Macroeconomy Archives - Page 2 of 8

Oil & Gas Stocks (Singapore, US, Hong Kong) with 100% Profit (火上加油)

Posted on June 14, 2021 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

Crude oil crashed to negative price 1 year ago, how many of you dare to buy oil or related stocks when others were fearful? Everyone knows “Buy Low Sell High” is the secret to make money in investment but in practice, not many people able to pluck the low-hanging fruits.

In this article, you will learn from Dr Tee on Giant Oil & Stocks of 3 Countries (over 100% profits in the past 1 year) for longer term investing and / or short term trading with COVID-19 recovery stock rally. Bonus for readers who could read every word of the entire article, learning unique strategy to position in each giant stocks, including Ein55 Optimism level and Ein55 Intrinsic Value.

1) US Giant Oil & Gas Funds

Energy Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE ARCA: XLE) / US Oil Fund (NYSE ARCA: USO)

– 100% capital gains after oil price surged over 3 times in last 1 year

2) Singapore Giant Oil & Gas Stock: Union Gas Holdings (SGX: 1F2)

– over 100% profit since sharing in 5 months after sharing with Ein55 graduates & public webinars

3) Hong Kong / China Giant Oil & Gas Stock: Kunlun Energy Company (HKEX: 135)

– over 30% special dividend yield and over 20% capital gains since Ex-Dividend on 31 May 2021

Crude oil is a major commodity, therefore a giant by default (similar to property market which is also a form of commodity) as it is not possible for the world to live without energy supply. Crude oil experienced bearish market due to natural market cycle since Year 2014 when WTI crude oil prices fell from high optimism of over US$100/barrel to low optimism of US$20/barrel, even crashed to negative price (only for 1 day due to abnormal oil futures contract, mostly from USO oil fund) during pandemic in Apr 2020.

For cyclic giant such as crude oil and related Oil & Gas stocks, the entire market was reborn after the worst time of negative oil price. OPEC and non-OPEC oil producer countries learn to collaborate to stabilize the oil price during this crisis of century. Since then, oil price and related stocks start to rebound from low Ein55 Optimism but mainly limited to long term value investors. During recovery of pandemic over the past 1 year with more energy consumption (industries, transportation, household, etc), oil price and related stocks have gone up steadily, even approaching fair prices with mid Ein55 Optimism. With support of more short term traders who join the game recently (火上加油), oil and gas stocks are enjoying strong uptrend momentum in prices.

A giant stock may not need to be big in size, even a small company could be a giant stock. There are hundreds of Oil & Gas stocks globally but some could be junk stocks, Buy Low may become lower in share prices with declining businesses. Let’s study Global Giant Oil & Gas Stocks (following Dr Tee criteria), some are recovering from lower optimism in 3 global stock exchanges interested by readers:

1) US Giant Oil & Gas Funds

Energy Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE ARCA: XLE) / US Oil Fund (NYSE ARCA: USO)

There is no direct way of investing in crude oil market, some investors may consider either investing through oil futures fund, eg. United States Oil ETF (NYSE ACRA: USO) or Energy Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE ARCA: XLE).

USO oil fund applies rollover of WTI oil futures contracts to invest in oil indirectly. Due to Contango in most of the time over the past few years, USO has underperformed actual oil price due to the additional loss (reducing overall capital gains) when rollover to future contracts with higher prices. However, current oil futures is under Backwardation, rollover of monthly futures contracts with lower prices would give extra capital gains, therefore higher probability of winning for trading crude oil with USO.

During pandemic in Q2 2020, WTI fell to $20/barrel, an investor may apply average down strategy (see earlier educational article by Dr Tee during the worst time of pandemic: https://www.ein55.com/2020/03/10-bullets-of-crude-oil-uso-etf-investing/), even if following oil prices to $0 (excluding negative price), average entry price is only $10/barrel (average of $20 + $15 + $10 + $5 + $0), now is already over $70/barrel, over 7 times.

Even if an investor invested in WTI oil price at the highest price of low optimism level, $20/barrel, the corresponding USO fund price was about $33/unit (after 8 to 1 stock consolidation), current price is about $48/unit (with WTI price of about $70/barrel), nearly 50% capital gains (not comparable with actual 3X oil price gains from $20/barrel to $70/barrel, mainly due to USO huge loss during negative oil price and Contango period).

If reading most blogs or analysts reports during pandemic in Q2/2020 after negative oil price, most would write with hindsight that USO was in trouble, may even go bankrupt. Interest in Oil & Gas stocks was very low as well with so many bad news on crude oil market in the past. In fact, this was a perfect time for oil & gas giant stock investing, especially for a few with strong business, supported by dividend yield over 10% (only known to Ein55 graduates), possible for contrarian investing with average down strategy to Buy Low, collecting quarterly dividend while waiting for the light at the end of tunnel for stock recovery to Sell High one day (currently is only a fair price for crude oil and related giant stocks).

After 1 year later, for investors who could take action with calculated risk on USO (despite this is not perfect for oil investing) or Oil & Gas giant stocks, they are rewarded now. For those who are still thinking or analyzing today (when others are not fearful anymore on oil market), the upside is limited, unless following short term momentum trading.

An alternative to oil futures fund or giant stock investing is to invest in a portfolio of large cap stocks (may not be giant stocks), diversifying the unsystematic business risks. SPDR fund for Energy Sector Index (XLE) consists of big oil & gas companies such as Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM), Chevron (NYSE: CVX), Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX), etc. These oil & gas stocks are too big to fail (although may not be true all the time but unlikely for all to go bankrupt together), having more reserves to last through the winter time with low Ein55 Optimism oil prices. XLE fund portfolio is supported by integrated oil businesses (upstream oil exploration, midstream oil delivery and storage, downstream oil refinery and processing).

When WTI oil price was $20/barrel, assuming an investor invested in XLE (was about $28/unit), potential capital gains so far is 100%, 2X with XLE at about $55/unit. XLE could be a better option than USO for longer term investing as it is supported indirectly by big Oil & Gas companies (may not be giant stocks, following Dr Tee criteria) with interests affected by oil prices. USO is fine for shorter term trading unless during Backwardation period with additional capital gains.

Current Brent or WTI crude oil price of $70+/barrel is still below the Ein55 Intrinsic Value of about $80+/barrel. When there is market greed (common for cyclic commodity market), there is further potential to go beyond $100+/barrel, especially with weaker US Dollar and strong global economy during pandemic recovery after global vaccination. If so, a smart investor would know when to exit, taking profits at high Ein55 Optimism, waiting for the next market cycle to profit from crude oil and related stocks again.

For conservative investors, it is fine to exit earlier with fair price (after Buy Low last time), converting Oil & Gas stocks to cash (as future investment opportunity fund) or Change Horse to other more defensive dividend giant stocks in the phase 2 (greedy market cycle) of stock market. Cash is King when used at the right time (usually during bearish market with low Ein55 Optimism such as Year 2020 pandemic), an investor has to know when to convert between stocks and cash.

2) Singapore Giant Oil & Gas Stock: Union Gas Holdings (SGX: 1F2)

There are only about 40 Oil & Gas giant stocks globally, excluding marginal giant stocks with familiar names such as Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) and Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4). In fact, many Oil & Gas giant stocks are small and medium cap stocks, businesses have been growing steadily even with bearish WTI crude oil prices over the past 6 years, falling from $100/barrel to $20/barrel to negative prices. Value is what you get (barrel of crude oil) and price is what you pay, therefore abnormal negative price (seller has to pay to buyer) could not last over 1 day. It can be risky to invest in non-giant oil & gas stocks, especially in Singapore, Buy Low may get lower or even potentially going bankrupt in business, losing everything.

Union Gas is a young Oil & Gas Giant stock in Singapore (4 years after IPO) but having over 40 years of business in LPG (Liquefied Petroleum Gas), business performance has been excellent before and after IPO till now, potential to expand from Singapore to other Southeast Asian countries. Major shareholder (Teo family) has over 70% ownership, paying steady dividend to themselves and also to other shareholders. However, Union Gas share price was stagnant since IPO until last 1 year of pandemic (crisis as opportunity due to higher demand for LPG when people staying longer at home), starting to break above low optimism level of $0.30/share, going up steadily.

When Dr Tee assigned this homework to Ein55 Graduates in Jan 2021, main strategy was positioning for trading with entry share price at $0.53/share or above after each intermediate price breakout. The stock has gone up a few rounds over the past 5 months, trend-following trading may be applied, especially for giant stock at higher optimism with support by growing business in a promising sector with strong global economy. Based on current price of $1.10 on 14 June 2021 (another 10% rally today), it has doubled its share price with 100% profits.

Union Gas is both a growth stock for long term investing and momentum stock for short term trading. Dr Tee has used the same stock as case study in free 4hr monthly webinars (www.ein55.com) over the past few months, even a trader may enter halfway at $0.80+, potential gains so far is already over 30%. For shorter term trading of giant stocks, it is crucial to include S.E.T. (Stop Loss / Entry / Target Prices) in trading plan.

Union Gas is one of over 200 stocks in Singapore Catalist Market, mostly are penny stocks (many have weak business fundamentals), only 5 stocks have over $1/share price. However, some strong price penny stocks in the past may not be sustainable in future. For example, both UG Healthcare Corporation (SGX: 8K7) and Medtecs International Corporation (SGX: 546) from Catalist market were over $1/share, now back to penny stock (below $1/share) after the market greed has subsided for pandemic beneficiary stocks. Those speculators who chase after the high prices would suffer huge loss when the momentum is stopped one day.

In the last rally of global stock market, usually penny stocks including many junk stocks would go to higher optimism level, speculators may buy up (especially when stock prices rising over 2-10 times) without consideration of businesses, ignorant of price vs value. Sadly to say, this group of speculators (mainly applying tips strategy in action taking) may make some pocket money with over small gains of 10-20% but eventually may need to pay back over big losses of 50-90% to Mr Market when show hands at wrong time with more capitals in future trades of junk stocks with consideration of prices alone (happened several times before, including penny stock crisis many years ago with Blumont (SGX: A33), LionGold (SGX: A78), etc.

3) Hong Kong / China Giant Oil & Gas Stock: Kunlun Energy Company (HKEX: 135)

Kunlun Energy was a Temasek stock who was lucky to sell the stocks many years ago while the stock prices falling from peak of over $16/share in Year 2013 to $4/share during pandemic 2020. In fact, Kunlun Energy has been a little giant stock under giant parent company, PetroChina (HKEX: 857), No 2 largest Oil & Gas stock in the world. Kunlun is a small cap company with integrated LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) businesses.

Kunlun Energy has strong business fundamental but share prices have been affected by bearish crude oil and natural gas prices. Natural gas usually is a byproduct of crude oil drilling, therefore both Oil & Gas stocks are strongly correlated in both businesses and share prices within similar sector, despite the applications are different. Even the future world may not need crude oil one day, becoming 100% green energy, still needs natural gas to produce electricity.

So, popularity of electric vehicles would not eliminate traditional energy sources of crude oil and natural gas. Buying technology giant stocks such as Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) is mainly investing in future (pretty picture with higher uncertainty), while buying Oil & Gas giant stocks, are based on proven current business (low-hanging fruits). An investor may make decision with known facts (which sometimes may last for decades, no need to predict into future which may not come within one’s lifetime.

Over the last 1 year of pandemic, Kunlun Energy recovers in share prices from $4/share to over $9/share with over 100% capital gains. Over the past few months, Dr Tee has shared Kunlun Energy with both Ein55 Graduates and monthly free 4hr public webinars (www.ein55.com), those who take actions recently could profit in both one-time special dividend yield of 32% (mainly due to disposal of an asset) and over 20% capital gains since Ex-Dividend on 31 May 2021 till now.

Kunlun Energy is still a momentum stock for trading, certain trading platform may not adjust for 32% dividend yield on 31 May 2021, then investor has to take note of the 30% price ($9 to $6) differences. It may also be considered for longer term investing (current price is still near to low Ein55 optimism level) with Ein55 Intrinsic Value nearly $18. However, this stock is highly cyclical, may not be suitable for low risk tolerance investor (even Temasek sold it in the last bearish cycle), despite business fundamental is excellent with strong sponsor (PetroChina), share price could fluctuate more than indices.

Volatility could be friend for traders while low optimism (price lower than value) could be friend for investors. So, an investor has to confirm PA (Personal Analysis), aligning the investing strategies with own unique personality (eg. short term trading or long term investing). PA is an anchor point to avoid drifting of position due to emotional stock market. “Copy and Paste” of other people’s best stocks or successes may not work without internalization.

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Due to sector rotation with weakening of USD, commodity market is recovering steadily from low optimism in last few years, now approaching mid optimism of fair value, attracting potential short term traders to follow the uptrend prices of commodity stocks (oil & gas, agricultural, precious metals, etc).

Value investor has option to enter these lower Ein55 Optimism stocks at much lower prices (Buy Low Sell High) with contrarian investing (supporting by high dividend yield). Short term traders would enter at much higher prices (Buy high sell higher), following trends.

Either long term investing or short term trading could make money in stocks. A common way could not make money is simply do nothing, waiting for inflation to depreciate the cash by -2% yearly which is sure loss over long term. Cash is King only when used at the right time, not keeping forever.

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There are over 2000 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

View quick preview video below, Dr Tee will introduce 10 key stock investment strategies (股票投资十招) to be learned in 4hr free stock webinar:

Register Here (Dr Tee Free 4hr Stock Webinar): www.ein55.com

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Filed Under: Commodity Market, Macroeconomy, Market Cycle Investing, Stock Market Tagged: commodity, crude oil, Hong Kong Market, oil & gas, temasek, US Stocks

Seasonality Effect with Ex-Dividend Months on Singapore Stock Market (2009-2021)

Posted on May 31, 2021 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

Seasonality or Monthly Effect (stock index vs month/year) is strong for months of May and August for Singapore stock market, especially 30 STI component stocks. This is mainly related to Ex-dividend dates for 30 STI in Singapore but may not apply to smaller cap giant stocks which continue to be bullish in month of May. Learn further from Dr Tee on details of this unique Singapore stock myth.

For recent May 2021, STI ends with only 1+% lower but still it is a mini “bear” month, aligning with myth of “Sell in May and Go Away“. As we could see from the Seasonality Chart (2009 June – 2021 May) for Singapore stock market, over the past 12 years, for the month of May, 10 years were down (including this month, May 2021), only 2 years were bullish. For month of August, Singapore STI index is even worse, 11 years were down, only 1 year was up (last year, 2020, mainly due to pandemic recovery).

By right, there is no logic to strong monthly or seasonality effect (occurring 10-11 times over the past 12 years, bearish for months of May and August) but Singapore stock market is unique, especially many 30 STI component stocks are dividend stocks / REITs, certain month of ex-dividend dates, price adjustment after dividend payment could be stronger than usual stock market force of the month.

For example, out of the 6 biggest market cap STI stocks: DBS Bank (SGX: D05), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), JMH – Jardine Matheson Holdings (SGX: J36), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Singtel (SGX: Z74) and Wilmar International (SGX: F34) (6 stocks contributing to about 57% of STI), all 6/6 Ex-dividend in month of August while 3/6 also Ex-dividend in month of May. This may explain why Singapore stock market is nearly always bearish in the months of August and May, mainly to adjust for price after dividend payment (filling the quarterly or half-yearly dividend yield of around 1-3%), also to fulfill the global myth to “Sell in May”. MAS may adjust or lifted the 60% dividend payment cap imposed over the past 1 year for 3 major banks, this could result in strong Ex-dividend effect from Q2/2021 (starting with DBS with quarterly dividend payment), affecting more on volatility of 30 STI in coming month of August.

So, it may not be a good idea to invest in Singapore dividend stocks just before the Ex-dividend date, as the price correction (capital loss) after Ex-dividend date could be more than the dividend received. It is smarter to invest dividend stocks a few months in advance while the share price starts to recover from intermediate low due to market fear or bearish market. Alternatively, focusing on any giant stock (may or may not be dividend stocks, not limited to 30 STI component stocks) with strong price and business performance).

When there are more believers in certain myth, then it could affect the local market. Hong Kong and Japan also has similar myth, for example when movie star Adam Cheng (郑少秋) has new TV drama showing, HK share price would drop. Japan has similar related belief but influence varies.

In fact, there are quite a few small or mid cap giant Singapore stocks, eg. Propnex (SGX: OYY), Union Gas Holdings (SGX: 1F2), iFAST Corporation (SGX: AIY), The Hour Glass (SGX: AGS), Cortina Holdings (SGX: C41), Q&M Dental Group (Singapore) (SGX: QC7), Raffles Medical Group (SGX: BSL), etc, which Dr Tee has mentioned in earlier educational posts or free webinars, continue to surge over 20-30% in bearish month of May, opposite in trend with STI.

So, selection of right stocks (Level 1) in right sectors (Level 2) in right country (Level 3) is crucial. In general, Singapore and US stock markets remain relatively more bullish than other global stock exchanges since early 2021. So, it is a good choice to focus in Singapore stock market, both for short term momentum trading and long term cyclic / dividend investing.

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There are over 1500 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

Filed Under: Macroeconomy, Market Cycle Investing, Market Outlook Tagged: crisis stock investing, dividend stock, Singapore Market

7 Singapore Growth Stocks for 2021 Year of Bull (牛气冲天)

Posted on January 17, 2021 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

Global stock markets are bullish in Year of Bull 2021, even Singapore STI Index is above 3000 points again after 1 year of COVID-19 stock crisis. New US President, Joe Biden, is printing more money with QE, an easy way for stock market to surge with quicker recovery of economy. For investors who may miss the lower entry points last year, may consider long term growth stock investing or short term momentum trading strategies to ride the bullish wave of growth stocks with recovery of pandemic after global vaccination.

In this Dr Tee 2.5-hr video education (7 Growth Stocks for 2021 Year of Bull), you will learn Market Outlook 2021 for Singapore and Malaysia with 7 growth and momentum giant stocks recovering in 7 sectors during pandemic, having high upside potential:
1) Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68) – Finance Growth Stock
2) Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92) – F&B Growth Stock
3) Vicom Limited (SGX: WJP) – Transportation Growth Stock
4) Parkwaylife REIT (SGX: C2PU) – REIT Growth Stock
5) Raffles Medical Group (SGX: BSL) – Healthcare Growth Stock
6) Micro-Mechanics Holdings (SGX: 5DD) – Technology Momentum Stock
7) Cortina Holdings (SGX: C41) – Consumer Discretionary Momentum Stock

Here is Dr Tee Free 2.5-hr Video Course (suitable for bilingual learners: verbal presentation in Chinese, written notes in English, technical charts for everyone). Enjoy and give your comments for improvement. You may subscribe to Dr Tee Youtube channel (Ein Tee) for future Dr Tee video talks.

Dr Tee Video Course: https://youtu.be/YPVBC5rDQqg

在这Dr Tee 2.5小时教育视频（2021牛气冲天的7只成长股），您可学习：
1) 新加坡交易所 (SGX: S68) – 金融成长股
2) 泰国酿酒 (SGX: Y92) – 餐饮成长股
3) 维康 (SGX: WJP) – 交通成长股
4) 百汇生命 (SGX: C2PU) – 房地产信托成长股
5) 莱佛士医疗 (SGX: BSL) – 医疗成长股
6) 微机械 (SGX: 5DD) – 科技动量股
7) 高登 (SGX: C41) – 非必需消费品动量股

这儿是 Dr Tee 免费2.5小时华语课程（适合双语学员：华语表达，英语讲义，图表皆通）。请欣赏鄙作，留言求进步。您可订阅 Dr Tee Youtube 频道(Ein Tee)，链接未来投资视频。

Dr Tee 华语视频: https://youtu.be/YPVBC5rDQqg

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Here are 7 groups of related Singapore stocks in 7 sectors but a smart investor should only focus on giant stocks.

1) Banking & Finance Sector is more cyclical in nature, following economy cycles, worst time is over, could benefit from recovery of pandemic. There are 30 Banking & Finance Stocks in Singapore including Singapore Exchange (Giant Stock):

AMTD IB OV (SGX: HKB), B&M Hldg (SGX: CJN), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Edition (SGX: 5HG), G K Goh (SGX: G41), Global Investment (SGX: B73), Great Eastern (SGX: G07), Hong Leong Finance (SGX: S41), Hotung Investment (SGX: BLS), IFAST Corporation (SGX: AIY), IFS Capital (SGX: I49), Intraco (SGX: I06), Maxi-Cash Finance (SGX: 5UF), MoneyMax Finance (SGX: 5WJ), Net Pacific Finance (SGX: 5QY), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), Pacific Century (SGX: P15), Prudential USD (SGX: K6S), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), SHS (SGX: 566), Sing Investments & Finance (SGX: S35), Singapore Reinsurance (SGX: S49), Singapura Finance (SGX: S23), TIH (SGX: T55), Uni-Asia Group (SGX: CHJ), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS (SGX: U10), UOI (SGX: U13), ValueMax (SGX: T6I), Vibrant Group (SGX: BIP).

2) Food & Beverages Sector is more defensive in nature, affected mainly during early stage of COVID-19 during circuit breaker, could benefit from recovery of pandemic. There are 48 F&B Stocks in Singapore including Thai Beverage (Giant Stock):

Abterra (SGX: L5I), Acma (SGX: AYV), Amara Holdings (SGX: A34), Bonvests Holdings (SGX: B28), ChasWood Resources (SGX: 5TW), China Fishery (SGX: B0Z), China Kangda Food (SGX: P74), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), Del Monte Pacific (SGX: D03), Delfi (SGX: P34), Dukang (SGX: BKV), Envictus (SGX: BQD), Food Empire Holdings (SGX: F03), Fraser and Neave F&N (SGX: F99), Hosen Group (SGX: 5EV), Japan Foods Holding (SGX: 5OI), Japfa (SGX: UD2), JB Foods (SGX: BEW), Jumbo Group (SGX: 42R), Katrina Group (SGX: 1A0), Khong Guan (SGX: K03), Kimly (SGX: 1D0), Koufu (SGX: VL6), Luzhou Bio-Chem (SGX: L46), Mewah International (SGX: MV4), Neo (SGX: 5UJ), No Signboard Holdings (SGX: 1G6), Old Chang Kee (SGX: 5ML), OneApex (SGX: 5SY), Pacific Andes (SGX: P11), Pavillon (SGX: 596), QAF (SGX: Q01), Sakae (SGX: 5DO), SATS (SGX: S58), Sheng Siong (SGX: OV8), Shopper360 (SGX: 1F0), Sino Grandness (SGX: T4B), Soup Restaurant (SGX: 5KI), ST Group Food (SGX: DRX), SunMoon Food (SGX: AAJ), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), Tung Lok Restaurants (SGX: 540), United Food (SGX: AZR), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), Yamada Green Resources (SGX: BJV), Yeo Hiap Seng (SGX: Y03), Zhongxin Fruit (SGX: 5EG).

3) Transportation Sector has been in serious crisis during COVID-19 due to social distancing, need more time than other sectors to recover from pandemic. There are 24 Transportation Stocks in Singapore including Vicom (Giant Stock):

Baker Technology (SGX: BTP), CH Offshore (SGX: C13), COSCO Shipping International Singpore (SGX: F83), Chuan Hup Holdings (SGX: C33), ComfortDelGro Corporation (SGX: C52), Ezra Holdings (SGX: 5DN), First Ship Lease Trust (SGX: D8DU), Grand Banks Yachts (SGX: G50), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Keppel Corporation (SGX: BN4), MS Holdings (SGX: 40U), MTQ Corporation (SGX: M05), Pan-United Corporation (SGX: P52), Penguin International (SGX: BTM), SBS Transit (SGX: S61), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Samudera Shipping Line (SGX: S56), Sembcorp Marine (SGX: S51), Seroja Investments (SGX: IW5), Singapore Shipping Corporation (SGX: S19), Tan Chong International (SGX: T15), VICOM Limited (SGX: WJP), Vibrant Group (SGX: BIP).

4) REIT Sector is more defensive than other sectors, rental income is not much affected by COVID-19, could benefit from recovery of pandemic. There are 52 REITs and Business Trusts Stocks in Singapore including Parkwaylife REIT (Giant Stock):

AIMS APAC Reit (SGX: O5RU), ARA Hospitality Trust USD (SGX: XZL), ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust (SGX: K2LU), Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), Ascendas India Trust (SGX: CY6U), Ascott Trust (SGX: HMN), Asian Pay Tv Trust (SGX: S7OU), BHG Retail Reit (SGX: BMGU), CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U), CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), CapitaLand Retail China Tr (SGX: AU8U), CDL Hospitality Trust (SGX: J85), Cromwell Reit EUR (SGX: CNNU), Cromwell Reit SGD (SGX: CSFU), Dasin Retail Trust (SGX: CEDU), Eagle Hospitality Trust USD (SGX: LIW), EC World Reit (SGX: BWCU), Elite Commercial Reit (SGX: MXNU), ESR-REIT (SGX: J91U), Far East Hospitality Trust (SGX: Q5T), First Reit (SGX: AW9U), Frasers Centrepoint Trust (SGX: J69U), Frasers Hospitality Trust (SGX: ACV), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), FSL Trust (SGX: D8DU), HPH Trust SGD (SGX: P7VU), HPH Trust USD (SGX: NS8U), IREIT Global (SGX: UD1U), Keppel Infrastructure Trust (SGX: A7RU), Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT (SGX: CMOU), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Keppel Reit (SGX: K71U), Lendlease Reit (SGX: JYEU), Lippo Malls Trust (SGX: D5IU), Manulife Reit (SGX: BTOU), Mapletree Commmercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (SGX: RW0U), NetLink NBN Trust (SGX: CJLU), OUE Commercial Reit (SGX: TS0U), ParkwayLife Reit (SGX: C2PU), Prime US Reit (SGX: OXMU), RHT HealthTrust (SGX: RF1U), Sabana Reit (SGX: M1GU), Sasseur Reit (SGX: CRPU), Soilbuild Business Space Reit (SGX: SV3U), SPH Reit (SGX: SK6U), Starhill Global Reit (SGX: P40U), Suntec Reit (SGX: T82U), United Hampshire US Reit (SGX: ODBU).

5) Healthcare Sector has different responses to COVID-19 (benefited or affected), both could benefit from recovery of pandemic but stock performance would vary. There are 37 Healthcare Stocks in Singapore including Raffles Medical (Giant Stock):

Accrelist Ltd (SGX: QZG), Alliance Healthcare (SGX: MIJ), Aoxin Q & M Dental (SGX: 1D4), Asia Vets Holdings (SGX: 5RE), AsiaMedic (SGX: 505), Asian Healthcare Specialists (SGX: 1J3), Beverly JCG (SGX: VFP), Biolidics (SGX: 8YY), Cordlife (SGX: P8A), First Reit (SGX: AW9U), Haw Par Corporation (SGX: H02), HC Surgical Specialists (SGX: 1B1), Healthway Medical Corporation (SGX: 5NG), Hyphens Pharma International (SGX: 1J5), IHH Healthcare (SGX: Q0F), ISEC Healthcare (SGX: 40T), IX Biopharma (SGX: 42C), Lonza Group (SGX: O6Z), Medinex (SGX: OTX), Medtecs International Corporation (SGX: 546), OUE Lippo Healthcare (SGX: 5WA), ParkwayLife Reit (SGX: C2PU), Pharmesis International (SGX: BFK), Q&M Dental Group (SGX: QC7), QT Vascular (SGX: 5I0), Raffles Medical Group (SGX: BSL), RHT Health Trust (SGX: RF1U), Riverstone Holdings (SGX: AP4), SingMedical Group (SGX: 5OT), Suntar Eco-City (SGX: BKZ), TalkMed (SGX: 5G3), Thomson Medical Group (SGX: A50), Tianjin Zhong Xin Pharmaceutical Group (SGX: T14), Top Glove Corporation (SGX: BVA), Trendlines Group (SGX: 42T), UG Healthcare Corporation (SGX: 41A), Vicplas International (SGX: 569).

6) Technology Sector has benefited from COVID-19, especially for online related stocks, future stock market responses would vary, depending on type of technology. There are 88 Technology Stocks in Singapore including Micro-Mechanics (Giant Stock):

Accrelist Limited (SGX: QZG), Acma Limited (SGX: AYV), Advanced Systems Automation (SGX: 5TY), Adventus Holdings (SGX: 5EF), AEI Corporation (SGX: AWG), AEM Holdings (SGX: AWX), Allied Technologies Limited (SGX: A13), Amplefield Limited (SGX: AOF), Asian Micro Holdings (SGX: 585), ASTI Holdings (SGX: 575), Avi Tech Electronics (SGX: BKY), Ban Leong Technologies (SGX: B26), CDW Holding (SGX: BXE), CEI Limited (SGX: AVV), CFM Holdings (SGX: 5EB), Chuan Hup Holdings (SGX: C33), CPH Limited (SGX: 539), Creative Technology (SGX: C76), Datapulse Technology (SGX: BKW), Dragon Group International (SGX: MT1), Dutech Holdings (SGX: CZ4), Duty Free International (SGX: 5SO), Ellipsiz Limited (SGX: BIX), Excelpoint Technology (SGX: BDF), Frencken Group (SGX: E28), Global Invacom Group (SGX: QS9), Global Testing Corporation (SGX: AYN), GP Industries (SGX: G20), Grand Venture Technology (SGX: JLB), HGH Holdings (SGX: 5GZ), Hu An Cable Holdings (SGX: KI3), ICP Limited (SGX: 5I4), Jadason Enterprises (SGX: J03), JEP Holdings (SGX: 1J4), Karin Technology Holdings (SGX: K29), Ley Choon Group (SGX: Q0X), Libra Group (SGX: 5TR), Manufacturing Integration Technology (SGX: M11), Maruwa Yen1k (SGX: M12), MeGroup Limited (SGX: SJY), Micro-Mechanics Holdings (SGX: 5DD), Plastoform Holdings (SGX: AYD), Polaris Limited (SGX: 5BI), Powermatic Data Systems (SGX: BCY), Renaissance United (SGX: I11), Serial System (SGX: S69), SEVAK Limited (SGX: BAI), Shinvest Holding (SGX: BJW), Sunright Limited (SGX: S71), Sunrise Shares Holdings (SGX: 581), SUTL Enterprise (SGX: BHU), Thakral Corporation (SGX: AWI), The Place Holdings (SGX: E27), Trek 2000 International (SGX: 5AB), TT International (SGX: T09), UMS Holdings (SGX: 558), Valuetronics Holdings (SGX: BN2), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Willas-Array Electronics Holdings (SGX: BDR), World Precision Machinery (SGX: B49), Alpha Energy Holdings (SGX: 5TS), Alset International (SGX: 40V), Artivision Technologies (SGX: 5NK), Asiatravel.com Holdings (SGX: 5AM), A-Smart Holdings (SGX: BQC), Azeus Systems Holdings (SGX: BBW), Boustead Singapore Limited (SGX: F9D), Captii (SGX: AWV), Challenger Technologies (SGX: 573), CSE Global (SGX: 544), DISA (SGX: 532), International Press Softcom (SGX: 571), ISDN Holdings (SGX: I07), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Koyo International (SGX: 5OC), M Development (SGX: N14), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), New Silkroutes Group (SGX: BMT), New Wave Holdings (SGX: 5FX), PEC (SGX: IX2), Plato Capital (SGX: YYN), Procurri Corporation (SGX: BVQ), Rich Capital Holdings (SGX: 5G4), Silverlake Axis (SGX: 5CP), SinoCloud Group (SGX: 5EK), Stratech Group (SGX: BRR), Synagie Corp (SGX: V2Y), YuuZoo Networks Group Corp (SGX: AFC).

7) Consumer Sector has different responses in COVID-19 crisis, Consumer Staple Sector benefited in early stage of COVID-19 while Consumer Discretionary Sector has more potential in recovery stage of pandemic. There are 40 Consumer Stocks in Singapore including Cortina (Giant Stock):

Aspial Corporation (SGX: A30), BHG Retail Reit (SGX: BMGU), Camsing Healthcare (SGX: BAC), CapitaLand Retail China Trust (SGX: AU8U), Challenger Technologies (SGX: 573), China Sports (SGX: FQ8), Choo Chiang Holdings (SGX: 42E), Cortina Holdings (SGX: C41), Dairy Farm International Holdings (SGX: D01), Duty Free International (SGX: 5SO), Epicentre Holdings (SGX: 5MQ), EuroSports Global (SGX: 5G1), FJ Benjamin Holdings (SGX: F10), Gallant Venture (SGX: 5IG), Hafary Holdings (SGX: 5VS), Hatten Land (SGX: PH0), Isetan Singapore (SGX: I15), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Strategic Holdings (SGX: J37), Koda Limited (SGX: BJZ), Koufu Group (SGX: VL6), LifeBrandz Limited (SGX: 1D3), Lorenzo International (SGX: 5IE), Mercurius Capital Investment (SGX: 5RF).

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

Filed Under: Macroeconomy, Market Outlook, Stock Market Tagged: covid-19, crisis stock, growth stock

Boat of Opportunity Coming for COVID-19 Stock Rally

Posted on November 25, 2020 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

COVID-19 vaccine likely will get FDA approval soon, then will be injected ASAP to millions of people globally by end of Dec 2020, before extending to billions of people in the next 6-12 months to end the pandemic permanently. In fact, even 2/3 people are protected, enough to terminate COVID-19 virus naturally as spreading path will be limited when over 60% people have immunity.

Stock market is forward looking, economy is the “master” who walk the “dog” which is stock market taking the lead. For conventional investor who waits for confirmation of economy recovery may miss the early boat of COVID-19 stock crisis recovery rally

There are 2 main investing and trading strategies during any major stock crisis (including COVID-19 pandemic):

1) Average Down (Bear Market)

This is mainly suitable for cyclic / dividend / undervalue stocks which share prices are declining into lower optimism. Dividend yield of 2% – 10% would help to strengthen holding power of investor during “winter time” of stock crisis. Now it is the time for this group of contrarian investors to benefit in coming summer of bullish stock market with tremendous capital gains.

2) Average Up (Bull Market)

This is mainly suitable for growth / momentum stocks with uptrend prices, eg technology / software and COVID-19 beneficiary stocks (eg healthcare, glove, etc). This strategy is sensitive to price trend (especially momentum trading), therefore recently there is sector rotation with changing of momentum to COVID-19 affected stocks (those average down stocks now become potential average up stocks).

It is fine if stock investors have missed the past 8 months of stock “crisis” to buy low (i.e. average down). Now the investors should not miss the change of “average up” but careful choice of growth / momentum stocks in the right sector is crucial for success as share price is getting higher (but still moderate low optimism).

The old saying of “Crisis is Opportunity” is correct for the past decades of market cycle every 5-10+ years, again proven correct for COVID-19 stock crisis. However, this is conditional the investment has to be a giant stock. If not, “Buy Low” may “Get Lower” or even going bankrupt.

=====================================================

Congratulations to success of Ein55 graduates who dare to overcome own biggest enemy (oneself) to take action, “Be Greedy when others are fearful”. I have received many positive students feedback, here are a few examples:

– over 40% DBS gains + over 20% OCBC gains when investing since Mar 2020

– over 50% gains in Nov 2020 for an US giant bank stock (cyclic)

– over 40% gains in an online HR technology stock (growth)

– over 25% gains in Nov 2020 for 2 oil & gas giant stocks (cyclic + dividend)

– and many other global giant stocks (there are total over 1500 giant stocks following Dr Tee giant stock criteria).

It is never too late to learn stock investment. You have not missed the investment opportunity yet (despite recent stock rally) as there are at least 10 different strategies in stock investing and trading, some adjustments are required for the current global stock market, different from the past 8 months of pandemic. It is important to master the skills quickly within the next 6 months, in order not to miss the last few boats of opportunities for COVID-19 stock crisis (should be called “rally” now).

Once day, the rally would become crisis again, therefore an investor has to master such investment clock for Stocks, Properties, Forex (including bitcoin), Commodities and Bonds.

Filed Under: Macroeconomy, Market Cycle Investing, Stock Market Tagged: covid-19, crisis stock investing, cyclic investing stock, stock rally

Last Few Trains for COVID-19 Stock Crisis Recovery Rally

Posted on November 17, 2020 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

Global stock markets see strong light at the end of tunnel recently with confirmation of Biden as new US president and news COVID-19 vaccine over 90% effectiveness. During early phase of pandemic, Dr Tee students learned to apply defensive dividend stock strategies to consider Asian giant stocks at low optimism (average down strategy), balancing with growth investing / momentum trading (average up strategy) in bullish US giant stocks.

The stock market this time is different from last 8 months of V-shape recovery limited to a few sectors (eg. Technology / Software, Healthcare / Glove, etc). There are sectors rotation, focusing more on cyclical stocks (eg. banks and oil & gas) and COVID-19 affected stocks are recovering quickly, resulting in global surge in share prices, over 10-40% over the past few weeks.

Even for lagging Singapore stock market, 30 STI component blue chip stocks have started to surge together with the world stock market:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

If Biden could get support from Congress after 20 Jan 2021 to print more money with QE (Quantitative Easing), the potential stock market upside is enormous, especially when more proven vaccines are manufactured and injected globally, allowing more people to interact again, as if a reborn of world economy which would drive the stock market further up.

Stock market is forward looking, will not wait for the economy to be strong first. Since the vaccine development and implementation is considered nearly known unknown, global stock market is getting stronger with more confirmation news.

Crisis is opportunity (eg. 1997 Asian Financial Crisis, 2003 SARS / Gulf War, 2008-2009 Subprime crisis, including COVID-19 pandemic in 2020-2021), it is never too late to consider stock investing and trading now but one has to master what to buy with global giant stocks, following by the unique investment clock of when to buy and sell.

Congratulations to graduation of 6-day Ein55 class in Nov 2020, together with recent graduates in July – Oct 2020 classes, catching the last few trains for global stock market recovery rally. During pandemic, they took the courage to learn in 6-day Ein55 class (www.ein55.com/course) with both Meet-up / Live Zoom options, including Singapore and overseas students (Malaysia, Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Qatar, etc).

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar.

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

Filed Under: Macroeconomy, Market Cycle Investing, Stock Market Tagged: covid-19, market outlook, stock market crisis

Download Dr Tee 2 eBooks for Stock Market 2021 with Joe Biden as US President during Pandemic

Posted on November 8, 2020 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

Fresh from Oven: Download the latest 2 FREE high-quality stock investment eBooks by Dr Tee on (1) “Global Market Outlook 2021”, covering comprehensive investment topics: Stock, Property, Commodity, Forex, Bond and Political Economy & (2) “Dream Team Portfolio 2021” with Top 10 global stocks for capital gains and passive incomes. Past readers have benefited both stock investment ebook, learning Simple and Powerful strategies which deliver incredible results in stocks.

Are you worried or excited about the current global stock market with impact of COVID-19 pandemic especially with the new US President, Joe Biden? Every crisis is an opportunity for investing. You will learn useful methods step by step from 2 valuable FREE stock investment eBook by Dr Tee which work in stock market. Take action now to surprise yourself!

Dr Tee 刚完成2本投资秘籍。《环球市场展望2021》书内覆盖很多在环球主要市场 (美国、新加坡、香港、中国、欧洲) 的投资议题及提供解决方法。《10大梦幻股票2021》书则分享了各种实用投资策略于10大高潜能股票。很多读者已经从Dr Tee过去发表的股票投资书中受惠，大家可在Dr Tee 的最新报告中洞悉环球市场目前面对的风险及机遇。

Table of Contents (FREE Stock Investment eBook #1):
Global Stock Market Outlook 2021

Mass Market Sentiment Survey （大众市场情绪调查）
Review of Global Stock Markets （环球股市回顾）
US Market Outlook （美国市场展望）
Regional Market Outlook (Europe, China, Hong Kong) （区域市场展望）
Singapore Market Outlook (Stock & Property) （新加坡市场展望）
Conclusions and Recommendations （总结及建议）

Table of Contents (FREE Stock Investment eBook #2):
Top 10 Global Stocks – Dream Team Portfolio 2021

Personalized Stock Investment Portfolio （个人化股票投资组合）
Ein55 Global Top 10 Stocks （10大全球高潜能股票）
Summary of Actions （投资方向总结）

Download Dr Tee 2 eBooks Here: http://eepurl.com/P8i61

Filed Under: Macroeconomy, Market Cycle Investing, Stock Market, Value Investing Tagged: ebook, market outlook

111 Singapore S-Chip and Greater China Stocks (龙潭虎穴)

Posted on October 2, 2020 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

China is world No 2 economy, therefore there are many China business related stocks in the world (Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, US). The quality of China related stocks could vary significantly, including 111 S-Chip stocks in Singapore with 20% weak stocks are suspended and also some strong China stocks could double the share price in a short period.

In this article, you will learn from Dr Tee on 4 China related Giant Stocks which are efficient in making money with strong business growth in Greater China market (China, Hong Kong, Taiwan). Bonus for readers who could read every words of the entire article, learning unique strategy for each giant stock.

1) Singapore All-Rounded Giant Stock (S-Chip / A-Share)

– Tianjin Zhongxin Pharmaceutical Group (SGX: T14 / China Shanghai: 600329, 天津中新药业)

2) China / Hong Kong Giant Bank Stock (H-Share / A-Share)

– Industrial And Commercial Bank Of China, ICBC (China Shanghai: 601398 / HKEX: 1398, 中國工商銀行)

3) China F&B Giant Stock (A-Share)

– Kweichow Moutai (China Shanghai: 600519, 貴州茅台酒)

4) Taiwan Technology Giant Stock (ADR)

– Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, TSMC (Taiwan: 2330 / NYSE: TSM, 台積電)

After China joining WTO since 2001, it has opened up its door to the world, including many global stocks in different stock markets, eg. Singapore (S-Chip), China (A-Share), Hong Kong (H-Share), US (ADR), etc. Greater China market includes China, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, which is a fast rising region, attracting global investors.

In fact, reputation of S-Chip (China business with stock listed in Singapore) is relatively low as 20% of these stocks (24 / 111 stocks) have been suspended as of now due to various reasons, including poor businesses, not following SGX codes of business practices, potential scandals, etc. This concern is also observed in global stock exchanges for other China related stocks in Hong Kong (H-Share) or even in US, eg. Luckin Coffee (NASDAQ: LK) with “excellent” financial report but proven was not reported truthfully. Greed could make a business choose shortcut to achieve the goal. So, a stock investor has to make an integrated analysis of China related stocks, taking calculated risks to ride the uptrend wave of businesses.

There are 111 S-chip or China related Stocks in Singapore, making money with businesses in Greater China (龙潭虎穴):

AnAn International (SGX: Y35), Anchun International Holdings (SGX: BTX), AnnAik Limited (SGX: A52), ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust (SGX: K2LU), BM Mobility (SGX: I9T), Bund Center Investment Ltd (SGX: BTE), CapitaLand Retail China Trust (SGX: AU8U), Chasen Holdings (SGX: 5NV), China Aviation Oil Singapore Corp (SGX: G92), China Environment (SGX: 5OU), China Everbright Water (SGX: U9E), China Fishery (SGX: B0Z), China Great Land (SGX: D50), China Haida (SGX: C92), China Hongxing Sports (SGX: BR9), China International Holdings (SGX: BEH), China Jishan Holdings (SGX: J18), China Mining (SGX: BHD), China Paper Holdings (SGX: C71), China Real Estate Group (SGX: 5RA), China Sky Chem (SGX: E90), China Sports (SGX: FQ8), China Yuanbang Property Holdings (SGX: BCD), China Kangda Food Company (SGX: P74), China Kunda Technology Holdings (SGX: GU5), , Combine Will International Holdings (SGX: N0Z), COSCO Shipping International Singapore (SGX: F83), Courage Investment Group (SGX: CIN), Darco Water Technologies (SGX: BLR), Debao Property Development (SGX: BTF), Dukang Distillers Holdings (SGX: BKV), Dutech Holdings (SGX: CZ4), Emerging Towns & Cities Singapore (SGX: 1C0), Fabchem China (SGX: BFT), First Sponsor Group (SGX: ADN), Full Apex (SGX: BTY), Fuxing China Group (SGX: AWK), Global Invacom Group (SGX: QS9), Green Build Technology (SGX: Y06), Guoan International (SGX: G11), Healthway Medical Cor (SGX: 5NG), Hi-P International (SGX: H17), Hutchison Port Holdings Trust SGD (SGX: P7VU), Hutchison Port Holdings Trust USD (SGX: NS8U), Hu An Cable Holdings (SGX: KI3), Hyflux Limited (SGX: 600), IEV Holdings (SGX: 5TN), Japfa Limited (SGX: UD2), Jason Marine Group (SGX: 5PF), JES International Holdings (SGX: EG0), Jiutian Chemical Group (SGX: C8R), Joyas International Holdings (SGX: E9L), KOP Limited (SGX: 5I1), LCT Holdings (SGX: BJL), Leader Environmental Technologies Limited (SGX: LS9), Lion Asiapac Limited (SGX: BAZ), Luzhou Bio-chem Technology Limited (SGX: L46), Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (SGX: RW0U), Memstar Technology (SGX: 5MS), Mercurius Capital Investment (SGX: 5RF), Midas Holdings (SGX: 5EN), Mirach Energy Limited (SGX: AWO), MMP Resources Ltd (SGX: F3V), Malaysia Smelting Corp (SGX: NPW), Natural Cool Holdings (SGX: 5IF), Net Pacific Financial Holdings (SGX: 5QY), Nordic Group (SGX: MR7), Ouhua Energy Holdings (SGX: AJ2), Pacific Andes Resources Development (SGX: P11), Pacific Century Regional Developments (SGX: P15), Pan Hong Holdings Group (SGX: P36), PEC Limited (SGX: IX2), Plastoform Holdings (SGX: AYD), Raffles Infrastructure Holdings (SGX: LUY), Sapphire Corp (SGX: BRD), SBI Offshore Limited (SGX: 5PL), SembCorp Industries Limited (SGX: U96), Shanghai Turbo Enterprises (SGX: AWM), Shangri-La Asia Limited (SGX: S07), SIIC Environment Holdings (SGX: BHK), Sinarmas Land Limited (SGX: A26), Sincap group (SGX: 5UN), Sing Holdings (SGX: 5IC), Sinjia Land Limited (SGX: 5HH), Sino Grandness Food Industry Group (SGX: T4B), Sinopipe Holdings (SGX: X06), Sinostar PEC Holdings (SGX: C9Q), Starland Holdings (SGX: 5UA), Straco Corporation (SGX: S85), Sunpower Group (SGX: 5GD), Suntar Eco City (SGX: BKZ), SunVic Chemical Holdings (SGX: A7S), Swing Media Technology Group (SGX: BEV), Thakral Corporation (SGX: AWI), Tianjin Zhongxin Pharmaceutical Group (SGX: T14), Tiong Seng Holdings (SGX: BFI), United Food Holdings (SGX: AZR), USP Group Limited (SGX: BRS), Valuetronics Holdings (SGX: BN2), Willas-Array Electronics Holdings (SGX: BDR), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), World Precision Machinery (SGX: B49), Yamada Green Resources (SGX: BJV), Yanlord Land Group (SGX: Z25), Yongmao Holdings (SGX: BKX), Yunnan Energy International (SGX: T43), Yangzijiang Shipbuilding YZJ CNY (SGX: SO7), Yangzijiang Shipbuilding YZJ SGD (SGX: BS6), Zhongmin Baihui Retail Group (SGX: 5SR).

From the table sorted below for 111 China related stocks in Singapore, only half are profitable (62 / 11 stocks were making money in businesses last year). Therefore, careful choices of giant China stocks are critical, some are at lower optimism share prices due to either stock market fear or actual business is affected during COVID-19 pandemic.

Most China related stocks in Singapore don’t pay dividend (only 41 / 11 stocks pay dividend). Even if they do, for example, Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (SGX: P7VU / NS8U) with over 9% dividend yield, are not good dividend stocks (despite backed by Li Ka-shing, Hong Kong richest man) due to weaker business fundamental.

Many S-Chip stocks (81 / 11) have Price-to-Book ratio ($ / NAV = PB) < 1 with discount over asset but majority do not have high quality asset related to cash or properties. “Buy Low” may get lower in share prices, a common mistake by beginner investor to buy a stock cheaply (eg. at historical low price) without considering the business fundamental and economic moat.

For most local and global China related stocks, main strategy would be cyclic investing or swing trading, therefore understanding of business and stock market cycle is much more important than undervalue price or dividend payment.

No	Name	Code	ROE (%)	Dividend Yield (%)	PB = Price /NAV
1	Alibaba Pictures Group	S91	–	–	1.80
2	AnAn International	Y35	–	–	1.23
3	Anchun International Holdings	BTX	3.94	10.5	0.04
4	AnnAik Limited	A52	3.34	4.7	0.31
5	ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust	K2LU	–	8.8	1.07
6	BM Mobility	I9T	–	–	4.38
7	Bund Center Investment Ltd	BTE	6.35	1.9	0.94
8	CapitaLand Retail China Trust	AU8U	8.83	8.3	0.72
9	Chasen Holdings	5NV	–	–	0.39
10	China Aviation Oil Singapore Corp	G92	11.96	5.1	0.70
11	China Environment	5OU	–	–	0.36
12	China Everbright Water	U9E	9.46	6.0	0.39
13	China Fishery	B0Z	5.13	–	0.15
14	China Great Land	D50	–	–	-0.19
15	China Haida	C92	–	–	0.05
16	China Hongxing Sports	BR9	–	–	-383.33
17	China International Holdings	BEH	5.61	–	0.32
18	China Jishan Holdings	J18	–	–	1.81
19	China Mining	BHD	–	–	0.41
20	China Paper Holdings	C71	3.24	–	0.13
21	China Real Estate Group	5RA	–	–	0.77
22	China Sky Chem	E90	–	–	0.06
23	China Sports	FQ8	–	–	0.13
24	China Yuanbang Property Holdings	BCD	5.99	–	0.09
25	China Kangda Food Company	P74	0.68	–	0.19
26	China Kunda Technology Holdings	GU5	–	–	1.20
27	China Sunsine Chemical Holdings	QES	15.182	3	0.6385
28	Combine Will International Holdings	N0Z	8.11	5.051	0.26
29	COSCO Shipping International Singapore	F83	1.38	–	0.77
30	Courage Investment Group	CIN	0.41	–	0.18
31	Darco Water Technologies	BLR	–	–	0.29
32	Debao Property Development	BTF	–	–	0.10
33	Dukang Distillers Holdings	BKV	–	–	0.03
34	Dutech Holdings	CZ4	7.98	3.9	0.45
35	Emerging Towns & Cities Singapore	1C0	5.76	–	0.19
36	Fabchem China	BFT	–	–	0.23
37	First Sponsor Group	ADN	10.43	1.851	0.78
38	Full Apex	BTY	–	–	0.08
39	Fuxing China Group	AWK	–	–	0.10
40	Global Invacom Group	QS9	–	–	0.39
41	Green Build Technology	Y06	–	–	0.30
42	Guoan International	G11	–	–	2.24
43	Healthway Medical Cor	5NG	–	–	0.79
44	Hi-P International	H17	13.51	2.473	1.47
45	Hutchison Port Holdings Trust SGD	P7VU	2.04	9.294	0.39
46	Hutchison Port Holdings Trust USD	NS8U	2.04	9.403	0.40
47	Hu An Cable Holdings	KI3	–	–	0.78
48	Hyflux Limited	600	–	–	-0.16
49	IEV Holdings	5TN	14.10	–	5.28
50	Japfa Limited	UD2	13.62	1.479	0.90
51	Jason Marine Group	5PF	8.80	3.497	0.60
52	JES International Holdings	EG0	-44.12	–	-2.77
53	Jiutian Chemical Group	C8R	–	–	1.28
54	Joyas International Holdings	E9L	–	–	3.75
55	KOP Limited	5I1	–	–	0.36
56	LCT Holdings	BJL	1.00	–	0.68
57	Leader Environmental Technologies Limited	LS9	–	–	4.27
58	Lion Asiapac Limited	BAZ	0.75	–	0.41
59	Luzhou Bio-chem Technology Limited	L46	–	–	-0.75
60	Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust	RW0U	2.62	7.688	0.66
61	Memstar Technology	5MS	–	–	-1.67
62	Mercurius Capital Investment	5RF	–	–	6.25
63	Midas Holdings	5EN	–	–	-7.71
64	Mirach Energy Limited	AWO	52.17	–	0.18
65	MMP Resources Ltd	F3V	–	–	-0.48
66	Malaysia Smelting Corp	NPW	9.01	2.532	0.90
67	Natural Cool Holdings	5IF	–	–	0.60
68	Net Pacific Financial Holdings	5QY	–	–	0.59
69	Nordic Group	MR7	9.87	4.06	0.95
70	Ouhua Energy Holdings	AJ2	7.48	–	0.27
71	Pacific Andes Resources Development	P11	8.47	–	0.09
72	Pacific Century Regional Developments	P15	2.97	8.63	0.81
73	Pan Hong Holdings Group	P36	15.44	3.722	0.37
74	PEC Limited	IX2	–	1.25	0.56
75	Plastoform Holdings	AYD	–	–	-0.34
76	Raffles Infrastructure Holdings	LUY	15.32	–	0.87
77	Sapphire Corp	BRD	4.55	–	0.22
78	SBI Offshore Limited	5PL	–	–	0.55
79	SembCorp Industries Limited	U96	3.07	3.786	0.41
80	Shanghai Turbo Enterprises	AWM	–	–	1.81
81	Shangri-La Asia Limited	S07	2.46	1.218	0.54
82	SIIC Environment Holdings	BHK	7.19	5.495	0.28
83	Sinarmas Land Limited	A26	15.14	2.332	0.25
84	Sincap group	5UN	1.03	–	0.04
85	Sing Holdings	5IC	15.35	4.868	0.51
86	Sinjia Land Limited	5HH	–	–	0.58
87	Sino Grandness Food Industry Group	T4B	6.35	–	0.03
88	Sinopipe Holdings	X06	–	–	-31.71
89	Sinostar PEC Holdings	C9Q	13.64	–	0.52
90	Starland Holdings	5UA	1.05	30	0.60
91	Straco Corporation	S85	13.21	5.057	1.62
92	Sunpower Group	5GD	7.96	0.476	1.07
93	Suntar Eco City	BKZ	0.03	–	2.47
94	SunVic Chemical Holdings	A7S	24.63	–	0.13
95	Swing Media Technology Group	BEV	4.76	–	0.09
96	Thakral Corporation	AWI	6.71	9.524	0.39
97	Tianjin Zhongxin Pharmaceutical Group	T14	11.61	5.373	0.79
98	Tiong Seng Holdings	BFI	3.99	3.596	0.24
99	United Food Holdings	AZR	–	–	0.13
100	USP Group Limited	BRS	–	–	0.25
101	Valuetronics Holdings	BN2	14.53	6.48	1.08
102	Willas-Array Electronics Holdings	BDR	–	–	0.31
103	Wilmar International	F34	7.72	2.839	1.22
104	World Precision Machinery	B49	1.85	5.364	0.34
105	Yamada Green Resources	BJV	2.25	–	0.99
106	Yanlord Land Group	Z25	11.86	6.018	0.39
107	Yongmao Holdings	BKX	7.68	0.283	0.40
108	Yunnan Energy International	T43	–	–	0.91
109	Yangzijiang Shipbuilding YZJ CNY	SO7	9.99	4.414	0.66
110	Yangzijiang Shipbuilding YZJ SGD	BS6	9.99	4.612	0.62
111	Zhongmin Baihui Retail Group	5SR	28.57	4.84	2.86

Due to globalization, most of the 30 STI component stocks have significant businesses in Greater China market (eg. Wilmar, Hongkong Land, etc), although they are not commonly labelled as S-Chip (such as Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, YZJ):

DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Singtel (SGX: Z74), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), HongkongLand (SGX: H78), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), City Development (SGX: C09) , CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), SATS (SGX: S58), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52).

An investor has to be selective in investing as some China related stocks in Singapore are weak (buy low may get lower in share price due to weak business, especially in a bearish stock market), despite some may have a beautiful Chinese name or belong to a promising China market but the competition is too intense, only giant China stocks could be profitable in longer term.

Here, let’s focus on 4 China related giant stocks in 4 different stock exchanges (Singapore, Hong Kong / China, Taiwan / US).

1) Singapore All-Rounded Giant Stock (S-Chip / A-Share)

– Tianjin Zhongxin Pharmaceutical Group (SGX: T14 / China Shanghai: 600329, 天津中新药业)

Despite Tianjin Zhongxin is much smaller than other pharmaceutical companies in China, it is a little giant stock. It is an all-rounded stock with many unique characteristic, eg cyclic, growth, dividend and even undervalue. This implies an investor or a trader would have more options but need to choose the right strategy aligning with own personality.

The stock is currently as lower optimism level, possible for long term cyclic investing to Buy Low but requires years of holding power before could sell high, supporting by steady business growth, even during COVID-19 pandemic. The company also distributes high dividend (about 5% dividend yield), suitable for holding but weakness is cyclic share prices may result in losses for shorter term traders, therefore trend-following strategy may be considered. The stock is listed in both Singapore (S-Chip) and China Shanghai (A-Share) with some differences in short term prices due to different market responses (eg. China stock market is relatively more bullish than Singapore stock market over the past 1 year).

Tianjin Zhongxin is a giant Singapore / China healthcare stock, much stronger than most of other 37 Singapore healthcare stocks in Singapore:

Accrelist Ltd (SGX: QZG), Alliance Healthcare (SGX: MIJ), Aoxin Q & M Dental (SGX: 1D4), Asia Vets Holdings (SGX: 5RE), AsiaMedic (SGX: 505), Asian Healthcare Specialists (SGX: 1J3), Beverly JCG (SGX: VFP), Biolidics (SGX: 8YY), Cordlife (SGX: P8A), First Reit (SGX: AW9U), Haw Par Corporation (SGX: H02), HC Surgical Specialists (SGX: 1B1), Healthway Medical Corporation (SGX: 5NG), Hyphens Pharma International (SGX: 1J5), IHH Healthcare (SGX: Q0F), ISEC Healthcare (SGX: 40T), IX Biopharma (SGX: 42C), Lonza Group (SGX: O6Z), Medinex (SGX: OTX), Medtecs International Corporation (SGX: 546), OUE Lippo Healthcare (SGX: 5WA), ParkwayLife Reit (SGX: C2PU), Pharmesis International (SGX: BFK), Q&M Dental Group (SGX: QC7), QT Vascular (SGX: 5I0), Raffles Medical Group (SGX: BSL), RHT Health Trust (SGX: RF1U), Riverstone Holdings (SGX: AP4), SingMedical Group (SGX: 5OT), Suntar Eco-City (SGX: BKZ), TalkMed (SGX: 5G3), Thomson Medical Group (SGX: A50), Tianjin Zhong Xin Pharmaceutical Group (SGX: T14), Top Glove Corporation (SGX: BVA), Trendlines Group (SGX: 42T), UG Healthcare Corporation (SGX: 41A), Vicplas International (SGX: 569).

2) China / Hong Kong Giant Bank Stock (H-Share/A-Share)

– Industrial And Commercial Bank Of China, ICBC (China Shanghai: 601398 / HKEX: 1398, 中國工商銀行)

ICBC is the world largest bank based on asset size, listed in both China Shanghai (A-Share) and Hong Kong (H-Share). It has steady business performance but the growth is limited over the past few years (transition from growth to mature company). It has attracted support of global funds including Temasek of Singapore as a major shareholder (8.4%).

The share price is at long term and medium term low optimism, could be considered for cyclic investing with Buy Low Sell High strategy but current bearish short term prices (sharp falling knife) could result in losses for a trader. In addition, the stock pays consistent dividend in the past, currently dividend yield is about 7%, reasonable for passive income investor.

ICBC is a giant China / Hong Kong bank stock, much stronger than most of 30 Singapore Banking & Finance stocks in Singapore:

AMTD IB OV (SGX: HKB), B&M Hldg (SGX: CJN), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Edition (SGX: 5HG), G K Goh (SGX: G41), Global Investment (SGX: B73), Great Eastern (SGX: G07), Hong Leong Finance (SGX: S41), Hotung Investment (SGX: BLS), IFAST Corporation (SGX: AIY), IFS Capital (SGX: I49), Intraco (SGX: I06), Maxi-Cash Finance (SGX: 5UF), MoneyMax Finance (SGX: 5WJ), Net Pacific Finance (SGX: 5QY), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), Pacific Century (SGX: P15), Prudential USD (SGX: K6S), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), SHS (SGX: 566), Sing Investments & Finance (SGX: S35), Singapore Reinsurance (SGX: S49), Singapura Finance (SGX: S23), TIH (SGX: T55), Uni-Asia Group (SGX: CHJ), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS (SGX: U10), UOI (SGX: U13), ValueMax (SGX: T6I), Vibrant Group (SGX: BIP).

3) China F&B Giant Stock (A-Share)

– Kweichow Moutai (China Shanghai: 600519, 貴州茅台酒)

Kweichow Moutai is a famous Chinese liquor stock, also the largest in the world, surpassing Diageo (LSE: DGE) since 2017, mainly supported by high growth share prices. Competitor, Wuliangye Yibin (Shenzhen: 000858, 宜宾五粮液), is also an alternative stock investment option, having strong business fundamental but growth is relatively slower than Moutai.

Moutai is a strong growth stock in long term and also a strong momentum stock in short term. So, either an investor or a trader may apply “Buy & Hold” strategy, with timeframe following own personality. The brand is a strong intangible asset for the company.

The liquor industry could be cyclic in longer time especially when there is any major change in China government policy, eg. about 10 years, due to anti-corruption campaign (eg. consumption or giving high price liquor as gift could be a common practice for decades), growth of Moutai Wuliangye was slow but start to gain momentum over the past few years. In a longer term, premium alcoholic beverages of Moutai and Wuliangye would have sustainable growth, supported by rising middle class population in China with stable growing economy.

Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye Yibin are giant China F&B stocks, much stronger than most of 48 Singapore F&B stocks in Singapore:

Abterra (SGX: L5I), Acma (SGX: AYV), Amara Holdings (SGX: A34), Bonvests Holdings (SGX: B28), ChasWood Resources (SGX: 5TW), China Fishery (SGX: B0Z), China Kangda Food (SGX: P74), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), Del Monte Pacific (SGX: D03), Delfi (SGX: P34), Dukang (SGX: BKV), Envictus (SGX: BQD), Food Empire Holdings (SGX: F03), Fraser and Neave F&N (SGX: F99), Hosen Group (SGX: 5EV), Japan Foods Holding (SGX: 5OI), Japfa (SGX: UD2), JB Foods (SGX: BEW), Jumbo Group (SGX: 42R), Katrina Group (SGX: 1A0), Khong Guan (SGX: K03), Kimly (SGX: 1D0), Koufu (SGX: VL6), Luzhou Bio-Chem (SGX: L46), Mewah International (SGX: MV4), Neo (SGX: 5UJ), No Signboard Holdings (SGX: 1G6), Old Chang Kee (SGX: 5ML), OneApex (SGX: 5SY), Pacific Andes (SGX: P11), Pavillon (SGX: 596), QAF (SGX: Q01), Sakae (SGX: 5DO), SATS (SGX: S58), Sheng Siong (SGX: OV8), Shopper360 (SGX: 1F0), Sino Grandness (SGX: T4B), Soup Restaurant (SGX: 5KI), ST Group Food (SGX: DRX), SunMoon Food (SGX: AAJ), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), Tung Lok Restaurants (SGX: 540), United Food (SGX: AZR), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), Yamada Green Resources (SGX: BJV), Yeo Hiap Seng (SGX: Y03), Zhongxin Fruit (SGX: 5EG).

4) Taiwan Technology Giant Stock (ADR)

– Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, TSMC (Taiwan: 2330 / NYSE: TSM, 台積電)

Taiwan is one of “4 Small Dragons” in Asia (South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and Hong Kong), also a strong technology hub, especially for semiconductor industry leading by TSMC, world largest IC chip manufacturing company. TSMC is very advanced in IC technology development, currently the only player for 5nm technology, far ahead of competitor, Samsung. With rising demand for 5G and internet related applications globally, TSMC has a monopoly of such advanced IC technology, able to sustain the growth with profits over the next decade.

TSMC is a strong growth investing stock and strong momentum stock, share price is doubled over the past few months, riding the wave of uptrend semiconductor industry and unique position as world semiconductor leader. The long term optimism level of TSMC is relatively high, more suitable for short term position trading to “Buy & Hold” with trend-following strategy, supported by strong business growth.

TSMC is a giant Taiwan technology stock, much stronger than most of 53 Electronics stocks and 28 IT stocks, total 81 Technology Stocks in Singapore:

AEM Holdings (SGX: AWX), Accrelist Limited (SGX: QZG), Acma Limited (SGX: AYV), Adventus Holdings (SGX: 5EF), Allied Technologies Limited (SGX: A13), Amplefield Limited (SGX: AOF), Avi Tech Electronics (SGX: BKY), Ban Leong Technologies (SGX: B26), CDW Holding (SGX: BXE), CFM Holdings (SGX: 5EB), CPH Limited (SGX: 539), Chuan Hup Holdings (SGX: C33), Creative Technology (SGX: C76), Datapulse Technology (SGX: BKW), Dragon Group International (SGX: MT1), Dutech Holdings (SGX: CZ4), Ellipsiz Limited (SGX: BIX), Excelpoint Technology (SGX: BDF), Frencken Group (SGX: E28), Global Invacom Group (SGX: QS9), GP Industries (SGX: G20), Global Testing Corporation (SGX: AYN), Grand Venture Technology (SGX: JLB), HGH Holdings (SGX: 5GZ), Hu An Cable Holdings (SGX: KI3), JEP Holdings (SGX: 1J4), Jadason Enterprises (SGX: J03), Karin Technology Holdings (SGX: K29), Libra Group (SGX: 5TR), Manufacturing Integration Technology (SGX: M11), Maruwa Yen1k (SGX: M12), MeGroup Limited (SGX: SJY), Micro-Mechanics Holdings (SGX: 5DD), Plastoform Holdings (SGX: AYD), Polaris Limited (SGX: 5BI), Powermatic Data Systems (SGX: BCY), Renaissance United (SGX: I11), SEVAK Limited (SGX: BAI), SUTL Enterprise (SGX: BHU), Serial System (SGX: S69), Shinvest Holding (SGX: BJW), Sunright Limited (SGX: S71), Sunrise Shares Holdings (SGX: 581), TT International (SGX: T09), Thakral Corporation (SGX: AWI), The Place Holdings (SGX: E27), Trek 2000 International (SGX: 5AB), Valuetronics Holdings (SGX: BN2), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Willas-Array Electronics Holdings (SGX: BDR), World Precision Machinery (SGX: B49). Alpha Energy Holdings (SGX: 5TS), Alset International (SGX: 40V), Artivision Technologies (SGX: 5NK), Asiatravel.com Holdings (SGX: 5AM), A-Smart Holdings (SGX: BQC), Azeus Systems Holdings (SGX: BBW), Boustead Singapore Limited (SGX: F9D), Captii (SGX: AWV), Challenger Technologies (SGX: 573), CSE Global (SGX: 544), DISA (SGX: 532), International Press Softcom (SGX: 571), ISDN Holdings (SGX: I07), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Koyo International (SGX: 5OC), M Development (SGX: N14), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), New Silkroutes Group (SGX: BMT), New Wave Holdings (SGX: 5FX), PEC (SGX: IX2), Plato Capital (SGX: YYN), Procurri Corporation (SGX: BVQ), Rich Capital Holdings (SGX: 5G4), Silverlake Axis (SGX: 5CP), SinoCloud Group (SGX: 5EK), Stratech Group (SGX: BRR), Synagie Corp (SGX: V2Y), YuuZoo Networks Group Corp (SGX: AFC).

===================================

Both China (Oct 1) and Taiwan (Oct 10) celebrate respective national days in the month of October, moon is the roundest on 1 Oct 2020 (Mid-Autumn Festival), implying peaceful political world could share the fortune but requiring investing in giant stocks. Both Big and 4 Small Dragons (including Singapore) are global economic growth engines, in transition from manufacturing to higher value technology development.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar.

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

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Filed Under: Fundamental Analysis, Macroeconomy, Market Cycle Investing, Market Outlook, Stock Market Tagged: china stocks, cyclic investing stock, growth stock

48 Singapore Food & Beverage Stocks (民以食为天)

Posted on September 12, 2020 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

During crisis, a consumer may not able to afford luxury products but still need to eat and drink to survive. Therefore, an investor may consider 48 Food & Beverage (F&B) stocks in Singapore, especially those defensive growth stocks.

In this article, you will learn from Dr Tee on 9 Singapore F&B Giant Stocks which are efficient in making money with food as essential products (consumer staples) but having mixed impacts during COVID-19 stock crisis. Bonus for readers who could read the entire article: a strategy to eat and drink for free for lifetime.

1) Supermarket F&B Stocks

– Sheng Siong (SGX: OV8)

– Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01)

2) Restaurant F&B Stocks

– Japan Foods Holding (SGX: 5OI)

– Old Chang Kee (SGX: 5ML)

3) Consumer F&B Stocks

– QAF (SGX: Q01)

– Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92)

4) Mixed Industry F&B Stocks

– Amara Holdings (SGX: A34)

– SATS (SGX: S58)

– Wilmar International (SGX: F34)

There are 48 Food & Beverage Stocks in Singapore, making money from the most essential products of people (民以食为天):

From the table sorted below for 48 Singapore F&B stocks, only 2/3 are profitable (32 / 48 stocks were making money in businesses last year). Therefore, careful choices of giant F&B stocks are critical, many are at lower optimism share prices due to either stock market fear or actual business is affected during COVID-19 pandemic.

Nearly half of F&B stocks (22 / 48) have Price-to-Book ratio ($ / NAV = PB) < 1 with discount over asset but only 1 stock (Amara) has high quality asset related to properties which will be discussed further. Buy undervalue stocks require patience, Buy Low may not able to Sell High in future if there is no alignment with one’s unique personality and other consideration of investment. Buy low-quality asset simply at low price (very low PB << 1) may have high risk of bankruptcy if the company could not be profitable.

No	Stock Name	Code	PB = Price /NAV	ROE (%)
1	ABR Holdings (SGX: 533)	533	1.46	2.1
2	Abterra (SGX: L5I)	L5I	2.81	–
3	Acma (SGX: AYV)	AYV	0.31	–
4	Amara Holdings (SGX: A34)	A34	0.51	7.0
5	Bonvests Holdings (SGX: B28)	B28	0.39	0.4
6	ChasWood Resources (SGX: 5TW)	5TW	-0.11	–
7	China Fishery (SGX: B0Z)	B0Z	0.15	5.1
8	China Kangda Food (SGX: P74)	P74	0.12	0.7
9	Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01)	D01	4.78	26.8
10	Del Monte Pacific (SGX: D03)	D03	0.36	–
11	Delfi (SGX: P34)	P34	1.41	12.4
12	Dukang (SGX: BKV)	BKV	0.04	–
13	Envictus (SGX: BQD)	BQD	0.32	–
14	Food Empire Holdings (SGX: F03)	F03	1.11	12.6
15	Fraser and Neave F&N (SGX: F99)	F99	0.60	5.2
16	Hosen Group (SGX: 5EV)	5EV	0.48	–
17	Japan Foods Holding (SGX: 5OI)	5OI	1.97	3.2
18	Japfa (SGX: UD2)	UD2	0.87	13.6
19	JB Foods (SGX: BEW)	BEW	0.81	18.5
20	Jumbo Group (SGX: 42R)	42R	3.19	17.0
21	Katrina Group (SGX: 1A0)	1A0	10.80	–
22	Khong Guan (SGX: K03)	K03	0.62	–
23	Kimly (SGX: 1D0)	1D0	3.28	22.8
24	Koufu (SGX: VL6)	VL6	3.81	27.1
25	Luzhou Bio-Chem (SGX: L46)	L46	-0.75	–
26	Mewah International (SGX: MV4)	MV4	0.47	2.2
27	Neo (SGX: 5UJ)	5UJ	1.81	15.2
28	No Signboard Holdings (SGX: 1G6)	1G6	1.34	–
29	Old Chang Kee (SGX: 5ML)	5ML	3.15	3.2
30	OneApex (SGX: 5SY)	5SY	1.16	–
31	Pacific Andes (SGX: P11)	P11	0.09	8.5
32	Pavillon (SGX: 596)	596	0.25	1.1
33	QAF (SGX: Q01)	Q01	1.06	5.4
34	Sakae (SGX: 5DO)	5DO	0.17	–
35	SATS (SGX: S58)	S58	2.01	10.4
36	Sheng Siong (SGX: OV8)	OV8	6.39	24.176
37	Shopper360 (SGX: 1F0)	1F0	0.6144	5.642
38	Sino Grandness (SGX: T4B)	T4B	0.04	6.4
39	Soup Restaurant (SGX: 5KI)	5KI	2.92	7.692
40	ST Group Food (SGX: DRX)	DRX	1.13	15.6
41	SunMoon Food (SGX: AAJ)	AAJ	4.55	–
42	Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92)	Y92	2.58	20.087
43	Tung Lok Restaurants (SGX: 540)	540	2.63	–
44	United Food (SGX: AZR)	AZR	0.13	–
45	Wilmar International (SGX: F34)	F34	1.01	7.716
46	Yamada Green Resources (SGX: BJV)	BJV	0.99	2.253
47	Yeo Hiap Seng (SGX: Y03)	Y03	0.75	2.873
48	Zhongxin Fruit (SGX: 5EG)	5EG	1.01	3.926

There are only 3 F&B related stocks (Dairy Farm, Thai Beverage, Wilmar) which are also listed in 30 STI component stocks:

F&B stocks may not be defensive as not all the products are popular (eg. taste of food) and some may not have the right marketing (even restaurant with tasty food and/or low prices may not able to last if few people know). Therefore, selection of F&B giant stocks is different from selection of “Best Food” in Singapore or each country. In fact, it is possible for average taste or even “junk” food for some people (eg. fast food McDonald’s, NYSE: MCD) to be a global giant stock.

Here, let’s focus on 9 Singapore F&B giant stocks over 4 main categories:

1) Supermarket F&B Stocks

– Sheng Siong (SGX: OV8)

– Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01)

Both Sheng Siong and Dairy Farm make more profits in supermarket business during COVID-19 pandemic as most people would stay longer at home (cook more often at home) and need more consumer staples (using more essential products in daily life). However, share prices performances of both supermarket giant stocks are distinctly different with Sheng Siong at high optimism and Dairy Farm at low optimism.

Sheng Siong is mainly on supermarket business, therefore it is clear on positive impact of COVID-19 crisis, share prices dropped to low optimism in Mar 2020 during the most fearful time of pandemic, then quickly recovered and speculated to historical high prices, together with other COVID-19 related stocks, eg, glove / healthcare stocks: Medtecs International Corporation (SGX: 546), UG Healthcare Corporation (SGX: 41A), Top Glove Corporation (SGX: BVA), Riverstone Holdings (SGX: AP4). These COVID-19 beneficiary stocks including Sheng Siong have been falling down from high optimism with fading of fear of COVID-19, therefore both stock traders (trend-following) and investors (price over value) have to take note, not to “Buy High Sell Low” eventually. Sheng Siong may be considered when short term momentum is back (depending on the prices) or when there is global financial crisis in future (with low optimism prices again)

Dairy Farm has more diversified businesses within the Asia Pacific, besides Cold Storage, also has 7-Eleven, IKEA, restaurants, etc, which have different impacts during pandemic. Despite overall business is still profitable, the profitability is declining over the past 5 years, even before COVID-19. In addition, Dairy Farm belongs to Jardine Group, bearish share prices at low optimism is aligned for all Jardine related stocks, eg: Jardine Matheson Holding – JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holding – JSH (SGX: J37), Jardine Cycle & Carriage – JCC (SGX: C07), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Mandarin Oriental Hotel (SGX: M04), etc. When market sentiment of Jardine Group related stocks is negative, they would take longer time to recover in stock crisis. Dairy Farm may be considered for crisis investing with protection of consistent dividends (about 5% dividend yield) but an investor needs to have longer term holding power and able to control fear with falling prices in short term to medium terms.

2) Restaurant F&B Stocks

– Japan Foods Holding (SGX: 5OI)

– Old Chang Kee (SGX: 5ML)

Japan Foods and Old Chang Kee behave as if twin, IPO time was also close in years 2009 and 2008 respectively. Both stocks suffered during COVID-19 due to lockdown with less customers come to the food outlets. However, the main issue is even before COVID-19, since year 2013 till now, earnings of both stocks have been dropping, result in bearish share prices with low optimism prices. Therefore, they are lower quality crisis stocks as business is affected (lower profitability for 7 years), hard for the share prices to recover significantly in short to medium terms.

Although operational cashflow have been improving over the past 2 years, this could be due to impact of IFRS-16 (new accounting principle) which categories operational leases (eg. rental of food outlets) as liability (therefore debt has been increasing over the past 2 years), may not be entirely improvement in business cashflow. It is important for an investor review with longer term perspective (over 10 years) and bigger picture (income statement, balance sheet, cashflow statement) with integration with share price performance. When businesses of both stocks have significant breakthrough, the bearish trend in share prices and earnings may be reversed. Until then, they may only be considered for trading with trend-following.

3) Consumer F&B Stocks

– QAF (SGX: Q01)

– Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92)

QAF is famous of bakery brands such as Gardenia and Bonjour breads available in Asia Pacific. The defensive business (eg. breakfast) has doubled during pandemic but share prices are not speculated as high as Sheng Siong, only at mid optimism level but it is a stronger F&B stock relative to peers. QAF may also be considered as dividend stock with consistent dividend payout (about 5% dividend yield). See strategy in later article on how to eat Gardenia bread for free for lifetime (one may upgrade to better free food with improvement in investment).

Thai Beverage is an outstanding F&B giant stock, strong in businesses (eg. beers and spirit drinks in Thailand, Myanmar and regional markets) and low optimism in share prices. The business is not much affected during COVID-19 but share prices dropped to very low optimism due to market fear, which is a higher quality crisis stock. Positioning of Thai Beverage requires alignment with other stocks of Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi (Top 10 richest person in Thailand), eg. Fraser and Neave – F&N (SGX: F99), Frasers Property (SGX: TQ5), Frasers Centrepoint Trust, FCT (SGX: J69U), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Frasers Hospitality Trust (SGX: ACV).

4) Mixed Industry F&B Stocks

– Amara Holdings (SGX: A34)

– SATS (SGX: S58)

– Wilmar International (SGX: F34)

Some stocks only have partial F&B businesses, eg. Amara, SATS and Wilmar. Therefore, analysis of these stocks require integration with other sectors with different business segments.

Amara is mainly on hotel related businesses, F&B is only a smaller segment of business (restaurants), businesses are badly affected during COVID-19. SATS has both F&B and airlines gateway businesses, the earnings from F&B has helped the company minimize the negative impact of COVID-19 to airlines sector.

Both Amara and SATS suffer low optimism in share prices but each has its own defense system. Amara has undervalue hotel properties which could still generate cash with fading of COVID-19 but it needs to go through a long winter time until vaccine could be developed for COVID-19. SATS may expand F&B business during the downturn of airlines sector. Therefore, SATS is relatively a better airlines related stock than Singapore Airlines, SIA (SGX: C6L), which has full risk exposure to COVID-19 crisis, even the recent rights and bond issues may not be sufficient, therefore need to reduce the staff size to save cash.

Cash is King for investor, also true for stocks in crisis. SATS has strong sponsor of Temasek with diversification of business in F&B, therefore chances of recovery is higher than the peers in airlines sector. Some companies went bankrupt during global financial crisis mainly due to shortage in cash while making losses, hard to get new loan (high risk of default) with weak sponsor. So, when investing in crisis stock with weaker business fundamental, an investor who wants to take calculated risks, need to consider the cash burning rate of company vs the potential duration of crisis (eg. assuming another 12 months for COVID-19 to last).

Wilmar is a commodity giant stock, mainly in palm oil which products include cooking oil in F&B sector. Subsidiary company of Wilmar, Yihai Kerry Arawana (YKA), is a major producer of cooking oil in China, will be listed in China stock market. The future stock potential of Yihai Kerry Arawana has helped Wilmar to outperform other palm oil stocks, recovering from low to mid optimism level. Palm oil prices have been recovering, combining with positive news of spin-off of Yihai Kerry Arawana, supporting Wilmar share prices. Wilmar is a cyclic giant stock, more suitable to invest during uptrend stock market from lower to mid optimism level. Demand of palm oil would be higher with fading of COVID-19. Possible speculation of IPO (common in China stock market) of Yihai Kerry Arawana may also support the share price of parent stock, Wilmar.

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If one could invest $2000 in QAF stock, would get about $100 dividend with consistent 5% dividend yield (higher if investing during crisis), enough to pay for $2 or 1 loaf of white bread per week (assume eat bread for 50 weeks in 1 year) which have about 14 slices (assuming eating 2 slices per day x 7 days per week), could enjoy free white bread for lifetime if QAF continues the business model this way. An investor may apply this strategy to eat in restaurant (eg. McDonald’s burger) for free for lifetime (if investing in a restaurant stock with consistent dividend or growth in share prices) or enjoy any drink (Coca-Cola – NYSE: KO, Thai Beverage beer, Starbucks coffee – NASDAQ: SBUX, etc), 1 cup per day, free for lifetime. Similarly, a consumer could enjoy free healthcare service (hospital or dental stocks), free handbag or watch (luxury products stocks), free house rental (property stocks but need higher capital), etc.

In fact, most consumers pay for lifetime for the same products (foods & beverages) again and again, contributing to the growth of F&B giant stocks with recurring incomes. When a consumer could reverse the role to an investor (as if a business partner of F&B outlet of interest), a consumer could make profit and enjoy free foods and drinks for life, with condition that it has to be a F&B giant stock, to be certified each year with Dr Tee selection criteria. For investors who are foods or drinks lover, may consider to invest in Top 10 global F&B giant stocks, diversifing investment over 10 different types of low-risk foods and beverages.

F&B giant stocks usually are cash cow with profitable businesses, therefore when share prices are undervalue at low optimism, may become target of acquisition, eg. past Singapore F&B giant stocks of Super Group (SGX: S10) and BreadTalk Group (SGX: CTN). Singapore has less F&B giant stocks but there are some global F&B giant stocks which have strong dominance in certain F&B businesses, able to make money consistently each day for decades.

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There are over 1500 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar.

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

Filed Under: Fundamental Analysis, Macroeconomy, Market Cycle Investing, Market Optimism, Stock Market Tagged: Consumer Stocks, crisis stock, dividend stock, f&b stocks, jardine

Singapore and Malaysia National Giant Stocks (国庆财股)

Posted on August 9, 2020 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

Both Singapore and Malaysia celebrate National Day in the month of August. It is timely to share the 4 National Giant Stocks in each country which preserve the national wealth. Learn from Dr Tee on how to position these stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis.

4 Singapore National Stocks:

1) DBS (SGX: D05)

2) Singtel (SGX: Z74)

3) OCBC (SGX: O39)

4) UOB (SGX: U11)

4 Malaysia National Stocks:

1) Maybank (Bursa: 1155)

2) Top Glove (Bursa: 7113) / (SGX: BVA)

3) Hartalega (Bursa: 5168)

4) Public Bank (Bursa: 1295)

Stock market is a hidden way to preserve and grow the national wealth. For Singapore SGX, there are 30 large cap stocks in STI Index (^STI), which can be sorted below by size of market cap (share price x number of shares) with ROE (Return on Equity):

No Name / Market Cap(M) (ROE, %)

1 DBS Bank (SGX: D05) 52304 (12.3)

2 Singtel (SGX: Z74) 38761 (4.0)

3 OCBC Bank (SGX: O39) 38413 (10.3)

4 UOB Bank (SGX: U11) 32687 (11.0)

5 Wilmar International (SGX: F34) 30509 (7.7)

6 Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36) 29865 (9.4)

7 Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37) 22731 ( 6.1)

8 Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92) 15195 (20.1)

9 CapitaLand (SGX: C31) 13844 (8.8)

10 Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U) 12489 (4.8)

11 Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L) 10346 (-0.1)

12 ST Engineering (SGX: S63) 10042 (26.0)

13 Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4) 9830 (6.3)

14 Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68) 9236 (37.9)

15 Hongkong Land USD (SGX: H78) 8635 (0.5)

16 Genting Singapore (SGX: G13) 8204 (8.5)

17 Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U) 8027 (8.2)

18 Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07) 7659 (12.8)

19 Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U) 7490 (10.3)

20 City Development (SGX: C09) 7463 (5.2)

21 CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U) 6937 (9.0)

22 CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U) 6294 (6.0)

23 Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU) 6130 (9.4)

24 Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01) 5897 (26.8)

25 UOL (SGX: U14) 5491 (4.8)

26 Venture Corporation (SGX: V03) 5449 (14.5)

27 YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6) 3801 (10.0)

28 Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96) 3394 (3.1)

29 SATS (SGX: S58) 3017 (10.4)

30 ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52) 2990 (10.2)

It is clear that the Top 4 stocks with the largest market cap in Singapore are DBS (SGX: D05), Singtel (SGX: Z74), OCBC (SGX: O39) and UOB (SGX: U11). Company size may not be the right criteria of a giant stock, therefore an investor has to monitor business fundamental changes (especially during COVID-19 pandemic), eg with ROE and other indicators.

For 30 STI stocks, only Singapore Airlines, SIA (SGX: C6L) records losses in last financial year. For 30 STI stocks, COVID-19 has different degrees of impact on near future business. There is also on-going crisis, eg. low optimism crude oil price which affects the Oil & Gas sector, including Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4) and Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), which may take longer time to recover with strong support of sponsor, Temasek.

3 major bank stocks (DBS, OCBC, UOB) in Singapore have contributed to about 1/3 of Singapore stock market. Bank stocks are sensitive to interest rate changes, therefore current low interest rates globally (driven by nearly 0% interest rate by the Fed of US) have reduced the Net Interest Margin (NIM), resulting in lower interest related income. At the same time, Non-Performing Loan (NPL) is increasing during COVID-19, banks have to increase more provision funds to prepare for possible default in loan payment of some countries, including Oil & Gas sector (eg. Hin Leong which has high debt to 3 major banks). As a result, it is not surprised to see bank stocks report poorer quarterly results for Q1 and Q2 / 2020.

MAS has requested 3 major banks in Singapore to cap the dividend payment for FY2020 to maximum of 60% of FY2019. This implies for an average dividend yield of 6%, an investor may only receive 6 x 0.6 = 3.6% for the next 1 year. As a result, 3 major bank stocks were under significant price correction recently (which also affect performance of STI). However, a long term bank stock investor should not consider dividend payment as a criteria to decide on investing. In fact, the share price correction of over 3% in 1 week has compensated for the “loss” of dividend (which is kept as retained earnings in balance sheet, a form of saving for investor, similar to many REITs in Q1 and Q2 / 2020 to preserve cash).

Here is a list of 30 Banking & Finance stocks in Singapore, an investor may focus on 3 major bank stocks:
AMTD IB OV (SGX: HKB), B&M Hldg (SGX: CJN), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Edition (SGX: 5HG), G K Goh (SGX: G41), Global Investment (SGX: B73), Great Eastern (SGX: G07), Hong Leong Finance (SGX: S41), Hotung Investment (SGX: BLS), IFAST Corporation (SGX: AIY), IFS Capital (SGX: I49), Intraco (SGX: I06), Maxi-Cash Finance (SGX: 5UF), MoneyMax Finance (SGX: 5WJ), Net Pacific Finance (SGX: 5QY), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), Pacific Century (SGX: P15), Prudential USD (SGX: K6S), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), SHS (SGX: 566), Sing Investments & Finance (SGX: S35), Singapore Reinsurance (SGX: S49), Singapura Finance (SGX: S23), TIH (SGX: T55), Uni-Asia Group (SGX: CHJ), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS (SGX: U10), UOI (SGX: U13), ValueMax (SGX: T6I), Vibrant Group (SGX: BIP).

Singtel is also a crisis giant stock in bearish Telco sector (started a few years before COVID-19), an investor who “Buy Low” may get Lower in share price, gaining dividend yield (eg. 5%) but making capital loss (lower share price). Telco business is saturated, economic moat is narrow as most Telco services could be easily replaced by other competitors, therefore profit margin is lower with intense competition not only in local market but also in regional market (Singtel has over 50% revenue from overseas markets).

OCBC, UOB and Singtel are relatively at lower optimism region while DBS is at moderate optimism level. Each giant stock requires different strategy (crisis, cyclic, growth, etc) in positioning, either for short term trading or long term investing.

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Malaysia Bursa with 30 KLCI (^KLCI) stocks, top 4 giant stocks by market cap has significant changes recently. Maybank (Bursa: 1155) is still the largest but both Top Glove (Bursa: 7113) / (SGX: BVA) and Hartalega (Bursa: 5168) have surpassed Public Bank (Bursa: 1295), mainly due to speculation in stocks during COVID-19 for glove related stocks. Top Glove has dual listing in both Malaysia Bursa and Singapore SGX, therefore the wealth of a nation could be shared by global investors, regardless of nationality.

Here is a list of 30 Malaysia Bursa KLCI Index component stocks which may be considered (investor has to focus only on giant stocks for investing):
CIMB (Bursa: 1023) CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BERHAD, DIALOG (Bursa: 7277) DIALOG GROUP BERHAD, DIGI (Bursa: 6947) DIGI.COM BERHAD, GENM (Bursa: 4715) GENTING MALAYSIA BERHAD, GENTING (Bursa: 3182) GENTING BERHAD, HAPSENG (Bursa: 3034) HAP SENG CONSOLIDATED BERHAD, HARTA (Bursa: 5168) HARTALEGA HOLDINGS BERHAD, HLBANK (Bursa: 5819) HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD, HLFG (Bursa: 1082) HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP BERHAD, IHH (Bursa: 5225) IHH HEALTHCARE BERHAD, IOICORP (1961) IOI CORPORATION BERHAD, KLCC (Bursa: 5235SS) KLCC PROPERTY HOLDINGS BERHAD, KLK (Bursa: 2445) KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG BERHAD, MAXIS (Bursa: 6012) MAXIS BERHAD, MAYBANK (Bursa: 1155) MALAYAN BANKING BERHAD, MISC (Bursa: 3816) MISC BERHAD, NESTLE (Bursa: 4707) NESTLE MALAYSIA BERHAD, PBBANK (Bursa: 1295) PUBLIC BANK BERHAD, PCHEM (Bursa: 5183) PETRONAS CHEMICALS GROUP BERHAD, PETDAG (Bursa: 5681) PETRONAS DAGANGAN BHD, PETGAS (Bursa: 6033) PETRONAS GAS BERHAD, PMETAL (Bursa: 8869) PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDINGS BERHAD, PPB (Bursa: 4065) PPB GROUP BERHAD, RHBBANK (Bursa: 1066) RHB BANK BERHAD, SIME (Bursa: 4197) SIME DARBY BERHAD, SIMEPLT (Bursa: 5285) SIME DARBY PLANTATION BERHAD, TENAGA (Bursa: 5347) TENAGA NASIONAL BHD, TM (Bursa: 4863) TELEKOM MALAYSIA BERHAD, TOPGLOV (Bursa: 7113) TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD.

Strong fundamental stocks (eg. glove business) with market greed usually result in market speculation or bubble. Each positive news would be used as a reason to buy high for share prices. Despite strong business fundamental, glove stocks are more suitable for short term trading with trend-following strategies, Buy High Sell Higher. However, due to relative high optimism level, each unexpected correction may incur high losses if a trader does not have a trading plan with S.E.T. (Stop Loss, Entry, Target) prices.

Maybank and Public Bank are aligned with Singapore and global banks at relatively lower optimism levels. Bank stocks are cyclic in nature, therefore investing in national banks (usually supported by local government) during global financial crisis would have higher chances of success for longer term investors who could overcome the market fear, investing with progressive entries of capital (eg. 10 x 10%, 5 x 20%, 2 x 50%, etc). Saving in banks would receive less than 1% return in interest but investing in giant bank stocks could receive over 100% return over a market cycle.

Each country or region has its own national blue chip stock. For example, TSMC (NYSE: TSM) contributed to 1/3 of Taiwan TSEC Stock Index (^TWII). With bullish semiconductor / 5G stocks, TSMC has doubled its share price in 6 months, contributing to higher index value of Taiwan stock market. TSMC has monopoly of 5 nanometer technology in wafer fab, a crucial pillar for emerging 5G Telco business over the next 10 years.

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Dilemma of investors for global growth stocks (eg. technology, glove, healthcare, etc) are share prices are not cheap when market is not fearful. Therefore, crisis is always an opportunity, especially when a stock price drops significantly during an unexpected crisis (eg. COVID-19 pandemic) but business fundamental is not much affected or even growing.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

This is the first time, 4hr bonus investment course by Dr Tee is conducted through Webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom), a rare opportunity to learn remotely, profiting from Covid-19 stock crisis.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar.

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

Filed Under: Macroeconomy, Market Cycle Investing, Market Outlook, Stock Market, Technical Analysis Tagged: bank stock, crisis stock, dividend stock, glove stock, growth stock, telco stocks

30 Singapore Banking and Finance Stocks (狮城财神)

Posted on June 18, 2020 Written by Dr Tee (Ein55)

30 Singapore Banking and Finance Stocks DBS OCBC UOB SGX

The best way to make money is to let money make more money. In this article, you will learn 30 Singapore Banking & Finance Stocks which are efficient in making money with money for investors, focusing in 6 groups of stocks (with strategies for 3 major bank stocks: DBS, OCBC and UOB):

1) Bank Stocks
2) Finance Stocks
3) Insurance Stocks
4) Stock Broker Stocks
5) Pawnbroker Stocks
6) Investment and Other Stocks

There are only 30 Banking & Finance stocks in Singapore, relatively less than other sectors as Singapore has tighter regulation in finance sector for services such as lending money (limited licenses available):

From the table sorted for 30 Singapore banking & finance stocks, mostly are profitable (26 / 30 stocks were making money in businesses last year) but still undervalue (22 / 30 stocks have Price to Book ratio, PB < 1, some have higher quality asset such as cash, properties and equities, potential target for future acquisition).

There are 7 stocks having PB < 0.5 with 50% discount over asset but an investor must double check on quality of assets and whether the business could be sustainable to make money. If not, undervalue stock may continue to be undervalue for a long period of time, may not suitable for long term stock investing nor short term stock trading.

No	Name	Ticker	PB = Price /NAV	ROE (%)
1	SGX	S68	8.06	35.9
2	AMTD IB OV	HKB	3.37	13.7
3	DBS	D05	1.12	12.3
4	ValueMax	T6I	0.77	11.7
5	Great Eastern	G07	1.11	11.7
6	TIH	T55	0.48	11.3
7	UOB	U11	0.94	11.0
8	MoneyMax Finance	5WJ	0.74	10.8
9	Maxi-Cash Finance	5UF	0.98	10.7
10	IFAST	AIY	3.33	10.6
11	OCBC Bank	O39	0.88	10.3
12	UOI	U13	1.05	9.7
13	Global Investment	B73	0.71	6.2
14	Hong Leong Finance	S41	0.58	5.4
15	Sing Investments & Finance	S35	0.50	5.4
16	IFS Capital	I49	0.42	5.2
17	Hotung Investment	BLS	0.55	5.0
18	Uni-Asia Group	CHJ	0.24	4.7
19	UOB Kay Hian	U10	0.64	4.6
20	Prudential USD	K6S	2.59	4.0
21	Vibrant Group	BIP	0.34	3.8
22	Singapore Reinsurance	S49	0.65	3.6
23	Pacific Century	P15	0.74	3.0
24	Singapura Finance	S23	0.50	2.9
25	G K Goh	G41	0.62	1.9
26	Intraco	I06	0.31	1.5
27	B&M Hldg	CJN	2.57	-9.0
28	Net Pacific Finance	5QY	0.68	-9.7
29	SHS	566	0.67	-13.6
30	Edition	5HG	0.85	-33.7

Based on Dr Tee criteria, from the 30 Singapore Banking & Finance stocks above, only 8 are giant stocks, some are marginal giant stocks (despite business fundamentals are reasonably good). A few Banking & Finance giant stocks were discussed with more details in Dr Tee earlier articles (see www.ein55.com/blog), eg. DBS (SGX: D05) and Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68).

Focus of this article is discussion on 6 main groups of Banking & Finance stocks in Singapore, understanding the risks and opportunities:

1) Bank Stocks

After decades of merging and acquisition, there are only 3 major local banks in Singapore: DBS (SGX: D05), OCBC (SGX: O39), UOB (SGX: U11), all are STI component stocks. Naturally, these 3 blue chip stocks become the first choice for investment in bank stocks. DBS, OCBC and UOB contribute in total to 1/3 of STI Index weightage, therefore could easily move up or down the entire Singapore stock market whenever there is major move in bank sector.

Here is a list of 30 STI component stocks sorted by size of market cap (significant contribution by 3 major bank stocks):
DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Singtel (SGX: Z74), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), City Development (SGX: C09), CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), SATS (SGX: S58), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52).

Most bank stocks are cyclic in nature, including Singapore and global bank stocks in US, Malaysia, Hong Kong, etc. Therefore, market cycle investing strategy is required with alignment to Optimism Strategies to Buy Low Sell High, as well as good understanding the global stock market and economic cycle. Bank sector is the key pillar of economy (business needs money to operate), therefore investment in giant bank stocks in a country with growing economy would enjoy the capital gains of prosperity (狮城财神).

So, which of the 3 major Singapore bank stocks are better? Well, the choice is dependent on stock trading or investment strategy which is personality dependent. The historical stock price chart of DBS, OCBC and UOB with STI (could be considered with STI ETF) shows that these 4 counters are aligned in general directions in longer term.

In longer term, the differences of DBS, OCBC and UOB are mainly on pattern of stocks. DBS is the largest Singapore bank, also the most cyclic among 3 bank stocks, usually correcting more than STI during global financial crisis (eg. Year 2008-2009, falling below $10/share) and outperforming STI, OCBC and UOB during the bullish phase of economy. DBS is more suitable for cycling investing (Buy Low Sell High) and possibly momentum trading (Buy High Sell Higher) when stock market is bullish.

OCBC is the second largest Singapore bank, more defensive with less volatility in prices. OCBC is more suitable for dividend stock investor who prefers to Buy Low and Hold for a long term. So, each global stock crisis (following optimism strategies) could be an opportunity to add more position.

UOB is the smallest bank in Singapore, performance is also in between DBS and OCBC. In general, an investor may choose between DBS and OCBC and their business sizes are larger than UOB. In fact, for short term to mid term trading (months), differences of 3 major bank stocks are limited, any of the 3 bank stocks may be considered but trading rules should be followed (eg. setting S.E.T. in trading plan with Stop Loss / Entry / Target Prices) for Swing Trading or Momentum Trading.

There is no need to invest in all the 3 major bank stocks for diversification as in general, they are all relatively safer than most of the banks in the world due to tight MAS regulations for Singapore banks. Investing in a particular bank stock could be better than investing in STI ETF because bank stocks could have higher dividend yield (5-6%, depending on entry share prices) and growth are stronger than STI (which are diversified over 30 stocks, which some are weaker than DBS, OCBC and UOB).

In general, being a bank has a strong economic moat, especially in Singapore as there are limited licenses issued by government. A smart investor could become a “banker” through investing in any of these 3 major Singapore banks. Each of them has strong sponsor with decades of history in businesses, eg. DBS by Temasek, OCBC by Lee Family, UOB by Wee Cho Yaw.

So, it is possible to invest for lifetime (Buy Low & Hold for life) or even pass to next generation (eg. OCBC has nearly 100 years of history for several generations). Disruptive technology (eg. online payment or virtual bank) would have less impact on traditional bank stocks as bank sector is tightly regulated by local government due to sensitive asset of money. Bank stocks usually are more suitable as positioning as defender in a stock portfolio, more gradual growth with consistent passive income.

Due to low global bank interest rates (nearly 0 for US), the interest income would be less with lower Net Interest Margin (NIM). However, banks could still be profitable with interest income, just the return would be lower. Banks also have other businesses such as investment, credit card, insurance, wealth management, etc, which could provide non-interest income but usually would also be affected in a bearish economy. Therefore, entry with low-optimism stock price far below the fair value (following Dr Tee Optimism Strategies) is key for success in bank stocks investing.

2) Finance Stocks

Finance companies could provide similar services as banks (eg. loan & deposit) but with much smaller scale. There are a few Finance Stocks in Singapore: Singapura Finance (SGX: S23), Sing Investments & Finance (SGX: S35) and Hong Leong Finance (SGX: S41). These 3 finance stocks have reasonably good business fundamental but these 3 Singapore Finance Stocks may not be in the same grade for investing as 3 major Singapore bank stocks.

Finance stocks have relatively weaker business fundamental than bank stocks. Stock investment is always relative comparison, looking for the best, not just good or acceptable. In addition, Singapura Finance, Sing Investments & Finance and Hong Leong Finance are less well known, therefore lower confidence by customers (to deposit money) and investors (to invest in finance stocks).

Hong Leong Finance has a strong sponsor of Kwek Leng Beng (Hong Leong Group Singapore / City Development – SGX: C09). However, its cousin (Kwek Leng Chan of Hong Leng Group Malaysia) stock of Hong Leong Bank (Bursa: 5819) would be a much better choice between 2 stocks as 1 is finance stock, 1 is bank stock with strong business fundamental. Details of Quek / Kwek family of stocks are described by Dr Tee in earlier article (https://www.ein55.com/2020/05/15-hong-leong-group-and-kwek-family-stocks/).

In short, a stock investor may ignore weaker Finance Stocks, aiming for stronger Bank Stocks directly, considering both the stock and business performance, especially for lifetime investing. For shorter term trading, it is possible to consider Finance Stocks if there are positive signals in this group.

3) Insurance Stocks

There are a few Insurance Stocks in Singapore: Great Eastern (SGX: G07), Prudential (SGX: K6S), UOI (SGX: U13), Singapore Reinsurance (SGX: S49) and other stocks which provide partial services on insurance. These 4 Singapore insurance stocks have good business fundamental but only 2 are considered giant stocks (based on Dr Tee criteria) worth longer term investing.

Usually insurance companies are also suitable partner for banks, eg. Great Eastern is under OCBC, UOI is with UOB, LPI (Bursa: 8621) is with Public Bank (Bursa: 1295), etc. This way, similar pool of clients in both banks and insurance groups may be approached with higher chance of success. A stock investor may choose to invest directly in subsidiary (insurance stock) or indirectly through parent stock (bank which has partial business in insurance), if both are giant stocks, the choice is dependent on own personality and pattern of stock.

Confidence in business stability is important for an insurance client (to ensure compensation would be received if any misfortune based on agreement). Therefore, a reputable insurance brand with decades of business history (supported by strong sponsor) is crucial.

There are only 2 business sectors almost guaranteed to make money in long term: Insurance and Casino (eg. Genting Singapore, SGX: G13) as they apply probability in business to make money. It is possible for unexpected hurricanes to destroy houses, US insurance companies (including Warren Buffett’s Berkshire, NYSE: BRK) could suffer losses in 1 particular year. However, past statistics (eg. accident rates in driving, Covid-19 risks, etc) would help to naturally adjust the future premium. If there is a need, resinsurance company could help to share the risks of primary insurance company. Similarly, a stock investor should apply probability investing in making decision of What Stocks to Buy, When to Buy / Sell.

However, insurance business requires customer interactions, eg. meet-up before a policy may be eventually signed. During Covid-19 with global lockdown, both banks (eg. wealth management) and insurance companies suffer due to less chances to meet-up with customers. Due to less income from Great Eastern (subsidiary), parent company OCBC reported 40% less income in Q1/2020. However, insurance sector could recover with restart of economy which allows social interaction for businesses.

4) Stock Broker Stocks

There are a few Stock Brokerage related Stocks in Singapore: Singapore Exchange, SGX (SGX: S68), UOB Kay Hian (SGX: U10) and IFAST (SGX: AIY) are listed in SGX. CGS-CIMB is a joint venture with 2 overseas parent stocks from China and Malaysia: China Galaxy Securities, CGS (HKEx: 6881) and CIMB (Bursa: 1023). Maybank Kim Eng has a parent company in Malaysia, Maybank (Bursa: 1155).

These 6 Stock Brokerage related stocks and parent stocks have good business fundamental but only 3 of them are giant stocks (including Singapore Exchange, SGX, details were given in earlier Dr Tee article: https://www.ein55.com/2020/05/5-global-stock-exchanges-stocks/).

Due to relatively low stock volume in Singapore stock market (except during bullish market or stock crisis time), stock broker stocks with only stock trading business has limited profits when stock market is “quiet” with little price volatility (eg. STI has been ranging around 3000 +/- 300 points over the past 10 years). Only when stock market is very bullish (eg. crazy bull in Years 2000 and 2007) or during global stock crisis (eg. dumping of stocks in Years 2008-2009 and Mar 2020), then stock volume would be relatively higher.

At the same time, Singapore Exchange has more products (stocks and derivatives) for local and overseas customers with profitable monopoly business (unless stock brokers have to compete for similar business of stock trading, lowering commission to gain business but lower profit margin). Singapore has relatively smaller market with less number of traders and investors with more stable (“quiet” market), therefore stock brokerage could become part of a parent company business, may not be the main business to remain profitable. For example, UOB Kay Hian is with UOB group, could also be integrated with UOI (insurance) business with sharing of similar pool of potential clients. So, an investor may invest directly in more profitable parent stock if subsidiary stock (eg. stock brokerage) is playing supporting role with less income.

IFAST is a relatively young stock with strong business fundamental. In fact, stock brokerage business is considered bonus for IFAST as its main business is on fund management which itself could grow naturally (high recurring incomes) yearly with compounding effect. Similarly, the integrated business of fund, stock, insurance, bond, etc, giving an edge to IFAST business. IFAST has high potential with overseas business expansion and even bidding for virtual bank license in Singapore (but intense competition). The main weakness of IFAST is that it is a younger player, therefore relatively less well known among the investors, resulting in “undervalue” share prices, not aligned with its business performance.

5) Pawnbroker Stocks

Interestingly, there are only 3 stocks in Singapore having the name “Max” and all are Pawnbroker Stocks: ValueMax (SGX: T6I), Maxi-Cash Finance (SGX: 5UF), MoneyMax Finance (SGX: 5WJ). Pawnbroker is a special “Finance” stock as it provides easy way of loan, especially to needy people who may not get the loan easily from banks.

A pawnbroker stock has pawnshops that offer secured loans to people, with valuables (eg. gold, silver, jewelry, coins, luxury handbags, etc) used as collateral. If an item is pawned for a loan, within a certain contractual period of time, the pawner may redeem it for the amount of the loan plus some agreed-upon amount for interest. If the loan is not paid (or extended, if applicable) within the time period, the pawned item will be offered for sale to other customers by the pawnbroker.

Since gold or related jewelry is a common valuable as collateral for loan, the “value” of pawnbroker stock would partly related to gold prices. After reaching high optimism, gold market started to from about US$1900/oz in Year 2012 to US$1000+/oz in Year 2016, then recovering gradually to current price of US$1700+/oz in Year 2020. The chart below shows the correlation of falling in gold price and stock prices of ValueMax, Maxi-Cash and MoneyMax which has weaker business fundamental during this period of time (clients or pawners may choose not to redeem the gold as prices have been falling in these 4 years from 2012 o 2016), holding to assets which are declining in values.

3 Singapore Pawnbroker Stocks ValueMax Maxi-Cash Money Max Gold

However, gold started to become bullish from Years 2016 to 2020, business fundamentals of all 3 pawnbrokers (ValueMax, Maxi-Cash and MoneyMax) have improved significantly. However, the rising of gold price with strong business fundamental do not help much on their share prices, simply changing from downtrend to sideways. In fact, all 3 pawnbroker stocks also pay dividend like bank stocks, having high dividend yield now: 5% for ValueMax, 10% for Maxi-Cash and 65 for MoneyMax. However, the catch is an investor would suffer high capital losses due to “undervalue” or downtrend prices (correcting over 50% since IPO, even continue to underperform after business fundamental is improving). Despite the business fundamental is good, pawnbrokers stocks are not suitable for dividend investing due to inconsistent share prices.

The divergence between business and pawnbroker stocks prices may partly due to uncertain gold prices (which crashed before in the past) and also there are better choices for investment in Singapore bank stocks which are more predictable and “safer”. Lack of confidence and little knowledge in pawnshop business may deter potential investors from supporting their share prices.

So, these 3 pawnbroker stocks may not be suitable for investing due to misalignment between business and stock performance. Even during the bullish period of gold, pawners may choose to redeem the collateral (if containing gold), then pawnbrokers would just gain the interests. The 3 pawnbrokers stocks have many branches with relatively high level of debt over asset (a form of leveraging), therefore this business model is not as safe as bank or even traditional finance stocks.

6) Investment and Other Stocks

The remaining Singapore Banking and Finance stocks are mostly related to investment holding, fund management or other diversified businesses. These are some of the investment holding stocks: Hotung Investment (SGX: BLS), G K Goh (SGX: G41), Global Investment (SGX: B73), TIH (SGX: T55) and IFS Capital (SGX: I49). However, most of these stocks have weaker business fundamental, especially if the investment portfolio of companies may not perform during global stock crisis.

Hotung is an undervalue stock (Price-to-Book ratio, PB = 0.55) with stable profitable business (venture capital). It may be considered mainly for medium term dividend investing (about 7% dividend yield) but growth is limited if holding for long term. The company has no debt but undervalue business behave as those undervalue property stocks, safe but slow.

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Filed Under: Commodity Market, Fundamental Analysis, Macroeconomy, Market Cycle Investing, Market Optimism, Stock Market, Technical Analysis, Value Investing Tagged: bank stock, cyclic investing stock, dbs, dividend stock, Finance Stock, insurance stock, ocbc, undervalue stock, uob

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