment courses (REITs in Nov 2015, May 2017 and May 2019, High Dividend Stocks in Mar 2016, Oct 2017 and Nov 2019, Global Growth Stocks in Apr 2018 and Nov 2020, and Discounted NAV Stocks in Sep 2016, Nov 2018 and May 2021) in the past 6 years, donating net income of around $222,000 to Tzu Chi 慈济 Singapore.

We hope to inspire more Ein55 Graduates to reach out the society, helping others who are in need. More importantly, they have also learned the secrets of making money through investment. When more Ein55 Graduates are successful financially, they could also contribute back to the society to help more people in future (为善最乐).

Discounted Net Asset Value (DNAV) Strategy is valuation of company business, firstly based on the Net Asset Value (NAV) listed in current Balance Sheet. Then, we determine the net cash that would be received if all assets were sold and liabilities paid off. Various discounts will be applied based on different quality of asset classes. It is safer to buy stock with share price below the Discounted NAV (much more conservative than price below NAV or Price-to-Book ratio, PB < 1). Unlike PB method mainly applied for asset rich company (eg. property stocks), DNAV method can be applied in non-property or not cash-rich stocks. However, Ein55 Optimism strategies have to be integrated to avoid value trap, i.e. Buy Low Get Lower for undervalue stocks.

The best time to buy global DNAV stocks and 134 Singapore property stocks is always during global stock crisis (eg. Year 2020-2021 during pandemic, 2008—2009 during subprime crisis, etc), not only able to maximize the dividend yield (due to lower entry share price), also could have higher potential of capital gains (when market cycle moves from fear in low optimism to greed in high optimism). Singapore property stock investing is not based on undervalue strategy (Buy Undervalue Sell Overprice) alone, may be integrated with dividend investing, growth investing, swing trading, momentum trading, cyclic investing, defensive investing and other Ein55 strategies.

There are 134 Singapore property stocks (not all are giant stocks with Dr Tee criteria), based on the last price traded (7 May 2021), sorted by 3 key Fundamental Criteria:
1) ROE (a criteria for growth stocks, eg. ROE > 5%),
2) Dividend Yield, DY (a criteria for dividend stocks, eg. DY > 3%),
3) Price-to-Book (PB) ratio, Price/NAV (a criteria for undervalue stocks, eg. PB < 1).

From the table sorted below, over 75% (101/134 stocks) are undervalue (Price to Book ratio, PB < 1), mainly due to COVID-19 stock crisis, affecting property construction business with bearish share prices but property asset valuation remains stable. There are only 20% (27/134 stocks) have growing businesses (over 5% ROE, Return on Equity) while over 50% (72/134 stocks) were making losses during pandemic in Year 2020. There are nearly 50% (62/134 stocks) were paying dividend but only 22 stocks (16%) having dividend yield over 3%, potential for dividend investing.

No	134 SG Property Stocks	ROE (%)	PB	DY (%)
1	3Cnergy (SGX: 502)	–	1.1	–
2	A-Smart Holdings (SGX: BQC)	0.852	1.8	–
3	AEI Corporation (SGX: AWG)	–	2.6	–
4	Aims Property Securities Fund (SGX: BVP)	–	0.4	1.9
5	Asia-Pacific Strategic Investments (SGX: 5RA)	–	0.8	–
6	APAC Realty (SGX: CLN)	10.62	1.1	5.1
7	Abterra (SGX: L5I)	50.49	2.1	–
8	Acromec (SGX: 43F)	–	1.9	–
9	Alset International (SGX: 40V)	53.45	1.1	–
10	Amara Holdings (SGX: A34)	–	0.5	–
11	Amcorp Global (SGX: S9B)	–	0.6	–
12	AnnAik (SGX: A52)	0.294	0.3	1.8
13	Astaka Holdings (SGX: 42S)	–	5.5	–
14	BBR Holdings (SGX: KJ5)	–	0.5	–
15	BRC Asia (SGX: BEC)	7.693	1.3	1.3
16	Blackgold Natural Resources (SGX: 41H)	–	–	–
17	Boldtek Holdings (SGX: 5VI)	–	0.7	–
18	Bonvests (SGX: B28)	–	0.5	0.3
19	Boustead Singapore (SGX: F9D)	9.01	1.4	2.9
20	Boustead Projects (SGX: AVM)	7.469	1.1	0.8
21	Bukit Sembawang Estates (SGX: B61)	5.748	0.9	0.9
22	Bund Center Investment (SGX: BTE)	2.197	0.9	7.3
23	CSC Holdings (SGX: C06)	4.531	0.4	–
24	CapitaLand (SGX: C31)	–	0.8	2.5
25	CASA Holdings (SGX: C04)	2.638	0.3	5.6
26	Chemical Industries (Far East) (SGX: C05)	2.782	0.4	2.1
27	China International Holdings (SGX: BEH)	14.62	0.3	9.1
28	China Yuanbang Property Holdings (SGX: BCD)	5.991	0.1	–
29	Chip Eng Seng Corporation (SGX: C29)	–	0.4	4.4
30	City Developments (SGX: C09)	–	0.9	1.0
31	DISA (SGX: 532)	–	4.3	–
32	Debao Property Development (SGX: BTF)	–	0.1	–
33	ETC Singapore (SGX: 1C0)	–	0.3	–
34	Edition (SGX: 5HG)	–	1.6	–
35	Engro Corporation (SGX: S44)	8.563	0.6	2.0
36	Fraser and Neave – F & N (SGX: F99)	5.026	0.7	3.5
37	Far East Orchard (SGX: O10)	0.124	0.4	2.6
38	Figtree Holdings (SGX: 5F4)	–	0.5	2.9
39	First Sponsor Group (SGX: ADN)	5.996	0.8	2.2
40	Fragrance Group (SGX: F31)	0.133	0.6	–
41	Frasers Property (SGX: TQ5)	1.477	0.5	0.9
42	GYP Properties (SGX: AWS)	–	0.4	–
43	Gallant Venture (SGX: 5IG)	–	0.9	–
44	Golden Energy and Resources (SGX: AUE)	2.101	0.7	–
45	Goodland Group (SGX: 5PC)	–	0.3	1.0
46	GuocoLand (SGX: F17)	2.234	0.5	3.6
47	HL Global Enterprises (SGX: AVX)	0.263	0.4	–
48	Hatten Land (SGX: PH0)	–	0.9	–
49	Heeton Holdings (SGX: 5DP)	–	0.2	–
50	Hiap Hoe (SGX: 5JK)	–	0.4	0.8
51	Hiap Seng Engineering (SGX: 510)	–	–	–
52	Ho Bee Land (SGX: H13)	3.782	0.5	2.9
53	Hock Lian Seng Holdings (SGX: J2T)	2.08	0.6	1.0
54	Hong Fok Corporation (SGX: H30)	–	0.3	1.2
55	Hong Lai Huat Group (SGX: CTO)	–	0.3	–
56	Hong Leong Asia (SGX: H22)	5.312	0.8	1.0
57	Hongkong Land Holdings (SGX: H78)	–	0.3	4.5
58	Hor Kew Corp (SGX: BBP)	0.861	0.2	–
59	Huationg Global (SGX: 41B)	–	0.2	–
60	Hwa Hong Corporation (SGX: H19)	2.221	1.0	3.3
61	IPC Corporation (SGX: AZA)	–	0.2	–
62	ISOTeam (SGX: 5WF)	–	1.1	–
63	Imperium Crown (SGX: 5HT)	–	0.2	–
64	Jasper Investments (SGX: FQ7)	–	–	–
65	KOP (SGX: 5I1)	–	0.4	–
66	KSH Holdings (SGX: ER0)	4.757	0.6	6.0
67	Keong Hong Holdings (SGX: 5TT)	–	0.4	–
68	Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4)	–	0.9	1.9
69	Keppel Reit (SGX: K71U)	–	0.9	4.4
70	King Wan Corporation (SGX: 554)	0.753	0.2	–
71	Koh Brothers Group (SGX: K75)	–	0.2	–
72	Koon Holdings (SGX: 5DL)	–	–	–
73	KORI Holdings (SGX: 5VC)	0.852	0.3	–
74	LHN (SGX: 41O)	19.85	0.9	4.7
75	Ley Choon Group (SGX: Q0X)	–	1.1	–
76	Lian Beng Group (SGX: L03)	4.06	0.3	2.0
77	Low Keng Huat (Singapore) (SGX: F1E)	7.007	0.5	5.1
78	Lum Chang Holdings (SGX: L19)	–	0.6	3.3
79	Luminor Financial Holdings (SGX: 5UA)	–	0.5	–
80	MYP (SGX: F86)	–	0.4	–
81	Metro Holdings (SGX: M01)	2.15	0.4	2.7
82	OIO Holdings (SGX: KUX)	–	–	–
83	OKH Global (SGX: S3N)	–	0.3	–
84	OKP (SGX: 5CF)	2.696	0.5	3.8
85	OneApex (SGX: 5SY)	–	1.1	–
86	Oxley Holdings (SGX: 5UX)	–	1.0	3.3
87	PSL Holdings (SGX: BLL)	–	0.3	–
88	Pacific Century Regional Development (SGX: P15)	–	1.0	8.7
89	Pacific Star Development (SGX: 1C5)	–	–	–
90	Pan Hong (SGX: P36)	15.44	0.5	2.4
91	Pavillon Holdings (SGX: 596)	–	0.4	–
92	Pollux Properties (SGX: 5AE)	0.096	0.6	–
93	PropNex (SGX: OYY)	34.4	4.9	4.9
94	Raffles Infrastructure Holdings (SGX: LUY)	13.35	0.5	–
95	Regal International Group (SGX: UV1)	15.28	4.3	–
96	Renaissance United (SGX: I11)	–	0.3	–
97	Rich Capital Holdings (SGX: 5G4)	–	1.4	–
98	Roxy-Pacific Holdings (SGX: E8Z)	–	1.0	–
99	Ryobi Kiso (SGX: BDN)	–	2.2	–
100	SHS Holdings (SGX: 566)	–	0.8	–
101	SLB Development (SGX: 1J0)	6.838	0.63	–
102	SP Corporation (SGX: AWE)	2.459	0.38	–
103	Sasseur Reit (SGX: CRPU)	4.254	1.01	7.06
104	Second Chance Properties (SGX: 528)	1.786	0.78	1.61
105	Sin Heng Heavy Machinery (SGX: BKA)	1.063	0.33	1.54
106	Sinarmas Land (SGX: A26)	3.545	0.43	0.32
107	SingHaiyi (SGX: 5H0)	–	0.46	–
108	SingHaiyi Group (SGX: 5IC)	5.319	0.49	2.63
109	Singapore Land Group (SGX: U06)	1.23	0.53	1.28
110	Sinjia Land (SGX: 5HH)	–	0.95	–
111	Soilbuild Construction (SGX: S7P)	–	0.75	–
112	Straits Trading (SGX: S20)	3.347	0.71	2.22
113	Sysma Holdings (SGX: 5UO)	2.121	0.59	–
114	TA Corporation (SGX: PA3)	–	0.38	–
115	T T J Holdings (SGX: K1Q)	–	0.421	2.614
116	Tai Sin Electric (SGX: 500)	5.364	0.816	4.348
117	Thakral Corporation (SGX: AWI)	4.418	0.407	6.522
118	Thomson Medical Group (SGX: A50)	–	4.946	–
119	Tiong Seng Holdings (SGX: BFI)	–	0.299	1.562
120	Top Global (SGX: BHO)	–	0.531	–
121	Tosei Corporation (SGX: S2D)	6.109	0.583	2.585
122	Tritech Group (SGX: 5G9)	–	1.063	–
123	United Overseas Australia – UOA (SGX: EH5)	6.401	0.729	2.678
124	UOL Group (SGX: U14)	0.134	0.656	2.3
125	USP Group (SGX: BRS)	–	0.204	–
126	Vibrant Group (SGX: BIP)	2.456	0.307	–
127	Wee Hur Holdings (SGX: E3B)	6.81	0.451	2.439
128	Wing Tai Holdings (SGX: W05)	0.088	0.454	1.593
129	Yanlord Land Group (SGX: Z25)	8.306	0.428	4.857
130	Yeo Hiap Seng (SGX: Y03)	–	0.892	2.21
131	Ying Li International Real Estate (SGX: 5DM)	–	0.391	–
132	Yoma Strategic Holdings (SGX: Z59)	–	0.405	–
133	Yongmao Holdings (SGX: BKX)	7.682	0.359	0.309
134	Yongnam Holdings (SGX: AXB)	–	0.308	–

However, not all the 134 Singapore property stocks listed are giant stocks. A growing business in the past may not be sustainable during COVID-19 period and an undervalue stock may remain lagging in share prices for many years, could end up as a crisis stock. Fundamental Analysis alone is not sufficient, a low PB or low PE or high dividend yield stock may be a value trap as this may be the result of lower share price with weakening businesses. Therefore, deeper analysis is required with LOFTP (Level, Optimism, Fundamental, Technical, Personal Analysis) Strategies.

Let’s learn these 3 global Discounted NAV giant stocks in 3 countries, understanding the business nature, investment clock and unique strategy.

1) Singapore DNAV Stock – Hongkong Land (SGX: H78)

Hongkong Land is part of Jardine Group with over 100 years of history. It has property businesses mainly in Hong Kong, China and Singapore with 61% in investment properties (main source of rental income) and 39% in development properties. The West Bund project in Xuhui Shanghai of China would be major revenue contributor in the next few years.

Hongkong Land is still at low Ein55 Optimism (<25%) but recovering well from low in pandemic, aiming for Ein55 intrinsic value of about $9/share. This stock has Discounted NAV of $15/share (close to NAV, implying very high quality of its asset), providing high safety of margin for long term investors with stable dividend payment (about 4-5% dividend yield, depending on entry price). Assuming extreme devaluation of Hong Kong property market by 50%, Hongkong Land would still have $7.50/share value for very conservative investors. The “loss” of Hongkong Land in Year 2020 is mainly accounting loss due to devaluation of property but cashflow is still strong to support the dividend payment, behaving as if a REIT.

Recent acquisition of parent company, JSH (SGX: J37) by JMH (SGX: J36), has helped to support the prices of other stocks in Jardine group including Hongkong Land. Jardine Group may have more corporate actions in future to release the hidden value of subsidiary stocks including Hongkong Land, Jardine Cycle & Carriage – JCC (SGX: C07), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01) and Mandarin Oriental Hotel (SGX: M04). However, the recovery pattern of share prices for undervalue stock can be different from growth stocks. Hongkong Land is more suitable for long term investors with patient, positioning as a mid-fielder stock, good balance between capital gains and dividend as passive income.

Readers may read earlier articles (during pandemic with low optimism prices) by Dr Tee for more details on Jardine Group of stocks including Hongkong Land:
https://www.ein55.com/tag/jardine/

2) Malaysia DNAV Stock – Paramount (Bursa: 1724)

Paramount is a Malaysia property development stock with 50 years of history in businesses. After divestment of education segment business, Paramount has drawn up a new 5-year (2020 – 2024) strategic roadmap to focus on Property development and concentrate on landed developments and integrated developments in Malaysia. In the next 5 years, Paramount plans to venture into overseas property development projects, expecting to contribute approximately 10% of the Group’s revenue. It enjoys recurring income from investment property and minority interest in education business.

Paramount is still at low Ein55 Optimism (<25%) but recovering well from low in pandemic, aiming for Ein55 intrinsic value of about $1.20/share. This stock has Discounted NAV of $2.17/share (20% lower than NAV, partly due to lower value of non-property business), providing high safety of margin for long term investors with stable dividend payment (about 4-5% dividend yield, depending on entry price). Assuming extreme devaluation of Malaysia property market by 50%, Paramount would still have $1.08/share value for very conservative investors.

Malaysia property stock investing is complicated by worse pandemic condition, political instability and weaker consumer purchasing power. Paramount is more suitable for long term investors with patient, positioning as a mid-fielder stock, good balance between capital gains and dividend as passive income.

Readers may read earlier article (during pandemic with low optimism prices) by Dr Tee for more details on other Malaysia stock affected by pandemic:
https://www.ein55.com/tag/malaysia-stocks/

3) Hong Kong / China DNAV Stock – Yuexiu Property (HKEx: 123)

Yuexiu Property is a China property developer company (state-owned enterprise), originated in Guangzhou, expanding property businesses to other 19 cities in China. In 2019, Guangzhou Metro (another state-owned enterprise) becomes the second largest investor of Yuexiu Property, deepening the strategic collaboration between 2 giants (transportation and property).

Yuexiu Property is at moderate low Ein55 Optimism of about 40%, near to Ein55 intrinsic value of $2.20. This stock has Discounted NAV of $1.27/share (much lower than its NAV), higher than its current share price, therefore no safety of margin for very conservative investors. Yuexiu Property may still be considered for growth investing with dividend payment (about 6-7% dividend yield, depending on entry price). Trend-following strategy with S.E.T. (Stop Loss, Entry, Target Prices) trading plan may be integrated into stock investing without DNAV protection.

Yuexiu Property belongs to Yuexiu Group, which also owns 2 other subsidiary stocks, Yuexiu Reit (HKEx: 405) and Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure (HKEx: 1052) which may also be considered for dividend stock investing. Major shareholder and sponsor is Guangzhou local government, providing strong support to Yuexiu Group of stocks.

Readers may read earlier articles by Dr Tee for more details on other global and local property stocks including but not limited to Yuexiu Property:
https://www.ein55.com/category/property-market/

Filed Under: Market Cycle Investing, Market Outlook, Property Market, Stock Market Tagged: dividend stock, Hongkong Land, jardine, Malaysia Stocks, Property Stocks, undervalue stock

Top 100 Singapore and Global Bank Stocks to Profit (大小通吃)

Posted on March 23, 2021 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

An individual or even a country could not survive without a national bank which supplies cash to exchange for products and services needed in daily life. Even with low interest rates globally, giant bank stocks could still remain profitable, share prices recovering strongly during pandemic, sharing consistent dividends as passive incomes. Higher government bond yield could further support these giant bank stocks with positive outlook of more interest incomes.

In this article, you will learn from Dr Tee on Top 100 Singapore and Global Bank Stocks to profit in current stock market, some may be considered for longer term investing and / or short term trading with COVID-19 recovery stock rally. Bonus for readers who could read every words of the entire article, learning unique strategy to position in 10 global giant bank stocks for both passive incomes (dividend) and capital gains with potential share price appreciation. Both Ein55 Optimism levels and intrinsic values will be shared for each giant stock:

1) Singapore Giant Bank Stocks:

– DBS Bank (SGX: D05), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11)

2) Malaysia Giant Bank Stocks:

– Public Bank (Bursa: 1295), Hong Leong Bank (Bursa: 5819), CIMB Bank (Bursa: 1023)

3) Hong Kong / China Giant Bank Stocks:

– Bank of China Hong Kong (HKEX: 2388), China Construction Bank (HKEX: 939)

4) US Giant Bank Stocks:

– JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM), HDFC Bank (NYSE: HDB)

During the COVID-19 stock recovery, there is a sector rotation with slower or even declining trend for global growth stocks. Investors start to pay more attention to cyclical stocks, especially for global giant bank stocks suffering with share prices in lower optimism, recovering together with pandemic, profiting in both capital gains (appreciation in share prices) and passive incomes (consistent dividend payments).

The best time to buy a giant bank stock is always during global stock crisis (eg. Year 2020-2021 during pandemic, 2008—2009 during subprime crisis, etc), not only able to maximize the dividend yield (due to lower entry price), also could have higher potential of capital gains (when market cycle moves from fear in low optimism to greed in high optimism). Dividend stock investing is not for dividend collection alone, may be integrated with growth investing, swing trading, momentum trading, cyclic investing, defensive investing, undervalue investing and other Ein55 strategies.

There are thousands of bank stocks globally but some are weak bank stocks, may not able to survive in the next Global Financial Crisis. The largest bank may not always a giant stock. For example, HSBC Bank (HKEX: 5) is the largest bank in Hong Kong but it is not a giant stock, share prices have been declining over the past decade with weaker businesses. A giant stock is not defined by its size, even a small regional bank could be a giant bank stock for investment (following Dr Tee Giant Criteria).

From the table sorted below for Top 100 Singapore and Global Bank Stocks, each has growing businesses over the past decade with reasonable dividends and positive ROE (Return on Equity). Most of these top bank stocks are affected temporarily by pandemic but still remain profitable with low interest environment. Since future bank interest rates are likely higher, Net Interest Margin (NIM) of global banks would be higher, therefore future earnings would be improving. This potential is reflected in an hidden way with higher bond yield of governments globally.

However, not all the Top 100 global bank stocks listed are suitable for investing and/or trading. A growing business in the past may not be sustainable during COVID-19 period, could end up as a crisis stock. Fundamental Analysis alone is not sufficient, a stock with low optimism price may be a value trap as this may be the result of weakening businesses. Therefore, deeper analysis is required with LOFTP (Level, Optimism, Fundamental, Technical, Personal Analysis) Strategies.

Nevertheless, this list of Top 100 global bank stocks can be a useful guide for as the first level filtering. If reader could not find a bank stock of interest under these 7 global exchanges (SGX, Bursa, HKEX, IDX, SET, NYSE, NASDAQ), then may need to deeper analysis before taking any action.

No	Bank Stocks	Exchange	ROE (%)	DY (%)
1	DBS Bank (SGX: D05)	SGX	8.6	3.1
2	OCBC Bank (SGX: O39)	SGX	7.2	2.7
3	UOB Bank (SGX: U11)	SGX	6.9	3.0
4	Public Bank (BURSA: 1295)	BURSA	11.2	3.1
5	BIMB (BURSA: 5258)	BURSA	10.4	6.7
6	Hong Leong Financial Group (BURSA: 1082)	BURSA	9.1	2.2
7	Hong Leong Bank (BURSA: 5819)	BURSA	9	1.9
8	RHB BANK (BURSA: 1066)	BURSA	7.9	5.2
9	AM BANK (BURSA: 1015)	BURSA	6.4	2.4
10	MBSB (BURSA: 1171)	BURSA	6	4.4
11	Affin Bank (BURSA: 5185)	BURSA	3.8	3.9
12	CIMB Bank (BURSA: 1023)	BURSA	3.3	2.6
13	China Merchants Bank (HKEX: 3968)	HKEX	14	2.2
14	ICBC Bank (HKEX: 1398)	HKEX	10.9	5.3
15	China Construction Bank (HKEX: 939)	HKEX	10.6	5.4
16	Bank of China Hong Kong (HKEX: 2388)	HKEX	10.6	5.1
17	Hang Seng Bank (HKEX: 11)	HKEX	9.3	3.6
18	Bank of Communications (HKEX: 3328)	HKEX	9	7.5
19	Chong Hing Bank (HKEX: 1111)	HKEX	7.3	5.2
20	Dah Sing Banking Group (HKEX: 2356)	HKEX	6.5	4.9
21	Dah Sing (HKEX: 440)	HKEX	5	5.2
22	Bank of East Asia (HKEX: 23)	HKEX	2.9	2.4
23	Bank Mega (IDX: MEGA)	IDX	16.5	3.2
24	Bank Central Asia (IDX: BBCA)	IDX	14.7	1.6
25	Bank Woori Saudara Indonesia 1906 (IDX: SDRA)	IDX	6.9	1.6
26	Bank Bumi Arta (IDX: BNBA)	IDX	3	0.2
27	Bank of Ayudhya (SET: BAY)	SET	8	0.9
28	Kasikornbank (SET: KBANK)	SET	6.7	3.6
29	Bangkok Bank (SET: BBL)	SET	3.8	2.0
30	HDFC Bank (NYSE: HDB)	NYSE	15.1	0.1
31	Western Alliance Bancorporation (NYSE: WAL)	NYSE	14.8	1.0
32	Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD)	NYSE	12.5	3.6
33	Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY)	NYSE	12.3	3.5
34	Bank of Hawaii (NYSE: BOH)	NYSE	11.2	2.8
35	Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (NYSE: CM)	NYSE	10	4.3
36	JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM)	NYSE	9.8	2.3
37	Bank of Nova Scotia (NYSE: BNS)	NYSE	9.2	4.3
38	Bank of Montreal (NYSE: BMO)	NYSE	9.1	3.6
39	U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB)	NYSE	8.7	3.0
40	Prosperity Bancshares (NYSE: PB)	NYSE	8.6	2.4
41	Community Bank System (NYSE: CBU)	NYSE	7.8	2.1
42	Cullen/Frost Bankers (NYSE: CFR)	NYSE	7.5	2.4
43	PNC Financial Services (NYSE: PNC)	NYSE	5.9	2.6
44	Sterling Bancorp (NYSE: STL)	NYSE	4.7	1.1
45	Credicorp (NYSE: BAP)	NYSE	3	5.9
46	Northrim BanCorp (NASDAQ: NRIM)	NASDAQ	14.8	3.1
47	Summit State Bank (NASDAQ: SSBI)	NASDAQ	13.9	2.8
48	Meta Financial Group (NASDAQ: CASH)	NASDAQ	13.8	0.4
49	Stock Yards Bancorp (NASDAQ: SYBT)	NASDAQ	13.4	2.1
50	Washington Trust Bancorp (NASDAQ: WASH)	NASDAQ	13.1	3.8
51	Lakeland Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: LKFN)	NASDAQ	12.8	1.7
52	City Holding Company (NASDAQ: CHCO)	NASDAQ	12.7	2.7
53	Arrow Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: AROW)	NASDAQ	12.2	3.0
54	First Bancorp (NASDAQ: FNLC)	NASDAQ	12.1	4.1
55	First Financial Bankshares (NASDAQ: FFIN)	NASDAQ	12	1.0
56	C&F Financial Corp (NASDAQ: CFFI)	NASDAQ	11.5	3.1
57	Glacier Bancorp (NASDAQ: GBCI)	NASDAQ	11.5	2.2
58	Century Bancorp (NASDAQ: CNBKA)	NASDAQ	11.4	0.5
59	First Citizens BancShares (NASDAQ: FCNCA)	NASDAQ	11.3	0.2
60	Camden National Corporation (NASDAQ: CAC)	NASDAQ	11.2	2.8
61	East West Bancorp (NASDAQ: EWBC)	NASDAQ	10.8	1.4
62	Eagle Bancorp (NASDAQ: EGBN)	NASDAQ	10.7	1.6
63	Republic Bancorp (NASDAQ: RBCAA)	NASDAQ	10.1	2.5
64	Commerce Bancshares (NASDAQ: CBSH)	NASDAQ	10	1.3
65	German American Bancorp (NASDAQ: GABC)	NASDAQ	10	1.6
66	Ameris Bancorp (NASDAQ: ABCB)	NASDAQ	9.9	1.1
67	Horizon Bancorp (NASDAQ: HBNC)	NASDAQ	9.9	2.5
68	UMB Financial Corp (NASDAQ: UMBF)	NASDAQ	9.5	1.3
69	Enterprise Bancorp (NASDAQ: EBTC)	NASDAQ	9.4	2.1
70	Southside Bancshares (NASDAQ: SBSI)	NASDAQ	9.4	3.3
71	Penns Woods Bancorp (NASDAQ: PWOD)	NASDAQ	9.3	5.2
72	BancFirst Corporation (NASDAQ: BANF)	NASDAQ	9.3	1.8
73	Community Bankers Trust (NASDAQ: ESXB)	NASDAQ	9.2	2.4
74	1st Source Corporation (NASDAQ: SRCE)	NASDAQ	9.1	2.3
75	Community Trust Bancorp (NASDAQ: CTBI)	NASDAQ	9.1	3.3
76	Signature Bank (NASDAQ: SBNY)	NASDAQ	9.1	0.9
77	American National BankShares (NASDAQ: AMNB)	NASDAQ	8.9	3.1
78	First Internet Bancorp (NASDAQ: INBK)	NASDAQ	8.9	0.6
79	NBT Bancorp (NASDAQ: NBTB)	NASDAQ	9	2.6
80	CVB Financial Corp (NASDAQ: CVBF)	NASDAQ	8.8	3.0
81	Simmons First National Corporation (NASDAQ: SFNC)	NASDAQ	8.6	2.2
82	TowneBank (NASDAQ: TOWN)	NASDAQ	8.2	2.3
83	BOK Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: BOKF)	NASDAQ	8.2	2.1
84	Home Bancshares (NASDAQ: HOMB)	NASDAQ	8.2	1.9
85	International Bancshares (NASDAQ: IBOC)	NASDAQ	8	2.2
86	ConnectOne Bancorp (NASDAQ: CNOB)	NASDAQ	7.8	1.4
87	CNB Financial Corp (NASDAQ: CCNE)	NASDAQ	7.6	2.7
88	Independent Bank Corp (NASDAQ: INDB)	NASDAQ	7.1	2.0
89	TriCo Bancshares (NASDAQ: TCBK)	NASDAQ	7	1.7
90	People’s United Financial (NASDAQ: PBCT)	NASDAQ	7	4.0
91	Enterprise Financial Services Corp (NASDAQ: EFSC)	NASDAQ	7	1.5
92	Wintrust Financial Corp (NASDAQ: WTFC)	NASDAQ	6.6	1.4
93	Columbia Banking System (NASDAQ: COLB)	NASDAQ	6.6	2.8
94	Heartland Financial USA (NASDAQ: HTLF)	NASDAQ	6.4	1.5
95	Pinnacle Financial Partners (NASDAQ: PNFP)	NASDAQ	6.2	0.7
96	Flushing Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: FFIC)	NASDAQ	5.6	3.4
97	Bryn Mawr Bank Corp (NASDAQ: BMTC)	NASDAQ	5.2	2.2
98	Renasant Corp (NASDAQ: RNST)	NASDAQ	3.9	2.0
99	South State Corp (NASDAQ: SSB)	NASDAQ	2.6	2.2
100	Pacific Premier Bancorp (NASDAQ: PPBI)	NASDAQ	2.2	2.3

Here, let’s focus on 10 Global Giant Bank Stocks in 4 different countries (Singapore, Malaysia, Hong Hong / China, USA), learning the unique positioning for each stock:

1) Singapore Giant Bank Stocks:

– DBS Bank (SGX: D05), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11)

There are only 3 major banks in Singapore after past few decades of merging and acquisition with strict regulations by MAS to ensure stable financial conditions (eg. regulation of limiting FY2020 dividend payment to 60% of previous year to preserve cash during pandemic). So, it is not surprise that all 3 Singapore bank stocks (DBS Bank, OCBC Bank and UOB Bank) are all giant stocks.

Despite weaker business with higher Non-Performing Loan (NPL) and lower interest income (lower interest rate with lower Net Interest Margin, NIM), all 3 major Singapore bank stocks remain profitable, worst time of Q2/2020 is over, recovering steadily each quarter, supporting their share prices to recover from lower optimism level.

Currently, DBS Bank share price is at moderate high optimism of 60+% Ein55 Optimism level, over intrinsic value of $22. Therefore, DBS is more suitable for shorter term trading (Buy Low Sell High / Buy High Sell Higher). For trading, it is crucial to have S.E.T. (Stop Loss / Entry / Target Prices) in trading plan. For example, if the prices fall back below the support (was resistance) of $27, then a short term trader may need to exit, even with losses, if breakout strategy is the main assumption for trading strategy.

For both OCBC Bank and UOB Bank, share prices have recovered from low optimism to mid optimism of nearly 50%, near to intrinsic values of $12 (OCBC) and $26 (UOB) respectively. It is possible for share prices to go above intrinsic value but it requires a more greedy stock market emotion in Singapore (eg. when STI is above 3000-3300 long term resistance zone). Therefore, cyclic investing strategies (Buy Low Sell High / Buy Fair Price Sell High) may be considered for both stocks.

Readers may refer to earlier article of Dr Tee for more details on 30 Singapore Banking & Finance stocks, mostly were at lower optimism level (9 months ago, just recovering from the worst time of pandemic, congratulation to readers who have taken action to Buy Low after reading this article):
https://www.ein55.com/2020/06/30-singapore-banking-and-finance-stocks/

2) Malaysia Giant Bank Stocks:

– Public Bank (Bursa: 1295), Hong Leong Bank (Bursa: 5819), CIMB Bank (Bursa: 1023)

There are more banks in Malaysia than in Singapore, therefore careful selection of giant bank stocks is crucial for Malaysian stock investors. Public Bank (Teh Hong Piow) and Hong Leong Bank (Quek Leng Chan) are excellent private banks founded and managed by reputable bankers, surviving through past few decades of merging and acquisition of Malaysian banks.

Fundamentally, both Public Bank and Hong Leong Bank are relatively stronger than the peers of other Malaysia banks. Public Bank has just recovered above low optimism to about 30% level, aiming for RM6 intrinsic value, may be considered for cyclic investing. As for Hong Leong Bank, recovery is much stronger to mid optimism level with intrinsic value of RM19, more suitable for medium term trend-following trading.

CIMB is the second largest bank in Malaysia but performance is better than the largest bank, Maybank. CIMB is a more cyclical stock, share prices is recovering from very low optimism, currently still around 20% level, having higher upside potential. An investor may apply cyclic investing strategy, target for CIMB could be intrinsic value of RM7 or even higher if the Bursa stock market becomes more greedy, then there is opportunity to sell at high optimism level.

Readers may read articles of Dr Tee for more details on Public Bank and Hong Leong Bank, both were at lower optimism level then (ample time to Buy Low if one could take action):
https://www.ein55.com/tag/public-bank/

3) Hong Kong / China Giant Bank Stocks:

– Bank of China Hong Kong (HKEX: 2388), China Construction Bank (HKEX: 939)

Many China bank stocks are also listed in Hong Kong stock market (H-share), including Bank of China Hong Kong and China Construction Bank, both are fundamentally strong with high growth potential. Hong Kong stock exchange is tighter in regulation, therefore some investors may feel more confident investing China stocks through Hong Kong, especially for state-owned giant stocks with additional protection by China government.

Bank of China Hong Kong (HKEX: 2388) is a different stock from parent company, Bank of China (HKEX: 3988). Performance of BOC Hong Kong (limited to BOC entities in Hong Kong) is stronger than parent stock, therefore a better choice for growth investing (comparable for both stocks if only considering dividend investing), aiming for higher capital gains. BOC Hong Kong has recovered from past 1 year of low optimism level, breaking above the HK$25 resistance, challenging other higher price level, optimism is still moderate low above 30%, aiming for intrinsic value of HK$38. BOC Hong Kong is a multi-purpose stock, suitable as defender (dividend stock with 5% dividend yield, much better than 0.5% interest if keeping cash in a bank), midfielder (capital gains and dividend) and even a striker (uptrend price for short term with trend-following trading).

China Construction Bank (CCB) is recovering from low optimism during pandemic, currently at Ein55 Optimism of 40%, not far from intrinsic value of HK$8. With strong economy recovery in China in later stage of pandemic, CCB would benefit in near future for businesses, which could support the share prices further.

Readers may read another article of Dr Tee for more details on another Hong Kong / China giant bank stock: ICBC Bank (world and China largest bank):
https://www.ein55.com/2020/12/4-global-bank-stocks-with-vaccine-after-phase-3-covid-19/

4) US Giant Bank Stocks:

– JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM), HDFC Bank (NYSE: HDB)

JP Morgan Chase is the largest bank in USA while HDFC Bank is the largest private bank in India (stock is also listed in NYSE), both are growth stocks, fundamentally strong, supported by growing economy in respective local countries.

JP Morgan share prices recover from correction at mid optimism level in pandemic, currently at high optimism level of over 70%, much higher than its intrinsic value of US$100, driven by the greedy emotion in US stock market. JPM is more suitable for trend-following trading, buying after recovering from each short term correction, or after breaking each intermediate resistance for momentum trading. Since US stock market (both NYSE and NASDAQ) at high optimism level is very volatile, a trader needs to assess own risk tolerance level, choosing the right stocks for trading.

HDFC Bank is relatively more undervalue than JPM. Optimism of HDFC is recovering from low level in pandemic to mid optimism of about 40% currently, near to intrinsic value of US$90. With higher populations in India for decades (would takeover China as No 1 country with the most population in about 10 years time), HDFC Bank would benefit in future businesses, especially after pandemic has ended in India. Besides growth investing, HDFC may also be considered for medium term or short term momentum trading with different price targets based on traders unique personalities.

Readers may view recent video by Dr Tee for more details on HDFC Bank (price was 10% lower then):
https://www.ein55.com/2021/01/6-crisis-investing-momentum-stocks-with-life-changing-20-minutes-talk/

===================================

We may not need to be a banker to enjoy the economic moat of a bank with financial license authorized by each government. An investor could leverage on global giant stocks to make money together in countries with growing economy. All sectors and levels (from individual to country, 大小通吃) need liquidity or cash supplied by bank, therefore investing in a giant bank would have higher probability of winning in higher share prices with consistent dividend payment, supported by growing businesses.

Instead of keeping hard earn money as cash deposit (earning less than 0.5% interest) in a trusted bank, why not taking calculated risk, investing in a portfolio of giant bank stocks with higher potential return in medium to long term (with possible capital loss in short term, especially when entry against the trend)? If a bank is not safe for investment, then it may not be safe for keeping one’s cash in saving account. Instead of lending money with ultra-low interest rate to a bank, one may make money together with a giant bank through stock ownership to share the profits.

Earlier readers of Dr Tee network who took action on a portfolio of giant stocks (not limited to bank stocks) aligned with own personalities could enjoy significant return after 6-12 months later, especially during pandemic period. Reading article is only a “knowledge collector”. An investor needs to learn to convert knowledge into potential fortune through action taking (Buy / Hold / Sell / Wait / Shorting). If not, after reading over 100 articles or other people opinions, the results would still be zero if no action is taken.

Filed Under: Market Cycle Investing, Market Outlook, Stock Market Tagged: bank stock, crisis stock, cyclic investing stock, dividend stock, growth stock

100 Singapore Dividend Stocks and REITs for Retirement (有备无患)

Posted on March 5, 2021 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

Each of us would reach retirement age one day, sooner or later. Life after retirement should be the most meaningful, we could live in our preferred ways, engaging in activities of interests. However, some may not be ready financially, retirement fund is not sufficient to support the longer lifespan, ending up has to continue to work with lower pay or depending on children for financial support.

In this article, you will learn from Dr Tee on 100 Dividend Stocks and REITs in Singapore for Retirement, some may be considered for longer term investing and / or short term trading with COVID-19 recovery stock rally. Bonus for readers who could read every words of the entire article, learning unique strategy to position in 6 giant dividend stocks for both passive incomes (dividend) and capital gains with potential share price appreciation. Both Ein55 Optimism levels and intrinsic values will be shared for each giant stock:

1) Dividend Healthcare Stock: Q&M Dental (SGX: QC7)

2) Dividend Consumer Stock: The Hour Glass (SGX: AGS)

3) Dividend Property Stock: Hongkong Land (SGX: H78)

4) Dividend Technology Stock: ST Engineering (SGX: S63)

5) Dividend F&B Stock: QAF (SGX: Q01)

6) Dividend REIT: Mapletree Industrial REIT (SGX: ME8U)

During the COVID-19 stock recovery, there is a sector rotation with slower or even declining trend for global growth stocks. Investors start to pay more attention to cyclical stocks (eg. banks, properties and oil & gas sectors, etc), especially for those affected companies recovering together with pandemic with stable dividend payments.

Dividend stocks include but not limited to REITs. For REITs, by law, the company has to distribute 90% of rental incomes back to shareholders in the form of dividend. For non-REITs stocks, some companies have clear dividend payment policies (not compulsory) or consistent record in dividend payout. For some blue chip stocks, dividends payment could grow over the decades.

Dividend payment of stocks could be distributed quarterly, half yearly or yearly. A portfolio of 10-20 dividend giant stocks may be established to create a stream of consistent passive incomes, when monthly dividend is more than expenses, one could become financial free this way. The key variables would be initial capital, return (dividend yield, which is dependent on entry price and business performance) and holding period, so customization of strategies based on individual need is required.

The best time to buy a giant dividend stock is always during global stock crisis (eg. Year 2020-2021 during pandemic, 2008—2009 during subprime crisis, etc), not only able to maximize the dividend yield (due to lower entry price), also could have higher potential of capital gains (when market cycle moves from fear in low optimism to greed in high optimism). Dividend stock investing is not for dividend collection alone, may be integrated with growth investing, swing trading, momentum trading, cyclic investing, defensive investing, undervalue investing and other Ein55 strategies.

From the table sorted below for 100 Dividend Stocks and REITS in Singapore, each has growing businesses over the past decade with increasing or reasonable dividends (minimum 2% yield) and positive ROE (Return on Equity), except a few are affected temporarily by pandemic.

However, not all the dividend stocks listed are giant stocks. A growing business in the past may not be sustainable during COVID-19 period, could end up as a crisis stock. Fundamental Analysis alone is not sufficient, a high dividend yield stock may be a value trap as this may be the result of lower share price with weakening businesses. Therefore, deeper analysis is required with LOFTP (Level, Optimism, Fundamental, Technical, Personal Analysis) Strategies.

For Singapore investors, investing in Singapore dividend stocks in SGD can minimize potential forex loss (since SGD is stronger than most foreign currencies), except some stocks trading in USD or having overseas business (eg. Hongkong Land). There are also excellent dividend giant stocks in regional stock markets: Malaysia, Hong Kong or even USA.

No	Dividend Stocks	DY (%)	ROE (%)
1	AEM Holdings (SGX: AWX)	2.1	46.10
2	AIMS APAC REIT (SGX: O5RU)	6.2	5.30
3	AP Oil International (SGX: 5AU)	4.4	4.50
4	Ascendas India Trust (SGX: CY6U)	5.6	9.10
5	Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U)	5	4.80
6	Ban Leong Technologies (SGX: B26)	5	12.80
7	BRC Asia (SGX: BEC)	3.8	7.70
8	CapitaLand (SGX: C31)	2.8	-6.80
9	CapitaLand China Trust (SGX: AU8U)	4.7	3.30
10	CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U)	4.1	2.90
11	Centurion Corp (SGX: OU8)	2.9	17.30
12	Challenger Technologies (SGX: 573)	4.8	19.20
13	China Sunsine Chemical Holdings (SGX: QES)	2	7.60
14	Chip Eng Seng Corporation (SGX: C29)	4.4	-10.00
15	DBS Bank (SGX: D05)	3.2	8.60
16	Delfi (SGX: P34)	5.6	7.70
17	Dutech Holdings (SGX: CZ4)	4.1	6.70
18	ESR REIT (SGX: J91U)	7.5	6.90
19	Excelpoint Technology (SGX: BDF)	7	11.80
20	Far East Orchard (SGX: O10)	5.7	1.60
21	First Reit (SGX: AW9U)	19.8	8.30
22	First Sponsor Group (SGX: ADN)	2.3	6.00
23	Food Empire Holdings (SGX: F03)	2.4	12.30
24	Frasers Centrepoint Trust (SGX: J69U)	3.7	4.00
25	Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU)	5.3	5.30
26	Frencken Group (SGX: E28)	2.5	12.70
27	Great Eastern Holding (SGX: G07)	2.7	10.30
28	GuocoLand (SGX: F17)	3.8	1.00
29	Haw Par Corporation (SGX: H02)	2.4	4.20
30	HoBeeLand (SGX: H13)	4.2	10.80
31	Hongkong Land Holdings (SGX: H78)	4.5	-5.70
32	Hotel Grand Central (SGX: H18)	4	1.5
33	Hotung Investment Holdings (SGX: BLS)	10.1	8.40
34	Hotel Properties (SGX: H15)	3.2	-1.90
35	Hyphens Pharma International (SGX: 1J5)	3.2	14.7
36	IREIT Global (SGX: UD1U)	7.6	6.2
37	Japan Foods Holding (SGX: 5OI)	2.9	-0.60
38	Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07)	4.8	11.00
39	Jardine Matheson Holdings (SGX: J36)	3.3	-0.70
40	Karin Technology Holdings (SGX: K29)	4	1.30
41	Keppel Infrastructure Trust (SGX: A7RU)	6.8	0.00
42	Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU)	3.4	8.10
43	Keppel Reit (SGX: K71U)	5	4.30
44	KSH Holdings (SGX: ER0)	3.5	0.10
45	LHT Holdings (SGX: BEI)	4.8	8.10
46	Lum Chang Holdings (SGX: L19)	15.4	-3.50
47	Lung Kee Bermuda (SGX: L09)	6.9	6.90
48	Manulife US Reit (SGX: BTOU)	8.4	7.70
49	Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU)	3.7	4.10
50	Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U)	4.6	7.40
51	Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U)	4.5	6.10
52	Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (SGX: RW0U)	6.4	4.50
53	MegaChem (SGX: 5DS)	3.8	9.8
54	Meghmani Organics (SGX: M30)	2.6	17.00
55	Metro Holdings (SGX: M01)	2.8	2.10
56	Micro-Mechanics Holdings (SGX: 5DD)	4.1	29.70
57	Nam Lee Pressed Metal Industries (SGX: G0I)	4.7	4.40
58	NetLink NBN Trust (SGX: CJLU)	5.4	6.90
59	New Toyo International Holdings (SGX: N08)	8.6	-4.60
60	Nordic Group (SGX: MR7)	2.3	6.20
61	OCBC Bank (SGX: O39)	2.8	7.20
62	Olam International (SGX: O32)	5.1	9.20
63	Oxley Holdings (SGX: 5UX)	6.3	-25.00
64	Pacific Century Regional Development (SGX: P15)	18.9	-3.80
65	ParkwayLife Reit (SGX: C2PU)	3.4	7.3
66	PNE Industries (SGX: BDA)	8.6	7.60
67	PropNex (SGX: OYY)	4.7	34.40
68	Prudential (SGX: K6S)	2.1	-3.60
69	QAF (SGX: Q01)	5.2	10.40
70	Q&M Dental Group (SGX: QC7)	4.7	15.90
71	Raffles Medical Group (SGX: BSL)	2.3	7.30
72	Riverstone Holdings (SGX: AP4)	2.4	23.30
73	Samurai 2K Aerosol (SGX: 1C3)	2.9	11.20
74	Sasseur Reit (SGX: CRPU)	7.3	6.70
75	Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68)	3.1	39.40
76	Sheng Siong Group (SGX: OV8)	4.1	37.20
77	Singtel (SGX: Z74)	4.5	6.20
78	Spindex Industries (SGX: 564)	2.4	11.50
79	Sri Trang Agro Industry (SGX: NC2)	5	25.00
80	Starhill Global Reit (SGX: P40U)	5	3.90
81	ST Engineering (SGX: S63)	3.8	22.80
82	Straco Corporation (SGX: S85)	4.8	5.30
83	Suntec Reit (SGX: T82U)	5	3.60
84	Tat Seng Packaging Group (SGX: T12)	2.8	12.00
85	Tan Chong International (SGX: T15)	4.9	0.40
86	Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92)	3.3	15.70
87	The Hour Glass (SGX: AGS)	4.4	11.20
88	Tianjin Zhongxin Pharmaceutical (SGX: T14)	5	11.20
89	Top Glove Corporation (SGX: BVA)	5.5	60.20
90	UMS Holdings (SGX: 558)	4.5	17.20
91	Union Gas Holdings (SGX: 1F2)	4	34.50
92	United Global (SGX: 43P)	7.1	63.10
93	United Overseas Australia UOA (SGX: EH5)	2.6	4.30
94	UOB Bank (SGX: U11)	3.1	6.90
95	United Overseas Insurance UOI (SGX: U13)	3.1	5.70
96	UOL Group (SGX: U14)	2.3	1.30
97	Valuetronics Holdings (SGX: BN2)	5.7	13.80
98	VICOM (SGX: WJP)	2.8	18.20
99	Wilmar International (SGX: F34)	3.7	8.10
100	Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings (SGX: BS6)	4.2	7.80

Here, let’s focus on 6 Singapore Giant Dividend Stocks in 6 different sectors, learning the unique positioning for each stock:

1) Dividend Healthcare Stock: Q&M Dental (SGX: QC7)

A giant stock may not need to be big in size, true for Q&M Dental, a small cap healthcare stock, which is the largest dental service provider in Singapore. The company business was affected by pandemic during the first half of 2020 due to circuit breaker but quickly regain positive momentum in the second half of 2020. One could postpone certain medical treatments but it is hard to tolerate acute tooth pains, suffering in each day of waiting. Therefore, it is not surprise to see stronger businesses which would help to support higher share prices with recovery of pandemic.

Over the past 5 years, Q&M Dental share price has been declining gradually (not suitable for trading then), partly due to slower growth in company businesses and bearish market sentiment for small cap stocks. During pandemic, its share price dropped to only half of peak price ($0.80+), the lowest was below $0.40. Q&M Dental has been staying below low optimism level (below $0.50) for about 2 years, recently breaking above critical resistance of $0.50, currently at about 40% Ein55 Optimism level, still below the intrinsic value of about $0.70.

Q&M Dental is not only a dividend stock (dividend yield about 4.7%, depending on share price) with long term growth investing, it may also be considered for short term trading due to recent breakout with higher prices, showing potential rally in near future. For trading, it is crucial to have S.E.T. (Stop Loss / Entry / Target Prices) in trading plan. For example, if the prices fall back below the support (was resistance) of $0.50, then a short term trader may need to exit, even with losses, if breakout strategy is the main assumption for trading strategy.

Readers may read earlier article of Dr Tee for more details on Q&M Dental.

2) Dividend Consumer Stock: The Hour Glass (SGX: AGS)

The Hour Glass is a consumer discretionary stock with luxury watches businesses (eg. distributors for Rolex, Patek Philippe, Hublot, etc). During the first 6 months of pandemic (Apr – Sep 2020), its business has lower revenue due to fewer tourists to Singapore. With more online sales and lower expenses (stores were closed during circuit breaker), the net profit is not significantly affected.

In fact, The Hour Glass is a strong cash-rich company, cash flow grows by about 10 times over the past 5 years while share price has been staying sideways (below peak price and critical resistance of $0.85), which is a hidden gem of undervalue stock. Recently, the share price has recovered from low optimism level (below $0.80), breaking above $0.85, challenging new resistance of $1, currently over 30% Ein55 Optimism level, still below the intrinsic value of about $1.20.

The Hour Glass is not only a dividend stock (dividend yield about 4.4%, depending on share price) with longer growth investing, it may also be considered for short term trading due to recent breakout with higher prices, showing potential rally in near future. For trading, it is crucial to have S.E.T. (Stop Loss / Entry / Target Prices) in trading plan. For example, if the prices fall back below the support (was resistance) of $0.85, then a trader may need to exit, even with losses, if breakout strategy is the main assumption for trading strategy.

Both The Hour Glass and competitor, Cortina (SGX: C41), have similar businesses and even common shareholders (the largest shareholder of Hour Glass, Henry Tay, is also the second largest investor of Cortina, a rare strategy to invest in competitor to have more gains out of the luxury watches market) but Cortina has over 90% Ein55 Optimism level, more suitable for short term trading. Both stocks are “cold” stocks with relatively lower daily trading volume, therefore share price could surge or dip significantly when there are bigger players joining the trading game.

Readers may view earlier educational video by Dr Tee for more details on Cortina.

3) Dividend Property Stock: Hongkong Land (SGX: H78)

Hongkong Land is an undervalue stock with Grade-A commercial properties mainly in Hong Kong, China and Singapore. The “loss” during pandemic in Year 2020 is mainly due to accounting loss, i.e. lower property valuation. However, the cash flow is still stable, therefore able to support the dividend payment each year, including during pandemic.

Over the past 5 years, Hongkong Land share price has declined gradually from peak of $8 to half price, below $4 during pandemic. With recovery of pandemic and bullish market sentiment, its share price has recovered steadily from very low optimism level, suitable for both long term cyclic investing and even short term trading (despite slower momentum, compared with other growth stocks). Current Ein55 Optimism level is still low around 15%, potential upside with intrinsic value of about $9.

Technically, Hongkong Land behaves like a REIT at the moment, generating rental incomes (dividend yield of 4.5%, depending on share price), giving back to shareholders through dividend. It may be positioned as a slow but steady defender with protection by its undervalue asset (Price to Book ratio of 0.3 with 70% discount, assuming discounted asset strategy).

Readers may read earlier article by Dr Tee for more details on Hongkong Land.

4) Dividend Technology Stock: ST Engineering (SGX: S63)

ST Engineering is a Temasek stock (50% shares ownership), having defensive businesses through subsidiaries, eg. ST Aerospace, ST Electronics, etc, in various technological sectors. Despite net profits are affected by pandemic (especially for ST Aerospace), cash flow is still strong for ST Engineering, therefore still able to pay the dividend consistently to reward long term investors.

During pandemic, ST Engineering share price dropped below $3 to low optimism, then recovering to fair value gradually over the past 1 year. The price trends and optimism levels are generally aligned with Singapore stock market since ST Engineering is 1 of 30 STI component stocks.

Over the past decade, ST Engineering is able to pay very consistent dividend (dividend yield of 3.8%, depending on share price), including during pandemic year 2020. However, its dividend growth is limited (same dividend of 15 cents/share for the past 5 years), therefore not an ideal dividend stock for long term investing. It is also a defensive stock with relatively less price volatility compared with entire Singapore stock market, an investor could sleep soundly even during stock crisis. So, its strength of defensiveness may be also a weakness (less upside capital gains) for some investors, depending on personal objectives. Current Ein55 Optimism level is near to 50% with intrinsic value about $4, upside is limited but passive incomes of future dividend would be steady with little surprises.

Readers may read earlier article by Dr Tee for more details on other technology stocks.

5) Dividend F&B Stock: QAF (SGX: Q01)

QAF has bakery business which has excellent performance during pandemic as most people stay longer time at home during this period, therefore eating (bread and other food) at home more often. However, it does not increase the dividend payment for pandemic year 2020, still maintaining at 5 cents per share (about 5.2% dividend yield, depending on share price) for the past 5 years.

QAF is defensive in business but share price is cyclical in nature. After share price falling from peak of about $1.40 to half price (below $0.60), it started to recover with business enhanced by pandemic. Ein55 Optimism level is recovering near to 50% with intrinsic around $1. Due to its cyclical behaviour with uptrend price, besides steady yearly dividend collection, QAF may also be considered for short term trading (especially when breaking convincingly above resistance of $1).

For readers who are interested to eat QAF bread for free for lifetime with a unique strategy, may read earlier article by Dr Tee on 48 F&B stocks including QAF.

6) Dividend REIT: Mapletree Industrial REIT (SGX: ME8U)

Mapletree Industrial Trust (MIT) is also a Temasek stock, an industrial REIT with excellent business fundamental, able to pay growing dividend consistently over the past 10 years. With additional expansion into data center (about 40% of overall businesses), future business growth would be even stronger. When an investor knows “What to Buy”, the remaining key variable is “When to Buy/Sell”.

MIT share price was corrected to 0% Ein55 Optimism (an ideal investing opportunity with very fearful market) during pandemic in year 2020 but quickly recovered to 100% Ein55 Optimism (very greedy stage) in only 6 months. With sector rotation during pandemic recovery, currently MIT share price is under correction, Ein55 Optimism level falling to nearly 50% with intrinsic value around $2.70. Since over 80% REITs in Singapore are bearish in short term trend over the past 1 month, MIT is not yet suitable for short term trading nor long term investing (despite a fair price now).

When there is a chance for MIT to drop to low optimism level again, it would be a good chance to consider this stock for longer term investing. Alternatively, the price has to be stronger to be considered for short term trading with positive price trend. Currently, collection of dividend yield at about 4.6% is insufficient to balance the negative trend of short term prices. “What to Buy” does not means “Now to Buy”, both Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA) have to be integrated with consideration of Ein55 Optimism strategies, including market greed and fear.

Another related sibling Temasek stock is Keppel DC Reit (100% businesses in data center), sharing similar price and optimism behavior, having even stronger business growth but lower dividend yield. So, actions may not be just “Buy”, may also be “Wait”. Opportunity is always for those who could wait patiently but able to take action to buy strong business at low optimism prices when others are fearful (eg. during global financial crisis).

Readers may read earlier article of Dr Tee for more details on entire 42 Singapore REITs and 16 Business Trusts, including Mapletree Industrial Trust and Keppel DC Reit.

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Retirement planning is never too late (有备无患), even one has already retired, still could learn to position on a portfolio of 10-20 dividend giant stocks, integrating with growth investing or momentum trading and other Ein55 strategies (readers can learn from Dr Tee). Dividend yield of 5-10% yearly may seems little to some investors but it is only a bonus, the hidden treasure is potential enormous capital gains with price appreciation over decades, supported by growing and sustainable businesses.

For those who are youngers, need to start saving of capital, converting active income of job salary to passive income of investment (dividends & capital gains). This way, after retirement one day, these business partners of stocks could continue to work and make money for the investor, who just needs to review and rebalance portfolio yearly. The process of stock investing can be lifelong, applying the power of compounding with time to gain more in years or even decades of holding.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

Filed Under: Fundamental Analysis, Market Cycle Investing, Market Outlook, Stock Market, Technical Analysis, Value Investing Tagged: crisis stock, dividend stock, growth stock

48 Singapore Food & Beverage Stocks (民以食为天)

Posted on September 12, 2020 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

During crisis, a consumer may not able to afford luxury products but still need to eat and drink to survive. Therefore, an investor may consider 48 Food & Beverage (F&B) stocks in Singapore, especially those defensive growth stocks.

In this article, you will learn from Dr Tee on 9 Singapore F&B Giant Stocks which are efficient in making money with food as essential products (consumer staples) but having mixed impacts during COVID-19 stock crisis. Bonus for readers who could read the entire article: a strategy to eat and drink for free for lifetime.

1) Supermarket F&B Stocks

– Sheng Siong (SGX: OV8)

– Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01)

2) Restaurant F&B Stocks

– Japan Foods Holding (SGX: 5OI)

– Old Chang Kee (SGX: 5ML)

3) Consumer F&B Stocks

– QAF (SGX: Q01)

– Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92)

4) Mixed Industry F&B Stocks

– Amara Holdings (SGX: A34)

– SATS (SGX: S58)

– Wilmar International (SGX: F34)

There are 48 Food & Beverage Stocks in Singapore, making money from the most essential products of people (民以食为天):

Abterra (SGX: L5I), Acma (SGX: AYV), Amara Holdings (SGX: A34), Bonvests Holdings (SGX: B28), ChasWood Resources (SGX: 5TW), China Fishery (SGX: B0Z), China Kangda Food (SGX: P74), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), Del Monte Pacific (SGX: D03), Delfi (SGX: P34), Dukang (SGX: BKV), Envictus (SGX: BQD), Food Empire Holdings (SGX: F03), Fraser and Neave F&N (SGX: F99), Hosen Group (SGX: 5EV), Japan Foods Holding (SGX: 5OI), Japfa (SGX: UD2), JB Foods (SGX: BEW), Jumbo Group (SGX: 42R), Katrina Group (SGX: 1A0), Khong Guan (SGX: K03), Kimly (SGX: 1D0), Koufu (SGX: VL6), Luzhou Bio-Chem (SGX: L46), Mewah International (SGX: MV4), Neo (SGX: 5UJ), No Signboard Holdings (SGX: 1G6), Old Chang Kee (SGX: 5ML), OneApex (SGX: 5SY), Pacific Andes (SGX: P11), Pavillon (SGX: 596), QAF (SGX: Q01), Sakae (SGX: 5DO), SATS (SGX: S58), Sheng Siong (SGX: OV8), Shopper360 (SGX: 1F0), Sino Grandness (SGX: T4B), Soup Restaurant (SGX: 5KI), ST Group Food (SGX: DRX), SunMoon Food (SGX: AAJ), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), Tung Lok Restaurants (SGX: 540), United Food (SGX: AZR), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), Yamada Green Resources (SGX: BJV), Yeo Hiap Seng (SGX: Y03), Zhongxin Fruit (SGX: 5EG).

From the table sorted below for 48 Singapore F&B stocks, only 2/3 are profitable (32 / 48 stocks were making money in businesses last year). Therefore, careful choices of giant F&B stocks are critical, many are at lower optimism share prices due to either stock market fear or actual business is affected during COVID-19 pandemic.

Nearly half of F&B stocks (22 / 48) have Price-to-Book ratio ($ / NAV = PB) < 1 with discount over asset but only 1 stock (Amara) has high quality asset related to properties which will be discussed further. Buy undervalue stocks require patience, Buy Low may not able to Sell High in future if there is no alignment with one’s unique personality and other consideration of investment. Buy low-quality asset simply at low price (very low PB << 1) may have high risk of bankruptcy if the company could not be profitable.

No	Stock Name	Code	PB = Price /NAV	ROE (%)
1	ABR Holdings (SGX: 533)	533	1.46	2.1
2	Abterra (SGX: L5I)	L5I	2.81	–
3	Acma (SGX: AYV)	AYV	0.31	–
4	Amara Holdings (SGX: A34)	A34	0.51	7.0
5	Bonvests Holdings (SGX: B28)	B28	0.39	0.4
6	ChasWood Resources (SGX: 5TW)	5TW	-0.11	–
7	China Fishery (SGX: B0Z)	B0Z	0.15	5.1
8	China Kangda Food (SGX: P74)	P74	0.12	0.7
9	Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01)	D01	4.78	26.8
10	Del Monte Pacific (SGX: D03)	D03	0.36	–
11	Delfi (SGX: P34)	P34	1.41	12.4
12	Dukang (SGX: BKV)	BKV	0.04	–
13	Envictus (SGX: BQD)	BQD	0.32	–
14	Food Empire Holdings (SGX: F03)	F03	1.11	12.6
15	Fraser and Neave F&N (SGX: F99)	F99	0.60	5.2
16	Hosen Group (SGX: 5EV)	5EV	0.48	–
17	Japan Foods Holding (SGX: 5OI)	5OI	1.97	3.2
18	Japfa (SGX: UD2)	UD2	0.87	13.6
19	JB Foods (SGX: BEW)	BEW	0.81	18.5
20	Jumbo Group (SGX: 42R)	42R	3.19	17.0
21	Katrina Group (SGX: 1A0)	1A0	10.80	–
22	Khong Guan (SGX: K03)	K03	0.62	–
23	Kimly (SGX: 1D0)	1D0	3.28	22.8
24	Koufu (SGX: VL6)	VL6	3.81	27.1
25	Luzhou Bio-Chem (SGX: L46)	L46	-0.75	–
26	Mewah International (SGX: MV4)	MV4	0.47	2.2
27	Neo (SGX: 5UJ)	5UJ	1.81	15.2
28	No Signboard Holdings (SGX: 1G6)	1G6	1.34	–
29	Old Chang Kee (SGX: 5ML)	5ML	3.15	3.2
30	OneApex (SGX: 5SY)	5SY	1.16	–
31	Pacific Andes (SGX: P11)	P11	0.09	8.5
32	Pavillon (SGX: 596)	596	0.25	1.1
33	QAF (SGX: Q01)	Q01	1.06	5.4
34	Sakae (SGX: 5DO)	5DO	0.17	–
35	SATS (SGX: S58)	S58	2.01	10.4
36	Sheng Siong (SGX: OV8)	OV8	6.39	24.176
37	Shopper360 (SGX: 1F0)	1F0	0.6144	5.642
38	Sino Grandness (SGX: T4B)	T4B	0.04	6.4
39	Soup Restaurant (SGX: 5KI)	5KI	2.92	7.692
40	ST Group Food (SGX: DRX)	DRX	1.13	15.6
41	SunMoon Food (SGX: AAJ)	AAJ	4.55	–
42	Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92)	Y92	2.58	20.087
43	Tung Lok Restaurants (SGX: 540)	540	2.63	–
44	United Food (SGX: AZR)	AZR	0.13	–
45	Wilmar International (SGX: F34)	F34	1.01	7.716
46	Yamada Green Resources (SGX: BJV)	BJV	0.99	2.253
47	Yeo Hiap Seng (SGX: Y03)	Y03	0.75	2.873
48	Zhongxin Fruit (SGX: 5EG)	5EG	1.01	3.926

There are only 3 F&B related stocks (Dairy Farm, Thai Beverage, Wilmar) which are also listed in 30 STI component stocks:

DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Singtel (SGX: Z74), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), HongkongLand (SGX: H78), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), City Development (SGX: C09) , CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), SATS (SGX: S58), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52).

F&B stocks may not be defensive as not all the products are popular (eg. taste of food) and some may not have the right marketing (even restaurant with tasty food and/or low prices may not able to last if few people know). Therefore, selection of F&B giant stocks is different from selection of “Best Food” in Singapore or each country. In fact, it is possible for average taste or even “junk” food for some people (eg. fast food McDonald’s, NYSE: MCD) to be a global giant stock.

Here, let’s focus on 9 Singapore F&B giant stocks over 4 main categories:

1) Supermarket F&B Stocks

– Sheng Siong (SGX: OV8)

– Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01)

Both Sheng Siong and Dairy Farm make more profits in supermarket business during COVID-19 pandemic as most people would stay longer at home (cook more often at home) and need more consumer staples (using more essential products in daily life). However, share prices performances of both supermarket giant stocks are distinctly different with Sheng Siong at high optimism and Dairy Farm at low optimism.

Sheng Siong is mainly on supermarket business, therefore it is clear on positive impact of COVID-19 crisis, share prices dropped to low optimism in Mar 2020 during the most fearful time of pandemic, then quickly recovered and speculated to historical high prices, together with other COVID-19 related stocks, eg, glove / healthcare stocks: Medtecs International Corporation (SGX: 546), UG Healthcare Corporation (SGX: 41A), Top Glove Corporation (SGX: BVA), Riverstone Holdings (SGX: AP4). These COVID-19 beneficiary stocks including Sheng Siong have been falling down from high optimism with fading of fear of COVID-19, therefore both stock traders (trend-following) and investors (price over value) have to take note, not to “Buy High Sell Low” eventually. Sheng Siong may be considered when short term momentum is back (depending on the prices) or when there is global financial crisis in future (with low optimism prices again)

Dairy Farm has more diversified businesses within the Asia Pacific, besides Cold Storage, also has 7-Eleven, IKEA, restaurants, etc, which have different impacts during pandemic. Despite overall business is still profitable, the profitability is declining over the past 5 years, even before COVID-19. In addition, Dairy Farm belongs to Jardine Group, bearish share prices at low optimism is aligned for all Jardine related stocks, eg: Jardine Matheson Holding – JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holding – JSH (SGX: J37), Jardine Cycle & Carriage – JCC (SGX: C07), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Mandarin Oriental Hotel (SGX: M04), etc. When market sentiment of Jardine Group related stocks is negative, they would take longer time to recover in stock crisis. Dairy Farm may be considered for crisis investing with protection of consistent dividends (about 5% dividend yield) but an investor needs to have longer term holding power and able to control fear with falling prices in short term to medium terms.

2) Restaurant F&B Stocks

– Japan Foods Holding (SGX: 5OI)

– Old Chang Kee (SGX: 5ML)

Japan Foods and Old Chang Kee behave as if twin, IPO time was also close in years 2009 and 2008 respectively. Both stocks suffered during COVID-19 due to lockdown with less customers come to the food outlets. However, the main issue is even before COVID-19, since year 2013 till now, earnings of both stocks have been dropping, result in bearish share prices with low optimism prices. Therefore, they are lower quality crisis stocks as business is affected (lower profitability for 7 years), hard for the share prices to recover significantly in short to medium terms.

Although operational cashflow have been improving over the past 2 years, this could be due to impact of IFRS-16 (new accounting principle) which categories operational leases (eg. rental of food outlets) as liability (therefore debt has been increasing over the past 2 years), may not be entirely improvement in business cashflow. It is important for an investor review with longer term perspective (over 10 years) and bigger picture (income statement, balance sheet, cashflow statement) with integration with share price performance. When businesses of both stocks have significant breakthrough, the bearish trend in share prices and earnings may be reversed. Until then, they may only be considered for trading with trend-following.

3) Consumer F&B Stocks

– QAF (SGX: Q01)

– Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92)

QAF is famous of bakery brands such as Gardenia and Bonjour breads available in Asia Pacific. The defensive business (eg. breakfast) has doubled during pandemic but share prices are not speculated as high as Sheng Siong, only at mid optimism level but it is a stronger F&B stock relative to peers. QAF may also be considered as dividend stock with consistent dividend payout (about 5% dividend yield). See strategy in later article on how to eat Gardenia bread for free for lifetime (one may upgrade to better free food with improvement in investment).

Thai Beverage is an outstanding F&B giant stock, strong in businesses (eg. beers and spirit drinks in Thailand, Myanmar and regional markets) and low optimism in share prices. The business is not much affected during COVID-19 but share prices dropped to very low optimism due to market fear, which is a higher quality crisis stock. Positioning of Thai Beverage requires alignment with other stocks of Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi (Top 10 richest person in Thailand), eg. Fraser and Neave – F&N (SGX: F99), Frasers Property (SGX: TQ5), Frasers Centrepoint Trust, FCT (SGX: J69U), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Frasers Hospitality Trust (SGX: ACV).

4) Mixed Industry F&B Stocks

– Amara Holdings (SGX: A34)

– SATS (SGX: S58)

– Wilmar International (SGX: F34)

Some stocks only have partial F&B businesses, eg. Amara, SATS and Wilmar. Therefore, analysis of these stocks require integration with other sectors with different business segments.

Amara is mainly on hotel related businesses, F&B is only a smaller segment of business (restaurants), businesses are badly affected during COVID-19. SATS has both F&B and airlines gateway businesses, the earnings from F&B has helped the company minimize the negative impact of COVID-19 to airlines sector.

Both Amara and SATS suffer low optimism in share prices but each has its own defense system. Amara has undervalue hotel properties which could still generate cash with fading of COVID-19 but it needs to go through a long winter time until vaccine could be developed for COVID-19. SATS may expand F&B business during the downturn of airlines sector. Therefore, SATS is relatively a better airlines related stock than Singapore Airlines, SIA (SGX: C6L), which has full risk exposure to COVID-19 crisis, even the recent rights and bond issues may not be sufficient, therefore need to reduce the staff size to save cash.

Cash is King for investor, also true for stocks in crisis. SATS has strong sponsor of Temasek with diversification of business in F&B, therefore chances of recovery is higher than the peers in airlines sector. Some companies went bankrupt during global financial crisis mainly due to shortage in cash while making losses, hard to get new loan (high risk of default) with weak sponsor. So, when investing in crisis stock with weaker business fundamental, an investor who wants to take calculated risks, need to consider the cash burning rate of company vs the potential duration of crisis (eg. assuming another 12 months for COVID-19 to last).

Wilmar is a commodity giant stock, mainly in palm oil which products include cooking oil in F&B sector. Subsidiary company of Wilmar, Yihai Kerry Arawana (YKA), is a major producer of cooking oil in China, will be listed in China stock market. The future stock potential of Yihai Kerry Arawana has helped Wilmar to outperform other palm oil stocks, recovering from low to mid optimism level. Palm oil prices have been recovering, combining with positive news of spin-off of Yihai Kerry Arawana, supporting Wilmar share prices. Wilmar is a cyclic giant stock, more suitable to invest during uptrend stock market from lower to mid optimism level. Demand of palm oil would be higher with fading of COVID-19. Possible speculation of IPO (common in China stock market) of Yihai Kerry Arawana may also support the share price of parent stock, Wilmar.

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If one could invest $2000 in QAF stock, would get about $100 dividend with consistent 5% dividend yield (higher if investing during crisis), enough to pay for $2 or 1 loaf of white bread per week (assume eat bread for 50 weeks in 1 year) which have about 14 slices (assuming eating 2 slices per day x 7 days per week), could enjoy free white bread for lifetime if QAF continues the business model this way. An investor may apply this strategy to eat in restaurant (eg. McDonald’s burger) for free for lifetime (if investing in a restaurant stock with consistent dividend or growth in share prices) or enjoy any drink (Coca-Cola – NYSE: KO, Thai Beverage beer, Starbucks coffee – NASDAQ: SBUX, etc), 1 cup per day, free for lifetime. Similarly, a consumer could enjoy free healthcare service (hospital or dental stocks), free handbag or watch (luxury products stocks), free house rental (property stocks but need higher capital), etc.

In fact, most consumers pay for lifetime for the same products (foods & beverages) again and again, contributing to the growth of F&B giant stocks with recurring incomes. When a consumer could reverse the role to an investor (as if a business partner of F&B outlet of interest), a consumer could make profit and enjoy free foods and drinks for life, with condition that it has to be a F&B giant stock, to be certified each year with Dr Tee selection criteria. For investors who are foods or drinks lover, may consider to invest in Top 10 global F&B giant stocks, diversifing investment over 10 different types of low-risk foods and beverages.

F&B giant stocks usually are cash cow with profitable businesses, therefore when share prices are undervalue at low optimism, may become target of acquisition, eg. past Singapore F&B giant stocks of Super Group (SGX: S10) and BreadTalk Group (SGX: CTN). Singapore has less F&B giant stocks but there are some global F&B giant stocks which have strong dominance in certain F&B businesses, able to make money consistently each day for decades.

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There are over 1500 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar.

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

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Filed Under: Fundamental Analysis, Macroeconomy, Market Cycle Investing, Market Optimism, Stock Market Tagged: Consumer Stocks, crisis stock, dividend stock, f&b stocks, jardine

Singapore and Malaysia National Giant Stocks (国庆财股)

Posted on August 9, 2020 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

Both Singapore and Malaysia celebrate National Day in the month of August. It is timely to share the 4 National Giant Stocks in each country which preserve the national wealth. Learn from Dr Tee on how to position these stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis.

4 Singapore National Stocks:

1) DBS (SGX: D05)

2) Singtel (SGX: Z74)

3) OCBC (SGX: O39)

4) UOB (SGX: U11)

4 Malaysia National Stocks:

1) Maybank (Bursa: 1155)

2) Top Glove (Bursa: 7113) / (SGX: BVA)

3) Hartalega (Bursa: 5168)

4) Public Bank (Bursa: 1295)

Stock market is a hidden way to preserve and grow the national wealth. For Singapore SGX, there are 30 large cap stocks in STI Index (^STI), which can be sorted below by size of market cap (share price x number of shares) with ROE (Return on Equity):

No Name / Market Cap(M) (ROE, %)

1 DBS Bank (SGX: D05) 52304 (12.3)

2 Singtel (SGX: Z74) 38761 (4.0)

3 OCBC Bank (SGX: O39) 38413 (10.3)

4 UOB Bank (SGX: U11) 32687 (11.0)

5 Wilmar International (SGX: F34) 30509 (7.7)

6 Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36) 29865 (9.4)

7 Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37) 22731 ( 6.1)

8 Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92) 15195 (20.1)

9 CapitaLand (SGX: C31) 13844 (8.8)

10 Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U) 12489 (4.8)

11 Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L) 10346 (-0.1)

12 ST Engineering (SGX: S63) 10042 (26.0)

13 Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4) 9830 (6.3)

14 Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68) 9236 (37.9)

15 Hongkong Land USD (SGX: H78) 8635 (0.5)

16 Genting Singapore (SGX: G13) 8204 (8.5)

17 Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U) 8027 (8.2)

18 Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07) 7659 (12.8)

19 Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U) 7490 (10.3)

20 City Development (SGX: C09) 7463 (5.2)

21 CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U) 6937 (9.0)

22 CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U) 6294 (6.0)

23 Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU) 6130 (9.4)

24 Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01) 5897 (26.8)

25 UOL (SGX: U14) 5491 (4.8)

26 Venture Corporation (SGX: V03) 5449 (14.5)

27 YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6) 3801 (10.0)

28 Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96) 3394 (3.1)

29 SATS (SGX: S58) 3017 (10.4)

30 ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52) 2990 (10.2)

It is clear that the Top 4 stocks with the largest market cap in Singapore are DBS (SGX: D05), Singtel (SGX: Z74), OCBC (SGX: O39) and UOB (SGX: U11). Company size may not be the right criteria of a giant stock, therefore an investor has to monitor business fundamental changes (especially during COVID-19 pandemic), eg with ROE and other indicators.

For 30 STI stocks, only Singapore Airlines, SIA (SGX: C6L) records losses in last financial year. For 30 STI stocks, COVID-19 has different degrees of impact on near future business. There is also on-going crisis, eg. low optimism crude oil price which affects the Oil & Gas sector, including Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4) and Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), which may take longer time to recover with strong support of sponsor, Temasek.

3 major bank stocks (DBS, OCBC, UOB) in Singapore have contributed to about 1/3 of Singapore stock market. Bank stocks are sensitive to interest rate changes, therefore current low interest rates globally (driven by nearly 0% interest rate by the Fed of US) have reduced the Net Interest Margin (NIM), resulting in lower interest related income. At the same time, Non-Performing Loan (NPL) is increasing during COVID-19, banks have to increase more provision funds to prepare for possible default in loan payment of some countries, including Oil & Gas sector (eg. Hin Leong which has high debt to 3 major banks). As a result, it is not surprised to see bank stocks report poorer quarterly results for Q1 and Q2 / 2020.

MAS has requested 3 major banks in Singapore to cap the dividend payment for FY2020 to maximum of 60% of FY2019. This implies for an average dividend yield of 6%, an investor may only receive 6 x 0.6 = 3.6% for the next 1 year. As a result, 3 major bank stocks were under significant price correction recently (which also affect performance of STI). However, a long term bank stock investor should not consider dividend payment as a criteria to decide on investing. In fact, the share price correction of over 3% in 1 week has compensated for the “loss” of dividend (which is kept as retained earnings in balance sheet, a form of saving for investor, similar to many REITs in Q1 and Q2 / 2020 to preserve cash).

Here is a list of 30 Banking & Finance stocks in Singapore, an investor may focus on 3 major bank stocks:
AMTD IB OV (SGX: HKB), B&M Hldg (SGX: CJN), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Edition (SGX: 5HG), G K Goh (SGX: G41), Global Investment (SGX: B73), Great Eastern (SGX: G07), Hong Leong Finance (SGX: S41), Hotung Investment (SGX: BLS), IFAST Corporation (SGX: AIY), IFS Capital (SGX: I49), Intraco (SGX: I06), Maxi-Cash Finance (SGX: 5UF), MoneyMax Finance (SGX: 5WJ), Net Pacific Finance (SGX: 5QY), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), Pacific Century (SGX: P15), Prudential USD (SGX: K6S), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), SHS (SGX: 566), Sing Investments & Finance (SGX: S35), Singapore Reinsurance (SGX: S49), Singapura Finance (SGX: S23), TIH (SGX: T55), Uni-Asia Group (SGX: CHJ), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS (SGX: U10), UOI (SGX: U13), ValueMax (SGX: T6I), Vibrant Group (SGX: BIP).

Singtel is also a crisis giant stock in bearish Telco sector (started a few years before COVID-19), an investor who “Buy Low” may get Lower in share price, gaining dividend yield (eg. 5%) but making capital loss (lower share price). Telco business is saturated, economic moat is narrow as most Telco services could be easily replaced by other competitors, therefore profit margin is lower with intense competition not only in local market but also in regional market (Singtel has over 50% revenue from overseas markets).

OCBC, UOB and Singtel are relatively at lower optimism region while DBS is at moderate optimism level. Each giant stock requires different strategy (crisis, cyclic, growth, etc) in positioning, either for short term trading or long term investing.

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Malaysia Bursa with 30 KLCI (^KLCI) stocks, top 4 giant stocks by market cap has significant changes recently. Maybank (Bursa: 1155) is still the largest but both Top Glove (Bursa: 7113) / (SGX: BVA) and Hartalega (Bursa: 5168) have surpassed Public Bank (Bursa: 1295), mainly due to speculation in stocks during COVID-19 for glove related stocks. Top Glove has dual listing in both Malaysia Bursa and Singapore SGX, therefore the wealth of a nation could be shared by global investors, regardless of nationality.

Here is a list of 30 Malaysia Bursa KLCI Index component stocks which may be considered (investor has to focus only on giant stocks for investing):
CIMB (Bursa: 1023) CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BERHAD, DIALOG (Bursa: 7277) DIALOG GROUP BERHAD, DIGI (Bursa: 6947) DIGI.COM BERHAD, GENM (Bursa: 4715) GENTING MALAYSIA BERHAD, GENTING (Bursa: 3182) GENTING BERHAD, HAPSENG (Bursa: 3034) HAP SENG CONSOLIDATED BERHAD, HARTA (Bursa: 5168) HARTALEGA HOLDINGS BERHAD, HLBANK (Bursa: 5819) HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD, HLFG (Bursa: 1082) HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP BERHAD, IHH (Bursa: 5225) IHH HEALTHCARE BERHAD, IOICORP (1961) IOI CORPORATION BERHAD, KLCC (Bursa: 5235SS) KLCC PROPERTY HOLDINGS BERHAD, KLK (Bursa: 2445) KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG BERHAD, MAXIS (Bursa: 6012) MAXIS BERHAD, MAYBANK (Bursa: 1155) MALAYAN BANKING BERHAD, MISC (Bursa: 3816) MISC BERHAD, NESTLE (Bursa: 4707) NESTLE MALAYSIA BERHAD, PBBANK (Bursa: 1295) PUBLIC BANK BERHAD, PCHEM (Bursa: 5183) PETRONAS CHEMICALS GROUP BERHAD, PETDAG (Bursa: 5681) PETRONAS DAGANGAN BHD, PETGAS (Bursa: 6033) PETRONAS GAS BERHAD, PMETAL (Bursa: 8869) PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDINGS BERHAD, PPB (Bursa: 4065) PPB GROUP BERHAD, RHBBANK (Bursa: 1066) RHB BANK BERHAD, SIME (Bursa: 4197) SIME DARBY BERHAD, SIMEPLT (Bursa: 5285) SIME DARBY PLANTATION BERHAD, TENAGA (Bursa: 5347) TENAGA NASIONAL BHD, TM (Bursa: 4863) TELEKOM MALAYSIA BERHAD, TOPGLOV (Bursa: 7113) TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD.

Strong fundamental stocks (eg. glove business) with market greed usually result in market speculation or bubble. Each positive news would be used as a reason to buy high for share prices. Despite strong business fundamental, glove stocks are more suitable for short term trading with trend-following strategies, Buy High Sell Higher. However, due to relative high optimism level, each unexpected correction may incur high losses if a trader does not have a trading plan with S.E.T. (Stop Loss, Entry, Target) prices.

Maybank and Public Bank are aligned with Singapore and global banks at relatively lower optimism levels. Bank stocks are cyclic in nature, therefore investing in national banks (usually supported by local government) during global financial crisis would have higher chances of success for longer term investors who could overcome the market fear, investing with progressive entries of capital (eg. 10 x 10%, 5 x 20%, 2 x 50%, etc). Saving in banks would receive less than 1% return in interest but investing in giant bank stocks could receive over 100% return over a market cycle.

Each country or region has its own national blue chip stock. For example, TSMC (NYSE: TSM) contributed to 1/3 of Taiwan TSEC Stock Index (^TWII). With bullish semiconductor / 5G stocks, TSMC has doubled its share price in 6 months, contributing to higher index value of Taiwan stock market. TSMC has monopoly of 5 nanometer technology in wafer fab, a crucial pillar for emerging 5G Telco business over the next 10 years.

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Dilemma of investors for global growth stocks (eg. technology, glove, healthcare, etc) are share prices are not cheap when market is not fearful. Therefore, crisis is always an opportunity, especially when a stock price drops significantly during an unexpected crisis (eg. COVID-19 pandemic) but business fundamental is not much affected or even growing.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

This is the first time, 4hr bonus investment course by Dr Tee is conducted through Webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom), a rare opportunity to learn remotely, profiting from Covid-19 stock crisis.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar.

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

Filed Under: Macroeconomy, Market Cycle Investing, Market Outlook, Stock Market, Technical Analysis Tagged: bank stock, crisis stock, dividend stock, glove stock, growth stock, telco stocks

Dr Tee Video Education: Defensive Investing Strategies during Stock Crisis (危机入市的防御性投资策略)

Posted on June 24, 2020 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

In this Dr Tee 1-hr video education (Defensive Investing Strategies during Stock Crisis ), you will learn:
1) Bull (Unlimited Quantitative Easing) vs Bear (COVID-19)
2) Value Investing Strategy – Dividend Stock Investing with Singapore Giant REIT as Case Study
3) Value Investing Strategy – Growth Stock Investing with Malaysia Giant Stock as Case Study
4) Investing Personalities: Kiasu vs Kiasi
5) Defensive Investing Strategies during Stock Crisis.

Here is English Version of Dr Tee Video Course (Chinese version is also available as Dr Tee is bilingual). Enjoy and give your comments for improvement. You may subscribe to Dr Tee Youtube channel (Ein Tee) for future Dr Tee video talks. Collect 3 extra bonuses here.

English Video: https://youtu.be/_shZqTa1eEs

在这Dr Tee 60分钟教育视频（危机入市的防御性投资策略），您可学习：
1）牛市（无限量化宽松）与熊市（新冠病毒）。
2）价值投资策略 – 高息股（新加坡房地产信托股个例）。
3）价值投资策略 – 成长股（马来西亚成长强巨股个例）。
4）投资性格 – 怕输与怕死。
5）危机入市的防御性投资策略。

这儿是 Dr Tee 华语视频（英语视频也已完成，Dr Tee 双语皆行）。请欣赏鄙作，留言求进步。您可订阅 Dr Tee Youtube 频道(Ein Tee)，链接未来投资视频。这里得额外三红利。

Chinese Video (华语视频): h ttps://youtu.be/kOZ05rc_XRY

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Defensive investing strategies may be considered for a portfolio of 10-20 global giant stocks with multiple entries, protected by dividend stocks during bearish market with bonus of capital gains with growth stocks during bullish market.

For investors who don’t know how to select individual giant stocks, may consider stock indices ETF of countries with growing economies, eg. Singapore STI, Malaysia KLCI, Hong Kong HSI, US S&P 500 and Nasdaq, Germany DAX, etc. Therefore, some index component stocks may be applied for defensive stock investing strategies.

This defensive investing strategy may be applied to 30 Singapore STI index component stocks (investor has to focus only on giant stocks for investing):
DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Singtel (SGX: Z74), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), City Development (SGX: C09), CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), SATS (SGX: S58), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52).

Below are all the 30 Singapore STI component stocks, sorted by 2 key strategies (Growth vs Dividend) with 2 minimal Fundamental Criteria:
1) ROE (a criteria for growth stock, eg. ROE > 5% to ensure efficient business) + Dr Tee Giant Stock criteria is needed.
2) Dividend Yield, DY (a criteria for dividend stocks, eg. DY > 5%, depending on strategy) + Dr Tee Giant Stock criteria is needed.

Name	Ticker	Div Yield (%)	ROE (%)
Ascendas Reit	A17U	4.3	7.4
CapitaLand Commercial Trust	C61U	5.0	6.0
CapitaLand	C31	4.1	8.8
CapitaLand Mall Trust	C38U	5.9	9.0
City Development	C09	0.9	5.2
ComfortDelGro	C52	6.3	10.2
DBS Bank	D05	5.9	12.3
DairyFarm USD	D01	4.6	26.8
Genting Singapore	G13	5.2	8.5
HongkongLand USD	H78	5.3	0.5
JMH USD	J36	4.1	9.4
JSH USD	J37	1.6	6.1
Jardine C&C	C07	5.6	12.8
Keppel Corp	BN4	3.3	6.3
Mapletree Commercial Trust	N2IU	4.0	9.4
Mapletree Industrial Trust	ME8U	4.1	10.3
Mapletree Logistics Trust	M44U	4.2	8.2
OCBC Bank	O39	5.9	10.3
SATS	S58	6.2	15.1
Singapore Exchange	S68	3.7	35.9
Singapore Airlines	C6L	0.8	-9.1
ST Engineering	S63	4.5	26.0
Sembcorp Industries	U96	2.6	3.1
Singtel	Z74	4.8	4.0
Thai Beverages	Y92	3.0	20.1
UOB Bank	U11	5.3	11.0
UOL	U14	2.5	4.8
Venture Corporation	V03	4.3	14.5
Wilmar International	F34	3.0	7.7
YZJ Shipbuilding SGD	BS6	4.7	10.0

Not all Singapore STI component stocks are giant stocks, some could be weaker fundamental stocks (eg. making losses or asking investors for reserved passive incomes through rights issues). Even for a giant stock, it requires at least yearly review with Dr Tee criteria to ensure it is still a giant stock or a change in strategy may be required (eg. crisis stock investing if there is any potential high risk). Similarly, those stocks which are not highlighted in this article, some could be marginal giant stocks, may obtain the giant stock title one day, which worth longer term investing or trading.

A smart stock investor has to further select the right type of giant stock to align with own personality to be successful in short trading, medium term investing or long term investing, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy / Sell.

This powerful strategy can be extended to global giant stocks including 30 Malaysia Bursa KLCI Index component stocks (investor has to focus only on giant stocks for investing):
CIMB (Bursa: 1023) CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BERHAD, DIALOG (Bursa: 7277) DIALOG GROUP BERHAD, DIGI (Bursa: 6947) DIGI.COM BERHAD, GENM (Bursa: 4715) GENTING MALAYSIA BERHAD, GENTING (Bursa: 3182) GENTING BERHAD, HAPSENG (Bursa: 3034) HAP SENG CONSOLIDATED BERHAD, HARTA (Bursa: 5168) HARTALEGA HOLDINGS BERHAD, HLBANK (Bursa: 5819) HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD, HLFG (Bursa: 1082) HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP BERHAD, IHH (Bursa: 5225) IHH HEALTHCARE BERHAD, IOICORP (1961) IOI CORPORATION BERHAD, KLCC (Bursa: 5235SS) KLCC PROPERTY HOLDINGS BERHAD, KLK (Bursa: 2445) KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG BERHAD, MAXIS (Bursa: 6012) MAXIS BERHAD, MAYBANK (Bursa: 1155) MALAYAN BANKING BERHAD, MISC (Bursa: 3816) MISC BERHAD, NESTLE (Bursa: 4707) NESTLE MALAYSIA BERHAD, PBBANK (Bursa: 1295) PUBLIC BANK BERHAD, PCHEM (Bursa: 5183) PETRONAS CHEMICALS GROUP BERHAD, PETDAG (Bursa: 5681) PETRONAS DAGANGAN BHD, PETGAS (Bursa: 6033) PETRONAS GAS BERHAD, PMETAL (Bursa: 8869) PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDINGS BERHAD, PPB (Bursa: 4065) PPB GROUP BERHAD, RHBBANK (Bursa: 1066) RHB BANK BERHAD, SIME (Bursa: 4197) SIME DARBY BERHAD, SIMEPLT (Bursa: 5285) SIME DARBY PLANTATION BERHAD, TENAGA (Bursa: 5347) TENAGA NASIONAL BHD, TM (Bursa: 4863) TELEKOM MALAYSIA BERHAD, TOPGLOV (7113) TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD.

Below are all the 30 Malaysia Bursa KLCI Index component stocks, sorted by 2 key strategies (Growth vs Dividend) with 2 minimal Fundamental Criteria:
1) ROE (a criteria for growth stock, eg. ROE > 5% to ensure efficient business) + Dr Tee Giant Stock criteria is needed.
2) Dividend Yield, DY (a criteria for dividend stocks, eg. DY > 5%, depending on strategy) + Dr Tee Giant Stock criteria is needed.

No	Company	Div Yield (%)	ROE (%)
1	AXIATA (Bursa: 6888) AXIATA GROUP BERHAD	3.0	4.5
2	CIMB (Bursa: 1023) CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BERHAD	8.2	4.7
3	DIALOG (Bursa: 7277) DIALOG GROUP BERHAD	1.0	15.2
4	DIGI (Bursa: 6947) DIGI.COM BERHAD	4.5	212.0
5	GENM (Bursa: 4715) GENTING MALAYSIA BERHAD	9.4	-3.5
6	GENTING (Bursa: 3182) GENTING BERHAD	6.6	-0.2
7	HAPSENG (Bursa: 3034) HAP SENG CONSOLIDATED BERHAD	4.8	14.8
8	HARTA (Bursa: 5168) HARTALEGA HOLDINGS BERHAD	0.6	20.4
9	HLBANK (Bursa: 5819) HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD	3.4	8.7
10	HLFG (Bursa: 1082) HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP BERHAD	2.9	8.8
11	IHH (Bursa: 5225) IHH HEALTHCARE BERHAD	0.8	-0.8
12	IOICORP (1961) IOI CORPORATION BERHAD	1.8	6.5
13	KLCC (Bursa: 5235SS) KLCC PROPERTY HOLDINGS BERHAD	5.0	5.6
14	KLK (Bursa: 2445) KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG BERHAD	2.2	6.9
15	MAXIS (Bursa: 6012) MAXIS BERHAD	3.9	20.1
16	MAYBANK (Bursa: 1155) MALAYAN BANKING BERHAD	8.9	9.1
17	MISC (Bursa: 3816) MISC BERHAD	4.4	-1.0
18	NESTLE (Bursa: 4707) NESTLE MALAYSIA BERHAD	2.0	90.8
19	PBBANK (Bursa: 1295) PUBLIC BANK BERHAD	4.6	11.4
20	PCHEM (Bursa: 5183) PETRONAS CHEMICALS GROUP BERHAD	3.2	5.2
21	PETDAG (Bursa: 5681) PETRONAS DAGANGAN BHD	4.0	6.2
22	PETGAS (Bursa: 6033) PETRONAS GAS BERHAD	5.0	13.9
23	PMETAL (Bursa: 8869) PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDINGS BERHAD	1.0	13.1
24	PPB (Bursa: 4065) PPB GROUP BERHAD	1.7	5.7
25	RHBBANK (Bursa: 1066) RHB BANK BERHAD	6.6	8.3
26	SIME (Bursa: 4197) SIME DARBY BERHAD	4.3	5.5
27	SIMEPLT (Bursa: 5285) SIME DARBY PLANTATION BERHAD	0.8	5.4
28	TENAGA (Bursa: 5347) TENAGA NASIONAL BHD	9.2	5.9
29	TM (Bursa: 4863) TELEKOM MALAYSIA BERHAD	2.4	8.6
30	TOPGLOV (Bursa: 7113) TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD	2.3	37.5

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar.

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

Filed Under: Fundamental Analysis, Market Cycle Investing, Stock Market, Value Investing Tagged: defensive stock, dividend stock, growth stock, stock strategies, value investing, video education

30 Singapore Banking and Finance Stocks (狮城财神)

Posted on June 18, 2020 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

30 Singapore Banking and Finance Stocks DBS OCBC UOB SGX

The best way to make money is to let money make more money. In this article, you will learn 30 Singapore Banking & Finance Stocks which are efficient in making money with money for investors, focusing in 6 groups of stocks (with strategies for 3 major bank stocks: DBS, OCBC and UOB):

1) Bank Stocks
2) Finance Stocks
3) Insurance Stocks
4) Stock Broker Stocks
5) Pawnbroker Stocks
6) Investment and Other Stocks

There are only 30 Banking & Finance stocks in Singapore, relatively less than other sectors as Singapore has tighter regulation in finance sector for services such as lending money (limited licenses available):

AMTD IB OV (SGX: HKB), B&M Hldg (SGX: CJN), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Edition (SGX: 5HG), G K Goh (SGX: G41), Global Investment (SGX: B73), Great Eastern (SGX: G07), Hong Leong Finance (SGX: S41), Hotung Investment (SGX: BLS), IFAST Corporation (SGX: AIY), IFS Capital (SGX: I49), Intraco (SGX: I06), Maxi-Cash Finance (SGX: 5UF), MoneyMax Finance (SGX: 5WJ), Net Pacific Finance (SGX: 5QY), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), Pacific Century (SGX: P15), Prudential USD (SGX: K6S), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), SHS (SGX: 566), Sing Investments & Finance (SGX: S35), Singapore Reinsurance (SGX: S49), Singapura Finance (SGX: S23), TIH (SGX: T55), Uni-Asia Group (SGX: CHJ), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS (SGX: U10), UOI (SGX: U13), ValueMax (SGX: T6I), Vibrant Group (SGX: BIP).

From the table sorted for 30 Singapore banking & finance stocks, mostly are profitable (26 / 30 stocks were making money in businesses last year) but still undervalue (22 / 30 stocks have Price to Book ratio, PB < 1, some have higher quality asset such as cash, properties and equities, potential target for future acquisition).

There are 7 stocks having PB < 0.5 with 50% discount over asset but an investor must double check on quality of assets and whether the business could be sustainable to make money. If not, undervalue stock may continue to be undervalue for a long period of time, may not suitable for long term stock investing nor short term stock trading.

No	Name	Ticker	PB = Price /NAV	ROE (%)
1	SGX	S68	8.06	35.9
2	AMTD IB OV	HKB	3.37	13.7
3	DBS	D05	1.12	12.3
4	ValueMax	T6I	0.77	11.7
5	Great Eastern	G07	1.11	11.7
6	TIH	T55	0.48	11.3
7	UOB	U11	0.94	11.0
8	MoneyMax Finance	5WJ	0.74	10.8
9	Maxi-Cash Finance	5UF	0.98	10.7
10	IFAST	AIY	3.33	10.6
11	OCBC Bank	O39	0.88	10.3
12	UOI	U13	1.05	9.7
13	Global Investment	B73	0.71	6.2
14	Hong Leong Finance	S41	0.58	5.4
15	Sing Investments & Finance	S35	0.50	5.4
16	IFS Capital	I49	0.42	5.2
17	Hotung Investment	BLS	0.55	5.0
18	Uni-Asia Group	CHJ	0.24	4.7
19	UOB Kay Hian	U10	0.64	4.6
20	Prudential USD	K6S	2.59	4.0
21	Vibrant Group	BIP	0.34	3.8
22	Singapore Reinsurance	S49	0.65	3.6
23	Pacific Century	P15	0.74	3.0
24	Singapura Finance	S23	0.50	2.9
25	G K Goh	G41	0.62	1.9
26	Intraco	I06	0.31	1.5
27	B&M Hldg	CJN	2.57	-9.0
28	Net Pacific Finance	5QY	0.68	-9.7
29	SHS	566	0.67	-13.6
30	Edition	5HG	0.85	-33.7

Based on Dr Tee criteria, from the 30 Singapore Banking & Finance stocks above, only 8 are giant stocks, some are marginal giant stocks (despite business fundamentals are reasonably good). A few Banking & Finance giant stocks were discussed with more details in Dr Tee earlier articles (see www.ein55.com/blog), eg. DBS (SGX: D05) and Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68).

Focus of this article is discussion on 6 main groups of Banking & Finance stocks in Singapore, understanding the risks and opportunities:

1) Bank Stocks

After decades of merging and acquisition, there are only 3 major local banks in Singapore: DBS (SGX: D05), OCBC (SGX: O39), UOB (SGX: U11), all are STI component stocks. Naturally, these 3 blue chip stocks become the first choice for investment in bank stocks. DBS, OCBC and UOB contribute in total to 1/3 of STI Index weightage, therefore could easily move up or down the entire Singapore stock market whenever there is major move in bank sector.

Here is a list of 30 STI component stocks sorted by size of market cap (significant contribution by 3 major bank stocks):
DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Singtel (SGX: Z74), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), City Development (SGX: C09), CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), SATS (SGX: S58), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52).

Most bank stocks are cyclic in nature, including Singapore and global bank stocks in US, Malaysia, Hong Kong, etc. Therefore, market cycle investing strategy is required with alignment to Optimism Strategies to Buy Low Sell High, as well as good understanding the global stock market and economic cycle. Bank sector is the key pillar of economy (business needs money to operate), therefore investment in giant bank stocks in a country with growing economy would enjoy the capital gains of prosperity (狮城财神).

So, which of the 3 major Singapore bank stocks are better? Well, the choice is dependent on stock trading or investment strategy which is personality dependent. The historical stock price chart of DBS, OCBC and UOB with STI (could be considered with STI ETF) shows that these 4 counters are aligned in general directions in longer term.

In longer term, the differences of DBS, OCBC and UOB are mainly on pattern of stocks. DBS is the largest Singapore bank, also the most cyclic among 3 bank stocks, usually correcting more than STI during global financial crisis (eg. Year 2008-2009, falling below $10/share) and outperforming STI, OCBC and UOB during the bullish phase of economy. DBS is more suitable for cycling investing (Buy Low Sell High) and possibly momentum trading (Buy High Sell Higher) when stock market is bullish.

OCBC is the second largest Singapore bank, more defensive with less volatility in prices. OCBC is more suitable for dividend stock investor who prefers to Buy Low and Hold for a long term. So, each global stock crisis (following optimism strategies) could be an opportunity to add more position.

UOB is the smallest bank in Singapore, performance is also in between DBS and OCBC. In general, an investor may choose between DBS and OCBC and their business sizes are larger than UOB. In fact, for short term to mid term trading (months), differences of 3 major bank stocks are limited, any of the 3 bank stocks may be considered but trading rules should be followed (eg. setting S.E.T. in trading plan with Stop Loss / Entry / Target Prices) for Swing Trading or Momentum Trading.

There is no need to invest in all the 3 major bank stocks for diversification as in general, they are all relatively safer than most of the banks in the world due to tight MAS regulations for Singapore banks. Investing in a particular bank stock could be better than investing in STI ETF because bank stocks could have higher dividend yield (5-6%, depending on entry share prices) and growth are stronger than STI (which are diversified over 30 stocks, which some are weaker than DBS, OCBC and UOB).

In general, being a bank has a strong economic moat, especially in Singapore as there are limited licenses issued by government. A smart investor could become a “banker” through investing in any of these 3 major Singapore banks. Each of them has strong sponsor with decades of history in businesses, eg. DBS by Temasek, OCBC by Lee Family, UOB by Wee Cho Yaw.

So, it is possible to invest for lifetime (Buy Low & Hold for life) or even pass to next generation (eg. OCBC has nearly 100 years of history for several generations). Disruptive technology (eg. online payment or virtual bank) would have less impact on traditional bank stocks as bank sector is tightly regulated by local government due to sensitive asset of money. Bank stocks usually are more suitable as positioning as defender in a stock portfolio, more gradual growth with consistent passive income.

Due to low global bank interest rates (nearly 0 for US), the interest income would be less with lower Net Interest Margin (NIM). However, banks could still be profitable with interest income, just the return would be lower. Banks also have other businesses such as investment, credit card, insurance, wealth management, etc, which could provide non-interest income but usually would also be affected in a bearish economy. Therefore, entry with low-optimism stock price far below the fair value (following Dr Tee Optimism Strategies) is key for success in bank stocks investing.

2) Finance Stocks

Finance companies could provide similar services as banks (eg. loan & deposit) but with much smaller scale. There are a few Finance Stocks in Singapore: Singapura Finance (SGX: S23), Sing Investments & Finance (SGX: S35) and Hong Leong Finance (SGX: S41). These 3 finance stocks have reasonably good business fundamental but these 3 Singapore Finance Stocks may not be in the same grade for investing as 3 major Singapore bank stocks.

Finance stocks have relatively weaker business fundamental than bank stocks. Stock investment is always relative comparison, looking for the best, not just good or acceptable. In addition, Singapura Finance, Sing Investments & Finance and Hong Leong Finance are less well known, therefore lower confidence by customers (to deposit money) and investors (to invest in finance stocks).

Hong Leong Finance has a strong sponsor of Kwek Leng Beng (Hong Leong Group Singapore / City Development – SGX: C09). However, its cousin (Kwek Leng Chan of Hong Leng Group Malaysia) stock of Hong Leong Bank (Bursa: 5819) would be a much better choice between 2 stocks as 1 is finance stock, 1 is bank stock with strong business fundamental. Details of Quek / Kwek family of stocks are described by Dr Tee in earlier article (https://www.ein55.com/2020/05/15-hong-leong-group-and-kwek-family-stocks/).

In short, a stock investor may ignore weaker Finance Stocks, aiming for stronger Bank Stocks directly, considering both the stock and business performance, especially for lifetime investing. For shorter term trading, it is possible to consider Finance Stocks if there are positive signals in this group.

3) Insurance Stocks

There are a few Insurance Stocks in Singapore: Great Eastern (SGX: G07), Prudential (SGX: K6S), UOI (SGX: U13), Singapore Reinsurance (SGX: S49) and other stocks which provide partial services on insurance. These 4 Singapore insurance stocks have good business fundamental but only 2 are considered giant stocks (based on Dr Tee criteria) worth longer term investing.

Usually insurance companies are also suitable partner for banks, eg. Great Eastern is under OCBC, UOI is with UOB, LPI (Bursa: 8621) is with Public Bank (Bursa: 1295), etc. This way, similar pool of clients in both banks and insurance groups may be approached with higher chance of success. A stock investor may choose to invest directly in subsidiary (insurance stock) or indirectly through parent stock (bank which has partial business in insurance), if both are giant stocks, the choice is dependent on own personality and pattern of stock.

Confidence in business stability is important for an insurance client (to ensure compensation would be received if any misfortune based on agreement). Therefore, a reputable insurance brand with decades of business history (supported by strong sponsor) is crucial.

There are only 2 business sectors almost guaranteed to make money in long term: Insurance and Casino (eg. Genting Singapore, SGX: G13) as they apply probability in business to make money. It is possible for unexpected hurricanes to destroy houses, US insurance companies (including Warren Buffett’s Berkshire, NYSE: BRK) could suffer losses in 1 particular year. However, past statistics (eg. accident rates in driving, Covid-19 risks, etc) would help to naturally adjust the future premium. If there is a need, resinsurance company could help to share the risks of primary insurance company. Similarly, a stock investor should apply probability investing in making decision of What Stocks to Buy, When to Buy / Sell.

However, insurance business requires customer interactions, eg. meet-up before a policy may be eventually signed. During Covid-19 with global lockdown, both banks (eg. wealth management) and insurance companies suffer due to less chances to meet-up with customers. Due to less income from Great Eastern (subsidiary), parent company OCBC reported 40% less income in Q1/2020. However, insurance sector could recover with restart of economy which allows social interaction for businesses.

4) Stock Broker Stocks

There are a few Stock Brokerage related Stocks in Singapore: Singapore Exchange, SGX (SGX: S68), UOB Kay Hian (SGX: U10) and IFAST (SGX: AIY) are listed in SGX. CGS-CIMB is a joint venture with 2 overseas parent stocks from China and Malaysia: China Galaxy Securities, CGS (HKEx: 6881) and CIMB (Bursa: 1023). Maybank Kim Eng has a parent company in Malaysia, Maybank (Bursa: 1155).

These 6 Stock Brokerage related stocks and parent stocks have good business fundamental but only 3 of them are giant stocks (including Singapore Exchange, SGX, details were given in earlier Dr Tee article: https://www.ein55.com/2020/05/5-global-stock-exchanges-stocks/).

Due to relatively low stock volume in Singapore stock market (except during bullish market or stock crisis time), stock broker stocks with only stock trading business has limited profits when stock market is “quiet” with little price volatility (eg. STI has been ranging around 3000 +/- 300 points over the past 10 years). Only when stock market is very bullish (eg. crazy bull in Years 2000 and 2007) or during global stock crisis (eg. dumping of stocks in Years 2008-2009 and Mar 2020), then stock volume would be relatively higher.

At the same time, Singapore Exchange has more products (stocks and derivatives) for local and overseas customers with profitable monopoly business (unless stock brokers have to compete for similar business of stock trading, lowering commission to gain business but lower profit margin). Singapore has relatively smaller market with less number of traders and investors with more stable (“quiet” market), therefore stock brokerage could become part of a parent company business, may not be the main business to remain profitable. For example, UOB Kay Hian is with UOB group, could also be integrated with UOI (insurance) business with sharing of similar pool of potential clients. So, an investor may invest directly in more profitable parent stock if subsidiary stock (eg. stock brokerage) is playing supporting role with less income.

IFAST is a relatively young stock with strong business fundamental. In fact, stock brokerage business is considered bonus for IFAST as its main business is on fund management which itself could grow naturally (high recurring incomes) yearly with compounding effect. Similarly, the integrated business of fund, stock, insurance, bond, etc, giving an edge to IFAST business. IFAST has high potential with overseas business expansion and even bidding for virtual bank license in Singapore (but intense competition). The main weakness of IFAST is that it is a younger player, therefore relatively less well known among the investors, resulting in “undervalue” share prices, not aligned with its business performance.

5) Pawnbroker Stocks

Interestingly, there are only 3 stocks in Singapore having the name “Max” and all are Pawnbroker Stocks: ValueMax (SGX: T6I), Maxi-Cash Finance (SGX: 5UF), MoneyMax Finance (SGX: 5WJ). Pawnbroker is a special “Finance” stock as it provides easy way of loan, especially to needy people who may not get the loan easily from banks.

A pawnbroker stock has pawnshops that offer secured loans to people, with valuables (eg. gold, silver, jewelry, coins, luxury handbags, etc) used as collateral. If an item is pawned for a loan, within a certain contractual period of time, the pawner may redeem it for the amount of the loan plus some agreed-upon amount for interest. If the loan is not paid (or extended, if applicable) within the time period, the pawned item will be offered for sale to other customers by the pawnbroker.

Since gold or related jewelry is a common valuable as collateral for loan, the “value” of pawnbroker stock would partly related to gold prices. After reaching high optimism, gold market started to from about US$1900/oz in Year 2012 to US$1000+/oz in Year 2016, then recovering gradually to current price of US$1700+/oz in Year 2020. The chart below shows the correlation of falling in gold price and stock prices of ValueMax, Maxi-Cash and MoneyMax which has weaker business fundamental during this period of time (clients or pawners may choose not to redeem the gold as prices have been falling in these 4 years from 2012 o 2016), holding to assets which are declining in values.

3 Singapore Pawnbroker Stocks ValueMax Maxi-Cash Money Max Gold

However, gold started to become bullish from Years 2016 to 2020, business fundamentals of all 3 pawnbrokers (ValueMax, Maxi-Cash and MoneyMax) have improved significantly. However, the rising of gold price with strong business fundamental do not help much on their share prices, simply changing from downtrend to sideways. In fact, all 3 pawnbroker stocks also pay dividend like bank stocks, having high dividend yield now: 5% for ValueMax, 10% for Maxi-Cash and 65 for MoneyMax. However, the catch is an investor would suffer high capital losses due to “undervalue” or downtrend prices (correcting over 50% since IPO, even continue to underperform after business fundamental is improving). Despite the business fundamental is good, pawnbrokers stocks are not suitable for dividend investing due to inconsistent share prices.

The divergence between business and pawnbroker stocks prices may partly due to uncertain gold prices (which crashed before in the past) and also there are better choices for investment in Singapore bank stocks which are more predictable and “safer”. Lack of confidence and little knowledge in pawnshop business may deter potential investors from supporting their share prices.

So, these 3 pawnbroker stocks may not be suitable for investing due to misalignment between business and stock performance. Even during the bullish period of gold, pawners may choose to redeem the collateral (if containing gold), then pawnbrokers would just gain the interests. The 3 pawnbrokers stocks have many branches with relatively high level of debt over asset (a form of leveraging), therefore this business model is not as safe as bank or even traditional finance stocks.

6) Investment and Other Stocks

The remaining Singapore Banking and Finance stocks are mostly related to investment holding, fund management or other diversified businesses. These are some of the investment holding stocks: Hotung Investment (SGX: BLS), G K Goh (SGX: G41), Global Investment (SGX: B73), TIH (SGX: T55) and IFS Capital (SGX: I49). However, most of these stocks have weaker business fundamental, especially if the investment portfolio of companies may not perform during global stock crisis.

Hotung is an undervalue stock (Price-to-Book ratio, PB = 0.55) with stable profitable business (venture capital). It may be considered mainly for medium term dividend investing (about 7% dividend yield) but growth is limited if holding for long term. The company has no debt but undervalue business behave as those undervalue property stocks, safe but slow.

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Filed Under: Commodity Market, Fundamental Analysis, Macroeconomy, Market Cycle Investing, Market Optimism, Stock Market, Technical Analysis, Value Investing Tagged: bank stock, cyclic investing stock, dbs, dividend stock, Finance Stock, insurance stock, ocbc, undervalue stock, uob

42 Singapore REITs & 16 Business Trusts (稳如泰山)

Posted on June 5, 2020 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

Singapore REITs, Business Trusts, Dividend Stocks

Singapore REITs are popular investment for passive income through stable dividend stocks. In this article, you will learn on how to invest in 21 giant stocks from 42 Singapore REITs and 16 Business Trusts with 3 key strategies (Striker / Mid-fielder / Defender) in 8 categories:

1) Retail REITs

2) Office REITs

3) Industrial REITs

4) Healthcare REITs

5) Diversified REITs

6) Data Center REIT

7) Hospitality REIT

8) Business Trusts

There are 6 Singapore REITs which are also Business Trusts, so total there are 42 + 16 – 6 = 52 Singapore REITs and Business Trusts as of current stock market. Currently, out of 30 STI Index stocks, 5 are REITs. Soon, SPH (SGX: T39) with declining trading market capitalization (lower share price and/or lower trading volume) will be replaced by Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U) as 6th REIT of STI. CapitaMall Trust (SGX: C38U) will be merged with CapitaCom Trust (SGX: C61U) to form new CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT) Reit, therefore free up 1 seat in 30 STI. In near future, 5 reserve list of STI are all REITs or Business Trust:

Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Suntec Reit (SGX: T82U), NetLink NBN Trust (SGX: CJLU), Frasers Logistics & Industrial Trust (SGX: BUOU) and Keppel Reit (SGX: K71U).

It implies at least 10 out of future 30 STI components would be from REITs and Business Trust. Future STI ETF (SGX: ES3)/(SGX: G3B) would be a more defensive investing tool, more dividend income but growth could be limited due to nature of Singapore REITs.

Diversification through REITs ETF (SGX: FSTAS8670) may not be a good strategy as not all stocks selected by index or fund manager are considered giant REITs (based on Dr Tee criteria) and systematic risk such as global financial crisis could potentially correct the REITs prices by more than 50% (eg. 70% price drop in 2008-2009 subprime crisis and about 40% correction in 2020 Covid-19 crisis) if an investor simply buys and hold for long term.

By law, REITs have to redistribute 90% taxable income (from property rental income) back to shareholders in the form of dividend. Therefore, a retail investor could play the role of landlord of giant property (shopping malls, commercial buildings, hospitals, hotels, etc) with minimal capital (could be less than $1000), saving the hassle to buy/sell property (REIT manager would help), no need to deal with tenants or operations (property manager would help). Singapore REITs are exempted from corporate tax, therefore an Singapore investor could gain extra 1-2% rental or dividend yield compared with overseas REITs.

Business Trust is not limited to property rental, could be any form of business and even a company has good track record of dividend payment, it is not a legal obligation to do pay dividend in future, especially when there is a potential business crisis (eg. Covid-19) which needs more cash reserve. Therefore, from the perspective of a dividend stock investor, Singapore REITs are more preferred than Business Trusts for passive income generation.

However, a REIT investor has to buy the right REIT which could grow in rental business (most important action), aligning own personality with 3 possible strategies:

1) Striker – trading or crisis investing (Buy Low Sell High), mainly for capital gains

2) Mid-fielder – medium term investing, mainly for capital gains (dividend income as bonus)

3) Defender – long term investing, mainly for dividend income (capital gains as bonus)

After confirming a REIT / Business Trust is a giant, then investor has to master the investment clock (When to Buy / Sell), depending on type of REITs. The best time to invest in a defensive REIT is usually during global stock crisis (with condition that the rental business is not significantly affected) which could maximize both the dividend yield and also higher upside for capital gains.

Below are all the 52 Singapore REITs and Business Trusts based on the last price traded (4 June 2020), sorted by type of REITs with details of 3 key strategies (Striker / Mid-fielder / Defender) and 3 critical Fundamental Criteria:
1) ROE (a basic criteria for REIT, eg. ROE > 0% to ensure business not losing money),
2) Dividend Yield, DY (a criteria for dividend stocks, eg. DY > 3 – 5%, depending on strategy),
3) Price-to-Book (PB) ratio, Price/NAV (a bonus for REIT is undervalue, eg. PB < 1).

No	Ticker	ROE	Dividend Yield (%)	PB = Price /NAV	Type	Strategy
1	BHG Retail Reit (SGX: BMGU)	11.4	6.4	0.7	Retail
2	CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U)	9.0	5.7	1.0	Retail	Defender
3	CapitaLand Retail China Trust (SGX: AU8U)	8.8	7.3	0.9	Retail	Defender
4	Frasers Centrepoint Trust (SGX: J69U)	8.3	4.7	1.2	Retail	Defender
5	Lippo Malls Trust (SGX: D5IU)	-0.7	15.4	0.7	Retail
6	Sasseur Reit (SGX: CRPU)	11.8	8.4	0.8	Retail
7	SPH REIT (SGX: SK6U)	6.1	5.9	0.9	Retail
8	Starhill Global Reit (SGX: P40U)	3.4	8.2	0.6	Retail	Defender
9	United Hampshire US Reit (SGX: ODBU)	4.1	–	0.789	Retail
10	CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U)	6.0	5.0	1.0	Office	Defender
11	Elite Commercial REIT GBP (SGX: MXNU)	–	–	1.2	Office
12	IREIT Global (SGX: UD1U)	19.4	7.7	0.9	Office	Mid-fielder
13	Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT (SGX: CMOU)	9.3	8.4	0.9	Office
14	Keppel Reit (SGX: K71U)	2.6	4.8	0.9	Office	Defender
15	ManulifeReit USD (SGX: BTOU)	3.8	7.2	1.0	Office	Mid-fielder
16	OUE Commercial Reit (SGX: TS0U)	3.5	8.0	0.7	Office
17	Prime US ReitUSD (SGX: OXMU)	4.1	3.5	1.0	Office
18	AIMS APAC Reit (SGX: O5RU)	9.0	7.6	0.9	Industrial
19	ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust (SGX: K2LU)	-2.1	9.8	1.0	Industrial
20	Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U)	7.4	4.4	1.5	Industrial	Defender
21	EC World Reit (SGX: BWCU)	9.5	8.4	0.8	Industrial
22	ESR-REIT (SGX: J91U)	-0.1	9.7	1.0	Industrial
23	Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U)	10.3	4.6	1.6	Industrial	Mid-fielder
24	Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U)	8.2	4.2	1.5	Industrial	Defender
25	Sabana Reit (SGX: M1GU)	3.5	7.8	0.7	Industrial
26	ARA Hospitality Trust USD (SGX: XZL)	2.2	10.1	0.5	Hospitality
27	Ascott Trust (SGX: HMN)	5.1	7.2	0.8	Hospitality	Striker
28	CDL Hospitality Trust (SGX: J85)	6.1	8.2	0.7	Hospitality	Striker
29	Eagle Hospitality Trust USD (SGX: LIW)	18.2	25.3	0.2	Hospitality
30	Far East Hospitality Trust (SGX: Q5T)	3.6	7.2	0.6	Hospitality
31	Frasers Hospitality Trust (SGX: ACV)	3.4	8.9	0.7	Hospitalit
32	First Reit (SGX: AW9U)	5.7	12.1	0.7	Healthcare	Striker
33	ParkwayLife Reit (SGX: C2PU)	10.4	3.8	1.8	Healthcare	Mid-fielder
34	Cromwell Reit EUR (SGX: CNNU)	8.3	8.9	0.9	Diversified
35	Cromwell Reit SGD (SGX: CSFU)	8.3	8.5	0.9	Diversified
36	Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU)	9.8	3.9	1.9	Diversified	Mid-fielder
37	Lendlease Reit (SGX: JYEU)	–	–	0.9	Diversified
38	Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU)	9.4	3.8	1.2	Diversified	Mid-fielder
39	Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (SGX: RW0U)	2.6	7.7	0.7	Diversified	Defender
40	Soilbuild Business Space Reit (SGX: SV3U)	4.0	10.2	0.7	Diversified
41	Suntec Reit (SGX: T82U)	6.5	6.0	0.7	Diversified
42	Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU)	5.7	3.1	2.2	Data Center	Mid-fielder
43	Accordia Golf Trust (SGX: ADQU)	-17.0	6.4	0.8	Business Trust
44	Ascendas India Trust (SGX: CY6U)	18.2	4.6	1.3	Business Trust	Defender
45	Asian Pay Tv Trust (SGX: S7OU)	1.8	7.4	0.2	Business Trust
46	Dasin Retail Trust (SGX: CEDU)	-1.9	8.2	0.6	Business Trust
47	FSL Trust (SGX: D8DU)	5.0	29.3	0.5	Business Trust
48	HPH Trust SGD (SGX: P7VU)	2.0	11.9	0.3	Business Trust
49	HPH Trust USD (SGX: NS8U)	2.0	12.6	0.3	Business Trust
50	Keppel Infrastructure Trust (SGX: A7RU)	2.9	7.0	2.1	Business Trust
51	NetLink NBN Trust (SGX: CJLU)	2.7	5.0	1.4	Business Trust	Mid-fielder
52	RHT HealthTrust (SGX: RF1U)	–	145.5	0.9	Business Trust

The risk (and also opportunity) of REITs are cyclic stock prices, therefore each global stock crisis could be good opportunity to Buy Low for giant Defender REITs, maximizing dividend yields with multiple entries if diversification is needed during uncertain Global Financial Crisis. For Mid-fielder stocks, alignment with price trends are important for trading (momentum and cyclic / swing trading). Covid-19 pandemic would disrupt the stable distribution of rental income for some REITs (eg. Retail, Office, Industrial, Hospitality) with reduced or delayed dividend for 6-12 months but it has less impact on longer term investors who could hold longer than 1 year.

We may group 52 Singapore REITs and Business Trusts in the following 8 categories with 21 selected giant stocks in 3 main roles (Striker / Mid-fielder / Defender).

1) Retail REITs

There are 9 Retail REITs listed in Singapore (some with overseas business, eg. in China, Hong Kong and US):

BHG Retail Reit (SGX: BMGU), CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), CapitaLand Retail China Trust (SGX: AU8U), Frasers Centrepoint Trust (SGX: J69U), Lippo Malls Trust (SGX: D5IU), Sasseur Reit (SGX: CRPU), SPHREIT (SGX: SK6U), Starhill Global Reit (SGX: P40U), United Hampshire US Reit (SGX: ODBU).

Retail REITs are usually cyclic in nature, tenants occupancy rate and rental rate mainly follow economic cycles and strength of local economy. 4 Giant Retail REITs are good choices as Defenders to collect dividend income: CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), CapitaLand Retail China (SGX: AU8U), Frasers Centrepoint Trust (SGX: J69U), Starhill Global Reit (SGX: P40U).

2) Office REITs

There are 8 Office or Commercial REITs listed in Singapore (some with overseas business, eg. in US, UK and Europe):

CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U), Elite Commercial REIT (SGX: MXNU), IREIT Global (SGX: UD1U), Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT (SGX: CMOU), Keppel Reit (SGX: K71U), Manulife Reit (SGX: BTOU), OUE Commercial Reit (SGX: TS0U), Prime US Reit (SGX: OXMU).

Office REITs are usually cyclic in nature, tenants occupancy rate and rental rate mainly follow economic cycles and strength of local economy. 4 Giant Office REITs are good choices, 2 as Defenders to collect dividend income: CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U) and Keppel Reit (SGX: K71U) and 2 as Mid-fielders (both capital gains and dividend income in medium term trading): Manulife Reit (SGX: BTOU) and IREIT Global (SGX: UD1U).

3) Industrial REITs

There are 8 Industrial REITs listed in Singapore (some with overseas business, eg. in China and Asia Pacific):

AIMS APAC Reit (SGX: O5RU), ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust (SGX: K2LU), Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), EC World Reit (SGX: BWCU), ESR-REIT (SGX: J91U), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), Sabana Reit (SGX: M1GU).

Industrial REITs are usually cyclic in nature, tenants occupancy rate and rental rate mainly follow economic cycles and strength of local economy. 3 Giant Industrial REITs are good choices, 2 as Defenders to collect dividend income: Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U) and Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U) and 1 as Mid-fielder (both capital gains and dividend income in medium term): Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U).

4) Healthcare REITs

There are only 2 Healthcare REITs listed in Singapore (with local and overseas business, eg. in Indonesia, South Korea, Malaysia, Japan and), both are giant stocks:

First Reit (SGX: AW9U) as striker and ParkwayLife Reit (SGX: C2PU) as Mid-fielder.

Healthcare REITs are usually more defensive in rental business due to very long term agreement signed with tenants (hospitals which need stability in operation). First Reit used to be a Mid-fielder with strong growth but investors confidence are affected with bearish outlook of sponsor, Lippo Group, therefore new role as a Striker could be more suitable for crisis stock investing. Parkwaylife REIT is much more stable with support of strong sponsor, IHH Healthcare (SGX: Q0F) but dividend yield is limited, therefore more suitable as a Mid-fielder.

5) Diversified REITs

There are 8 Diversified REITs listed in Singapore (some with overseas business, eg. in China, Asia Pacific and Europe):

Cromwell Reit EUR (SGX: CNNU) / Cromwell Reit SGD (SGX: CSFU), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Lendlease Reit (SGX: JYEU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (SGX: RW0U), Soilbuild Business Space REIT (SGX: SV3U), Suntec Reit (SGX: T82U).

Diversified REITs have different types of REITs within the REIT portfolio (eg. Office / industrial / retail, some are integrated of smaller REITs, eg. Frasers REITs, through Merging & Acquisition), therefore usually cyclic in nature, tenants occupancy rate and rental rate mainly follow economic cycles and strength of local economy. 3 Giant Industrial REITs are good choices, 1 as defender to collect dividend income: Mapletree NAC Trust (SGX: RW0U) and 2 as Mid-fielders (both capital gains and dividend income in medium term): Frasers L&C Trust (SGX: BUOU) and Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU.

6) Data Center REIT

There is only 1 Data Center REIT in Singapore (with business locally and globally), also a Mid-fielder Giant Stock: Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU).

Technically, Mapletree Industrial Trust, MIT (SGX: ME8U) has partial business in Data Center as MIT has 40% ownership (another 60% by parent company, Mapletree Investment) of Mapletree Redwood Data Centre Trust (MRDCT) which has 14 data centers in US since 2017. So far, Mapletree group (Temasek as sponsor) has 4 REITs listed sequentially over the past decade. So, there is no surprise if MRDCT may be listed in future when business is more stable one day. Currently, an investor may invest indirectly through MIT, which is an Industrial REIT including partial business in Data Centers.

Data Center REITs are usually more defensive due to longer term agreement signed with tenants (could be local government and big companies with confidential customer identities due to sensitive nature of database) which may view stability and security as more important factors than cost of rental. With popularity in internet (driven further by 5G) and tremendous growth in database required globally, demand for data centers at safer locations / countries would be increasing. Both Keppel DC Reit and MIT are younger REITs, more suitable to position as Mid-fielders, aiming mainly for capital gains (dividend is only a bonus), may evolve into growth investing in future.

7) Hospitality REIT

There are 6 Hospitality REITs (some with business overseas, eg. global hotels chain) which also have Business Trust to form Stapled Securities due to requirement of business model:

ARA Hospitality Trust USD (SGX: XZL), Ascott Trust (SGX: HMN), CDL Hospitality Trust (SGX: J85), Eagle Hospitality Trust USD (SGX: LIW), Far East Hospitality Trust (SGX: Q5T), Frasers Hospitality Trust (SGX: ACV)

Hospitality REITs are mostly considered as crisis sector (especially for hotel / resort business) due to Covid-19 pandemic, few international visitors during this period. Without strong sponsor, a REIT could be in trouble. Eagle HTrust is a good example, stock is suspended after less than 1 year of IPO (about 80% capital loss for a stock investor), with big losses in business, default of loan and additional sell down during Covid-19 crisis as last straw which breaks the camel’s back. Usually for a young IPO stock without stable business record, there is always a risk that business may not be sustainable. So, a proven REIT with higher price could be more valuable than a young REIT with lower price.

2 Giant Hospitality REITs may be considered, both as Strikers (crisis investing stocks) as they are supported by strong sponsors despite weak business during Covid-19: Ascott Trust (SGX: HMN) is supported by CapitaLand (SGX: C31), while CDL HTrust (SGX: J85) is supported by City Development (SGX: C09). An investor may need to wait for quarterly or semi-annual financial report to understand the real impact of Covid-19 during Q1-Q2/2020 on Hospitality REITs. There are other non-crisis REITs (or limited impact of Covid-19) which an investor may consider, there is no need to take risk on Striker stocks if it goes against the personality of investors who may aim for defensive investing with stable dividend income.

8) Business Trusts

There are 10 pure Business Trusts listed in Singapore which dividend payments are not protected by law:

Accordia Golf Trust (SGX: ADQU), Ascendas India Trust (SGX: CY6U), Asian Pay Tv Trust (SGX: S7OU), Dasin Retail Trust (SGX: CEDU), FSL Trust (SGX: D8DU), HPH Trust SGD (SGX: P7VU), HPH Trust USD (SGX: NS8U), Keppel Infrastructure Trust (SGX: A7RU), NetLink NBN Trust (SGX: CJLU), RHT Health Trust (SGX: RF1U).

There are a few weak Business Trusts with very high dividend yield which are potential value traps, eg. FSL Trust (29% dividend yield). Dividend yield is always computed based on past dividend record and a high number could be derived due to weak business with very bearish share price. Buy Low may not able to Sell High for a junk stock as share prices would become lower. So, high dividend yield has to combine with a giant dividend stock or giant REIT (either Mid-fielder or Defender strategy), following Dr Tee criteria.

2 Giant Business Trusts with strong sponsors may be considered: Ascendas India Trust (SGX: CY6U) as a Defender (property trust in India) is supported by CapitaLand (SGX: C31), while NetLink NBN Trust (SGX: CJLU) as a Mid-fielder is supported by Singtel (SGX: Z74). Ascendas-iTrust is still property related, therefore even it is a Business Trust, asset quality is high. However for NetLink Trust, it is based on owner and operator of Singapore Fiber Network (prices regulated by authority, a form of monopoly) which technology may evolve in future, eg, towards 5G. So, close review of future technology and monitoring of financial performance are required. Therefore, young technology Business Trust of NetLink Trust, is more suitable for role as a Mid-fielder.

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There are 140 Property Stocks in Singapore excluding 52 REITs and Business Trusts (investor has to focus only on giant stocks for investing):
3Cnergy (SGX: 502), A-Smart (SGX: BQC), AEI^ (SGX: AWG), AIMS Property (SGX: BVP), APAC Realty (SGX: CLN), Abterra (SGX: L5I), Acromec (SGX: 43F), Amara (SGX: A34), Amcorp Global (SGX: S9B), AnnAik (SGX: A52), Astaka (SGX: 42S), BBR (SGX: KJ5), BRC Asia (SGX: BEC), BlackGoldNatural (SGX: 41H), Boldtek (SGX: 5VI), Bonvests (SGX: B28), Boustead (SGX: F9D), Boustead Projects (SGX: AVM), Bukit Sembawang (SGX: B61), Bund Center (SGX: BTE), CSC (SGX: C06), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), Casa (SGX: C04), Chemical Industries (SGX: C05), China Great Land (SGX: D50), China International (SGX: BEH), China Real Estate (SGX: 5RA), China Yuanbang (SGX: BCD), Chip Eng Seng (SGX: C29), City Development (SGX: C09), DISA (SGX: 532), Debao Property (SGX: BTF), ETC Singapore (SGX: 1C0), Edition (SGX: 5HG), EnGro Corporation (SGX: S44), Fraser and Neave F&N (SGX: F99), Far East Orchard (SGX: O10), Figtree (SGX: 5F4), First Sponsor (SGX: ADN), Fragrance (SGX: F31), Frasers Property (SGX: TQ5), GYP Properties (SGX: AWS), Gallant Venture (SGX: 5IG), Golden Energy (SGX: AUE), Goodland (SGX: 5PC), GuocoLand (SGX: F17), HL Global Enterprises (SGX: AVX), Hatten Land (SGX: PH0), Heeton (SGX: 5DP), Hiap Hoe (SGX: 5JK), Hiap Seng (SGX: 510), Ho Bee Land (SGX: H13), Hock Lian Seng (SGX: J2T), Hong Fok (SGX: H30), Hong Lai Huat (SGX: CTO), Hong Leong Asia (SGX: H22), Hongkong Land USD (SGX: H78), Hor Kew (SGX: BBP), Huationg Global (SGX: 41B), Hwa Hong (SGX: H19), IPC Corp (SGX: AZA), ISOTeam (SGX: 5WF), Imperium Crown (SGX: 5HT), Jasper Investments (SGX: FQ7), KOP (SGX: 5I1), KSH (SGX: ER0), Keong Hong (SGX: 5TT), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel Reit (SGX: K71U), King Wan (SGX: 554), Koh Brothers (SGX: K75), Koon (SGX: 5DL), Kori (SGX: 5VC), LHN (SGX: 41O), Ley Choon (SGX: Q0X), Lian Beng (SGX: L03), Low Keng Huat (SGX: F1E), Lum Chang (SGX: L19), MMP Resources (SGX: F3V), MYP (SGX: F86), Metro (SGX: M01), OIO (SGX: KUX), OKH Global (SGX: S3N), OKP (SGX: 5CF), OneApex (SGX: 5SY), Oxley (SGX: 5UX), PSL (SGX: BLL), Pacific Century (SGX: P15), Pacific Star Development (SGX: 1C5), Pan Hong (SGX: P36), Pavillon (SGX: 596), Perennial Holdings (SGX: 40S), Pollux Properties (SGX: 5AE), PropNex (SGX: OYY), Raffles Infrastructure (SGX: LUY), Regal International (SGX: UV1), Renaissance United (SGX: I11), Rich Capital (SGX: 5G4), Roxy-Pacific (SGX: E8Z), Ryobi Kiso (SGX: BDN), SHS (SGX: 566), SLB Development (SGX: 1J0), SP Corporation (SGX: AWE), Sasseur Reit (SGX: CRPU), Second Chance (SGX: 528), Sin Heng Mach (SGX: BKA), Sinarmas Land (SGX: A26), SingHaiyi (SGX: 5H0), SingHoldings (SGX: 5IC), Singapore-eDev (SGX: 40V), Sinjia Land (SGX: 5HH), Soilbuild Construction Group (SGX: S7P), Starland (SGX: 5UA), Straits Trading (SGX: S20), Swee Hong (SGX: QF6), Sysma (SGX: 5UO), TA (SGX: PA3), TTJ (SGX: K1Q), Tai Sin Electric (SGX: 500), Thakral (SGX: AWI), Thomson Medical Group (SGX: A50), Tiong Seng (SGX: BFI), Top Global (SGX: BHO), Tosei (SGX: S2D), Transcorp (SGX: T19), Tritech (SGX: 5G9), UIC (SGX: U06), UOA (SGX: EH5), UOL (SGX: U14), USP Group (SGX: BRS), Vibrant Group (SGX: BIP), Wee Hur (SGX: E3B), Wing Tai (SGX: W05), Yanlord Land (SGX: Z25), Yeo Hiap Seng (SGX: Y03), Ying Li International (SGX: 5DM), Yoma Strategic (SGX: Z59), Yongmao (SGX: BKX), Yongnam (SGX: AXB), Yorkshine (SGX: MR8).

Not all Singapore REITs or Business Trusts are giant stocks, some could be junk stocks (eg. making losses or asking investors for reserved passive incomes through rights issues). Even for a giant stock, it requires at least yearly review with Dr Tee criteria to ensure it is still a giant stock or a change in strategy may be required (eg. crisis stock investing with Striker role if there is any potential high risk). Similarly, those stocks which are not highlighted in this article, some could be marginal giant stocks, may obtain the giant stock title one day, which worth longer term investing or trading.

Although there are 21 giant REITs and Business Trusts listed in this article (3 roles of Striker / Mid-fielder / Defender), not all stocks are suitable for everyone. A REIT investor has to further select the right type of giant stock to align with own personality to be successful in short trading, medium term investing or long term investing, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy / Sell.

Ideally, a smart investor should form a dream team stock portfolio (striker / mid-fielder / defender) with 10-20 giant stocks from over 3 sectors and 3 countries. REIT sector may contribute 1-2 stocks while it is important to diversify with more sectors (eg. Healthcare, Banking & Finance, F&B, Technology, Oil & Gas, Property / non-REIT, etc).

Since some REITs have overseas business, knowledge of Forex (eg. USD/SGD, SGD/IDR, etc) would be critical. A qualified REIT investor should also understand property market cycle, macroeconomy behavior, integrating with dividend investing or growth investing or cyclic / momentum trading.

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Filed Under: Forex, Fundamental Analysis, Macroeconomy, Market Cycle Investing, Market Outlook, Stock Market, Technical Analysis, Trading, Value Investing Tagged: Business Trusts, dividend stock, passive income, reit, Singapore REITs

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