Next Global Stock Market Rally with US Interest Rate Cut (一波三折)

Are you excited by recent 0.5% interest cut by US Fed which may be a hidden market stimulation? US stocks (especially Dow Jones and S&P500) are near historical high, even Singapore STI is at last 6 years high >3600 points (having potential to break 2007 historical high if >3900 points, especially with stronger growth and recovery of STI which many are dividend stocks, not limited to SG REITs).

Current global stock markets are the most confusing to both long term investors and short term traders because past few decades of investment market relationship (eg. stocks vs bonds) are very different from past few years of market condition since 2020 pandemic.

A key difference is we have experienced hyper-inflation (9+%) which only happened 50 years ago in 1970s and 1980s.  Over the past few decades, usually US interest rate is adjusted higher during bullish economy and stock market, cut to stimulate economy during recession. However, current market condition is closer to 1980s with hyper-inflation, US interest rate is adjusted higher to tame the hyper-inflation over 10+%. With lower inflation, then US interest rate is cut, indirectly stimulate US and global stock markets to higher level, with condition that there is no recession (eg. negative GDP growth rate).

There are 3 key supporting signals for US and global stock markets to continue the bull run (一波三折):
1) US inflation starts to fall from the peak of 9+%
2) Golden Cross for US inflation falls just below interest rate of 5+%
3) US interest rate starts to cut from the peak of 5+%

Key signals #1 and #2 (see image above) were highlighted by Dr Tee in earlier posts over the past 2 years, global stock markets, especially US stocks have shown significant appreciation since then.  For readers who missed the boats, it is never too late as Key signal #3 just comes, the Fed has just start to cut interest rate by 0.5% from the peak of 5.5% in Sep 2024.  In fact, early investors may follow Signal #2.5, meaning taking action >6 months ago, anticipating US will cut interest rate, especially after Signal #2 with strong confirmation of consistently lower inflation below the interest rate peak of 5+%.

A strong condition for Signal #3 is that US economy should experience soft landing, instead of hard landing as the past few decades, else interest rate cut may become a risky signal to save falling economy.  Despite weaker US job market, historically it is still considered above average (below 5% unemployment rate) while inflation currently is at average (2.5%) of past few decades, there is no need to achieve ultimate goal of 2% as inflation would fluctuate (eg. between 1+% to 3+%) in a normal market.

Sectors which may benefit from US interest rate cut with growing economy (recovering stronger after soft landing) are across the board, eg. REITs, property stocks and dividend stocks (lower borrowing cost, implying more dividends expected with higher profits), technology stocks (lower borrowing cost for business expansion), industrial and most stocks (stronger business with more spending by consumers with bullish economy). Banks could have mixed effect, depending on natural of segment business, eg. interest income may fall due to lower NIM (Net Interest Margin) with lower interest rate, but volume of interest income may increase with more loans due to stronger economy, together with increasing non-interest income.

Therefore, key is to monitor the economic cycle and also stock market Optimism level (Be Greedy when others are Fearful; Be Fearful when others are Greedy). One day, a black swan may come, it is never too late to exit then or much earlier when global stock market is at high Optimism with shaky economy. It is timely now to review own stock portfolio, making decisions (Buy / Hold / Sell / Wait / Shorting) ahead of majority. Ride the next global stock rally with US interest rate cut, supported by strong global economy.

It is timely now to review own global stock portfolio, making decisions (Buy / Hold / Sell / Wait / Shorting), leveraging on market greed and fear.

===================================

There are over 2000 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

View quick preview video below, Dr Tee will introduce 10 key stock investment strategies (股票投资十招) to be learned in 4hr free stock webinar:

Register Here (Dr Tee Free 4hr Stock Webinar):  www.ein55.com

Bottom Fishing of Hong Kong and China Stock Markets (否极泰来)

Over the past few years, both Hong Kong and China stock markets have been bearish, under low Optimism level, many giant stocks (property, technology and nearly all sectors) are heavily discounted with over 50-70% price corrections.

However, it is not easy to “Buy Low” as the stock may get lower, an investor may end up selling lower with loss. Even Charlie Munger (business partner of Warren Buffett), has been trying to buy low several times for Alibaba when share prices falling down from $200+ to below $100, ending up stop loss when it exceeds risk tolerance level.

The key is timing of entry for low optimism giant stocks, including Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI ETF) and China Shanghai Index (A50 ETF), aligning to own unique personality. Contrarian investing (buying during bearish trend) requires careful selection of stocks (eg. defensive dividend stocks), strong mind control and money management (eg. averaging down with position sizing and diversification over a portfolio of 10-20 giant stocks). 

Trend-following investing could be more suitable for retail investors, aiming for giant stocks with prices far below value (need to compute fair price), then waiting patiently for reversal signals from bear to bull again.  Both Hong Kong and China have created double bottom pattern opportunities, first recovery was late 2022 when zero COVID policy has ended but then corrected again with economy slowdown to another low (eg. 15000 points for Hong Kong HSI), second recovery only happens recently after economic stimulus plans (eg. loosening of property market, lower mortgage rate, etc). HSI recovers again from 15000 points valley to above 17000 short term resistance (late Apr 2024), currently near to 20000 points.

For investors who miss the Hong Kong HSI 30% rally from 15000 to nearly 20000 points, may feel “missing the boat”, thinking it is too “high” now to buy.  In fact, this is the mentality of “penny wise but pound foolish”, i.e. only considering the near term (tree) but missing the mid to long term (forest).  Even for a short term trader, it is fine to Buy intermediate “High” Sell Higher following trend, while the “High” for a trader is actually still “Low” (despite not the lowest) for longer term investor.  These perception differences are personality dependent, alignment of strategy with unique personality (eg. short / mid / long terms, cyclic / growth / dividend, contrarian / follow-trend, etc) is key for success in stock trading or investing.

Current global stock markets provide special advantages to both short term traders (eg. bullish US market with new historical high for S&P500 and Dow Jones to Buy High Sell Higher with Momentum Trading, aiming for US interest rate cut in year 2024) and long term investors (eg. bearish or lagging Asian market (Hong Kong / China / Singapore / Malaysia) to Buy Low Sell High with Cyclic Investing, supported by recent economic stimulus plans in China.

It is timely now to review own global stock portfolio, making decisions (Buy / Hold / Sell / Wait / Shorting), leveraging on market greed and fear.

===================================

There are over 2000 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

View quick preview video below, Dr Tee will introduce 10 key stock investment strategies (股票投资十招) to be learned in 4hr free stock webinar:

Register Here (Dr Tee Free 4hr Stock Webinar):  www.ein55.com

Dr Tee Stock Webinar

Hidden Stock Opportunities in New Year of Dragon 2024 for Both Short Term Traders and Long Term Investors (卧虎藏龙)

As highlighted over 1 year ago, US inflation falling from the peak below the interest rate (5+%) was a golden cross for US stock market. Indeed, US stocks become very bullish, S&P500 achieving new high >5000 points recently, ideal for short term traders. At the same time, due to economy slowdown, both China and Hong Kong stock markets are in crisis, providing a rare opportunity for long term investors.

In the New Year of Dragon 2024, US inflation continues to decline (currently around 3+%) while market expecting the Fed would start to cut interest rates. Lower interest rate with strong economy would help to push up the bullish US stock market further as funds may move from bank deposits to stock market for quicker return. However, US stock market is more suitable for short term trading to Buy High Sell Higher (momentum trading / swing trading) until it reaches high Optimism level with a black swan one day. Technology giant stocks (not limited to AI) may gain more momentum with lower borrowing cost, aiming for Ver 2.0 technology bubble (Ver 1.0 was Year 2000 dotcom bubble). Bubble is friend for traders with condition that one has to know when to exit, not to hold as a long term investor when market may crash one day with >50% potential drawdown.

Usually global stock markets are aligned at country level to go up and down together, eg Japan, India, Taiwan, Indonesia, etc, are following US to higher Optimism level. However, due to political economy difference in each country, Asian stock market performs relatively weaker, especially for China and Hong Kong, suffering economy slowdown with weak investment markets (stock, bond, property, etc). This creates a golden opportunity for long term investor to Buy Low Sell High with condition that the stock portfolio is diversified over 10-20 giant stocks with strong businesses to survive and recover from stock crisis. Even for China / Hong Kong stocks at very attractive prices, entry requires consideration of 3 unique C.E.T. personalities:

1) C = Contrarian Investors (allows buying low with bearish prices),
2) E = Early Investors (entering with potential light at the end of tunnel, eg. market awaits massive stimulus plan from China),
3) T = Trend Investors (wait for stronger confirmation for bear transits into early bull).

At the same time, other stock exchanges (eg. Singapore and Malaysia, etc) are at moderate Optimism levels, stagnant with mixed performance. Careful selection of giant stocks would be a better choice than investing indices / ETF.

So, your stock performance in New Year 2024 may be like a “Dragon” or “Snake”, depending on your choice (eg. US stocks for short term trading, Asian stocks for long term investing) with alignment to your unique personality (short term, mid term, long term) and style of investing (growth, cyclic, dividend, undervalue, momentum, swing, etc).

It is timely now to review own stock portfolio, making decisions (Buy / Hold / Sell / Wait / Shorting) ahead of majority.
===================================

There are over 2000 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

View quick preview video below, Dr Tee will introduce 10 key stock investment strategies (股票投资十招) to be learned in 4hr free stock webinar:

Register Here (Dr Tee Free 4hr Stock Webinar):  www.ein55.com

Dr Tee Stock Webinar

Trading Strategies for 4 Stages of Technology Stock Bubbles (趁势追击)

Many investors and traders like US technology stocks which could move up and down like a roller coaster with high potential gains in a shorter time. Similar to driving a car, despite there are many potential risks, a trained driver or stock trader could adopt best practices with experience for a smooth ride.

In general, there are 4 stages of technology stocks bubbles (see image above):
Stage 1
The first peak when technology stocks achieve high Ein55 Optimism > 75%, eg. during Year 2000 dotcom bubble and Year 2021 COVID online bubble.

Technology sector may not go through the entire 4 stages of bubbles. For example, for Year 2000 dotcom bubble, stock market crashed after Stage 1. For Stage 1, similar to surfing with a strong wave, trend-following position trading strategy with S.E.T. (Stop Loss / Entry / Target Prices) plan is key, buying with uptrend (eg. higher low higher high, breaking above critical resistance), sell / short selling with downtrend (eg. lower high lower low, breaking below critical support).

Stage 2
If it is a correction (eg. high inflation and interest rate hike in Year 2022), technology stocks would start to recover, eg Year 2023 has been recovering well with AI as the main driver.

Stage 2 has weaker trend than Stage 1, focusing more on recovery wave, usually stock prices need to break above certain patterns (eg. resistance of a double bottom neckline, etc) to sustain its recovery. Short term to mid term cyclic trading may be considered. If Stage 2 could not exceed the last high of Stage 1, then it may form a risky pattern (eg. Head & Shoulders, etc), therefore it is safer to trader than to invest in technology stocks with higher optimism level.

Stage 3
It is possible (although seldom) for technology stocks to achieve another new high than the peak of Stage 1 bubble. If inflation could fall down consistently below 3% while global economy is intact, US technology stocks may continue to recover. However, it may take time, especially No 2 economy, China is getting weaker, would affect global / US economy indirectly. Inflation may be stagnant around 3% +/- 1% for mid term until an economic crisis, only then it may fall down further.

Strategy for Stage 3 is focusing on shorter term trading with positioning sizing, leveraging on market momentum to trade uptrend.

Stage 4
This is the ultimate bubble (may or may not come), much higher peak than Stage 1 with high Ein55 Optimism >75%, mainly driven by stock market greed. The strategy is similar to Stage 1 but closer monitoring (daily) is required.

Besides uptrend trading, an experienced trader may also consider to short sell the market when it is falling down below critical support from high optimism level, potentially gaining from the crash of stock market which may be induced by the next black swan.

===================================

Technology giant stocks are mostly major component stocks of indices, therefore the movement of NASDAQ index (mostly technology stocks, popular ETF is QQQ, 3X of Nasdaq) is also aligned with S&P500 index (500 largest US stocks, popular ETF is SPY). When market is bearish, there are also inverse ETFs for traders who don’t know how to short sell but more suitable for shorter term trading.

In additional to indices, a trader may also consider technology giant stocks, eg. leader (world largest company) is Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), already passing Stages 1 & 2, approaching Stage 3 (but fail to create new resistance above $200).

The current bull run for technology stocks is still intact. However, during each correction, a trader may need to exit first, reenter when trend is reversed to uptrend or when a new high is created.

At the same time, for longer term investors who have invested in technology giant stocks or indices (eg. S&P500 or Nasdaq), may also consider to switch to short term investing (choosing stocks like an investor, buy/sell like a trader) during uncertain high optimism level, no need to take any major risk against potential black swans (eg. China economy slowdown, escalation of Russian-Ukraine war, etc) which stock market may fall more than 50% when the bubble is burst.

In summary, a smart investor or trader would leverage on technology stock bubbles (Stages 1-4) but adjusting the strategy accordingly (eg. shorter term trading with higher optimism level). Stock bubble could be the best friend for trader (trend-following trading with greed) and investor (crisis investing after the market crash with fear).

===================================

There are over 2000 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

View quick preview video below, Dr Tee will introduce 10 key stock investment strategies (股票投资十招) to be learned in 4hr free stock webinar:

Register Here (Dr Tee Free 4hr Stock Webinar):  www.ein55.com

Dr Tee Stock Webinar

8 AI Technology Stocks for Momentum Trading and Growth Investing (以智取胜)

After major correction of technology stocks in Year 2022, the technology sector recovers strongly in 2023 with the support of Artificial Intelligence (AI), initiated by popularity of ChatGPT, following by the healthy competitions and future AI plans of many technology giant stocks, pushing up the stock prices of technology stocks and even entire US stock indices (S&P500 and Nasdaq), nearer to the last peak in late 2021.

As mentioned in earlier Dr Tee articles, Golden Cross of inflation (now 3%) below interest rate (now 5%) help to support recovery of technology stocks which are sensitive to interest rate (likely will reach its peak soon). Since stock market is usually 6-12 months ahead of economy and businesses, a smart investor may take calculated risk with early actions (eg. big winner for those who took actions 6 months ago on technology stocks when inflation starts to fall from its peak).

Investing and trading in stocks may also apply AI (eg. following certain rules) but key difference is to personalize the strategies, eg holding for short term (momentum trading), mid term (cyclic trading) or long term (growth investing).

Dr Tee has shortlisted 8 AI stocks with potential for trading and investing, each stock requires unique positioning due to different types of LOFTP (Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis):

1) Nvidia (Nasdaq: NVDA)
Nvidia is a bigger winner in AI game as development generative AI requires strong demand of GPU chips, which is dominated by Nvidia. It projects significant increase in near future revenue which supports the share price to break above last high of $335 in Year 2021, exceeding by 50% to $460 so far.

Even before recent AI stock rally, Nvidia already has sustainable strong business fundamental. However, due to stock price is far above fair value with high Ein55 Optimism, it is more suitable for short term momentum trading, following the uptrend prices (eg. entering when breaking a new high, but it is crucial to set stoploss when price trend is reversed more than risk tolerance level).


2) Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT)
Microsoft is another direct AI winner because it is major investor for ChatGPT, even incorporating into BING search engine (challenging Google Search) and Windows 11 platform with Microsoft Office products.  As a result, Microsoft share price has recovered back to its 2021 peak of $344, may achieve another new historical high if AI momentum continues.

Microsoft is veteran technology giant stock with over 50 years history since 1970s (comparable with Apple), products are diversified beyond traditional PC into cloud and gaming, etc. Strong business fundamental but it has price exceeding fair value with high Ein55 Optimism, more suitable for mid term cyclic investing (Buy Low Sell High) or short term momentum trading (Buy High Sell Higher).

3) Alphabet / Google (Nasdaq: GOOGL/GOOG)
Alphabet has been early AI developer (eg. DeepMind with AlphaGo could win human No 1 Go player in the world) but slow in commercializing the AI products, still focusing more on Google search engine which 85% market share (compared with BING only has 8%) for advertisement revenue (Youtube contributes to about 10% of Alphabet revenue).  ChatGPT quick success has helped Google to introduce comparable BARD chat quickly to supplement Google search. It is not too late for BARD to catch up because they have strong foundation in development with wide Google network as potential customers, just need to focus on marketing and commercialization in future, helping to retain or grow the online advertisement revenue.

Relative to other technology / AI giant stocks, Alphabet / Google is relatively slow in stock price recovery (still below its peak of $150 in Year 2021), current price of $124 is near to its fair value, therefore still possible to be considered for long term investor for growth investing (Buy fair price and Hold).  At the same time, Alphabet / Google may also be suitable for mid term cyclic investing (Buy Low Sell High) or short term momentum trading (Buy High Sell Higher).  It is a rare giant stock which may be considered for both long term investors and short/mid term traders. However, since few technology giant stocks could last for decades, it is crucial to monitor its technology advantages over competitors (eg. ChatGPT vs BARD, Google vs BING, etc) for long term investors.


4) Meta / Facebook (Nasdaq: META)
Meta share price was seriously corrected in Year 2022 from about $380 to $90, partly due to venture into unprofitable Metaverse and headwind of technology sector then.  Meta is early winner for technology stock recovery in 2023 (another is Netflix), growing with very strong momentum (comparable with Nvidia and Microsoft performances), current price of $313 is still below its 2021 peak of $380.

Even without AI (new plan) or Metaverse (old plan), advertisement revenue for existing Facebook and Instagram could already support and grow the business.  The new Threads app is a strong challenger to Twitter, could be future revenue generator, making its social media network even wider (a strong economic moat).  Meta share price is still below its fair value of about $360, may be considered for long term growth investor and also short term momentum trader.

5) Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN)
Amazon share price was halved in Year 2022 from about $187 to $85, partly due to high growth during pandemic is not sustainable during post pandemic, business also becomes cyclic, affecting share price stability.  Amazon has cloud businesses, AI concept has helped to recover its share prices together with other technology giant stocks, current price of $134 is still below its 2021 peak of $187.

Amazon is a trillion-dollar market cap giant stock (after Apple and Microsoft, ahead of Google and Nvidia), business becomes more sustainable as pre-pandemic. Current share is still below fair value of about $200, therefore may be considered for long term growth investing, mid term cyclic trading or even short term momentum trading.


6) AMD (Nasdaq: AMD)
AMD share price dropped to 1/3 from about $155 to $55 in Year 2022 technology sector crisis, partly due to high growth of chips demand during pandemic is not sustainable during post pandemic, business even suffered losses in the last quarter.  Over the last few decades of competition, AMD is stronger and larger than Intel, supporting AMD share price growing by 80 times over the past 10 years.  Despite AMD AI chip is still behind leader Nvidia, its latest chips are widely used by cloud platforms (eg. Amazon). AMD price has recovered strongly, current price of $115 is still below its 2021 peak of $155.

AMD is a young technology giant stock which would benefit from future AI sector expansion. Current share is still below fair value of about $200, therefore may be considered for long term growth investing, mid term cyclic trading or even short term momentum trading.

7) TSMC (NYSE: TSM / Taiwan TPE: 2330)
TSMC share price was corrected by more than half from about $140 to $63 in Year 2022 technology sector crisis, partly due to high growth of chips demand during pandemic is not sustainable during post pandemic, but business remains profitable with more sustainable growth rate.  TSMC is the world leader for high end chip manufacturing (eg. 3nm), far ahead of competitors Samsung and Intel. With help of Warren Buffett (despite he sold it eventually due to worry of geo-political crisis) and technology sector rally, TSMC price has recovered strongly, current price of $105 is still below its 2022 peak of $140.

Semiconductor sector is cyclic in nature, similar for TSMC share price, more suitable to Buy Low Sell High for cyclic investor. Current share price is higher than fair price of about $80, therefore more suitable for mid term cyclic investing (not long term due to higher Ein55 Optimism) or even short term trading (since momentum is relatively weaker, may consider to Buy Low Sell High with short term swing trading).


8) ASML (Nasdaq: ASML)
Semiconductor sector is very specialized and inter-dependent, eg. design by Nvidia, manufacturing by TSMC but leading equipment supplier is ASML, etc.  ASML business and even share price performances are comparable to TSMC since both are closely related.

ASML share price was corrected by more than half from about $868 to $379 in Year 2022 technology sector crisis, partly due to high growth of chips demand during pandemic is not sustainable during post pandemic, but business remains profitable with more sustainable growth rate.  ASML is the world leader for high end chip equipment (eg. lithography for 3nm), far ahead of other competitors. US/China trade war may affect its future business expansion in China due to new export ban for high tech semiconductor equipment. Together with technology sector rally, ASML price has doubled from valley, current price of $750 is getting nearer to its 2022 peak of $868.

Semiconductor sector is cyclic in nature, similar for ASML share price, more suitable to Buy Low Sell High for cyclic investor. Current share price is higher than fair price of about $470, therefore more suitable for mid term cyclic investing (not long term due to higher Ein55 Optimism) or even short term trading (since momentum is relatively weaker, may consider to Buy Low Sell High with short term swing trading).

===================================

There are over 2000 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

View quick preview video below, Dr Tee will introduce 10 key stock investment strategies (股票投资十招) to be learned in 4hr free stock webinar:

Register Here (Dr Tee Free 4hr Stock Webinar):  www.ein55.com

Dr Tee Stock Webinar

Bullish Tech Stocks with Golden Cross of Inflation vs Interest Rate (黄金交叉)

US stock market is recovering gradually over the past 6 months with clearance of debt ceiling issue recently, greed is overtaking fear. In particular, US large-cap technology stocks have been bullish, supported by golden cross of inflation (4% currently) below interest rate (5.25% currently), confirming the declining trend of inflation from the peak of 9.1%.

Technology stocks are sensitive to interest rate hike (which is dependent on inflation), therefore the tech sector was severely corrected over 30-50% in Year 2022, seeing light at the end of tunnel 6 months ago when inflation starts to fall. The Fed has been using higher inflation rate (eg. 6-9%) as an excuse to increase interest rate but the fact is inflation is a lagging indicator which is CPI (Consumer Price Index) % change over the past 1 year. Monthly CPI has been slowing down, therefore yearly CPI change (i.e. inflation rate) is declining naturally, the trend likely will continue till Q3/2023 with inflation rate below 3%. With inflation at moderate level of 4%, The Fed decides to pause on interest rate hike (remain at 5.25%) but keeping options of 2 further hikes by end of this year when needed.

Consistent lower inflation provides an excellent mid-term trading opportunity, especially for large-cap US technology stocks, here are familiar companies (FANG-MAN):
FFacebook / Meta (NASDAQ: Meta)
AAmazon (Nasdaq: AMZN)
NNetflix (Nasdaq: NFLX)
GGoogle / Alphabet (Nasdaq: GOOGL / GOOG)
MMicrosoft (Nasdaq: MSFT)
AApple (Nasdaq: AAPL)
NNVidia (Nasdaq: NVDA)

These 7 tech stocks contribute to over 25% of US S&P 500 Index, 5 of them are over $1 Trillion market (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, NVdia), even Apple alone (nearly $3 Trillions) is bigger than 30 STI component stocks combined. However, strong recovery of S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices may give a false impression that most stocks are doing well. In fact, many non-technology small / mid cap stocks are still relatively weak, these 7 FANG-MAN stocks have relatively bigger weightage, therefore investors / traders selectively buy up technology stocks, help to push up the index as a whole.

Alignment with the right sector and country (Level Analysis) is key for stock trading, therefore it is not surprise to see technology stocks with uptrend prices (higher highs, higher lows), ideal for trading or even investing. However, due to moderate higher Ein55 Optimism level, current stock market recovery (especially for technology stocks) is more suitable for short term / mid term trading. A smart investor may apply trend-following trading system to ride the trend but need to be careful when it enters high Ein55 Optimism level (eg. >75%) as any unexpected black swan could result in the next global financial crisis, knowing when to exit (take profits) is critical as the next move.

US economy currently is relatively strong with low unemployment rate (3.7% currently), weaker USD would help in financial reports for many S&P 500 companies with overseas businesses (when converting income to USD). So, average inflation level (2-4%) is healthy for a growing economy, too high results in overheated spending, too low ends up in lagging economy (eg. lost 3 decades in Japan). Based on similar experience of last high inflation in 1970-1980, there was upside potential of over 50% for US indices when inflation was declining from the peak. Stock market usually is 6-12 months ahead of economy or business fundamentals, therefore forward-looking views may be needed for success in trading.

There is information overflow each day with good/bad financial news, therefore each investor needs to have own independent thinking (not to blindly follow Dr Doom or Dr Boom), following an investing / trading strategy aligning with own personality (short term / mid term / long term / lifetime).

===================================

There are over 2000 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

View quick preview video below, Dr Tee will introduce 10 key stock investment strategies (股票投资十招) to be learned in 4hr free stock webinar:

Register Here (Dr Tee Free 4hr Stock Webinar):  www.ein55.com

Dr Tee Stock Webinar

5 Glove Giant Stocks Recovering from Crisis (孤掌难鸣)

During the first year of pandemic in 2020, due to extraordinary demand for gloves, both the sales (>3X) and net profits (>5X) have set record high for glove manufacturers, supported by higher volume and higher selling prices, driving share prices to over 5-10 times compared to pre-pandemic. However, the quick return has invited many smaller players, supply more than demand when fear of COVID was fading over the past 2 years, glove stocks suffer big drops of both sales and income to about 10-20% of peak performances, even lower than pre-pandemic, driving the share prices like a roller-coaster, this time to less than 10% of peak prices.

In this article, you will learn 5 glove giant stocks in Singapore and Malaysia benefit from recovering in cyclic business in post-pandemic with over 2X upside potential of share prices, each requiring unique stock strategies for investing or trading.

1) Top Glove (SGX: BVA) / (Bursa: 7113) – Singapore / Malaysia Giant Glove Stock

2) Hartalega (Bursa: 5168) – Malaysia Giant Glove Stock

3) Kossan (Bursa: 7153) – Malaysia Giant Glove Stock

4) SuperMax (Bursa: 7106) – Malaysia Giant Glove Stock

5) Riverstone (SGX: AP4) – Singapore Giant Glove Stock

Crisis is Opportunity‘, a golden investing rule but only true if the stock prices are falling to low Optimism while business is still intact or having high chance to recover. For glove stocks, due to cyclic business induced by pandemic (孤掌难鸣), despite some are still making losses now, demand for glove will be back sooner or later, especially when smaller players could not survive through the cold winter, demand will be more than supply again (currently many glove manufacturers only produce less than 50% capacity).

Buy Low may lower before an investor could Sell High in future, no one could predict the lowest/highest points for stock prices or businesses. Therefore, it is more practical to Buy Low enough, having patience to hold and then Sell High enough one day, integrating with several key indicators for business and stock price reversal. Crisis investing requires diversification over a portfolio of 10-20 giant stocks over several sectors and countries, alignment with own personality (eg. short / mid / long term) is key for success.

The largest glove stock, Top Glove, takes the lead to announce recently that ASP (Average Selling Price) of glove will be adjusted higher. Other competitors would follow the same trend of market leader, when glove selling prices are higher, when demand may be increasing in the next 1 year with more sales (glove also has expiry dates, inventory will be exhausted), likely they would report profits again, even if only aiming for target of pre-pandemic in 2019, both the sales and share prices could have 2X upside potential.

Top Glove (listed in both Singapore and Malaysia), Hartalega, Kossan and SuperMax are considered the Big Four of glove manufacturers in Malaysia, all are giant stocks (based on Dr Tee criteria), will be discussed in further.  Riverstone is a smaller player (listed in Singapore) but having strong business fundamental, will be discussed as well.

In recent 15th Ein55 Charity Course (6 May 2023) on Global Discounted NAV Stocks, we have raised fund of $16,300 for Tzu Chi Singapore to help needy families in Singapore. Under the spirit of charity, Dr Tee decides to share 5 glove stocks discussed (SuperMax is an undervalue stock with stock price much less than discounted asset value) with readers as strikers in post-pandemic with light at the end of tunnel for glove industry (read each details in this article to fully understand on how to position in these giant stocks).

So, we will elaborate here mainly on 5 giant glove stocks (Top Glove, Hartalega, Kossan, SuperMax, Riverstone) which may be considered for both longer term investing (when correcting below a fair price with holding power) and short term trading (following S.E.T. trading rule – Stop Loss / Entry / Target Prices).

1) Top Glove (SGX: BVA) / (Bursa: 7113) – Singapore / Malaysia Giant Glove Stock

Top Glove is the world’s largest rubber glove manufacturer with many types of latex and nitrile gloves from manufacturing facilities in Malaysia, Thailand and China. Founder and major shareholder is Lim Wee Chai (27% ownership), was No 14 richest person in Malaysia (Forbes’ List), but ranking drops significantly with share prices from nearly RM10 to less than RM1 at one time.

Top Glove has dual listing in Malaysia Bursa (longer history) and Singapore SGX. The relative stock performance are aligned but due to different group of investors, short term share price in SGX (BVA) can be slightly different from Bursa (7113). Fundamentally, each share (SGX or Bursa) is the same but short term share price may not be due to difference of forex (SGD/MYR) alone, especially ringgit has been weaker over the past few years.

Due to low optimism in share price but weaker business (may turn around to positive in about 1 year), Top Glove may be considered as a striker stock (aiming for high potential capital gains with little or no dividend support) for short term / medium term trading with condition the share prices (Bursa: 7113) has to stay above RM1 as critical support (SGX BVA will be S$0.30 with 0.33 exchange rate for SGD/MYR).

Minimum target could be 2X for trading (RM2) but if there is any global uncertainty with stock price below RM1, a trader may need to exit with stop loss (eg. 5-10%), minimizing risk of Buy Low get lower. If the cyclic business is recovering well over the next years, then the stock may be position as “mid-fielder” stock for longer term holding for both growth in capital gains and dividend payments, then the fair price target would be >RM3 of its Ein55 intrinsic value. Before the hot summer with greed, an investor or trader has to endure through winter time of reversal from bear to bull.

2) Hartalega (Bursa: 5168) – Malaysia Giant Glove Stock

Hartalega is the world’s largest nitrile glove manufacturer. Founder and major shareholder is Kuan Kam Hon (about 50% ownership with family), was the No 9 richest person in Malaysia (Forbes’ List), also drop in ranking with falling of share price from about RM20 to RM2.

Hartalega main product of nitrile glove has higher profit margin compared to latex (rubber) glove. However, this profitable product segment also attracts many competitors, therefore the high growth of Hartalega is getting slower, now is more aligned (sustainable rate) with other major competitors, sharing the big pie of glove industries.

Similar to Top Glove, Hartalega is more suitable for crisis recovering trading but critical price support is RM2 (compared to RM1 of Top Glove). Even with weaker quarterly results recently, the share price did not fall further, supported above RM2 instead, a sign of market confidence. Top Glove and Hartalega has strong correlation in share prices of about 1:2, therefore when one stock starts to move in certain direction, another stock would follow, especially if it is glove industry or general market trend. For short term trading, Top Glove is stronger than Hartalega, therefore recently Hartalega has been catching up with lagging prices above RM2.

Stock market usually is 6-12 months ahead of economy or company business, therefore positioning in either glove leader (Top Glove or Hartalega) has additional protection of stronger companies while bottom fishing to Buy Low, ideally following S.E.T. (Stop Loss / Entry / Target) for short term trading plan, monitoring future business and Ein55 Optimism level for longer term investing.

3) Kossan (Bursa: 7153) – Malaysia Giant Glove Stock

Kossan is the world’s second largest glove manufacturer (technical rubber products, medical gloves, cleanroom products, etc). Kossan is a strong growth stock (supported by growing businesses with strong cash flow), performance is stronger than the main competitor, Top Glove. Kossan has low debt level, having potential to expand further with more leveraging if needed. The glove industry is big enough for major players to share the big global pie of growing demand for gloves in manufacturing and healthcare sectors.

Again, similar strategies as Top Glove to position Kossan at low Optimism level, except critical price support is higher at RM1.25 (trading above this level is relatively safer), compared to RM1 support of Top Glove.

4) SuperMax (Bursa: 7106) – Malaysia Giant Glove Stock

SuperMax is a leading medical / latex gloves manufacturer. SuperMax has additional protection of having undervalue asset more than its share price, useful consideration if a company may be in crisis, may not go bankrupt easily.

Again, similar strategies as Top Glove to position SuperMax at low Optimism level, except critical price support is slightly lower at RM0.90 (trading above this level is relatively safer), compared to RM1 support of Top Glove.

5) Riverstone (SGX: AP4) – Singapore Giant Glove Stock

Among 5 giant glove stocks, Riverstone is the smallest player but it has its niche market. Riverstone manufactures cleanroom glove (eg. hard disk drive and semiconductor) and healthcare gloves, therefore the business is relatively stronger than other major players during post-pandemic.

Riverstone is a Malaysia company but stock is listed in Singapore, therefore the share price potential is also partially affected by Singapore stock market. Choice of stock exchange for listing does not affect the company fundamental (same share ownership) but due to different characteristic of global investors in each stock exchange (eg. US, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia), etc, would make a big difference in share prices which is the ultimate goal for a company to be listed. 

Riverstone is also low Optimism level but positioning different from other 4 glove giant stocks. Since Riverstone did not fall as much as other glove giant stocks (mainly supported by stronger business), it is the only glove giant stock has not recovered yet to overcome S$0.65 resistance (to become future price support for trading). Riverstone may be considered for longer term investing (not for short term trading currently) with business trend affected by both glove industry (healthcare needs) and country economy (eg industrial needs).

===================================

There are over 2000 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

View quick preview video below, Dr Tee will introduce 10 key stock investment strategies (股票投资十招) to be learned in 4hr free stock webinar:

Register Here (Dr Tee Free 4hr Stock Webinar):  www.ein55.com

Dr Tee Stock Webinar

Top 4 Crisis Defender Growth Stocks (一飞冲天)

Global stock markets experienced mini bear last year with over 30% major correction in stocks, following by strong recovery in Year 2023, especially for US and Hong Kong giant stocks, supported by declining US inflation and ending of zero COVID policy in China / Hong Kong with full reopening of borders.

Instead of worrying about uncertain markets, a smart investor and trader may consider strong growth giant stocks (一飞冲天) with protection by strong growing business, a natural way to hedge against high inflation with interest rate hike while accumulating capital gains in a steady way with global pandemic recovery.

In recent 14th Ein55 Charity Course (5 Nov 2022) on Global Growth Stocks, we have raised fund of $17,000 for Tzu Chi Singapore to help needy families in Singapore. Under the spirit of charity, Dr Tee decides to share 4 defensive growth stocks in 4 countries of 4 growing sectors (pharmaceutical, agricultural, insurance and consumer discretionary) with readers as strikers in current early bullish stock markets (read each details in this article to fully understand on how to position in these giant stocks):

1) Singapore Growth Pharmaceutical Stock – TJ DaRenTang (SGX: T14)

2) Malaysia Growth Agricultural Stock – QL Resources (Bursa: 7084)

3) Hong Kong Growth Insurance Stock – Ping An Insurance (HKEx: 2318)

4) US Growth Consumer Discretionary Stock – Nike (NYSE: NKE)

The best time to invest in global growth giant stocks is always during global stock crisis (eg. Year 2020-2021 during pandemic, 2008—2009 during subprime crisis, etc), not only able to maximize the dividend yield (due to lower entry share price), also could have higher potential of capital gains (when market cycle moves from fear in low optimism to greed in high optimism). Growth stock investing is not based on stock strategy (Buy & Hold for capital gains) alone, may be integrated with cyclic investing (Buy Low Sell High), dividend investing (Buy & Hold for dividends), swing / momentum trading (Buy & Hold for short term / medium term gains), defensive investing and other Ein55 strategies.

However, not all the high growth stocks (potential value trap) are suitable for growth investing. A growing business in the past may not be sustainable during or after COVID-19 period and a growth stock may not able to continue the same rate of growth. Similarly, even a growth stock may have strong and sustainable business but if share prices is bearish due to emotional stock market or declining sector, it may not be a good choice for investors to Buy Low (prices may get lower in short term), integration with trading or alignment with promising sectors would help for a smooth entry.

Fundamental Analysis alone is not sufficient, a low PB or low PE or high dividend yield stock may be a value trap as this may be the result of lower share price with weakening businesses. Therefore, deeper analysis is required with LOFTP (Level, Optimism, Fundamental, Technical, Personal Analysis) Strategies. 

Let’s learn these 4 giant growth stocks from 4 promising sectors (pharmaceutical, agricultural, insurance and consumer discretionary) as defenders in 4 countries (Singapore, Malaysia, Hong Kong and US), understanding the business nature, investment clock and unique strategy.


1) Singapore Growth Pharmaceutical Stock – TJ DaRenTang (SGX: T14)

During and even after COVID-19 period, TJ DaRenTang (Tianjin ZhongXin) consistently achieves outstanding growing pharmaceutical business (about 70% in TCM, Traditional Chinese Medicine). It has many patents and unique / popular products which a strong moat for future growth.

The stock is dual-listing, 1/3 in SGX (T14) and 2/3 in China SSEC (600329). Comparing using the same currency USD, China-listed stock is 4X higher price than Singapore-listed stock, resulting in Singapore stock (T14) is more valuable (from investing perspective) with 6% dividend yield with current stock price.

TJ DaRenTang is still at moderate low Ein55 Optimism (<50%) but recovering well from correction in China pandemic 2022, aiming for Ein55 intrinsic value of about $1.50/share or over $2.50/share when market emotion may be greedy again. The stock is well balanced, suitable for dividend investing (Buy & Hold for dividend), growth investing (Buy & Hold for capital gains) and trading (uptrend in short term), but not for cyclic investing (near to fair price).

Since the stock was shared on 5 Nov 2022 (about $1) during charity course, the share price has surged about 30% over the past 3 months.


2) Malaysia Growth Agricultural Stock – QL Resources (Bursa: 7084)

QL Resources is a major producer for eggs / chicken, during high inflation period in 2021-2022, unlike most commodity stocks, it suffered major correction in business due to price cap by Malaysia government for eggs / chicken. As a result, the past high growth is slowed down, then starts to grow again over the past few quarters with support of other growing divisions (marine products, palm oil and Family Mart operations).

QL Resources is still at low Ein55 Optimism (<25%) but recovering well from the worst time of eggs business, aiming for Ein55 intrinsic value of about $7.50/share or over $9/share when market emotion may be greedy again. The stock is more suitable for growth investing (Buy & Hold for capital gains) and trading (uptrend in short term).

Since the stock was shared on 5 Nov 2022 (breaking above critical $5 resistance) during charity course, the share price has climbed up about 20% over the past 3 months.


3) Hong Kong Growth Insurance Stock – Ping An Insurance (HKEx: 2318)

Over the past 3 years of pandemic, Ping An Insurance (business in China) has declined by about 1/3 but the price corrected by 2/3, aligning with the fear of Hong Kong stock market (Hang Seng Index was halved from the peak), providing a rare investing opportunity.

Ping An is undervalue, despite higher gearing ratio, core business in insurance is still defensive in nature. The parent company (Ping An) is much stronger than other subsidiaries (businesses not as good).

Ping An is still at low Ein55 Optimism (<25%) but recovering well from correction in last 3 years of pandemic, aiming for Ein55 intrinsic value of about $100/share or over $150/share when market emotion may be greedy again. The stock is all-rounded, suitable for dividend investing (Buy & Hold for dividend, 5% dividend yield currently), growth investing (Buy & Hold for capital gains), trading (uptrend in short term) and cyclic investing (Buy Low Sell High).

Since the stock was shared on 5 Nov 2022 (about $35) during charity course, the share price is nearly doubled over the past 3 months. There is still significant upside potential, mainly due to over-correction in share price over the past 3 years.


4) US Growth Consumer Discretionary Stock – Nike (NYSE: NKE)

Nike has the largest global market share for sports shoes and related products (following by Adidas and Puma). It has many popular products which a strong moat for future growth under consumer discretionary market.

Nike is still at moderate low Ein55 Optimism (<50%) but recovering well from US stock crisis in 2022, aiming for Ein55 intrinsic value of about $150/share or over $180/share when market emotion may be greedy again. The stock is more suitable for growth investing (Buy & Hold for capital gains) and trading (uptrend in short term).

Since the stock was shared on 5 Nov 2022 (about $96, later breaking above critical $100 resistance) during charity course, the share price has surged about 35% over the past 3 months.

===================================

There are over 2000 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

View quick preview video below, Dr Tee will introduce 10 key stock investment strategies (股票投资十招) to be learned in 4hr free stock webinar:

Register Here (Dr Tee Free 4hr Stock Webinar):  www.ein55.com

Dr Tee Stock Webinar

Hidden Stock Opportunities in New Year of Rabbit 2023

Global inflations have started to decline from peak of decades high, especially for US (from 9.1% to 7.1% currently. aiming below 5% in near future). Historically, proven lower inflation would help to limit the interest rate hike which would be a relief (especially for technology stocks) for global investors. A smart investor may not wait until news to confirm such trend, able to take action earlier (with assistance of reversal signals to bull, not all stocks are suitable to consider now) than majority who may be still worrying about recession.

US stock market is not as weak as shown by S&P 500 stock index. In fact, most of the sectors are recovering well, except for technology and consumer discretionary. However, since most of the large cap stocks (top 10 of S&P 500) are technology stocks, therefore the index has been weak, mainly due to bearish Nasdaq stock market.  However, there are few thousands of other stocks in US which are non-technology which may be considered earlier by investors or traders.  Eventually, even technology stocks in US would follow HK/China stocks to recover strongly, especially when there is more consistent drop in inflations over the next few months.

Inflation rate is a lagging indicator based on CPI (Consumer Price Index) over the past 1 year. In fact, monthly and quarterly CPI has been declining significantly but yearly CPI difference (which is the standard inflation) only starts to show reversal in the past few months.  When inflation starts to “confirm” dropping below an acceptable level by the Fed, it may be too late for most investors to enjoy the free lunch.  Despite the hidden fact of declining inflations, the Fed could not be soft in its tone as lower CPI would help to create bigger safety margin to avoid future reversal of inflations to a new high, especially the US job market is extremely strong (3.5% unemployment rate, the lowest level over the past 50 years). When global stock investors start to make money again in investment, they may continue to spend more money (higher inflation), therefore it is wise to scare them to be more prudent in spending next time.

With recent relaxation of COVID policy in China (full reopening of border), Hong Kong / China stock markets have been soaring (Hong Kong Hang Seng Index has jumped over 30% in the past few months while some individual giant Hong Kong stocks have started to recover over 50% in share price as if there is no tomorrow). As mentioned over the past 1 year, even a smart investor may not know the true market bottom, simple averaging down strategy below low optimism may be applied on HSI index while collecting 3% yearly dividend (comparable with Singapore Savings Bonds which has no capital gains, a popular choice for many retail investors, not knowing it is a loss in long term by investing below high inflation of 5% in Singapore).

One day, a true global financial crisis would still come (even if 2022 technology bubble and Hong Kong/China stock crisis due to zero COVID policy are only market corrections). However, an investor could not worry everyday that “sky would fall down”, as if worrying of suffocation, therefore refuse to eat (因噎废食) which is not reasonable. A better option is to be flexible, integrating short term trend-following trading with long term growth / dividend investing, taking calculated risks while others are still fearful.

It is timely now to review own stock portfolio, making decisions (Buy / Hold / Sell / Wait / Shorting) ahead of majority. 

===================================

There are over 2000 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

View quick preview video below, Dr Tee will introduce 10 key stock investment strategies (股票投资十招) to be learned in 4hr free stock webinar:

Register Here (Dr Tee Free 4hr Stock Webinar):  www.ein55.com

Dr Tee Stock Webinar

Download Dr Tee Latest eBooks: Market Outlook 2023 & Dream Team Portfolio 2023

Fresh from Oven: Download the latest 2 FREE high-quality stock investment eBooks by Dr Tee on (1) “Global Market Outlook 2023”, covering comprehensive investment topics: Stock, Property, Commodity, Forex, Bond and Political Economy & (2) “Dream Team Portfolio 2023” with Top 10 global stocks for capital gains and passive incomes. Past readers have benefited both stock investment eBooks, learning simple and useful strategies to position in current global stock markets.

Are you worried about the current global stock market with potential black swans such as high inflation, interest rate hike, Russia-Ukraine War, supply chain disruptions and endless COVID19 cases which contribute to declining stock prices? Every crisis is an opportunity for investing. You will learn useful methods step by step from 2 valuable FREE stock investment eBook by Dr Tee which work in stock market. Take action now to surprise yourself!

Dr Tee 刚完成2本投资秘籍。《环球市场展望2023》书内覆盖很多在环球主要市场 (美国、新加坡、香港、中国、欧洲) 的投资议题及提供解决方法。《10大梦幻股票2023》书则分享了各种实用投资策略于10大高潜能股票。很多读者已经从Dr Tee过去发表的股票投资书中受惠,大家可在Dr Tee 的最新报告中洞悉环球市场目前面对的风险及机遇。

Table of Contents (FREE Stock Investment eBook #1):
Global Stock Market Outlook 2023

Mass Market Sentiment Survey (大众市场情绪调查)
Review of Global Stock Markets (环球股市回顾)
US Market Outlook (美国市场展望)
Regional Market Outlook (Europe, China, Hong Kong) (区域市场展望)
Singapore Market Outlook (Stock & Property) (新加坡市场展望)
Conclusions and Recommendations (总结及建议)

Table of Contents (FREE Stock Investment eBook #2):
Top 10 Global Stocks – Dream Team Portfolio 2023

Personalized Stock Investment Portfolio (个人化股票投资组合)
Ein55 Global Top 10 Stocks (10大全球高潜能股票)
Summary of Actions (投资方向总结)

Download Dr Tee 2 eBooks Here: http://eepurl.com/P8i61

===================================

There are over 2000 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

View quick preview video below, Dr Tee will introduce 10 key stock investment strategies (股票投资十招) to be learned in 4hr free stock webinar:

Register Here (Dr Tee Free 4hr Stock Webinar):  www.ein55.com

Dr Tee Stock Webinar