Stock Market Archives - Page 21 of 29

Key Learning Points from Ein55 Graduate Gathering 2018 July

Posted on July 1, 2018 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

We have had a successful Ein55 graduate gathering today with about 500 attendees. It is also 5 years birthday for Ein55 investing school, student size has grown 100 times from the first class 5 years ago with 30 students to about 3000 students currently.

Here are the 7 key learning points by Dr Tee:

1) Safer to position in high optimism stock market with shorter term trend-following strategies.

2) Align individual stock with global stock markets which are mostly bearish, waiting for reversal.

3) No need to predict the stock market. Instead, prepare a system of trading (what to buy, when to buy / sell), let the business fundamental and share price come to us, follow the signals to make decisions.

4) Form a stock investment portfolio with 6 different strategies:

– Long term growth investing

– Defensive investing

– Long term cyclic investing

– Dividend investing

– Short term momentum trading

– Midfielder investing

5) World and US stock market are still at high optimism above 75%, short term is mild bullish with support of bullish economy such as excellent job market.

6) Singapore, Hong Kong and Germany are at moderate optimism 40-60% after recent correction, short term turning bearish.

7) China stock market just falls into low optimism below 25%, officially level 3 (country level) crisis again, potential opportunity for cyclic investing but beware of short term sharp falling knife in prices.

Next Ein55 graduate gathering will be in Jan 2019. Graduates have learned the importance of setup exit strategies while preparing a wish list of giant stocks to buy in future.

For general public, you may learn the latest market outlook through free stock investment workshop by Dr Tee, register in www.ein55.com

Dr Tee Investment Course (Stock, Property, Commodity, Forex, Bond)

Filed Under: Stock Market Tagged: Ein55 Graduate Gathering

YangZiJiang Stock Review – Sample Ein55 Analysis

Posted on June 29, 2018 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

All Ein55 graduates are trained for a simple trading/investing system of Optimism + FA + TA. Here is a sample application on YangZiJiang stock review based on a request by a forum member, sharing for pure educational purpose, not a personal financial advice.

Stock = YangZiJiang (SGX: BS6.SI)

Current Price = S$0.90 (28 Jun 2018)

Optimism (long term) = 39% (below Ein55 “intrinsic value” of $1.13 but still above buying zone of 25% Optimism).

Optimism (mid term) = 22%.

FA (Fundamental Analysis) = 4.5 point (out of max 8 points for a super giant), average performance.

TA (Technical Analysis) = Down-Down-Down (sharp falling knife from short term to mid term to long term), potential for short term shorting but must know how to setup with entry/exit signal.

Strategy = Do not qualify Ein55 “giant stock” criteria, may not consider for long term investing. A cyclic stock in nature, moderate dividend, possible to buy low sell high, applying mid-term trading strategies but probability of success may be limited. For short term trading, possible to short (strong bearish trend) but need to wait for right entry signal.

Possible actions = wait for investor (till 25% Optimism is reached) and trader (till trend is reversed from bearish to bullish). Decision making is personality based, it is possible for investor to ignore, mid-term trader to wait to buy while short-term trader to wait til short, all are valid actions if aligned to individual.

This is the most simplified Ein55 investing/trading system, Ein55 graduates are trained to make a decision (Buy / Hold / Sell / Wait / Shorting) with quick glance of Optimism + FA + TA.

For more in-depth YangZiJiang stock review, one may need to integrate with L2 (sector – shipping for YangZiJiang, Baltic Dry Index, etc), L3 (country – Singapore / China indices for comparison with YangZiJiang) and L4 (world – economy / stock) indicators, understanding the interactions of all investment market: stock, property, bond, forex, commodity and economy, aligning with own unique personality (from short term trading to long term investing) and investment goals with strategies (investing for income or capital gains or both), consideration of political economy, PA (Personal Analysis), etc, through 55 Ein55 investing styles.

For general public, if you are from Singapore, feel free to sign up for free 4 hours investment course by Dr Tee to learn Optimism + FA + TA + PA. Register in www.ein55.com.

For those who are from overseas (outside Singapore) or too busy to attend the free course, you may sign up for Ein55 video course by Dr Tee (different content from free 4hr course, focus more on giant stocks with Fundamental Analysis). Register Here: https://www.investingnote.com/store/products/discover-giant-stocks-value-investing-strategies

Filed Under: Fundamental Analysis, Market Optimism, Stock Market, Stocks A-Z, Technical Analysis Tagged: yangzijiang, YangZiJiang Stock Review

Online Investing Course by Dr Tee: How to Discover Giant Stocks with Value Investing Strategies

Posted on June 22, 2018 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

Online Investing Course

For the first time, Dr Tee has established a high quality online investing course (9 modules of videos over 2 hours) on How to Discover Giant Stocks with Value Investing Strategies. This is useful for both investors and traders to master the giant stocks to buy. The online investing course is hosted by investingnote, a permanent platform, meaning after signing up, the video course will be available for repeated viewing in future. You may also share this low cost educational program with family members (one payment for all to learn at own pace) who may have busy schedule or currently living overseas, learning useful stock investment knowledge remotely.

Currently there is a new launch special rate for Ein55 members (you may share this email with friends who can qualify the same rate), original online investing course fee is $100, currently selling at only $25 (75% Discount). This minimal course fee is helping the host to maintain the platform for online investing course, not driven by the profit. After the promotion period is over, course fee may be adjusted to original price.

Register Online Investing Course Here:

https://www.investingnote.com/store/products/discover-giant-stocks-value-investing-strategies

Step 1: Click Registration Link (Sign up for free investingnote account)

Step 2: Sign up Online Investing Course

$100 -> $25 (75% discount for Ein55 Members and friends)

Step 3: Learn 9 Modules Video Course

– Share with family. Permanent Video.

Step 4: Write Course Review

– Positive comments to encourage others

Online Investing Course Description

There are 2 main stock investing objectives: investing for income (dividends) and investing for capital gains, which we could achieve through a portfolio of global giant stocks with strong business fundamental. In this value investing course, Dr Tee will teach the powerful methods step by step, how to form a dream team stock portfolio with understanding of 3 financial statements and 11 critical fundamental criteria with practical applications in global stock screening.

Learning Points:

1) Master 3 Value Investing Strategies on What Giant Stocks to Buy:

– Growth Investing Strategy (Growth Stocks / Momentum Stocks)

– Undervalue Investing Strategy (Undervalue Property Stocks / Bank Stocks)

– Dividend Investing Strategy (REITs / non-REITs Dividend Stocks)

2) Apply Fundamental Analysis (FA) with 3 Key Financial Statements and 11 Critical FA Criteria to Identify Global Giant Stocks

– Income Statement

– Balance Sheet

– Cashflow Statement

3) Practical Demo on Global Giant Stock Screening

– Selection Criteria for Growth Stocks, Undervalue Stocks & Dividend Stocks

– Sample 100 Global Giant Stocks for Singapore, US, Hong Kong & Malaysia

– 5 Free Global Stock Screeners

After mastering What Stocks to Buy from this online investing course, learners may proceed to sign up for free stock investment courses by Dr Tee to master When to Buy / Sell with 10 Optimism Strategies, you could meet up with Dr Tee, coming earlier for bonus stock diagnosis. Content of online investing course ($25) and monthly 4hr meet-up course (free) are different, knowledge can be integrated into 10 different stock trading and investing strategies.

Filed Under: Stock Market Tagged: online investing course

Amazing Wealth with Life-time Compounding Return in Stocks

Posted on June 14, 2018 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

Just read this touching news, a real life example of long term stock investing with compounding return, helping an accountant (Mr Loh) to accumulate S$20 millions in wealth when died at 89 years old. He may be a miser, spending little on himself but he is very generous to donate more than S$3 millions to charity organization.

This is the power of compounding return in stocks, assuming 50 years of investing (assuming this investor started investing only at 39 years old), here are return for different compounding rate, return for every $1 invested:

5% compounding: (1+0.05)^50 = $11

10% compounding: (1+0.1)^50 = $117

Even with only 5% growth rate (slow growth stocks), an investor could expand the wealth by 11 times by holding blue chip for long term. For moderate giant stocks with 10% return, the return is 117 times. There is no surprise then why Mr Loh could accumulate so much wealth unknowingly by others.

What impressed me is not his wealth but his “misery” on himself but generosity on others. Money is only useful when it is used when one is still alive. Money is not almighty but if we could become master of money, knowing the skills of both making money and spending money in the right ways, this will lead to a very meaningful life.

Start learning value investing for long term compounding return of wealth with giant stocks. The first step is 4 hours of time in learning in a free course by Dr Tee, what stocks for long term investing, when to buy / sell or holding for life. This is not a sales talk, you will learn solid investing knowledge with investment of your time.

Filed Under: Personal Analysis, Stock Market Tagged: compounding return

Crisis Stock Investing with 4 Qualities of Low Optimism Stocks

Posted on April 26, 2018 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

crisis stock investing

Crisis stock investing is investing in cyclic giant stocks, ideal for Buy Low Sell High investing strategy. Usually crisis may happen at business (Level 1, company losing money), sector (Level 2, bearish sector), country (Level 3, recession) or global (Level 4, financial crisis), creating different degrees of fear in the stock market, resulting in fall of share prices. Subsequently, when the market fear turns into greed, these crisis stocks may become uptrend momentum stocks, ideal for selling high.

There are 4 different qualities of crisis stocks with long term low optimism. An investor has to carefully identify the nature of crisis stock investing, understanding how the falling in share prices are induced.

1) Low Quality Low Optimism (L1 Crisis Stock Investing)

Long term optimism of stock is low, driven by decline in L1 business but L2-L4 are fine. Noble Group could be an example. Without consideration of sustainable business, pure strategy of Buy Low may result in Get Lower in share prices, which is a common pitfall for Technical Analysis. Both Fundamental Analysis (FA) and Technical Analysis (TA) should be integrated with Optimism Strategies with consideration of Personal Analysis (PA)

2) Average Quality Low Optimism (L2 Crisis Stock Investing)

Long term optimism of stock is low, driven by decline in L1 business & L2 (sector), while L3-L4 are fine. Examples include oil & gas crisis stocks in the last 1 year, casino crisis stocks 2 years ago, etc. It happens during the sector rotation which the sector market cycle may not align with the country/global economy cycle. If the sector is not a sunset industry, usually it would recover again as there is unique demand vs supply within each sector for investment.

3) High Quality Low Optimism (L3/L4 Crisis Stock Investing)

Long term optimism of stock is low, driven by decline in L1-L4 (business/sector/country/global financial crisis). More than 50% global cyclic giant stocks during global financial crisis would be affected in both business (drop in earning or even losing money) and share prices (L1-L4 from individual stock to global stock indices). Since the market fear at L3/L4 may not last long (global political leaders would take actions by then to save the whole world), the downside of global stock market is limited but an investor needs to have sufficient holding power through the cold winter time of global financial crisis. For example, many cyclic giant bank stocks may behave this way.

4) Excellent Quality Low Optimism (L4 Crisis Stock Investing with strong L1 Business)

Long term optimism of stock is low, driven by decline in L2-L4 (sector/country/global financial crisis) but L1 business is fine. Less than 10% global growth giant stocks during global financial crisis could still be profitable or even growing in business while the share prices falling relatively less (defensive in nature) than the average in global stock market. In fact, defensive growth giant stocks are suitable for Buy Low & Hold for long term investing, sell is an optional strategy.

The safest time to buy a giant stock is when everyone is afraid the sky will fall down while the business is still operating normally with consistent performance. This could be a rare opportunity to buy during a crisis but many people are too normal, do not know how to take this advantage to truly buy low sell high.

A smart investor may not need to consider only crisis stock investing. There are other strategies such as growth stocks, dividend stocks, undervalue stocks and momentum stocks, etc, may be integrated to form a balance stock investment portfolio.

Learn from Dr Tee through high-quality free stock investment courses.

Filed Under: Market Cycle Investing, Stock Market Tagged: crisis stock, crisis stock investing, global financial crisis

Song of Stock Market

Posted on April 6, 2018 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

We may hear different song of stock market each day, sometimes could be a nice melody, sometimes could be noisy heavy metal sounds. Each of us is a composer of this song of stock, which is made up of both market emotions and fundamentals. Let’s learn to appreciate different type of song of stock market, position oneself with the right investing strategy:

1) Pop Song

– This popular song of stock market is welcomed by mass market, following trends together to buy up in a bull market. Mastery of this song requires understanding the mass market trends (eg. technical of share prices and fundamental business and economy), leaders of mass market (usually smart investors) would has more capital gains, last batch followers (usually retail investors who listen to news) may needs to pay for lunch when the music or song has stopped.

2) Rock Song

– This rock & roll type of song is similar to cyclic stock market, traders who enjoy the up and down in price rhythm, using volatility to create potential capital gains. Emotional control is key to through the cyclic song of stock market. There are different degrees of rock music, from little noisy market (short term trading) to highly volatile stock market (longer term market cycle trading).

3) Blue Song

– This sad song of stock market is welcomed by those who know how to apply the reversed strategy in stocks with shorting, making profits with falling down in share prices. While the mass market is in great pain during depression with different degrees of market crisis, this group of blue song lovers would enjoy the sadness of market, position correctly in an opposite direction of mass market.

4) Love Song

– Most people like love song but we should not fall in love with every stock. We could love a person for life, there are also stocks which long term investor could love for life time, with condition that it remains a giant stock with growing cash flow.

5) Country Song

– This group of country song lover also likes to invest in regional stock market through stock indices of country. The pace of investing is stable, little volatility, helping to calm oneself, making money with less stresses.

There are many other types of song of stock market, sometimes could be a blend of different songs, the style could change from time to time, from pop to rock, etc. Which is your favorite song of stock market? We don’t have to force oneself to listen to song composed by others, when the melody is not right, we could walk away, staying out of the stock market. When the right song is back, we could join the stock market, applying the preferred stock trading or investing strategies, aligning to our interest or personality.

Learn from Dr Tee free investment courses to appreciate different types of song of stock market, discovering your interests in stock trading and investing.

Filed Under: Personal Analysis, Stock Market Tagged: Song of Stock Market

Don’t Put All Eggs in 1 Basket – Golden Egg Stocks

Posted on March 31, 2018 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

My family and I went to nearby farms in Lim Chu Kang yesterday during Good Friday holiday, children were excited in finding the Easter eggs hidden in Bollywood Veggies farm. We left Hay Dairies farm around 3pm+ just before the thunderstorm came, never expect the impact of mother nature is so much on farms including Chew’s chicken egg farm (widespread damage), resulting in significant losses. It is important to diversify to at least 10 stocks to minimize the unsystematic risks (business or operation related risks, including thunderstorm yesterday) by 70%, even if a stock may perform well in stock market with support of bullish global market. Don’t put all eggs in 1 basket of golden egg stocks.

Chew’s (listed in SGX: 5SY) is not just a producer of eggs, it is a promotion of healthy life style (eg. eggs with Omega X, etc). For small business such as Chew’s (a young strong-fundamental stock) which may not have a lot of resources, this Level 1 (business level) crisis would take some time for it to recover. If the business just depends on the farm in Singapore, then there is a concentration risk in operation.

There is another regional egg producer which is a super giant stock in Malaysia, which is truly a golden egg stock. The share price has gone up about 5 times in the last 1 decade (a strong growth stock), about 40% rally in share prices in the last 1 year (also a strong short term momentum stock). Ein55 graduates should remember when I shared the best global super giant stocks in the 5-day Ein55 course. If forgotten, you may visit Ein55 Graduate forum under thread of “Investment Opportunities” – “F&B Stocks”. Details will not be shared here as it may be used wrongly if the reader is not trained, may not understand why it is a super giant.

However, for systematic risks such as global financial crisis, it won’t help even if an investor buys 1000 stocks or large indices ETF because Level 4 (global stock market) risks could only be minimized with understanding of Optimism. In general, a smart investor would investing when price is less than value, reflecting by lower optimism. Current global stock market has been at high optimism, stock prices are well above the value, important decision is to sell high for the stocks, converting to cash, so that in near future, there is enough cash which is an important opportunity fund to buy low.

Learn from Dr Tee on how to setup a balance stock portfolio with dream team of 10 “golden egg stocks” in 1 basket, taking good care of these golden egg stocks which could give fortune to us over time.

Filed Under: Stock Market, Value Investing Tagged: Don't Put All Eggs in 1 Basket, Golden Egg Stocks

Political Economy Drama on Stock Investment

Posted on March 27, 2018 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

The fear of trade war between US/China has subsided with potential negotiation between 2 countries, ending the first episode of political economy drama. Logically, win-win is better than lose-lose for these 2 biggest world economy. This is a mind game (testing of patience, strength, flexibility, communication, etc), recent threat of trade war may not be the last move, more similar moves may be expected in near future episodes of political economy drama, stirring up the market volatility, creating opportunity for short term traders.

Despite short term recovery in global stock market, Dow Jones Index is still below 25000 points, S&P500 is still below 2700 points. The stock indices have to be above these 2 critical short term resistance to reestablish the upward trend with additional help of more positive monthly macroeconomic news in near future. In the short term, either “Double Top” or “Double Bottom” patterns may be formed. A short term trader would follow the market trend, considering both support and resistance, not just hoping for a future which is unpredictable.

Volatility is a friend for a trader (buy low sell high), an enemy for a value investor (buy low and hold long term). Use the market volatility to your advantage by aligning with your personalized trading or investing strategies.

Political economy drama is inherent within stock investment. The person in power may need to make decision with a complex process of considerations, aligning personal interest with own supporters at national level. Think in the shoes of these politicians. Do they want to destroy the global stock market and eventually economy? This is as if hitting own feet with big stone. However, sometimes there could be black swan event which may be beyond control of these political superpowers, a stock trader has to be responsive to any major change in market signal.

There are similarities in investing at business level (businessmen) vs country level (politicians). Learn further from Dr Tee on analysis of political economy drama which is reflected in global stock markets.

Filed Under: Macroeconomy, Personal Analysis, Stock Market Tagged: Political Economy Drama

US/China Trade War Impact on Stock Market

Posted on March 25, 2018 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

Global stock market has lost the short term growth momentum with new variable of potential US/China trade war impact on stock market, triggered by Trump latest political economy move.

The conditions for uptrend stock momentum is

US S&P500 > 2700 points

– now 2588 points, nearly break below 2581 points critical short term support

US Dow Jones Index > 25000 points

– now 23533 points, breaking below 23860 points critical short term support

US contributes to more than 50% stock value, therefore monitoring of S&P500 or Dow Jones Index help to understand the health condition of global stock market. After the 10% global stock market correction in Feb 2018 due to fear of higher US government bond yield, US stock market was recovering well above the 2 conditions above but breaking down recently due to the fear of political clashing between the Top 2 global economy, US and China.

Since the current high optimism market is more suitable for short term trading, it is important to follow the short term trend (buy when it is uptrend, sell/short when it is downtrend, wait/hold/do nothing when it is sideways) with consideration of support and resistance.

For a short term trader, safer approach is to exit first, enter again only after confirmation of short term uptrend. For an investor with higher risk tolerance level, need to monitor the level of support (aligned with own personalities) for plan for possible exit.

Political economy has added to the complexity of high optimism stock market. Volatility is getting higher, currently above critical level of 24, if sustainable above this level for more than 1 month, it will be a danger signal.

Remember global stock market is walking on a layer of thin ice now. Feel free to drop by Dr Tee next free investment course to understand the market outlook with US/China trader war impact on stock market (World, US, Singapore, China, Hong Kong).

Filed Under: Macroeconomy, Personal Analysis, Stock Market Tagged: trade war, Trade War Impact on Stock

US Interest Rate Hike

Posted on March 22, 2018 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

As expected, confirmed US interest rate hike to 1.5-1.75%. It is hard to stop the wheel of uptrend macroeconomy, higher GDP, lower unemployment rate, etc. This will lead the global economy and stock market towards positive direction.

However, due to high optimism stock market, any unexpected negative political action or financial incident could trigger the next global financial crisis which could stop the wheel of growing economy. Market correction (eg. threat of trade war, worry of interest rate hike or surging bond yield, etc) is actually healthy as it helps to prolong the bull run in stock market.

US stock market has been stagnant after the 10% correction in Feb 2018, S&P500 is still supported above 2700 points, bull market is still intact but short term momentum is slowed down.

US 10 years bond yield is near to 3%, US interest rate hike has another 1-2 year to catch up with similar level as bond yield. Global stock market is walking on a layer of thin ice, mainly suitable for short term trading (who may consider to buy), not for long term investor (except planning for exit).

A smart investor or trader would learn to adopt the right action (Buy, Hold, Sell, Wait, Shorting) aligning to own personality and current market condition. Sign up for free stock investment course by Dr Tee to learn 10 strategies of stock trading and investing (including impact of US interest rate hike and other indicators).

Filed Under: Macroeconomy, Market Outlook, Stock Market Tagged: US Interest Rate Hike

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