3 Golden Rules of Stock Investment (金玉良言)

Bull markets are born on PESSIMISM, grow on SKEPTICISM, mature on OPTIMISM and die on EUPHORIA.”, this is the Best Golden Rule of Sir John Templeton, founder of famous Templeton Funds, indicating management of human emotions is key for success in investment.

This is aligned with another famous saying by Warren Buffett:  “Be Greedy when others are fearful. Be fearful when others are greedy“, which could be summarized simply as the universal law of “Buy Low Sell High“.

Everyone would agree the above 3 Golden Rules to make money in investment, but they are qualitative in nature (eg. how low is low, how high is high). In the practical investment world, how to do it exactly, would need a quantitative method such as Dr Tee “Ein55 Optimism” to Buy Low (when Optimism < 25%) and Sell High (when Optimism > 75%).

Pandemic year 2020 was “pessimistic” (Ein55 Optimism < 25%) based on Dr Tee criteria, therefore “Bull market was born’.  Year 2021 is pandemic recovery with different views between bullish and bearish viewers, therefore stock market “grow on skepticism” (moderate Ein55 Optimism 40%-60%, near to fair value). One day, stock market may “mature on optimism” or “die on euphoria” when the stock market is over-heated (Ein55 Optimism > 75%-100%).

This is a natural emotional cycle which commonly reflected as stock market or economic cycle every 5 to 10+ years. Mastery of market cycle could help an investor maximizing the capital gains during a bull run and minimizing the market risks during a global financial crisis.

However, market cycle investing (eg. with Ein55 Optimism Method) has to be integrated with other dimensions of investment, eg. Fundamental Analysis (FA at business level), Economic Analysis (FA at country level), Technical Analysis (TA of share prices), Level Analysis (LA of Level 1 – stock, Level 2 – sector, Level 3 – country, Level 4 – world), Personal Analysis (PA to know own unique personality to define suitable style of investing or trading), etc. 

If not, “Buy Low” may “Get Lower”, especially if an investor blindly invests in a weak fundamental stock with bearish price trend during a global financial crisis. Interested learners may refer to earlier hundreds of educational articles by Dr Tee on applications of LOFTP Analysis strategies on various global giant stocks.

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Tonight (2 July 2021) is key for US stock market to reflect emotions for non-farm payroll (jobs excluding farming, local gov and non-profit work) of June 2021, last trading day before 4th of July, US Independence Day celebration.

US non-farm payroll is another way to measure job market, has been on increasing trend during pandemic recovery. The key is how far the increment from the consensus (eg. 720k more jobs expected before the official report today). The Fed focuses mainly on job market and inflation to adjust its economic policies. More jobs created could add fuel to spending, thus stimulate the economy further, supporting the stock market indirectly in longer run.

If the actual number is too good (people may worry higher interest rate to cope with higher inflation due to potential over-heated economy) or too weak (people may worry economy is still weak) may give surprised market responses, best compromised results could be mild growth (slightly lower or higher than expectation) within the tolerances of both bull and bear viewers.

US Non-farm payroll for month of June 2021 with additional new jobs (850k) is higher than expected (720k) but unemployment rate (5.9%) is slightly higher than May 2021 (5.8%). So, gradual growth of economy or even mixed performance is probably the most ideal market condition for mass market, both bullish viewers (who worry about lagging economy) and bearish viewers (who worry about higher inflation or interest rate) are able to accept it.

Based on the market opening so far today (2 July 2021) with mild bullish US stock market, US job market has mixed performance which is ideal to balance between bull and bear viewer, supporting both S&P500 and Nasdaq indices to another new historical high tonight.  Dow Jones (mainly 30 blue chip stocks) may also achieve a new high over the next few weeks.

At the same time, Asian stock markets (Singapore STI, Malaysia KLCI, Hong Kong HSI, China SSEC, etc) are stagnant recently after the rally in Q1 2021. Asian stock markets smaller in sizes, mainly follow US or global trends for stock market or economy. Pandemic recovery is getting faster with global vaccination, the likely stronger economy would help to support the growth of global stock markets in the next few years.

Last year, economy and stock market was diverged, stock market (forward looking, expecting pandemic would end sooner or later) was recovering ahead of economy. This year, economy starts to catch up with stock market (becoming slower growth as early investors have make over 50% gains in the last 1 year). Moving forward, economy and stock market would be more “normal” to move in similar pace, eg. moderate growth yearly until the next Global Financial Crisis comes unexpectedly to reset the market again.

Knowledge of macroeconomy would help both investors and traders to see the bigger picture as the stock market (dog) would follow the economy (master) but may not be in a predictable way, sometimes could be ahead or behind the master. A smart investor needs to digest what is known and what is unknown but likely to happen in future (eg. black swan which may induce the global financial crisis), taking calculated risks with a portfolio of 10-20 global giant stocks.

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There are over 2000 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

View quick preview video below, Dr Tee will introduce 10 key stock investment strategies (股票投资十招) to be learned in 4hr free stock webinar:

Register Here (Dr Tee Free 4hr Stock Webinar):  www.ein55.com

70% Profits of Healthcare Giant Stock – Q&M Dental (苦尽甘来)

Over the past 1 year of pandemic, Dr Tee has shared with Ein55 graduates, forum readers and public webinars audience on this giant healthcare stock, Q&M Dental Group (SGX: QC7) with at least 3 articles and multiple comments regularly, witnessing surging of share prices from low Ein55 Optimism of $0.40+ share price to breaking above $0.50+/share resistance, predicting the fair value with Ein55 Intrinsic Value of $0.70/share, today is already $0.80/share (about 70% to 100% profits if an investor could buy & hold for over 1 year), moving towards next target of greedy price of high Ein55 Optimism at about $1/share.

Let’s learn from Dr Tee on this journey of making money and how to take action from now, assuming today is the first time you read Dr Tee educational article on global giant stocks.


Since Year 2015, Q&M Dental has been declining in share prices, mainly due to slower business growth (still profitable) and bearish market sentiment with little knowledge of this largest dental service provider in Singapore which also has dental clinics in Malaysia and China. Over the past 6 years, the share price has dropped from peak of about $0.90/share to about low of $0.35 during pandemic. For a giant stock, how it falls down (by 3 times) would imply how it may recover one day with similar scale (assuming by 3 times would be $0.35/share x 3, to about $1/share, aligning with Ein55 Optimism at high level).

Q&M Dental suffered in business temporarily in first half of pandemic but recovering quickly after Circuit Breaker was over as few people could resist tooth pains for months. Q&M Dental subsidiary, Acumen Research Lab is an HPB authorized COVID19 test service provider, providing fuel for share prices to grow with additional future earnings.

Some Ein55 graduates even invested below $0.40 – $0.50/share with contrarian dividend strategy during the worst time of pandemic. Dividend yield can be 10% with 4.3 cents/share dividend over the past 1 year if one could invest at $0.43 share price which was common in Year 2020.  At current price of $0.80, beyond Ein55 Intrinsic Value of about $0.70, the dividend yield is moderate at 4%, comparable with Singapore REITs, therefore still a dividend giant stock. The gain so far with this strategy (Buy at low Ein55 Optimism of about $0.40) is about 2 times or 100% profits, able to hold as understanding Q&M Dental has economic moat, even under worst time of pandemic. Next few years would be the harvest time to enjoy the fruits, an investor has option to Sell High (following Ein55 Optimism).  Due to cyclical nature of this giant stock, Buy Low Sell High strategy is more suitable than Buy Low & Hold very long term (usually for growth investing) unless the business fundamental of Q&M Dental is growing more consistently in future.

For a giant stock, regardless short term trading (price action with trend-following strategies), medium term trading (Buy Low Sell High) or long term investing (Buy Low & Hold for both dividend and price growth), all could make money, but need to take one of the actions. If there is no action, a reader always feel regret or sour feeling when reading successes of other investors, despite Q&M Dental was shared by Dr Tee before in at least 3 articles as a highly potential giant stock:

Dr Tee Article 1 posted on 24 Apr 2020 (Q&M price = $0.52)

https://www.ein55.com/2020/04/healthcare-giant-stock-qm-dental/

Dr Tee Article 2 posted on 4 Sep 2020 (Q&M price = $0.46)

https://www.ein55.com/2020/09/11-singapore-healthcare-covid-19-stocks/

Dr Tee Article 3 posted on 31 May 2021 (Q&M price = $0.68)
https://www.ein55.com/2021/05/seasonality-effect-with-ex-dividend-months-on-singapore-stock-market-2009-2021/

Another related sibling Singapore healthcare giant stock to take note is Raffles Medical Group (SGX: BSL), usually share price correlation is about 2X of Q&M which is already $0.80, implying minimum potential of Raffles Medical is about $0.80 x2 = $1.60 (currently at $1.18, still moderate low optimism, having more potential than Q&M Dental currently). For Ein55 graduates who have mastered 55 Ein55 investing styles, would know the actual potential of Raffles Medical. Don’t regret again if Dr Tee may share on this giant stock next time.

Most people regret of missing an opportunity, did not know that they don’t miss it at all, even reading today here (eg. applying short term momentum trading on Q&M Dental to Buy High Sell Highe). The key is to confirm whether it is a giant stock, then next step is to apply the right LOFTP (Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) strategy on short term trading and / or long term investing based on current market condition, aligning with own unique personality.

There are many other global giant stocks prepared to surge with pandemic recovery, are you ready to become their business partners as a stock investor?

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There are over 2000 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

View quick preview video below, Dr Tee will introduce 10 key stock investment strategies (股票投资十招) to be learned in 4hr free stock webinar:

Register Here (Dr Tee Free 4hr Stock Webinar):  www.ein55.com

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Free Ride on 10 Singapore Bull Market Stocks (牛市顺风车)

In this Dr Tee 1.5hr video education (Free Ride on 10 Singapore Bull Market Stocks), you will learn:
1) Singapore and Malaysia Stock Market Outlook 2021/Q3
2) Long Term Investing on 3 Singapore Giant Stocks:
– The Hour Glass (SGX: AGS)
– Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92)
– Raffles Medical Group (SGX: BSL)

3) Short Term Trading on 3 Singapore Giant Stocks:
– PropNex (SGX: OYY)
– Union Gas Holdings (SGX: 1F2)
– Cortina Holdings (SGX: C41)
4) Bonus Stock Diagnosis for Audience Q&A on 4 Singapore Giant Stocks:
– Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings (SGX: BS6)
– Tuan Sing Holdings (SGX: T24)
– OCBC Bank (SGX: O39)
– Wilmar International (SGX: F34)

Learners of earlier Dr Tee videos could have profited with over 50% rally in share price if have taken actions during pandemic on similar giant stocks such as The Hour Glass, Cortina, Union Gas, OCBC, etc. No one could change the past but you could still change the future if taking action to learn now!

Here is Dr Tee Free 1.5-hr Video Course (suitable for bilingual learners: verbal presentation in Chinese, written notes in English, technical charts for everyone). Enjoy and give your comments for improvement. You may subscribe to Dr Tee Youtube channel (Ein Tee) for future Dr Tee video talks.

Dr Tee Video Course: https://youtu.be/WCciuIn88uI

在这Dr Tee 1.5小时教育视频(10只新加坡牛市股票顺风车),您可学习:
1) 新加坡与马来西亚2021/Q3股市展望
2) 三只长期投资的新加坡强股
– 欧佳时 The Hour Glass (SGX: AGS)
– 泰国酿酒
Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92)
– 莱佛士医疗
Raffles Medical Group (SGX: BSL)
3) 三只短期交易的新加坡强股
博纳产业 PropNex (SGX: OYY)
优联燃气 Union Gas Holdings (SGX: 1F2)
– 高登 Cortina Holdings (SGX: C41)
4) 现场观众问答环节,四只新加坡强股分析:
– 揚子江船業 Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings (SGX: BS6)
– 传慎控股 Tuan Sing Holdings (SGX: T24)
– 华侨银行 OCBC Bank (SGX: O39)
– 丰益国际 Wilmar International (SGX: F34)

错过Dr Tee之前教导,猛涨过50%的强股 (欧佳时、高登、优联燃气、华侨银行)?往者不可谏,来者犹可追,现在开始学习投资!

这儿是 Dr Tee 免费1.5小时华语课程 (适合双语学员:华语表达,英语讲义,图表皆通)。请欣赏鄙作,留言求进步。您可订阅 Dr Tee Youtube 频道(Ein Tee),链接未来投资视频。

Dr Tee 华语视频: https://youtu.be/WCciuIn88uI

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There are over 2000 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

View quick preview video below, Dr Tee will introduce 10 key stock investment strategies (股票投资十招) to be learned in 4hr free stock webinar:

Register Here (Dr Tee Free 4hr Stock Webinar):  www.ein55.com

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Oil & Gas Stocks (Singapore, US, Hong Kong) with 100% Profit (火上加油)

Crude oil crashed to negative price 1 year ago, how many of you dare to buy oil or related stocks when others were fearful? Everyone knows “Buy Low Sell High” is the secret to make money in investment but in practice, not many people able to pluck the low-hanging fruits.

In this article, you will learn from Dr Tee on Giant Oil & Stocks of 3 Countries (over 100% profits in the past 1 year) for longer term investing and / or short term trading with COVID-19 recovery stock rally. Bonus for readers who could read every word of the entire article, learning unique strategy to position in each giant stocks, including Ein55 Optimism level and Ein55 Intrinsic Value.

1) US Giant Oil & Gas Funds

Energy Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE ARCA: XLE) / US Oil Fund (NYSE ARCA: USO)

– 100% capital gains after oil price surged over 3 times in last 1 year

2) Singapore Giant Oil & Gas Stock: Union Gas Holdings (SGX: 1F2)

– over 100% profit since sharing in 5 months after sharing with Ein55 graduates & public webinars

3) Hong Kong / China Giant Oil & Gas Stock: Kunlun Energy Company (HKEX: 135)

– over 30% special dividend yield and over 20% capital gains since Ex-Dividend on 31 May 2021

Crude oil is a major commodity, therefore a giant by default (similar to property market which is also a form of commodity) as it is not possible for the world to live without energy supply.  Crude oil experienced bearish market due to natural market cycle since Year 2014 when WTI crude oil prices fell from high optimism of over US$100/barrel to low optimism of US$20/barrel, even crashed to negative price (only for 1 day due to abnormal oil futures contract, mostly from USO oil fund) during pandemic in Apr 2020.

For cyclic giant such as crude oil and related Oil & Gas stocks, the entire market was reborn after the worst time of negative oil price.  OPEC and non-OPEC oil producer countries learn to collaborate to stabilize the oil price during this crisis of century. Since then, oil price and related stocks start to rebound from low Ein55 Optimism but mainly limited to long term value investors. During recovery of pandemic over the past 1 year with more energy consumption (industries, transportation, household, etc), oil price and related stocks have gone up steadily, even approaching fair prices with mid Ein55 Optimism. With support of more short term traders who join the game recently (火上加油), oil and gas stocks are enjoying strong uptrend momentum in prices.

A giant stock may not need to be big in size, even a small company could be a giant stock. There are hundreds of Oil & Gas stocks globally but some could be junk stocks, Buy Low may become lower in share prices with declining businesses. Let’s study Global Giant Oil & Gas Stocks (following Dr Tee criteria), some are recovering from lower optimism in 3 global stock exchanges interested by readers:

1) US Giant Oil & Gas Funds

Energy Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE ARCA: XLE) / US Oil Fund (NYSE ARCA: USO)

There is no direct way of investing in crude oil market, some investors may consider either investing through oil futures fund, eg. United States Oil ETF (NYSE ACRA: USO) or Energy Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE ARCA: XLE).

USO oil fund applies rollover of WTI oil futures contracts to invest in oil indirectly.  Due to Contango in most of the time over the past few years, USO has underperformed actual oil price due to the additional loss (reducing overall capital gains) when rollover to future contracts with higher prices. However, current oil futures is under Backwardation, rollover of monthly futures contracts with lower prices would give extra capital gains, therefore higher probability of winning for trading crude oil with USO.

During pandemic in Q2 2020, WTI fell to $20/barrel, an investor may apply average down strategy (see earlier educational article by Dr Tee during the worst time of pandemic: https://www.ein55.com/2020/03/10-bullets-of-crude-oil-uso-etf-investing/), even if following oil prices to $0 (excluding negative price), average entry price is only $10/barrel (average of $20 + $15 + $10 + $5 + $0), now is already over $70/barrel, over 7 times.

Even if an investor invested in WTI oil price at the highest price of low optimism level, $20/barrel, the corresponding USO fund price was about $33/unit (after 8 to 1 stock consolidation), current price is about $48/unit (with WTI price of about $70/barrel), nearly 50% capital gains (not comparable with actual 3X oil price gains from $20/barrel to $70/barrel, mainly due to USO huge loss during negative oil price and Contango period). 

If reading most blogs or analysts reports during pandemic in Q2/2020 after negative oil price, most would write with hindsight that USO was in trouble, may even go bankrupt. Interest in Oil & Gas stocks was very low as well with so many bad news on crude oil market in the past.  In fact, this was a perfect time for oil & gas giant stock investing, especially for a few with strong business, supported by dividend yield over 10% (only known to Ein55 graduates), possible for contrarian investing with average down strategy to Buy Low, collecting quarterly dividend while waiting for the light at the end of tunnel for stock recovery to Sell High one day (currently is only a fair price for crude oil and related giant stocks).

After 1 year later, for investors who could take action with calculated risk on USO (despite this is not perfect for oil investing) or Oil & Gas giant stocks, they are rewarded now. For those who are still thinking or analyzing today (when others are not fearful anymore on oil market), the upside is limited, unless following short term momentum trading.

An alternative to oil futures fund or giant stock investing is to invest in a portfolio of large cap stocks (may not be giant stocks), diversifying the unsystematic business risks.  SPDR fund for Energy Sector Index (XLE) consists of big oil & gas companies such as Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM), Chevron (NYSE: CVX), Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX), etc. These oil & gas stocks are too big to fail (although may not be true all the time but unlikely for all to go bankrupt together), having more reserves to last through the winter time with low Ein55 Optimism oil prices. XLE fund portfolio is supported by integrated oil businesses (upstream oil exploration, midstream oil delivery and storage, downstream oil refinery and processing).

When WTI oil price was $20/barrel, assuming an investor invested in XLE (was about $28/unit), potential capital gains so far is 100%, 2X with XLE at about $55/unit.  XLE could be a better option than USO for longer term investing as it is supported indirectly by big Oil & Gas companies (may not be giant stocks, following Dr Tee criteria) with interests affected by oil prices.  USO is fine for shorter term trading unless during Backwardation period with additional capital gains.

Current Brent or WTI crude oil price of $70+/barrel is still below the Ein55 Intrinsic Value of about $80+/barrel. When there is market greed (common for cyclic commodity market), there is further potential to go beyond $100+/barrel, especially with weaker US Dollar and strong global economy during pandemic recovery after global vaccination.  If so, a smart investor would know when to exit, taking profits at high Ein55 Optimism, waiting for the next market cycle to profit from crude oil and related stocks again.

For conservative investors, it is fine to exit earlier with fair price (after Buy Low last time), converting Oil & Gas stocks to cash (as future investment opportunity fund) or Change Horse to other more defensive dividend giant stocks in the phase 2 (greedy market cycle) of stock market. Cash is King when used at the right time (usually during bearish market with low Ein55 Optimism such as Year 2020 pandemic), an investor has to know when to convert between stocks and cash.

2) Singapore Giant Oil & Gas Stock: Union Gas Holdings (SGX: 1F2)

There are only about 40 Oil & Gas giant stocks globally, excluding marginal giant stocks with familiar names such as Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) and Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4).  In fact, many Oil & Gas giant stocks are small and medium cap stocks, businesses have been growing steadily even with bearish WTI crude oil prices over the past 6 years, falling from $100/barrel to $20/barrel to negative prices.  Value is what you get (barrel of crude oil) and price is what you pay, therefore abnormal negative price (seller has to pay to buyer) could not last over 1 day. It can be risky to invest in non-giant oil & gas stocks, especially in Singapore, Buy Low may get lower or even potentially going bankrupt in business, losing everything.

Union Gas is a young Oil & Gas Giant stock in Singapore (4 years after IPO) but having over 40 years of business in LPG (Liquefied Petroleum Gas), business performance has been excellent before and after IPO till now, potential to expand from Singapore to other Southeast Asian countries. Major shareholder (Teo family) has over 70% ownership, paying steady dividend to themselves and also to other shareholders. However, Union Gas share price was stagnant since IPO until last 1 year of pandemic (crisis as opportunity due to higher demand for LPG when people staying longer at home), starting to break above low optimism level of $0.30/share, going up steadily.

When Dr Tee assigned this homework to Ein55 Graduates in Jan 2021, main strategy was positioning for trading with entry share price at $0.53/share or above after each intermediate price breakout.  The stock has gone up a few rounds over the past 5 months, trend-following trading may be applied, especially for giant stock at higher optimism with support by growing business in a promising sector with strong global economy. Based on current price of $1.10 on 14 June 2021 (another 10% rally today), it has doubled its share price with 100% profits.

Union Gas is both a growth stock for long term investing and momentum stock for short term trading.  Dr Tee has used the same stock as case study in free 4hr monthly webinars (www.ein55.com) over the past few months, even a trader may enter halfway at $0.80+, potential gains so far is already over 30%.  For shorter term trading of giant stocks, it is crucial to include S.E.T. (Stop Loss / Entry / Target Prices) in trading plan.

Union Gas is one of over 200 stocks in Singapore Catalist Market, mostly are penny stocks (many have weak business fundamentals), only 5 stocks have over $1/share price.  However, some strong price penny stocks in the past may not be sustainable in future. For example, both UG Healthcare Corporation (SGX: 8K7) and Medtecs International Corporation (SGX: 546) from Catalist market were over $1/share, now back to penny stock (below $1/share) after the market greed has subsided for pandemic beneficiary stocks. Those speculators who chase after the high prices would suffer huge loss when the momentum is stopped one day.

In the last rally of global stock market, usually penny stocks including many junk stocks would go to higher optimism level, speculators may buy up (especially when stock prices rising over 2-10 times) without consideration of businesses, ignorant of price vs value. Sadly to say, this group of speculators (mainly applying tips strategy in action taking) may make some pocket money with over small gains of 10-20% but eventually may need to pay back over big losses of 50-90% to Mr Market when show hands at wrong time with more capitals in future trades of junk stocks with consideration of prices alone (happened several times before, including penny stock crisis many years ago with Blumont (SGX: A33), LionGold (SGX: A78), etc.

3) Hong Kong / China Giant Oil & Gas Stock: Kunlun Energy Company (HKEX: 135)

Kunlun Energy was a Temasek stock who was lucky to sell the stocks many years ago while the stock prices falling from peak of over $16/share in Year 2013 to $4/share during pandemic 2020. In fact, Kunlun Energy has been a little giant stock under giant parent company, PetroChina (HKEX: 857), No 2 largest Oil & Gas stock in the world. Kunlun is a small cap company with integrated LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) businesses.

Kunlun Energy has strong business fundamental but share prices have been affected by bearish crude oil and natural gas prices. Natural gas usually is a byproduct of crude oil drilling, therefore both Oil & Gas stocks are strongly correlated in both businesses and share prices within similar sector, despite the applications are different. Even the future world may not need crude oil one day, becoming 100% green energy, still needs natural gas to produce electricity.

So, popularity of electric vehicles would not eliminate traditional energy sources of crude oil and natural gas. Buying technology giant stocks such as Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) is mainly investing in future (pretty picture with higher uncertainty), while buying Oil & Gas giant stocks, are based on proven current business (low-hanging fruits).  An investor may make decision with known facts (which sometimes may last for decades, no need to predict into future which may not come within one’s lifetime.

Over the last 1 year of pandemic, Kunlun Energy recovers in share prices from $4/share to over $9/share with over 100% capital gains. Over the past few months, Dr Tee has shared Kunlun Energy with both Ein55 Graduates and monthly free 4hr public webinars (www.ein55.com), those who take actions recently could profit in both one-time special dividend yield of 32% (mainly due to disposal of an asset) and over 20% capital gains since Ex-Dividend on 31 May 2021 till now.

Kunlun Energy is still a momentum stock for trading, certain trading platform may not adjust for 32% dividend yield on 31 May 2021, then investor has to take note of the 30% price ($9 to $6) differences. It may also be considered for longer term investing (current price is still near to low Ein55 optimism level) with Ein55 Intrinsic Value nearly $18. However, this stock is highly cyclical, may not be suitable for low risk tolerance investor (even Temasek sold it in the last bearish cycle), despite business fundamental is excellent with strong sponsor (PetroChina), share price could fluctuate more than indices.

Volatility could be friend for traders while low optimism (price lower than value) could be friend for investors. So, an investor has to confirm PA (Personal Analysis), aligning the investing strategies with own unique personality (eg. short term trading or long term investing). PA is an anchor point to avoid drifting of position due to emotional stock market. “Copy and Paste” of other people’s best stocks or successes may not work without internalization.

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Due to sector rotation with weakening of USD, commodity market is recovering steadily from low optimism in last few years, now approaching mid optimism of fair value, attracting potential short term traders to follow the uptrend prices of commodity stocks (oil & gas, agricultural, precious metals, etc).

Value investor has option to enter these lower Ein55 Optimism stocks at much lower prices (Buy Low Sell High) with contrarian investing (supporting by high dividend yield). Short term traders would enter at much higher prices (Buy high sell higher), following trends.

Either long term investing or short term trading could make money in stocks. A common way could not make money is simply do nothing, waiting for inflation to depreciate the cash by -2% yearly which is sure loss over long term. Cash is King only when used at the right time, not keeping forever.

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There are over 2000 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

View quick preview video below, Dr Tee will introduce 10 key stock investment strategies (股票投资十招) to be learned in 4hr free stock webinar:

Register Here (Dr Tee Free 4hr Stock Webinar):  www.ein55.com

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Top 10 Global Luxury Giant Stocks (纸醉金迷)

We may still remember the Malaysia 1MDB news a few years ago on millions of ringgit worth of luxury products (handbags –Bijan / Hermes / Gucci, jewelry, watches – Rolex / Patek Philippe) discovered as “gifts” to a lucky family. In fact, smart investors could profit from these luxury products in a legal way with stock investing, leveraging on global rich people with extravagant spending.

In this article, you will learn from Dr Tee on Top 10 Global Luxury Giant Stocks of 4 Countries for longer term investing and / or short term trading with COVID-19 recovery stock rally. Bonus for readers who could read every word of the entire article, learning unique strategy to position in each giant luxury stocks, including Ein55 Optimism level and Ein55 Intrinsic Value.

1) France Giant Luxury Stock: LVMH (EPA: MC), Hermes (EPA: RMS), Kering (EPA: KER)

2) US Giant Luxury Stock: Estee Lauder (NYSE: EL), PVH (NYSE: PVH)

3) Singapore Giant Luxury Stock: The Hour Glass (SGX: AGS), Cortina Holdings (SGX: C41)

4) HK Giant Luxury Stock: Chow Tai Fook (HKEx: 1929), Chow Sang Sang (HKEx: 116), Luk Fook (HKEx: 590)

Stocks with luxury products (eg. branded handbags, expensive gold jewelry, luxury watches, etc) are consumer discretionary stocks (纸醉金迷), usually following the economic cycle, very bullish during bull run (eg. last 1 year of pandemic recovery), very bearish during global financial crisis (eg. Q1 of 2020 pandemic, 2008-2009 subprime crisis, etc). Therefore, mastery of investment clock would help on cyclical luxury stocks to Buy Low Sell High. 

However, there are some growth luxury giant stocks which are suitable with Buy Low and Hold long term strategy due to the fact that rich would become richer (sadly to say, may imply poor become poorer, especially those who don’t know investment, depending only on active income from 1 job) when global financial crisis is over. Therefore, the luxury product businesses of growth giant stocks could continue to grow for many decades, especially having a strong intangible asset of famous brands (status of rich people who are willing to pay more).

During COVID-19 pandemic, most luxury stocks suffer in businesses mainly due to temporary lower spending power of rich people and limited tourists who could be main customers in the past. With pandemic recovery (over last 1 year and likely for next 1 year) and availability of online purchases, both businesses and share prices of giant luxury stocks have been growing steadily. When international borders are fully opened one day after global vaccination of COVID-19, the business growth would be accelerated.

A giant stock may not need to be big in size, even a small company could be a giant stock. There are hundreds of luxury stocks globally but some could be junk stocks, Buy Low may become lower in share prices with declining businesses. Let’s study Top 10 Global Giant Luxury Stocks (following Dr Tee criteria), some are recovering from lower optimism in 4 global stock exchanges interested by readers:

1) France Giant Luxury Stock:

LVMH (EPA: MC), Hermes (EPA: RMS), Kering (EPA: KER)

Asian investors may not familiar with European stock market. In fact, France has the most famous luxury products brands in the world, many giant stocks are listed under Euronext Paris Stock Exchange (EPA) which is accessible to global investors.  A smart investor would diversify investment over a portfolio of 10-20 global giant stocks in several countries, which may include No 6 largest economy in the world, France, which is famous for its people creativity (despite may not be as hardworking as Asian people).

LVMH (Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton) is the world largest luxury product, including many famous brands such as Hennessy (wine), LV, Christian Dior, etc.   The major shareholder, Bernard Arnault, recently becomes the World No 1 Richest person as LVMH share prices have outperformed No 2 (Jeff Bezos of Amazon) and No 3 (Elon Musk of Tesla). Ein55 Optimism level is over 80%, current price is far exceeding Ein55 Intrinsic value, more suitable with short term momentum trading strategy (Buy High Sell Higher), requiring S.E.T. (Stop Loss / Entry / Target Prices) trading plan.

Similar to LVMH, Hermes is also a family owned business but much smaller in business size, famous with luxury handbags (some rich people wives may have no resistance over them, becoming a collector with millions of dollars spent). However, Hermes is a much stronger growth stock than LVMH, business is so good that even LVMH was hoping to acquire it but mission failed many years ago.  Ein55 Optimism level is near to 90%, suitable for both growth investing and momentum trading, but ideal entry point may be to wait for a global financial crisis, especially for longer term investors.

Dr Tee discussed both LVMH and Hermes as stock homework with Ein55 graduates about 2 years ago, even with over 30% share price correction during pandemic crisis, both stocks have achieved 70% potential gains so far. Both are excellent examples of growth stock investing, even if an investor did not sell during global stock crisis, growth giant stocks could recover faster to achieve a new high in future. The main enemy of an investor is usually oneself, especially when a giant stock with growing business is significantly corrected in share prices due to market fear.

Kering is No 4 largest luxury stock in the world, famous of brands such as Gucci, Yves Saint Laurent, etc. Kering is also strong in business but slower growth compared to Hermes and LVMH, more suitable with Buy Low Sell High strategy. Ein55 Optimism level is near to 80% with pandemic recovery, more suitable for short term trading. 

In fact, short term performance of LVMH, Hermes and Kering are comparable (currently bullish trends) and aligned due to similar consumer discretionary sector (Level 2) and same country (Level 3).  For both short term trading and long term investor, Level Analysis would help to improve probability of success, knowing the unique market cycles (bull / bear) of each sector and country.

Readers may read earlier article by Dr Tee for more details with Top 10 World Richest Persons stocks including LVMH:
https://www.ein55.com/2021/02/top-10-world-richest-giant-stocks/


2) US Giant Luxury Stock:

Estee Lauder (NYSE: EL), PVH (NYSE: PVH)

Estee Lauder is world No 2 largest luxury stock, famous of beauty products (cosmetics, fragrance, haircare, etc). It may be relatively easier to make money from ladies than men, therefore in a typical department store, men section is usually much smaller than lady section, mainly to maximize the business revenue.

Therefore, Ester Lauder is comparable with LVMH, also strong growth in business and share prices, recovering well after the correction during pandemic. Ein55 Optimism level is over 70%, more suitable for short term momentum trading, similar strategy as LVMH and Hermes.

PVH is world No 10 largest luxury stock, famous of brands such as Calvin Klein, Van Heusen, Tommy Hilfiger, etc. However, PVH business is affected much more than other giant stocks, was making a loss during 2020 pandemic year, recovery is also slower. PVH is more cyclical in nature, may be considered with Buy Low Sell High strategy. Ein55 Optimism level is still moderate low near to 30%, aiming for Ein55 Intrinsic Value of $170.

Despite global luxury giant stocks are from different countries, there is an alignment globally (Level 4) in businesses and share prices, especially with more online purchases without travelling, people from country A may purchase a luxury product from country B easily. Consumer discretionary sector with luxury products would follow economic cycles, higher growth during bullish economy, slower growth (or declining) during bearish economy.

Readers may read earlier articles by Dr Tee for more details of other US Giant Stocks:
https://www.ein55.com/tag/us-stocks/


3) Singapore Giant Luxury Stock:

The Hour Glass (SGX: AGS), Cortina Holdings (SGX: C41)

Hour Glass and Cortina are competitors, having very similar businesses, mainly in sales of luxury watches (eg. Rolex, Patek Philippe, Hublot, etc). For regular followers of Dr Tee education articles and videos (www.ein55.com/blog), you would not miss these 2 Singapore luxury giant stocks, Hour Glass and Cortina, at lower Ein55 Optimism levels when sharing during last 1 year of pandemic.

Both giant stocks are strong growth in businesses (cash rich companies), not significantly affected during pandemic (despite fewer tourists to Singapore). However, the strategy to position is very different for each stock.  Hour Glass was having more discount a few months ago, when share price was near to 80 cents, Dr Tee discussed as stock homework with Ein55 graduates, also shared in earlier articles with readers, indicating Ein55 Intrinsic Value of $1.20 which is achieved recently, having 50% potential profits in a few months for readers who do own homework and take actions decisively.  Despite the current price is near to its fair value, there is potential of higher price of over $1.60 if Hour Glass could attract institutional investors or supported by market greed to higher optimism level as its competitor, Cortina.

Cortina has much higher Ein55 Optimism level (over 90% currently), therefore the positioning over the past few months has been short term momentum trading, following trends to Buy High Sell Higher.  Cortina is relatively an illiquid stock with less stock trading volume, therefore it could be very volatile (+/-10% price movement) on certain days.  For stock analysis, instead of daily chart (certain days having 0 trading volume), it is clearer when viewing with weekly or monthly chart. Price trends of Cortina and Hour Glass are generally aligned but Cortina has appreciated much more than Hour Glass over the past 1 year.

For medium to long term investor, Hour Glass may be relatively more suitable than Cortina as Hour Glass has higher dividend yield (3-5%, depending on entry prices) and lower Ein55 Optimism level than Cortina. Recently, Hour Glass doubles the interim dividend from 2 cents (last year) to 4 cents (this year), higher dividend has helped to push up the share prices to a new historical high, also motivating Cortina to follow the same price trends.  There is also good succession plan, Hour Glass business is passed from Henry Tay to his son (Michael Tay) who has been well trained in this luxury watch industry.  So, a luxury watch may be a collection for decades but a smart investor may own “thousands” of watches by investing in Hour Glass or Cortina.

Hour Glass is 2 times larger than Cortina based on market cap but both are considered medium cap stocks, therefore may not be in the radar of institutional investors yet. Cortina has acquired Sincere Watch recently, business size is considered No 2 after Hour Glass for luxury watch market in Singapore.  To benefit from the entire luxury watches market, major shareholder of Hour Glass, Henry Tay, is also the second largest shareholder of Cortina, which is a competitor of Hour Glass.  A smart investor may learn from Henry Tay, sometimes may invest in a few competing giant stocks of any sector of interest If they are equally good.

For small or medium cap giant stock, it is easier for share prices to move up (or down) as shares are exchanging hands within a smaller group of investors, especially when majority of shares are controlled by a few major shareholders. For example, major shareholder of Hour Glass, Henry Tay, recently adding a small percentage of own shares (known insider trading) but this is sufficient to support Hour Glass above $1/share.  A smart investor would diversify over a portfolio of giant stocks with small cap <$100M (higher potential), medium cap $100M – $1B (good balance of potential and stability) and large cap >$1B (more stability).

Readers may read earlier articles (during pandemic with lower Ein55 Optimism level) by Dr Tee for more details with Singapore Growth Stocks including Hour Glass and Cortina:
https://www.ein55.com/tag/growth-stock/


4) HK Giant Luxury Stock:

Chow Tai Fook (HKEx: 1929), Chow Sang Sang (HKEx: 116), Luk Fook (HKEx: 590)

Before pandemic, some readers who travel often to Hong Kong may remember these famous jewelry shops along shopping streets: Chow Tai Fook (周大福), Chow Sang Sang (周生生) and Luk Fook (六福), which are all giant luxury stocks, making money from both local residents and overseas tourists.  However, there are many luxury stocks (jewelry, watches, etc) listed in Hong Kong Stock Exchange, not all are giant stocks.

Businesses of all these 3 Hong Kong luxury giant stocks were affected, not only during the last 1 year of pandemic. In fact, even before pandemic, despite growing gold price since Year 2015, jewelry market in Hong Kong has been declining over the years, partly because the number of mainland China tourists to Hong Kong is declining with local political differences. The activists in Hong Kong over the past few years (before pandemic) have further slowdown the demand of this luxury product market.

After the enhancement of local Hong Kong law against potential activists, these 3 luxury giant stocks have started to grow gradually in businesses, supported by pandemic recovery.  These 3 giant stocks have very similar trends in businesses (same sector) and share prices (same stock market) in short to medium terms.  Relatively, Chow Tai Fook (world No 9 largest luxury stock) is the strongest among 3 stocks on business recovery during pandemic, short term share price is also more bullish than Chow Sang Sang and Luk Fook.

In general, Chow Sang Sang and Luk Fook are still at low Ein55 Optimism levels (less than 25%), aiming for Ein55 Intrinsic Values of about $30 (Chow Sang Sang) and $60 (Luk Fook) respectively, may be considered for cyclic investing or short term trading.  They are average quality of crisis stocks due to relatively weaker businesses.  Major leader of sector, Chow Tai Fook, is more suitable for trend-following short term trading.

Readers may read earlier articles by Dr Tee for more details of other Hong Kong Giant Stocks:
https://www.ein55.com/tag/hong-kong-market/

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It is easy to know “Buy Low Sell High” is universal secret to profit in most investment. However, most people dare not buy when share price of giant stocks fall to very low optimism (due to lack of visibility of how low is low). Similarly, some people may not buy when share prices of giant stocks go to very high optimism (despite possible to do short term trading). Eventually, some may buy junk stocks during speculative trading, making money for first few times, losing more in later trading when adding more position due to “confidence” of winning in the past.

It shows the importance for retail investors to master stock trading and investment skills, not only knowing but able to take actions (Buy / Hold / Sell / Wait / Shorting). Readers who could spend time to read until here is an achievement, continue the momentum to learn and apply further in stock investment after mastery of skills.

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There are over 1500 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

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Seasonality Effect with Ex-Dividend Months on Singapore Stock Market (2009-2021)

Seasonality or Monthly Effect (stock index vs month/year) is strong for months of May and August for Singapore stock market, especially 30 STI component stocks. This is mainly related to Ex-dividend dates for 30 STI in Singapore but may not apply to smaller cap giant stocks which continue to be bullish in month of May. Learn further from Dr Tee on details of this unique Singapore stock myth.

For recent May 2021, STI ends with only 1+% lower but still it is a mini “bear” month, aligning with myth of “Sell in May and Go Away“. As we could see from the Seasonality Chart (2009 June – 2021 May) for Singapore stock market, over the past 12 years, for the month of May, 10 years were down (including this month, May 2021), only 2 years were bullish. For month of August, Singapore STI index is even worse, 11 years were down, only 1 year was up (last year, 2020, mainly due to pandemic recovery).

By right, there is no logic to strong monthly or seasonality effect (occurring 10-11 times over the past 12 years, bearish for months of May and August) but Singapore stock market is unique, especially many 30 STI component stocks are dividend stocks / REITs, certain month of ex-dividend dates, price adjustment after dividend payment could be stronger than usual stock market force of the month.

For example, out of the 6 biggest market cap STI stocks: DBS Bank (SGX: D05), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), JMH – Jardine Matheson Holdings (SGX: J36), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Singtel (SGX: Z74) and Wilmar International (SGX: F34) (6 stocks contributing to about 57% of STI), all 6/6 Ex-dividend in month of August while 3/6 also Ex-dividend in month of May. This may explain why Singapore stock market is nearly always bearish in the months of August and May, mainly to adjust for price after dividend payment (filling the quarterly or half-yearly dividend yield of around 1-3%), also to fulfill the global myth to “Sell in May”. MAS may adjust or lifted the 60% dividend payment cap imposed over the past 1 year for 3 major banks, this could result in strong Ex-dividend effect from Q2/2021 (starting with DBS with quarterly dividend payment), affecting more on volatility of 30 STI in coming month of August.

So, it may not be a good idea to invest in Singapore dividend stocks just before the Ex-dividend date, as the price correction (capital loss) after Ex-dividend date could be more than the dividend received. It is smarter to invest dividend stocks a few months in advance while the share price starts to recover from intermediate low due to market fear or bearish market. Alternatively, focusing on any giant stock (may or may not be dividend stocks, not limited to 30 STI component stocks) with strong price and business performance).

When there are more believers in certain myth, then it could affect the local market. Hong Kong and Japan also has similar myth, for example when movie star Adam Cheng (郑少秋) has new TV drama showing, HK share price would drop. Japan has similar related belief but influence varies.

In fact, there are quite a few small or mid cap giant Singapore stocks, eg. Propnex (SGX: OYY), Union Gas Holdings (SGX: 1F2), iFAST Corporation (SGX: AIY), The Hour Glass (SGX: AGS), Cortina Holdings (SGX: C41), Q&M Dental Group (Singapore) (SGX: QC7),  Raffles Medical Group (SGX: BSL), etc, which Dr Tee has mentioned in earlier educational posts or free webinars, continue to surge over 20-30% in bearish month of May, opposite in trend with STI.

So, selection of right stocks (Level 1) in right sectors (Level 2) in right country (Level 3) is crucial. In general, Singapore and US stock markets remain relatively more bullish than other global stock exchanges since early 2021. So, it is a good choice to focus in Singapore stock market, both for short term momentum trading and long term cyclic / dividend investing.

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There are over 1500 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

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50% Profits of The Hour Glass Stock in 4 months

Congratulations to readers who have taken action on The Hour Glass (luxury watches stock, SGX: AGS) as Dr Tee has shared this giant stock in several educational posts over the past 1 year. The profit is nearly 50% from $0.80 (breakout) to $1.18 today.

In the earlier educational article on 100 Singapore Dividend Stocks (Mar 2021), Dr Tee shared the intrinsic value of The Hour Glass is about $1.20, now the price has surged to $1.18. It could have more upside but requires market greed to drive it to higher optimism. This is value investing, buy the right stock and right price, just wait patiently for the fruit in 2 targets: intrinsic value and also possible higher optimism price target.

As shown in Optimism Chart, The Hour Glass was still low optimism a few months ago, having 2X upside potential. It is a growth, dividend and cyclic stock, 3-in-1 stock. More importantly, this is a giant stock with very strong business fundamental.

For those who missed the 80 cents price breakout (low optimism, despite nearly highest price at that time) in Feb 2021 with rally to 90+ cents, there is a second chance recently. After the special gift from government on fear of Phase2 COVID measures on 14 May 2021 (Hour Glass dropped to 90 cents), Hour Glass has surged 20% last week and 10% this week, partly supported by good earnings results for financial year ending Mar 2021 (8% better results in last 1 year of pandemic compared to before pandemic), declaring 2X higher interim dividend than last year.

Dividend is like honey to attract bees (traders and investors) to work, helping to support the rising prices (capital gains). However, the plant (stock) needs to produce aromatic flower (growing business) first, else the honey supply may end one day. The best integration of strategy could be dividend + growth investing, having the best of 2 worlds, collecting passive income slowly while enjoying the capital gains with compounding of time. Patient investors could make big money but it requires strong determination.

Major shareholder Dr Henry Tay may know the investment marketing strategy, giving extra 2 cents per share dividend but share price has gained extra 28 cents. Timing of action is crucial, especially for stocks with Financial Reports ending in Mar 201, better results in Q2 would help to support the share prices (except for tech stocks at high optimism under sector rotation). So, a giant stock at low optimism is key. Hour Glass still has upside potential but it is no longer a low hanging fruit (low optimism giant stock) as shared over the past 1 year.

We may not need to own a Rolex watch even if we could afford. Instead, saving for the capital, an investor could indirectly own many luxury watches (Rolex, Patek Philippe, Hublot, etc) through investing in The Hour Glass stock as a business partner. Dr Henry Tay of The Hour Glass is even smarter, also invest in stock of main competitor, Cortina Holdings (SGX: C41), having strong control of luxury watches market in Singapore. In a bullish stock market with growing economy, consumer discretionary stock (including luxury watches) would have higher upside in both businesses and share prices. Alignment of individual stock (Level 1) to sector (Level 2), country (Level 3) and global (Level 4) economy and stock markets is crucial.

Readers may learn further, there are still many low optimism giant stocks waiting. Learn further in the next free 4hr Free Webinar by Dr Tee on other giant stocks (as good as The Hour Glass) which could still wait for you.

===================================

There are over 1500 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

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134 Singapore Property Stocks with Discounted NAV Strategy (为善最乐)

In recent Ein55 Charity Course on Global Discounted NAV (DNAV) Stocks, we have raised fund of $24,488 to help needy families in Singapore. Under the spirit of charity, Dr Tee decides to share 134 Singapore Property Stocks and 3 global DNAV stocks in 3 countries with readers (detailed strategies including Ein55 Optimism levels, Ein55 intrinsic values and DNAV will be shared):

1) Singapore DNAV Stock – Hongkong Land (SGX: H78)

2) Malaysia DNAV Stock – Paramount (Bursa: 1724)

3) Hong Kong / China DNAV Stock – Yuexiu Property (HKEx: 123)

Dr Tee, Ein55 Mentors & Graduates have together organized 11 charity investment courses (REITs in Nov 2015, May 2017 and May 2019, High Dividend Stocks in Mar 2016, Oct 2017 and Nov 2019, Global Growth Stocks in Apr 2018 and Nov 2020, and Discounted NAV Stocks in Sep 2016, Nov 2018 and May 2021) in the past 6 years, donating net income of around $222,000 to Tzu Chi 慈济 Singapore.

We hope to inspire more Ein55 Graduates to reach out the society, helping others who are in need. More importantly, they have also learned the secrets of making money through investment. When more Ein55 Graduates are successful financially, they could also contribute back to the society to help more people in future (为善最乐).

Discounted Net Asset Value (DNAV) Strategy is valuation of company business, firstly based on the Net Asset Value (NAV) listed in current Balance Sheet. Then, we determine the net cash that would be received if all assets were sold and liabilities paid off.  Various discounts will be applied based on different quality of asset classes.  It is safer to buy stock with share price below the Discounted NAV (much more conservative than price below NAV or Price-to-Book ratio, PB < 1). Unlike PB method mainly applied for asset rich company (eg. property stocks), DNAV method can be applied in non-property or not cash-rich stocks. However, Ein55 Optimism strategies have to be integrated to avoid value trap, i.e. Buy Low Get Lower for undervalue stocks.

The best time to buy global DNAV stocks and 134 Singapore property stocks is always during global stock crisis (eg. Year 2020-2021 during pandemic, 2008—2009 during subprime crisis, etc), not only able to maximize the dividend yield (due to lower entry share price), also could have higher potential of capital gains (when market cycle moves from fear in low optimism to greed in high optimism). Singapore property stock investing is not based on undervalue strategy (Buy Undervalue Sell Overprice) alone, may be integrated with dividend investing, growth investing, swing trading, momentum trading, cyclic investing, defensive investing and other Ein55 strategies.

There are 134 Singapore property stocks (not all are giant stocks with Dr Tee criteria), based on the last price traded (7 May 2021), sorted by 3 key Fundamental Criteria:
1) ROE (a criteria for growth stocks, eg. ROE > 5%),
2) Dividend Yield, DY (a criteria for dividend stocks, eg. DY > 3%),
3) Price-to-Book (PB) ratio, Price/NAV (a criteria for undervalue stocks, eg. PB < 1).

From the table sorted below, over 75% (101/134 stocks) are undervalue (Price to Book ratio, PB < 1), mainly due to COVID-19 stock crisis, affecting property construction business with bearish share prices but property asset valuation remains stable.  There are only 20% (27/134 stocks) have growing businesses (over 5% ROE, Return on Equity) while over 50% (72/134 stocks) were making losses during pandemic in Year 2020. There are nearly 50% (62/134 stocks) were paying dividend but only 22 stocks (16%) having dividend yield over 3%, potential for dividend investing.

No134 SG Property StocksROE (%)PBDY (%)
13Cnergy (SGX: 502)1.1
2A-Smart Holdings (SGX: BQC)0.8521.8
3AEI Corporation (SGX: AWG)2.6
4Aims Property Securities Fund (SGX: BVP)0.41.9
5Asia-Pacific Strategic Investments (SGX: 5RA)0.8
6APAC Realty (SGX: CLN)10.621.15.1
7Abterra (SGX: L5I)50.492.1
8Acromec (SGX: 43F)1.9
9Alset International (SGX: 40V)53.451.1
10Amara Holdings (SGX: A34)0.5
11Amcorp Global (SGX: S9B)0.6
12AnnAik (SGX: A52)0.2940.31.8
13Astaka Holdings (SGX: 42S)5.5
14BBR Holdings (SGX: KJ5)0.5
15BRC Asia (SGX: BEC)7.6931.31.3
16Blackgold Natural Resources (SGX: 41H)
17Boldtek Holdings (SGX: 5VI)0.7
18Bonvests (SGX: B28)0.50.3
19Boustead Singapore (SGX: F9D)9.011.42.9
20Boustead Projects (SGX: AVM)7.4691.10.8
21Bukit Sembawang Estates (SGX: B61)5.7480.90.9
22Bund Center Investment (SGX: BTE)2.1970.97.3
23CSC Holdings (SGX: C06)4.5310.4
24CapitaLand (SGX: C31)0.82.5
25CASA Holdings (SGX: C04)2.6380.35.6
26Chemical Industries (Far East) (SGX: C05)2.7820.42.1
27China International Holdings (SGX: BEH)14.620.39.1
28China Yuanbang Property Holdings (SGX: BCD)5.9910.1
29Chip Eng Seng Corporation (SGX: C29)0.44.4
30City Developments (SGX: C09)0.91.0
31DISA (SGX: 532)4.3
32Debao Property Development (SGX: BTF)0.1
33ETC Singapore (SGX: 1C0)0.3
34Edition (SGX: 5HG)1.6
35Engro Corporation (SGX: S44)8.5630.62.0
36Fraser and Neave – F & N (SGX: F99)5.0260.73.5
37Far East Orchard (SGX: O10)0.1240.42.6
38Figtree Holdings (SGX: 5F4)0.52.9
39First Sponsor Group (SGX: ADN)5.9960.82.2
40Fragrance Group (SGX: F31)0.1330.6
41Frasers Property (SGX: TQ5)1.4770.50.9
42GYP Properties (SGX: AWS)0.4
43Gallant Venture (SGX: 5IG)0.9
44Golden Energy and Resources (SGX: AUE)2.1010.7
45Goodland Group (SGX: 5PC)0.31.0
46GuocoLand (SGX: F17)2.2340.53.6
47HL Global Enterprises (SGX: AVX)0.2630.4
48Hatten Land (SGX: PH0)0.9
49Heeton Holdings (SGX: 5DP)0.2
50Hiap Hoe (SGX: 5JK)0.40.8
51Hiap Seng Engineering (SGX: 510)
52Ho Bee Land (SGX: H13)3.7820.52.9
53Hock Lian Seng Holdings (SGX: J2T)2.080.61.0
54Hong Fok Corporation (SGX: H30)0.31.2
55Hong Lai Huat Group (SGX: CTO)0.3
56Hong Leong Asia (SGX: H22)5.3120.81.0
57Hongkong Land Holdings (SGX: H78)0.34.5
58Hor Kew Corp (SGX: BBP)0.8610.2
59Huationg Global (SGX: 41B)0.2
60Hwa Hong Corporation (SGX: H19)2.2211.03.3
61IPC Corporation (SGX: AZA)0.2
62ISOTeam (SGX: 5WF)1.1
63Imperium Crown (SGX: 5HT)0.2
64Jasper Investments (SGX: FQ7)
65KOP (SGX: 5I1)0.4
66KSH Holdings (SGX: ER0)4.7570.66.0
67Keong Hong Holdings (SGX: 5TT)0.4
68Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4)0.91.9
69Keppel Reit (SGX: K71U)0.94.4
70King Wan Corporation (SGX: 554)0.7530.2
71Koh Brothers Group (SGX: K75)0.2
72Koon Holdings (SGX: 5DL)
73KORI Holdings (SGX: 5VC)0.8520.3
74LHN (SGX: 41O)19.850.94.7
75Ley Choon Group (SGX: Q0X)1.1
76Lian Beng Group (SGX: L03)4.060.32.0
77Low Keng Huat (Singapore) (SGX: F1E)7.0070.55.1
78Lum Chang Holdings (SGX: L19)0.63.3
79Luminor Financial Holdings (SGX: 5UA)0.5
80MYP (SGX: F86)0.4
81Metro Holdings (SGX: M01)2.150.42.7
82OIO Holdings (SGX: KUX)
83OKH Global (SGX: S3N)0.3
84OKP (SGX: 5CF)2.6960.53.8
85OneApex (SGX: 5SY)1.1
86Oxley Holdings (SGX: 5UX)1.03.3
87PSL Holdings (SGX: BLL)0.3
88Pacific Century Regional Development (SGX: P15)1.08.7
89Pacific Star Development (SGX: 1C5)
90Pan Hong (SGX: P36)15.440.52.4
91Pavillon Holdings (SGX: 596)0.4
92Pollux Properties (SGX: 5AE)0.0960.6
93PropNex (SGX: OYY)34.44.94.9
94Raffles Infrastructure Holdings (SGX: LUY)13.350.5
95Regal International Group (SGX: UV1)15.284.3
96Renaissance United (SGX: I11)0.3
97Rich Capital Holdings (SGX: 5G4)1.4
98Roxy-Pacific Holdings (SGX: E8Z)1.0
99Ryobi Kiso (SGX: BDN)2.2
100SHS Holdings (SGX: 566)0.8
101SLB Development (SGX: 1J0)6.8380.63
102SP Corporation (SGX: AWE)2.4590.38
103Sasseur Reit (SGX: CRPU)4.2541.017.06
104Second Chance Properties (SGX: 528)1.7860.781.61
105Sin Heng Heavy Machinery (SGX: BKA)1.0630.331.54
106Sinarmas Land (SGX: A26)3.5450.430.32
107SingHaiyi (SGX: 5H0)0.46
108SingHaiyi Group (SGX: 5IC)5.3190.492.63
109Singapore Land Group (SGX: U06)1.230.531.28
110Sinjia Land (SGX: 5HH)0.95
111Soilbuild Construction (SGX: S7P)0.75
112Straits Trading (SGX: S20)3.3470.712.22
113Sysma Holdings (SGX: 5UO)2.1210.59
114TA Corporation (SGX: PA3)0.38
115T T J Holdings (SGX: K1Q)0.4212.614
116Tai Sin Electric (SGX: 500)5.3640.8164.348
117Thakral Corporation (SGX: AWI)4.4180.4076.522
118Thomson Medical Group (SGX: A50)4.946
119Tiong Seng Holdings (SGX: BFI)0.2991.562
120Top Global (SGX: BHO)0.531
121Tosei Corporation (SGX: S2D)6.1090.5832.585
122Tritech Group (SGX: 5G9)1.063
123United Overseas Australia – UOA (SGX: EH5)6.4010.7292.678
124UOL Group (SGX: U14)0.1340.6562.3
125USP Group (SGX: BRS)0.204
126Vibrant Group (SGX: BIP)2.4560.307
127Wee Hur Holdings (SGX: E3B)6.810.4512.439
128Wing Tai Holdings (SGX: W05)0.0880.4541.593
129Yanlord Land Group (SGX: Z25)8.3060.4284.857
130Yeo Hiap Seng (SGX: Y03)0.8922.21
131Ying Li International Real Estate (SGX: 5DM)0.391
132Yoma Strategic Holdings (SGX: Z59)0.405
133Yongmao Holdings (SGX: BKX)7.6820.3590.309
134Yongnam Holdings (SGX: AXB)0.308

However, not all the 134 Singapore property stocks listed are giant stocks. A growing business in the past may not be sustainable during COVID-19 period and an undervalue stock may remain lagging in share prices for many years, could end up as a crisis stock. Fundamental Analysis alone is not sufficient, a low PB or low PE or high dividend yield stock may be a value trap as this may be the result of lower share price with weakening businesses. Therefore, deeper analysis is required with LOFTP (Level, Optimism, Fundamental, Technical, Personal Analysis) Strategies. 

Let’s learn these 3 global Discounted NAV giant stocks in 3 countries, understanding the business nature, investment clock and unique strategy.

1) Singapore DNAV Stock – Hongkong Land (SGX: H78)

Hongkong Land is part of Jardine Group with over 100 years of history. It has property businesses mainly in Hong Kong, China and Singapore with 61% in investment properties (main source of rental income) and 39% in development properties. The West Bund project in Xuhui Shanghai of China would be major revenue contributor in the next few years.

Hongkong Land is still at low Ein55 Optimism (<25%) but recovering well from low in pandemic, aiming for Ein55 intrinsic value of about $9/share. This stock has Discounted NAV of $15/share (close to NAV, implying very high quality of its asset), providing high safety of margin for long term investors with stable dividend payment (about 4-5% dividend yield, depending on entry price). Assuming extreme devaluation of Hong Kong property market by 50%, Hongkong Land would still have $7.50/share value for very conservative investors.  The “loss” of Hongkong Land in Year 2020 is mainly accounting loss due to devaluation of property but cashflow is still strong to support the dividend payment, behaving as if a REIT.

Recent acquisition of parent company, JSH (SGX: J37) by JMH (SGX: J36), has helped to support the prices of other stocks in Jardine group including Hongkong Land.  Jardine Group may have more corporate actions in future to release the hidden value of subsidiary stocks including Hongkong Land, Jardine Cycle & Carriage – JCC (SGX: C07), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01) and Mandarin Oriental Hotel (SGX: M04). However, the recovery pattern of share prices for undervalue stock can be different from growth stocks. Hongkong Land is more suitable for long term investors with patient, positioning as a mid-fielder stock, good balance between capital gains and dividend as passive income.

Readers may read earlier articles (during pandemic with low optimism prices) by Dr Tee for more details on Jardine Group of stocks including Hongkong Land:
https://www.ein55.com/tag/jardine/

2) Malaysia DNAV Stock – Paramount (Bursa: 1724)

Paramount is a Malaysia property development stock with 50 years of history in businesses. After divestment of education segment business, Paramount has drawn up a new 5-year (2020 – 2024) strategic roadmap to focus on Property development and concentrate on landed developments and integrated developments in Malaysia. In the next 5 years, Paramount plans to venture into overseas property development projects, expecting to contribute approximately 10% of the Group’s revenue. It enjoys recurring income from investment property and minority interest in education business.

Paramount is still at low Ein55 Optimism (<25%) but recovering well from low in pandemic, aiming for Ein55 intrinsic value of about $1.20/share. This stock has Discounted NAV of $2.17/share (20% lower than NAV, partly due to lower value of non-property business), providing high safety of margin for long term investors with stable dividend payment (about 4-5% dividend yield, depending on entry price). Assuming extreme devaluation of Malaysia property market by 50%, Paramount would still have $1.08/share value for very conservative investors.

Malaysia property stock investing is complicated by worse pandemic condition, political instability and weaker consumer purchasing power. Paramount is more suitable for long term investors with patient, positioning as a mid-fielder stock, good balance between capital gains and dividend as passive income.

Readers may read earlier article (during pandemic with low optimism prices) by Dr Tee for more details on other Malaysia stock affected by pandemic:
https://www.ein55.com/tag/malaysia-stocks/

3) Hong Kong / China DNAV Stock – Yuexiu Property (HKEx: 123)

Yuexiu Property is a China property developer company (state-owned enterprise), originated in Guangzhou, expanding property businesses to other 19 cities in China. In 2019, Guangzhou Metro (another state-owned enterprise) becomes the second largest investor of Yuexiu Property, deepening the strategic collaboration between 2 giants (transportation and property).

Yuexiu Property is at moderate low Ein55 Optimism of about 40%, near to Ein55 intrinsic value of $2.20. This stock has Discounted NAV of $1.27/share (much lower than its NAV), higher than its current share price, therefore no safety of margin for very conservative investors. Yuexiu Property may still be considered for growth investing with dividend payment (about 6-7% dividend yield, depending on entry price). Trend-following strategy with S.E.T. (Stop Loss, Entry, Target Prices) trading plan may be integrated into stock investing without DNAV protection.

Yuexiu Property belongs to Yuexiu Group, which also owns 2 other subsidiary stocks, Yuexiu Reit (HKEx: 405) and Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure (HKEx: 1052) which may also be considered for dividend stock investing. Major shareholder and sponsor is Guangzhou local government, providing strong support to Yuexiu Group of stocks.

Readers may read earlier articles by Dr Tee for more details on other global and local property stocks including but not limited to Yuexiu Property:
https://www.ein55.com/category/property-market/

===================================

There are over 1500 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is Ein55-Website-Post-Event-Register-Bursa.jpg

Latest 30 STI index Stocks Strategies (卧虎藏龙)

30 STI index stocks represent the overall Singapore stock market performance. The list is dynamic, recent new comers are Keppel DC Reit (replacing SPH) and Frasers Logistics and Commercial Trust (replacing Jardine Strategic Holdings). During the COVID-19 stock recovery, there is a sector rotation, investors start to pay more attention to cyclical stocks (eg. bank, properties and transportation sectors, etc), which are main businesses of 30 STI stocks.

In this article, you will learn from Dr Tee on the Latest 30 STI Index Stocks Strategies, some may be considered for longer term investing and / or short term trading with COVID-19 recovery stock rally. Bonus for readers who could read every words of the entire article, learning unique strategy to position in 30 STI Index stocks for both passive incomes (dividend) and capital gains with potential share price appreciation. Both Ein55 Optimism levels and intrinsic values will be shared for 6 groups of STI stocks with potential. Learn key applications of ALL 30 STI stocks with 1 article here:

4 Banking & Finance STI Stocks (35% of STI):
– DBS Bank (SGX: D05), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Singapore Exchange (SGX) (SGX: S68)

4 Property STI Stocks (9% of STI):
– CapitaLand (SGX: C31), City Development (SGX: C09), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), UOL (SGX: U14)

7 REITs STI Stocks (11% of STI):
– Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT) (SGX: C38U), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U)

4 Jardine STI Stocks (14% of STI):
– Jardine Matheson Holdings – JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01)

4 Transportation STI Stocks (6% of STI):
– ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Singapore Airlines (SIA) (SGX: C6L), SATS (SGX: S58), Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJ) (SGX: BS6)

8 Other Sectors STI Stocks (27% of STI):
– Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singtel (SGX: Z74), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34)

Investing in stock index of a country with growing economy (eg. Singapore STI, China A50 / Hong Kong HSI, USA S&P500 and Nasdaq, Malaysia KLCI, etc) is a defensive strategy as the stock index is well diversified over a portfolio of large cap stocks (卧虎藏龙) from various sectors, able to minimize unsystematic risks due to uncertainties in businesses and sector cycles. An investor may invest in stock indices with ETFs (Exchange Traded Fund), eg. STI Singapore has 2 ETFs: SPDR STI  ETF (SGX: ES3) and Nokko AM STI ETF (SGX: G3B), can be traded like any stock.  This provides a way for small capital investor to diversify in investment with minimal capital, eg. 1 STI ETF equals to investing in 30 STI stocks at the same time with different weightages.

The best time to buy 30 STI stocks or index ETF is always during global stock crisis (eg. Year 2020-2021 during pandemic, 2008—2009 during subprime crisis, etc), not only able to maximize the dividend yield (due to lower entry share price), also could have higher potential of capital gains (when market cycle moves from fear in low optimism to greed in high optimism). STI Index stocks investing is not for dividend collection alone, may be integrated with growth investing, swing trading, momentum trading, cyclic investing, defensive investing, undervalue investing and other Ein55 strategies.

30 STI index stocks represent the 30 largest stocks by trading market capitalization (trading price x trading volume). Therefore, not all are giant stocks (based on Dr Tee giant stock criteria).  Below are the 30 STI index component stocks based on the last price traded (20 Apr 2021), sorted by 6 main groups with details of 3 key Fundamental Criteria:
1) ROE (a criteria for growth stocks, eg. ROE > 5%),
2) Dividend Yield, DY (a criteria for dividend stocks, eg. DY > 3%),
3) Price-to-Book (PB) ratio, Price/NAV (a criteria for undervalue stocks, eg. PB < 1).

From the table sorted below, over 50% (18/30 STI stocks) have growing businesses (over 5% ROE, Return on Equity) while 7 stocks were making losses during pandemic in Year 2020. With recovery of pandemic, there are only 20% (6/30 STI stocks) are still undervalue (Price to Book ratio, PB < 1). There are over 50% (16/30 STI stocks) have dividend yield over 3%, potential for dividend investing. STI ETF has an average dividend yield of about 3%, may be considered as replacement for long term fixed deposit but it requires a stock crisis to start this saving scheme at lower Ein55 optimism level to minimize the potential capital loss due to emotional stock market.

However, not all the 30 STI index stocks listed are giant stocks. A growing business in the past may not be sustainable during COVID-19 period, could end up as a crisis stock. Fundamental Analysis alone is not sufficient, a high dividend yield stock may be a value trap as this may be the result of lower share price with weakening businesses. Therefore, deeper analysis is required with LOFTP (Level, Optimism, Fundamental, Technical, Personal Analysis) Strategies. 

No30 STI StocksROE (%)PBDY (%)
1Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U)4.971.44.8
2CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT) (SGX: C38U)2.6831.14.0
3CapitaLand (SGX: C31)0.92.4
4City Development (SGX: C09)0.91.0
5ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52)2.3711.50.8
6DBS Bank (SGX: D05)8.6421.43.0
7Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01)20.54.43.9
8Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU)12.061.34.8
9Genting Singapore (SGX: G13)0.8841.41.1
10Hongkong Land (SGX: H78)0.34.4
11Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36)1.62.7
12Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07)8.0731.02.4
13Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4)0.91.8
14Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU)8.6472.33.4
15Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU)9.3851.23.8
16Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U)10.311.64.1
17Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U)8.2351.53.6
18OCBC Bank (SGX: O39)7.2271.12.7
19SATS (SGX: S58)10.413.01.4
20Singapore Exchange (SGX) (SGX: S68)37.98.92.9
21Singapore Airlines (SIA) (SGX: C6L)1.30.6
22ST Engineering (SGX: S63)22.765.43.8
23Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96)1.21.8
24Singtel (SGX: Z74)4.0111.64.8
25Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92)15.962.93.4
26UOB Bank (SGX: U11)6.9021.13.0
27UOL (SGX: U14)0.1340.72.2
28Venture Corporation (SGX: V03)11.52.33.7
29Wilmar International (SGX: F34)8.1251.42.4
30Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJ) (SGX: BS6)7.7810.83.3

Here, let’s focus on 30 STI Index Component Stocks in Singapore over 6 main groups (Hongkong Land is counted twice under both Jardine Stock & Property Stock), learning the unique positioning:

4 Banking & Finance STI Stocks (35% of STI):
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– DBS Bank (SGX: D05), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Singapore Exchange (SGX) (SGX: S68)

3 major banks in Singapore (DBS, OCBC, UOB – all are giant stocks with close relative performance in medium term) are key pillars to STI, contributing to 33% or 1/3 of STI. Therefore, price movement and business changes in Singapore banks or financial sector would affect STI direction significantly. With improvement of pandemic condition, all 3 Singapore major banks reported better quarterly results. As a result, the share prices have recovered from lower optimism level, currently near to their respective intrinsic values.  This implies the cyclic upside potential of DBS, OCBC and UOB are limited (unless there is another global financial crisis to buy low in future), share prices would grow gradually along their intrinsic values with time.

Main current strategy for 3 bank stocks could be momentum trading (Buy High Sell Higher) with support of increasing bank interest rate (improving interest income with higher NIM, Net Interest Margin) over the next few years.  When Asian stock market are over-price (exceeding intrinsic values) with greedy market emotions, STI may achieve a new historical high, bank stock investors may need to plan for exit strategy at higher Ein55 Optimism level.  Meanwhile, Singapore bank stocks are still suitable for long term dividend investing, especially if 60% dividend payout cap (based on FY2019) may be lifted by MAS from Q2/2021, then dividend yield would increase by 50%, achieving normal dividend yield of nearly 5% (comparable with REITs), an excellent alternative to cash deposit in banks or even Singapore Savings Bond which has only 0.5% interest rate yearly, becoming negative return when inflation is over 1%.

Singapore Exchange (SGX) is a moderate growth stock due to a monopoly business model, regardless of bullish or bearish stock market, as long as there is higher demand to buy or sell stocks, earnings would increase.  With challenges from Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX: 388) who wins the MSCI Future business, Singapore Exchange has to explore new derivatives and widen the customer base to more global investors. Intrinsic value of Singapore Exchange is about $13, still undervalue at the moment, having upside potential but patience is required due to moderate growth.

Even if an investor could not buy any Singapore bank stock, may follow Ein55 Optimism strategy to buy STI index at low optimism (<25%) during pandemic, recovery from 2200+ to 3200+ points, the reward could be 30% – 50% in 1 year, depending on the timing of entry when “others are fearful”.

Readers may read earlier article (June 2020 during pandemic with low optimism prices) by Dr Tee for more details on 30 Banking & Finance stocks in Singapore, not limited to STI:
https://www.ein55.com/2020/06/30-singapore-banking-and-finance-stocks/


4 Property STI Stocks (9% of STI):
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– CapitaLand (SGX: C31), City Development (SGX: C09), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), UOL (SGX: U14)

4 major property stocks in Singapore (CapitaLand, City Development, Hongkong Land and UOL) are undervalue in nature (PB < 1), only contributing to 9% of STI. With recovery of pandemic, lower optimism levels of property stocks start to appreciate in share prices but still below their intrinsic values currently. For example, Hongkong Land has nearly 2X potential from current share price of $5 to its intrinsic value of about $9 but it has a new variable of stagnant Hongkong property market.  Despite Hongkong Land is listed in Singapore, main property business is located in Hong Kong, devaluation of Hong Kong properties results in accounting losses in FY2020 but cashflow is not affected, therefore able to pay consistent dividend as if a REIT (dividend yield of 4-5%).

Among all 4 STI property stocks, City Development has the weakest business fundamental (partly due to setback in China investment with Sincere Property), therefore even if share price has the most discount, this could be a value trap for longer term investor, therefore a lower quality of crisis stock.  UOL and CapitaLand are relatively stronger in businesses.  Despite Singapore property construction business was affected during pandemic, actual property price is growing up gradually.  Therefore, Singapore property stocks are likely to recover strongly after pandemic.

Temasek stock, CapitaLand, will be delisted in near future after recent restructuring, replacing with another potential new giant stock, CLIM (investment asset management company which focus on growth investing). In future, the undervalue CapitaLand may be listed again with higher premium price, a better option than continue the current listing with long term undervalue price under the theme of property stock.

Similar to bank stocks, Singapore property stocks are also cyclical in nature, more suitable with Buy Low Sell High strategy.  STI property stocks also could be a defender with dividend investing, especially for Hongkong Land, almost behaving like a Reit with steady dividend payment (except not required by law). Since Singapore property stocks are undervalue in nature, this is a layer of safety measure for long term investor as the asset value is more than its current share price.  However, if major shareholder decides to delist an undervalue property stock at low optimism level, then minority shareholders may not gain much after sharing the pain of holding in long term. Therefore, when Singapore stock market and property market rise to a higher optimism level, a property stock investor may consider the exit strategy (Sell High and Buy Low next time), no need to hold for long term.

Readers may read earlier article (June 2020 during pandemic with low optimism prices) by Dr Tee for more details on 47 Undervalue Property Stocks in Singapore, not limited to STI:
https://www.ein55.com/2020/06/47-undervalue-sg-property-stocks-for-privatization-including-perennial/


7 REITs STI Stocks (11% of STI):
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– Ascendas Reit – Areit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust – CICT (SGX: C38U), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust – FLCT (SGX: BUOU), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust – MCT (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust – MIT (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust – MLT (SGX: M44U)

The earlier 2 new comers of STI are MIT and FLCT, both are REITs, The 4 STI reserved list (for future consideration, eg. after replacement of CapitaLand after it is delisted) are all REITs or Trust related stocks, showing the increasing demand for defensive dividend investing: Keppel REIT, Suntec REIT, Frasers Centrepoint Trust and NetLink NBN Trust.

7 STI REITs in Singapore (Areit, CICT, FLCT, Keppel DC Reit  MCT, MIT, MLT) are all giant REITs for dividend investing, the ideal time to invest was during pandemic when “others are fearful” in 2020 with over 30% price correction at low Ein55 Optimism level, resulting in higher dividend yield over 4 to 7%. “Buy Low” is only applicable for giant stocks, otherwise “Buy Low” may become lower for weak fundamental stocks.

Most of these 7 STI REITs have recovered to near or even above their intrinsic values, except CICT is still at moderate low optimism, having over 20% discount below its fair value, growth is slow but steady.  MCT is close to its intrinsic value but slower growth. Both MLT and FLCT are at higher Ein55 Optimism levels, supported by logistics business with higher demand during pandemic.

Singapore REITs in general only have moderate dividend yield after recovery from pandemic so far. A few non-STI REITs with high dividend yield could be a value trap with weaker business, driving lower prices and therefore higher dividend yield).  Dividend yield should not be the main selection criteria of a giant REIT.

These 3 industrial STI REITs (Keppel DC Reit, MIT, Areit) have strong uptrend momentum during the early stage of pandemic (industry sector business was not much affected during circuit breaker time) but suffering in sector rotation when pandemic condition improves in later stage, share prices were corrected more than 20% over the past few months, currently under second round of price recovery, may be considered for medium term trading with trend-following strategies, applying S.E.T. (Stop Loss / Entry / Target Prices) in trading plan.  All these 3 STI REITs have partial business related to high growth data center (100% for Keppel DC Reit, 30% for MIT, 10% for Areit) with higher demand in internet applications during and post pandemic.

In summary, 7 STI REITs are excellent choices for dividend investing but the best time for investing is always when “others are fearful” during Global Financial Crisis with low Ein55 Optimism level. Currently these giant REITs are more suitable for medium term dividend investing or even trading with trend-following strategies. Unlike property market, REITs are hybrid of stocks and properties, therefore they are cyclic in nature, an investor could suffer significant capital loss when buying at high Ein55 Optimism level with downtrend prices, especially near to peak of stock market.

Readers may read earlier article (June 2020 during pandemic with low optimism prices) by Dr Tee for more details on 42 REITs and 16 Business Trusts in Singapore, not limited to STI:
https://www.ein55.com/2020/06/42-singapore-reits-16-business-trusts/


4 Jardine STI Stocks (14% of STI):
=============================
– Jardine Matheson Holdings – JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Cycle & Carriage – JCC (SGX: C07), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01)

Jardine group of stocks are influential to STI, even with delisting of JSH, these 4 Jardine giant stocks (JMH, JCC, Hongkong Land and Dairy Farm) still dominate 14% of STI by market cap.  Currently, all these 4 Jardine STI stocks are recovering together from very low Ein55 Optimism level, partly supported by the corporate news of acquisition of JSH by JMH, triggering speculation on potential next undervalue Jardine stock to acquire which may surge in prices.

In fact, acquisition of a giant stock at low optimism (eg. JSH) should be a nightmare for a long term investor, despite a premium price (typically about 20%) is given for the offer to minority shareholders.  For long term investor who bought a stock at higher optimism level, even could hold a stock for long term or lifetime, may not able to stop the major shareholder from leveraging on low optimism opportunity to delist a company at undervalue prices (including CapitaLand, JSH and many other good fundamental stocks), a few may even end up with losses as entry price at high optimism is higher than the acquisition price. 

Therefore, to minimize systematic risks (eg. global financial crisis, sector correction, etc), investing in a portfolio of 10-20 giant stocks at lower Ein55 Optimism with strong holding power could improve the probability of winning in investment. Stock market in short term is a voting machine (up and down daily, sensitive to news) but in a long term, it becomes a weighing machine (steady growth in years with support of growing business).

All the 4 Jardine STI stocks are aligned with recovery of share prices from low Ein55 Optimism levels. They are considered laggard stocks (slower in recovery from pandemic), limited number of giant stocks with higher upside cyclic potential. However, Jardine stocks are cyclical in nature, stock price volatilities may be beyond the risk tolerance level of some traders or even investors.

Readers may read earlier article (Apr 2020 during the worst time of pandemic with very low optimism prices) by Dr Tee for more details on 7 Jardine Group of Giant Stocks, not limited to STI:
https://www.ein55.com/2020/04/7-jardine-king-of-singapore-stocks/


4 Transportation STI Stocks (6% of STI):
===================================
– ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Singapore Airlines (SIA) (SGX: C6L), SATS (SGX: S58), Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJ) (SGX: BS6)

There are 4 transportation STI stocks: ComfortDelGro (land transportation), Singapore Airlines (airlines), SATS (partial airlines), Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (shipping). Transportation sector in general is badly affected during pandemic but strongly supported by government grants, therefore these stocks start to recover with slow business improvement in later stage of pandemic.  Stock market is always forward looking, most people believe pandemic would end sooner or later, therefore global vaccination starts to recover the share prices of transportation stock, despite their businesses are still weak.

ComfortDelgro is mainly on taxi business, also has bus / MRT / car inspection businesses through subsidiaries SBS Transit (SGX: S61) and Vicom (SGX: WJP).  The impact of pandemic is much less than the airlines sector, mainly affected during circuit breaker time (Q2/2020) when most people stay at home.  Share price of ComfortDelgro was cut by nearly half during pandemic, then share price starts to recover from low Ein55 Optimism. Intrinsic value of ComfortDelgro is about $2.50, there is cyclic upside potential in share price with diminishing fear, supported by low community cases of COVID-19 in Singapore, allowing land transportation business to go back to normal. Vicom as a more defensive dividend stock (but dividend yield is moderate after rising in share prices after 4-to-1 stock split) with stable and predictable car inspection business (nearly monopoly, sharing the pie with ST Engineering which has STA car inspection centers), supplying critical cashflow to major shareholder, ComfortDelgro (2/3 ownership of Vicom). SBS Transit has become an asset light company after LTA changes of its business model a few years ago (focusing as transport operator with lower expenses and more predictable incomes), gradually become a giant stock but Ein55 Optimism level is relatively high, more suitable for trading, not yet for investing.

YangZiJiang (YZJ) is in shipbuilding industry, relatively stronger than most shipping or marine related stocks with decade long of winter time in this sector. Pandemic in fact helps the shipping industry due to more intercontinental shipping activities. Baltic Dry Index (BDI, a measurement of inflation for shipping industry) has been surging since pandemic, a bullish business signal.  However, YangZiJiang is cyclic in nature, limited growth in long term with moderate dividend yield (3%), more suitable for short term trading, especially when there is rising interest in shipping related stocks.

SIA is a truly crisis stock as airlines passengers drop more than 90%, even parent shareholder, Temasek has to take the lead to help with rights and bonds issues, in additional to Singapore government financial aids.  However, the risk of SIA is not limited to pandemic, the gradual weakening of airlines business was shown even over the last 10 years before pandemic due to competitive airlines industry (eg. price competition for similar flight from City A to City B), similar to another “grandparents blue chip” stock, Singapore Press Holdings – SPH (SGX: T39) with declining business due to less readers (who access free info including news from internet) gradually over the decade.  Despite both SIA and SPH are no longer giant stocks for longer term investing, they may be considered for short term trading (with trend-following strategies) due to speculation of recovery in pandemic, especially after their stock prices were cut by half during pandemic.

SATS is a spinoff company of SIA about 3 decades ago with about 60% airlines gateway business and 40% F&B business.  SATS is indirectly affected by COVID-19 for airlines related business but it can still be compensated by F&B business, therefore a better financial position than most airlines stocks.  In fact, SATS is relatively a better investing choice than SIA, considering both have about 50% price discount during pandemic but SATS has higher growth potential than SIA, therefore may be considered for both longer term investing (current price is only 15% below its intrinsic value) or even shorter term trading.

In fact, even an investor has a lousy stock with weak business fundamental, could not accept the fact of capital loss with “long term investing”, may apply the powerful “Change Horse” strategy, i.e. selling weaker stock, using the remaining capital recovered to buy another stronger stock on the same day. This is a psychological strategy to strengthen the mind of an investor (as if a stock is never sold, just changing its name), despite mistake could be made in the past, there is a second choice, no need to keep on holding to the same weaker stock, changing its future with a giant stock.

Readers may read earlier article (Mar 2020 during the worst time of pandemic with very low optimism prices) by Dr Tee for more details of “Change Horse” strategy (SATS and SIA as examples, assuming an investor only prefers airlines stock):
https://www.ein55.com/2020/03/change-horse-strategy-sia-to-sats/


8 Other Sectors STI Stocks (27% of STI):
==================================
– Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singtel (SGX: Z74), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34)

The remaining 8 STI stocks come from various industries: Genting Singapore (casino), Keppel Corp (property / oil & gas), ST Engineering (technology), Sembcorp Industries (utility / property), Singtel (telecommunication), Thai Beverage (F&B), Venture Corporation (technology, Wilmar (commodity).  They are aligned with average 3.3% weightage of each STI stock (100% / 30 stocks = 3.3% per stock), total 27% of STI by market cap for 8 stocks.  However, due to less STI stocks in these miscellaneous sectors, therefore changes in each sector do not significantly affect STI index.

For example, early stage of pandemic supports share prices of high-tech stocks globally but STI had little gain due to lack of high-tech stocks, lagging behind comparing with US NASDAQ or even Hong Kong HSI indices.  On the other hand, since global stock market currently value more on cyclic sectors (most of STI component stocks) with pandemic recovery, therefore STI is leading compared to global peers since early Year 2021.  So, it is a blessing in disguise for STI to be lagging, so that late comers still have chance to enter the stock market with higher reward to risk ratio.

Among these 8 other sectors STI stocks, Singtel and Wilmar have the largest market cap. Singtel is a Temasek stock, a defensive dividend stock but telco overseas business overseas (contributing to over 50% revenue) is not as stable as in Singapore, therefore share prices have been corrected lower over the past few years, even before pandemic. Before pandemic, telco industry has been too competitive, over-saturated market with lower profit margins, many global and local telco stocks are affected with declining business (Singtel is still relatively stronger than other telco stocks).  Although 5G technology could create a new wave of future business, most profits may go to smart phone / 5G leaders (eg. Apple, NASDAQ: AAPL) and semi-conductor (eg. TSMC, NYSE: TSM) supplier giant stocks. Singtel has started to recover from low Ein55 Optimism but not supported by growing business, may take more time to achieve intrinsic value of nearly $4.  “Buy Low” in share price without growing business may fall into value trap in longer term (Buy Low Get Lower), therefore careful monitoring of future Singtel business is required for long term investing. Singtel is more suitable for trading currently.

Wilmar is a strong fundamental commodity stock with steady growth in palm oil and sugar businesses, supported by PPB (KLSE: 4065) of Kuok Group as major shareholder (head of Kuok family is Robert Kuok, the richest person in Malaysia while nephew, Kuok Khoon Hong, is Wilmar Chairman), aligning with recovery of commodity market including palm oil and sugar prices from lower Ein55 Optimism (supported further by weakening of US dollar with QE during pandemic). Wilmar share price follows its intrinsic value closely, therefore little opportunity to Buy Low unless there is a global financial crisis in future. Wilmar subsidiary with cooking oil business, YKA, is a new IPO stock in China stock market (larger market cap than Wilmar now due to higher demand in China stock market), would help to support the parent stock in longer term. In general, Wilmar can be a steady defender stock but may not be suitable for those who aim for quick gains.

Remaining 6 other STI stocks, each has its own pros and cons. Genting Singapore is a crisis stock, share price is recovering well from low Ein55 Optimism but business is limited by lack of international tourists to Singapore (potential customers for gambling business which is the main profit generator).  Thai Beverage is a higher quality crisis stock, share price is recovering from very low optimism but beer business is not much affected by pandemic, short term price is affected due to recent news to delay IPO plan for its subsidiary, BeerCo. Thai Beverage’s intrinsic value is about $1, current price is about 30% below this fair value.

ST Engineering is a defensive technology stock, share price is recovering from low optimism in pandemic, near to its intrinsic value, more suitable for medium term dividend investing.  Venture is a cyclic technology stock, more suitable for Buy Low Sell High (currently at high Ein55 Optimism level), more suitable for trading, may not for long term investing. There is a potential of Version 2.0 Dotcom bubble (Version 1.0 was in Year 2000) due to over-price global technology giant stocks, therefore investing in high tech stocks require trend-following trading strategies due to very high optimism in many technology stocks which could be fine for a period of time with support of growing economy after pandemic is over.

Keppel Corp is not supported by Temasek partial acquisition last year but share prices recover gradually with improvement in oil prices during pandemic (after the worst time of negative oil price in May 2020), but business is still declining, mainly supported by property market (eg. Keppel Land and Keppel Reit). Despite Keppel Corp plans to exit from Oil & Gas sector eventually in future, it could still benefit from the recovery of oil market as Keppel Offshore & Marine division may be merged with Sembcorp Marine (SGX: S51), another Temasek crisis stock, which is demerged recently from Sembcorp Industries.  After demerging, Sembcorp Industries becomes a giant stock overnight (before demerging, 1/3 business was affected by subsidiary, Sembcorp Marine with losing business in oil & gas), share prices have recovered from low Ein55 Optimism in pandemic, near to its intrinsic value currently, supported mainly by growing land development business and defensive utility business.

Out of 30 STI Index stocks, there are 50% or 15 Temasek related stocks: DBS, Singtel, Sembcorp Industry, Keppel Corp, Keppel DC Reit, CapitaLand, CICT, SIA, SATS, ST Engineering, Singapore Exchange, Areit, MIT, MCT and MLT. Temasek as a major or significant shareholder, provides stability to business and even share prices to these Temasek stocks, especially during stock or business crisis (including non-STI stock such as Olam (SGX: O32) when it was attacked by Muddy Waters during shorting many years ago.

Readers may read earlier article (Aug 2020 during pandemic with low optimism prices) by Dr Tee for more details on 26 Temasek stocks, not limited to STI:
https://www.ein55.com/2020/08/temasek-giant-stocks-corporate-actions/

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Between knowledge (eg. reading this educational article of 30 STI stocks) and fortune (eg. making profits in stocks), there is a bridge to cross called Action (Buy, Hold, Sell, Wait or Shorting).  Before making any decision, reader may need to understand own personality, eg. short term trading or long term investing, risk tolerance level and reward expectation, etc, then aligned with the right strategies. Similar to each profession, stock trading and investment skills can be learned, even in a free way (you are doing the right way now) if one could put in effort consistently to learn and apply.

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There are over 1500 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

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Top 100 Singapore and Global Bank Stocks to Profit (大小通吃)

An individual or even a country could not survive without a national bank which supplies cash to exchange for products and services needed in daily life. Even with low interest rates globally, giant bank stocks could still remain profitable, share prices recovering strongly during pandemic, sharing consistent dividends as passive incomes. Higher government bond yield could further support these giant bank stocks with positive outlook of more interest incomes.

In this article, you will learn from Dr Tee on Top 100 Singapore and Global Bank Stocks to profit in current stock market, some may be considered for longer term investing and / or short term trading with COVID-19 recovery stock rally. Bonus for readers who could read every words of the entire article, learning unique strategy to position in 10 global giant bank stocks for both passive incomes (dividend) and capital gains with potential share price appreciation. Both Ein55 Optimism levels and intrinsic values will be shared for each giant stock:

1) Singapore Giant Bank Stocks:

– DBS Bank (SGX: D05), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11)

2) Malaysia Giant Bank Stocks:

Public Bank (Bursa: 1295), Hong Leong Bank (Bursa: 5819), CIMB Bank (Bursa: 1023)

3) Hong Kong / China Giant Bank Stocks:

– Bank of China Hong Kong (HKEX: 2388), China Construction Bank (HKEX: 939)

4) US Giant Bank Stocks:

JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM), HDFC Bank (NYSE: HDB)

During the COVID-19 stock recovery, there is a sector rotation with slower or even declining trend for global growth stocks. Investors start to pay more attention to cyclical stocks, especially for global giant bank stocks suffering with share prices in lower optimism, recovering together with pandemic, profiting in both capital gains (appreciation in share prices) and passive incomes (consistent dividend payments).

The best time to buy a giant bank stock is always during global stock crisis (eg. Year 2020-2021 during pandemic, 2008—2009 during subprime crisis, etc), not only able to maximize the dividend yield (due to lower entry price), also could have higher potential of capital gains (when market cycle moves from fear in low optimism to greed in high optimism). Dividend stock investing is not for dividend collection alone, may be integrated with growth investing, swing trading, momentum trading, cyclic investing, defensive investing, undervalue investing and other Ein55 strategies.

There are thousands of bank stocks globally but some are weak bank stocks, may not able to survive in the next Global Financial Crisis. The largest bank may not always a giant stock. For example, HSBC Bank (HKEX: 5) is the largest bank in Hong Kong but it is not a giant stock, share prices have been declining over the past decade with weaker businesses. A giant stock is not defined by its size, even a small regional bank could be a giant bank stock for investment (following Dr Tee Giant Criteria).

From the table sorted below for Top 100 Singapore and Global Bank Stocks, each has growing businesses over the past decade with reasonable dividends and positive ROE (Return on Equity). Most of these top bank stocks are affected temporarily by pandemic but still remain profitable with low interest environment. Since future bank interest rates are likely higher, Net Interest Margin (NIM) of global banks would be higher, therefore future earnings would be improving.  This potential is reflected in an hidden way with higher bond yield of governments globally.

However, not all the Top 100 global bank stocks listed are suitable for investing and/or trading. A growing business in the past may not be sustainable during COVID-19 period, could end up as a crisis stock. Fundamental Analysis alone is not sufficient, a stock with low optimism price may be a value trap as this may be the result of weakening businesses. Therefore, deeper analysis is required with LOFTP (Level, Optimism, Fundamental, Technical, Personal Analysis) Strategies. 

Nevertheless, this list of Top 100 global bank stocks can be a useful guide for as the first level filtering. If reader could not find a bank stock of interest under these 7 global exchanges (SGX, Bursa, HKEX, IDX, SET, NYSE, NASDAQ), then may need to deeper analysis before taking any action.

NoBank StocksExchangeROE (%)DY (%)
1DBS Bank (SGX: D05)SGX8.63.1
2OCBC Bank (SGX: O39)SGX7.22.7
3UOB Bank (SGX: U11)SGX6.93.0
4Public Bank (BURSA: 1295)BURSA11.23.1
5BIMB (BURSA: 5258)BURSA10.46.7
6Hong Leong Financial Group (BURSA: 1082)BURSA9.12.2
7Hong Leong Bank (BURSA: 5819)BURSA91.9
8RHB BANK (BURSA: 1066)BURSA7.95.2
9AM BANK (BURSA: 1015)BURSA6.42.4
10MBSB (BURSA: 1171)BURSA64.4
11Affin Bank (BURSA: 5185)BURSA3.83.9
12CIMB Bank (BURSA: 1023)BURSA3.32.6
13China Merchants Bank (HKEX: 3968)HKEX142.2
14ICBC Bank (HKEX: 1398)HKEX10.95.3
15China Construction Bank (HKEX: 939)HKEX10.65.4
16Bank of China Hong Kong (HKEX: 2388)HKEX10.65.1
17Hang Seng Bank (HKEX: 11)HKEX9.33.6
18Bank of Communications (HKEX: 3328)HKEX97.5
19Chong Hing Bank (HKEX: 1111)HKEX7.35.2
20Dah Sing Banking Group (HKEX: 2356)HKEX6.54.9
21Dah Sing (HKEX: 440)HKEX55.2
22Bank of East Asia (HKEX: 23)HKEX2.92.4
23Bank Mega (IDX: MEGA)IDX16.53.2
24Bank Central Asia (IDX: BBCA)IDX14.71.6
25Bank Woori Saudara Indonesia 1906 (IDX: SDRA)IDX6.91.6
26Bank Bumi Arta (IDX: BNBA)IDX30.2
27Bank of Ayudhya (SET: BAY)SET80.9
28Kasikornbank (SET: KBANK)SET6.73.6
29Bangkok Bank (SET: BBL)SET3.82.0
30HDFC Bank (NYSE: HDB)NYSE15.10.1
31Western Alliance Bancorporation (NYSE: WAL)NYSE14.81.0
32Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD)NYSE12.53.6
33Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY)NYSE12.33.5
34Bank of Hawaii (NYSE: BOH)NYSE11.22.8
35Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (NYSE: CM)NYSE104.3
36JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM)NYSE9.82.3
37Bank of Nova Scotia (NYSE: BNS)NYSE9.24.3
38Bank of Montreal (NYSE: BMO)NYSE9.13.6
39U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB)NYSE8.73.0
40Prosperity Bancshares (NYSE: PB)NYSE8.62.4
41Community Bank System (NYSE: CBU)NYSE7.82.1
42Cullen/Frost Bankers (NYSE: CFR)NYSE7.52.4
43PNC Financial Services (NYSE: PNC)NYSE5.92.6
44Sterling Bancorp (NYSE: STL)NYSE4.71.1
45Credicorp (NYSE: BAP)NYSE35.9
46Northrim BanCorp (NASDAQ: NRIM)NASDAQ14.83.1
47Summit State Bank (NASDAQ: SSBI)NASDAQ13.92.8
48Meta Financial Group (NASDAQ: CASH)NASDAQ13.80.4
49Stock Yards Bancorp (NASDAQ: SYBT)NASDAQ13.42.1
50Washington Trust Bancorp (NASDAQ: WASH)NASDAQ13.13.8
51Lakeland Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: LKFN)NASDAQ12.81.7
52City Holding Company (NASDAQ: CHCO)NASDAQ12.72.7
53Arrow Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: AROW)NASDAQ12.23.0
54First Bancorp (NASDAQ: FNLC)NASDAQ12.14.1
55First Financial Bankshares (NASDAQ: FFIN)NASDAQ121.0
56C&F Financial Corp (NASDAQ: CFFI)NASDAQ11.53.1
57Glacier Bancorp (NASDAQ: GBCI)NASDAQ11.52.2
58Century Bancorp (NASDAQ: CNBKA)NASDAQ11.40.5
59First Citizens BancShares (NASDAQ: FCNCA)NASDAQ11.30.2
60Camden National Corporation (NASDAQ: CAC)NASDAQ11.22.8
61East West Bancorp (NASDAQ: EWBC)NASDAQ10.81.4
62Eagle Bancorp (NASDAQ: EGBN)NASDAQ10.71.6
63Republic Bancorp (NASDAQ: RBCAA)NASDAQ10.12.5
64Commerce Bancshares (NASDAQ: CBSH)NASDAQ101.3
65German American Bancorp (NASDAQ: GABC)NASDAQ101.6
66Ameris Bancorp (NASDAQ: ABCB)NASDAQ9.91.1
67Horizon Bancorp (NASDAQ: HBNC)NASDAQ9.92.5
68UMB Financial Corp (NASDAQ: UMBF)NASDAQ9.51.3
69Enterprise Bancorp (NASDAQ: EBTC)NASDAQ9.42.1
70Southside Bancshares (NASDAQ: SBSI)NASDAQ9.43.3
71Penns Woods Bancorp (NASDAQ: PWOD)NASDAQ9.35.2
72BancFirst Corporation (NASDAQ: BANF)NASDAQ9.31.8
73Community Bankers Trust (NASDAQ: ESXB)NASDAQ9.22.4
741st Source Corporation (NASDAQ: SRCE)NASDAQ9.12.3
75Community Trust Bancorp (NASDAQ: CTBI)NASDAQ9.13.3
76Signature Bank (NASDAQ: SBNY)NASDAQ9.10.9
77American National BankShares (NASDAQ: AMNB)NASDAQ8.93.1
78First Internet Bancorp (NASDAQ: INBK)NASDAQ8.90.6
79NBT Bancorp (NASDAQ: NBTB)NASDAQ92.6
80CVB Financial Corp (NASDAQ: CVBF)NASDAQ8.83.0
81Simmons First National Corporation (NASDAQ: SFNC)NASDAQ8.62.2
82TowneBank (NASDAQ: TOWN)NASDAQ8.22.3
83BOK Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: BOKF)NASDAQ8.22.1
84Home Bancshares (NASDAQ: HOMB)NASDAQ8.21.9
85International Bancshares (NASDAQ: IBOC)NASDAQ82.2
86ConnectOne Bancorp (NASDAQ: CNOB)NASDAQ7.81.4
87CNB Financial Corp (NASDAQ: CCNE)NASDAQ7.62.7
88Independent Bank Corp (NASDAQ: INDB)NASDAQ7.12.0
89TriCo Bancshares (NASDAQ: TCBK)NASDAQ71.7
90People’s United Financial (NASDAQ: PBCT)NASDAQ74.0
91Enterprise Financial Services Corp (NASDAQ: EFSC)NASDAQ71.5
92Wintrust Financial Corp (NASDAQ: WTFC)NASDAQ6.61.4
93Columbia Banking System (NASDAQ: COLB)NASDAQ6.62.8
94Heartland Financial USA (NASDAQ: HTLF)NASDAQ6.41.5
95Pinnacle Financial Partners (NASDAQ: PNFP)NASDAQ6.20.7
96Flushing Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: FFIC)NASDAQ5.63.4
97Bryn Mawr Bank Corp (NASDAQ: BMTC)NASDAQ5.22.2
98Renasant Corp (NASDAQ: RNST)NASDAQ3.92.0
99South State Corp (NASDAQ: SSB)NASDAQ2.62.2
100Pacific Premier Bancorp (NASDAQ: PPBI)NASDAQ2.22.3

Here, let’s focus on 10 Global Giant Bank Stocks in 4 different countries (Singapore, Malaysia, Hong Hong / China, USA), learning the unique positioning for each stock:

1) Singapore Giant Bank Stocks:

– DBS Bank (SGX: D05), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11)

There are only 3 major banks in Singapore after past few decades of merging and acquisition with strict regulations by MAS to ensure stable financial conditions (eg. regulation of limiting FY2020 dividend payment to 60% of previous year to preserve cash during pandemic). So, it is not surprise that all 3 Singapore bank stocks (DBS Bank, OCBC Bank and UOB Bank) are all giant stocks.

Despite weaker business with higher Non-Performing Loan (NPL) and lower interest income (lower interest rate with lower Net Interest Margin, NIM), all 3 major Singapore bank stocks remain profitable, worst time of Q2/2020 is over, recovering steadily each quarter, supporting their share prices to recover from lower optimism level.

Currently, DBS Bank share price is at moderate high optimism of 60+% Ein55 Optimism level, over intrinsic value of $22.  Therefore, DBS is more suitable for shorter term trading (Buy Low Sell High / Buy High Sell Higher). For trading, it is crucial to have S.E.T. (Stop Loss / Entry / Target Prices) in trading plan. For example, if the prices fall back below the support (was resistance) of $27, then a short term trader may need to exit, even with losses, if breakout strategy is the main assumption for trading strategy.

For both OCBC Bank and UOB Bank, share prices have recovered from low optimism to mid optimism of nearly 50%, near to intrinsic values of $12 (OCBC) and $26 (UOB) respectively. It is possible for share prices to go above intrinsic value but it requires a more greedy stock market emotion in Singapore (eg. when STI is above 3000-3300 long term resistance zone). Therefore, cyclic investing strategies (Buy Low Sell High / Buy Fair Price Sell High) may be considered for both stocks.

Readers may refer to earlier article of Dr Tee for more details on 30 Singapore Banking & Finance stocks, mostly were at lower optimism level (9 months ago, just recovering from the worst time of pandemic, congratulation to readers who have taken action to Buy Low after reading this article):
https://www.ein55.com/2020/06/30-singapore-banking-and-finance-stocks/

2) Malaysia Giant Bank Stocks:

Public Bank (Bursa: 1295), Hong Leong Bank (Bursa: 5819), CIMB Bank (Bursa: 1023)

There are more banks in Malaysia than in Singapore, therefore careful selection of giant bank stocks is crucial for Malaysian stock investors.  Public Bank (Teh Hong Piow) and Hong Leong Bank (Quek Leng Chan) are excellent private banks founded and managed by reputable bankers, surviving through past few decades of merging and acquisition of Malaysian banks.

Fundamentally, both Public Bank and Hong Leong Bank are relatively stronger than the peers of other Malaysia banks. Public Bank has just recovered above low optimism to about 30% level, aiming for RM6 intrinsic value, may be considered for cyclic investing.  As for Hong Leong Bank, recovery is much stronger to mid optimism level with intrinsic value of RM19, more suitable for medium term trend-following trading.

CIMB is the second largest bank in Malaysia but performance is better than the largest bank, Maybank. CIMB is a more cyclical stock, share prices is recovering from very low optimism, currently still around 20% level, having higher upside potential. An investor may apply cyclic investing strategy, target for CIMB could be intrinsic value of RM7 or even higher if the Bursa stock market becomes more greedy, then there is opportunity to sell at high optimism level.

Readers may read articles of Dr Tee for more details on Public Bank and Hong Leong Bank, both were at lower optimism level then (ample time to Buy Low if one could take action):
https://www.ein55.com/tag/public-bank/

3) Hong Kong / China Giant Bank Stocks:

– Bank of China Hong Kong (HKEX: 2388), China Construction Bank (HKEX: 939)

Many China bank stocks are also listed in Hong Kong stock market (H-share), including Bank of China Hong Kong and China Construction Bank, both are fundamentally strong with high growth potential.  Hong Kong stock exchange is tighter in regulation, therefore some investors may feel more confident investing China stocks through Hong Kong, especially for state-owned giant stocks with additional protection by China government.

Bank of China Hong Kong (HKEX: 2388) is a different stock from parent company, Bank of China (HKEX: 3988). Performance of BOC Hong Kong (limited to BOC entities in Hong Kong) is stronger than parent stock, therefore a better choice for growth investing (comparable for both stocks if only considering dividend investing), aiming for higher capital gains. BOC Hong Kong has recovered from past 1 year of low optimism level, breaking above the HK$25 resistance, challenging other higher price level, optimism is still moderate low above 30%, aiming for intrinsic value of HK$38. BOC Hong Kong is a multi-purpose stock, suitable as defender (dividend stock with 5% dividend yield, much better than 0.5% interest if keeping cash in a bank), midfielder (capital gains and dividend) and even a striker (uptrend price for short term with trend-following trading).

China Construction Bank (CCB) is recovering from low optimism during pandemic, currently at Ein55 Optimism of 40%, not far from intrinsic value of HK$8. With strong economy recovery in China in later stage of pandemic, CCB would benefit in near future for businesses, which could support the share prices further.

Readers may read another article of Dr Tee for more details on another Hong Kong / China giant bank stock: ICBC Bank (world and China largest bank):
https://www.ein55.com/2020/12/4-global-bank-stocks-with-vaccine-after-phase-3-covid-19/

4) US Giant Bank Stocks:

JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM), HDFC Bank (NYSE: HDB)

JP Morgan Chase is the largest bank in USA while HDFC Bank is the largest private bank in India (stock is also listed in NYSE), both are growth stocks, fundamentally strong, supported by growing economy in respective local countries.

JP Morgan share prices recover from correction at mid optimism level in pandemic, currently at high optimism level of over 70%, much higher than its intrinsic value of US$100, driven by the greedy emotion in US stock market.  JPM is more suitable for trend-following trading, buying after recovering from each short term correction, or after breaking each intermediate resistance for momentum trading. Since US stock market (both NYSE and NASDAQ) at high optimism level is very volatile, a trader needs to assess own risk tolerance level, choosing the right stocks for trading.

HDFC Bank is relatively more undervalue than JPM. Optimism of HDFC is recovering from low level in pandemic to mid optimism of about 40% currently, near to intrinsic value of US$90. With higher populations in India for decades (would takeover China as No 1 country with the most population in about 10 years time), HDFC Bank would benefit in future businesses, especially after pandemic has ended in India.  Besides growth investing, HDFC may also be considered for medium term or short term momentum trading with different price targets based on traders unique personalities.

Readers may view recent video by Dr Tee for more details on HDFC Bank (price was 10% lower then):
https://www.ein55.com/2021/01/6-crisis-investing-momentum-stocks-with-life-changing-20-minutes-talk/

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We may not need to be a banker to enjoy the economic moat of a bank with financial license authorized by each government. An investor could leverage on global giant stocks to make money together in countries with growing economy.  All sectors and levels (from individual to country, 大小通吃) need liquidity or cash supplied by bank, therefore investing in a giant bank would have higher probability of winning in higher share prices with consistent dividend payment, supported by growing businesses.

Instead of keeping hard earn money as cash deposit (earning less than 0.5% interest) in a trusted bank, why not taking calculated risk, investing in a portfolio of giant bank stocks with higher potential return in medium to long term (with possible capital loss in short term, especially when entry against the trend)? If a bank is not safe for investment, then it may not be safe for keeping one’s cash in saving account. Instead of lending money with ultra-low interest rate to a bank, one may make money together with a giant bank through stock ownership to share the profits.

Earlier readers of Dr Tee network who took action on a portfolio of giant stocks (not limited to bank stocks) aligned with own personalities could enjoy significant return after 6-12 months later, especially during pandemic period. Reading article is only a “knowledge collector”. An investor needs to learn to convert knowledge into potential fortune through action taking (Buy / Hold / Sell / Wait / Shorting). If not, after reading over 100 articles or other people opinions, the results would still be zero if no action is taken.

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There are over 1500 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom) to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar, you could ask on any global and local stocks including but not limited to 30 STI component stocks:

Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX: C38U), City Development (SGX: C09), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Singtel (SGX: Z74), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6).

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

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