Impact of Currency with Hyperinflation on Economy

Hyperinflation
If you think Venezuela hyperinflation of 1 million % is a crisis, then Zimbabwe dollar would be a disaster. Political induced crisis of Zimbabwe results in hyperinflation of 79 Billion %, Zimbabwe dollar becomes nearly worthless, a collapse of currency system. The largest note is $100 trillions Zimbabwe dollar which could probably could exchange for just a loaf of bread or just a collector item, becoming a commodity.

The Venezuela crisis remembers me of the Japanese Banana money in Singapore/Malaysia after World War II. Money could become a junk paper but asset such as property still could preserve the value during crisis.

Venezuela highly dependent on income from crude oil which price was falling down since a few years ago, resulting in country financial crisis, which now a humanity crisis with hyperinflation of 1 Million %. For a mature country, a few percentage of inflation is considered healthy for a moderate growth and steady economy but too much inflation will be a disaster. The role of central bank is critical to moderate various factors contribute to national economy.

Inflation is related to purchasing power. 100% inflation, meaning price of a product or service is 2X. 1000% is about 11X.

1 Milllion % inflation means $1 product / service now becomes about $10,001. Technically, the Venezuelan Bolivar, purchasing power with this currency has dropped by 10,001 times.

It means if a loaf of bread is $1, it would cost $10,001 now to get one. So, whoever holds cash as fortune, wealth would drop significantly with very weak purchasing power due to hyperinflation. If one owns commodity or property as wealth, then will be safer.

Lira crisis is Turkey is related to Forex + Politics + Economy, trigger point is different but results could be similar, country financial crisis.

It shows the importance of diversification in one’s wealth, not just invest or keep 1 asset class, eg cash or stock. Property is also a form of commodity, it has certain worth. In ancient time without “money”, one could use commodity/service A to exchange for commodity/service B, paper money is just an easy way to facilitate the exchange. However, there is different level of trust in each type of money in different country, i.e. currency, therefore the knowhow of forex is important, at least knowing which currency to keep.

Singapore may not be a good place to trade in stocks but it could be a good choice to invest in property for long term (island country with limited land and nearly unlimited future population), Singapore Dollar (SGD) also appreciates gradually over the decades against other major currencies under MAS long term policy, supported by long term political stability (the longest so far for 1 party to rule a country), pro-business economic policies, etc.

Remember, currency is only a piece of paper (similar to USD), it has value only because of trust and confidence of users and owners to use it for exchange of product and services. In the past before 1970s, USD was backed by gold, therefore inflation was not an issue. When USD dollar and global currencies are just a piece of paper, then the definition of value would be more complicated. A smart investor would learn to diversify wealth, not just holding to one particular currency. USD, CHF and JPY are considered safe haven currencies, usually demand is higher when global economy is uncertain, eg. since early this year, USD has strengthened against many currencies including SGD.
 
Currency, inflation, interest rate, stock, bond, commodity, property, economy, or even politics are inter-linked. Learn from Dr Tee free 4 hours investment course to have a holistic view of entire investment markets, understanding their inter-connections. 
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